Bitcoinshort
Bitcoin. Not sure what to do rn with the corn to be honest. Cautiously long to 54k +-500$. If people think a slow grind up to 54k is bullish, check the last bullrun. That is not to say BTC wont moon to 80k, but until we find acceptance above 54k and we see that from there we are likely to continue upwards, I remain 50/50 on whether we'll be resuming up only.
Bitcoin is challenging supportAfter breaking under the ascending trend-line, Bitcoin has had a new attempt to conquer 50k, and failed.
Now the main crypto is sitting on 47k support and looks like it could break under.
I maintain my bearish outlook for BtcUsd and my target remains in 40k zone
Interim support is at 44k and a sustained rise above 50k would change my opinion
IMPORTANT DAILY CLOSE FOR BTCLooking at the 4HR BTC chart we took a look at yesterday like i have said this is a bearish pattern and we are starting to see that now, we are pushing down and now sitting directly on the bottom of the wedge looking like we are in for a slide downwards. We are also right on the pivot point and i think if we see a close here we might be seeing a short term trend reversal, or atleast a pullback, dont really know how far down we will go we do have lots of support, im thinking atleast to the 0.5 FIB level which is only a 4% drop or so, but if this plays out we will have to take a closer look at that time, as you guys know i have been predicting a pullback for some time now and over on my daily TF i have layed out 3 possible pullback scenarios ranging from -11% to -23%, both are valid as in 2018 we saw many pullbacks ranging from 15% to 40%. We definitely have to keep an eye on these bollinger bands, we are creeping down to the area of the bottom band which is always pretty dangerous, if we continue to see some drawdown we are looking at a chance of grabbing onto the bottom band and sort of watersliding downwards. Now checking out the MACD we are seeing a strong bearish cycle here with a recent bearish cross, we are seeing increasing red bars each one and i feel like we got a couple or a few more to go before getting that reversal, I think this due to the fact that the Blue MA's starting to separate pretty far away from the orange and the longer and further this goes on.. the longer we will have to wait for a bullish cross! Personally really hope we see a significant pullback soon i will definitely be going into the market loading up my bags getting ready for that next big push!
BITCOIN PRICE WILL FALL A LITTLE MORE?Folks,
Question;
How much money have you made lately while being a ' trader' ??
Have you had the experience of beginning with trading and buying in to crypto not knowing what you were doing ??
But you made money and you thought wauuww this trading is easy, simple money.. And you really getting excited about trading. And you started to think you are really good at it.
And then BAM you once made a losing trade and your good feeling was gone..
And you promised yourself you were going to study the markets, and trying to learn everything about the markets, so you would learn to know when to exit and entry markets... So you would ' never' lose again.
This is all logic and human. But you (I) started out of ' I will let the market see who is the strongest' mindset and that my friend is a wrong attitude.
You see studying is great. I am a big believer in knowledge. But I came to conclusion that knowledge is only powerful when it is studied for the right purposes.
Look; The market is total neutral. It shows the open, high, low, close of the hours/days/weeks/months. That is the information..
But YOU interpret this information in a way your mindset is at that moment.. You give value to what you see on the chart. The market isn't doing anything to you, YOU do.
When you want to become successful in trading you don't need to learn more TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, ELLIOT WAVES etc.. NO you need MENTALITY ANALYSIS!!!!
Because the best TECHNICAL ANALYSTS can be the worse traders.. because you can read it but you have to set in the TRADE. and that my friend you do in your mind.
I personally stoped being in the markets for making money.. of course I want to make money but that's not my drive anymore. I WANT TO BECOME A CONSISTENT WINNING TRADER.
That is a whole different mindset because it allows me to lose and to make faults in trading.. If I put in 100 trades and I only win 30 but when I win I win 3 points = 90 points.
And if I lose 70 but I lose only 1 point = 70 points I still WIN 20 points..
THE BEST TRADERS TRADE WITHOUT FEAR, HESITATION OR DISTORTION.
The chart;
At the end everything will be ok. But it comes down to if you are a DAYTRADER, SWINGTRADER OR INVESTOR.. For the daytraders I expect the price to fall back little and retest support before moving up.
Just watch the other 2 bear traps.. High probability it will happen again. READ WELL I don't say it will happen, but there is a high probability.
For swing trading I would wait before buying in..
Investor --> DCA / Dollar cost averaging...
How Much Will BTC Fall??!Looking at BTC again today after daily close and i was onto something when i mentioned earlier, about the bearish looking transition candle. Thought this sort of scenario was likely looking at how we couldn't break 50K and hardly the R2 resistance, Now we are seeing some support coming from February holding us up, it is really hard to say where i think BTC could land but i imagine it would be more than 5% from the recent top. We could see ourselves at the 45K level or even lower at the 0.3 FIB, im thinking due to the growing numbers of longs and being in extreme greed mode we are in for a decent sized pullback, to liquidate long positions, shake out weak hands, mess with emotions. Looking at the RSI we're seeing downward movement coming out of the overbought area and soon coming up on some support from the beginning of this month, we could see a hold up here for sure but keep in mind all that i just mentioned, also some support from the 50. point midline. Looking at the MACD we are seeing a bearish cross that recently printed and the overall structure of both of the MA's is falling slopping too the downside. keep an eye on this though, we have seen similar action like this like i talked about previously, we will know for sure when we start to see the histogram printing bars, if we see growing red bars we are likely in a pullback scenario especially if the orange MA is on top and we start to see big separation in them, the further they spread out the further away a bull cross is. Now the Wavetrend similar to the RSI we are starting to make a downwards move coming out of the sell zone, there's not much indication here on whether we are going to catch support or not, personally i hope we can see a dip i would love to scoop up some bags, Not financial advice just my opinion!
BTC/USD SUPPORTThe resistance has been unique and holding strong for the support which is proven to be a break through in next test.
If this continue we can hope for 50k while the bull continue with minor bear in the market.
Hopefully this should help the short term traders.
You can consider opening a position within this level.
Best wishes;
Bitcoin Losing Momentum (Bull Trap)Simply, when bitcoin correction touches MA 50 and death cross with EMA 50 then bitcoin will dump. In my previous analysis Bitcoin is in bearish crab and decreasing volume.
If Bitcoin can break out from $52k, it will be surprising to me because the volume is not enough to break out $50k.
WAIT BITCOIN DON'T FALLL!!!!!!Folks,
How you doing today??
As I am taking a more in depth look in the 4 hour bitcoin/usdt chart I see a Elliot Wave being completed..
And as we approaching resistance again we see prices tend to reject breaking out resistance (when writing).
IF price tend to reject breaking out we will form a double top and that means high probability of a decline in price..
See the support levels where you can expect price to bounce back at.
What do you think ?
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Bitcoin is ready to fall.Hello! In my previous ideas, I noted that the next wave of decline will start either from the upper line of the downtrend channel or from the strong resistance I indicated on the chart. And now nothing has changed, the idea remains valid. The price has reached the horizontal resistance line. Therefore, I expect a move down from the current price to my old target of 22806.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market