Bitcoin Daily Timeframe - Daily UpdatesBitcoin is currently trading at transition prices. I am sharing a chart that highlights key price levels and potential scenarios for both short and long positions. I will provide daily updates on BTCUSD.
Key Price Levels:
Using the Fibonacci series: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, we derive the following levels:
0.5*(55+89)=72
72−55=17
0.5*17=8.5
Thus, the key levels are: 55K, 63.5K, 72K, 80.5K, and 89K.
Long Scenario:
The current price is 68.2K. According to the downtrend line, the main resistance is at 72K. If Bitcoin penetrates this level, it opens the path to the first target of 80.5K and the second target of 89K, which is the upper side of the uptrend channel on the weekly timeframe.
Short Scenario:
If Bitcoin fails to penetrate the 72K level, it will likely retest the support at 63.5K. I will provide updates as the situation evolves.
Bitcoinshort
BTC Breakdown After Failed 5th Attempt at New ATHWe've been watching the upper trendline for weeks and saying that since breakouts usually happen on the 3rd or 5th attempts...
That a failure (which we just had) to break above the upper trendline shown here or to ATH on this attempt, would likely lead to a deeper correction which we're starting to see.
Plus our custom indicators have all rolled over to Red. Currently it's looking like $62k is next support block of buyers.
Some are speculating that was the top, and whale sellers are front-running a recession.
But comparing this year's chart looks a lot like prior Bitcoin bull-runs, just before the parabolic rise happens. Specifically like 2016, when there was months of stagnation near the old high..
Just before the big explosion in price.
What do you think??
BTCUSDT Forms Bearish Head and Shoulders: 5% Downside Target in Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is showing a classic bearish head and shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. This technical formation, considered one of the most reliable trend reversal indicators, suggests that the current bullish trend may be nearing its end.
The pattern consists of three peaks, with the middle peak (the head) being the highest, flanked by two lower peaks (the shoulders). As the price breaks below the neckline, it confirms the pattern and indicates a likely downward movement.
Key points to consider:
Pattern confirmation: Watch for a decisive break below the neckline.
Entry point: Consider entering a short position upon neckline breakout.
Stop loss: Place a stop loss just above the right shoulder for risk management.
Profit target: Aim for a 5% downside move from the breakout point.
Traders should exercise caution and use proper risk management techniques, as no pattern is guaranteed to work every time. Always conduct thorough analysis and consider multiple factors before making trading decisions.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishPattern #CryptoMarket #TradingStrategy #CryptoTrends #RiskManagement
47k Coming for Bitcoin?$Bitcoin #CME 1D chart;
The gap formed by the opening last week has not yet been filled. I think the rise will not start before this place is filled.
The Bat Harmonic structure, which is also formed in the current structure, points us to $ 47k levels. It is difficult to say anything clear if it will come true. However, we should not forget that this possibility also exists.
Bitcoin had received an upward reaction with the support it received with its last visit to the IMB level. However, as can be seen, it has not yet made any contact with the IMB zone at $ 47k levels.
It doesn't always touch these areas, of course, but why not:)
BTCUSDT.1DIn my rigorous analysis of the BTC/USDT daily chart, I explore various technical dimensions that help in shaping an effective trading strategy.
Current Market Position:
The price of BTC/USDT is currently at $64,002, reflecting a 1.60% decrease in the latest session. This movement indicates significant volatility and necessitates an in-depth technical examination to predict future directions.
Trend Analysis:
BTC has shown some consolidation after a bullish run, evident from the trading range defined by several key resistance and support levels. The recent price behavior suggests a struggle between bears and bulls to establish control.
Support and Resistance Levels:
S1 at $58,923.16 and S2 at $53,398.13: These support levels are crucial. A break below S1 could indicate a bearish downturn towards S2, whereas stability or a bounce at S1 might suggest continued consolidation or an upward reversal.
R1 at $67,571.03 and R2 at $74,056.94: R1 is the immediate resistance, with R2 providing a higher target in case of a bullish breakout. Surpassing R1 would potentially open the way for a test of R2, signaling strong bullish momentum.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI at 58.25 shows that BTC is neither overbought nor oversold, hovering near the midpoint. This suggests a potential for either direction, depending on market forces and upcoming news or economic data.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line is above the signal line but shows signs of converging. This could indicate a weakening bullish momentum or a potential bearish crossover if the trend continues.
Strategic Trading Insights:
Given the current market setup, my strategy would involve a balanced approach. I would closely monitor the price action near the support level of S1 ($58,923.16). Holding above this level might offer a buying opportunity, anticipating a potential test of R1 ($67,571.03). Conversely, a breakdown below S1 would warrant caution, potentially adjusting positions to prepare for a further slide towards S2.
For entry, I'd consider a long position if there's a clear bounce from S1 with adequate volume support, setting a stop-loss just below S1 to mitigate risks. On the flip side, should the price break below S1 convincingly, I'd explore short positions, targeting S2 while maintaining a tight stop above the broken support.
Conclusion:
The BTC/USDT trading pair presents a complex scenario with significant levels at S1 and R1 likely to dictate the short-term market trend. Traders should stay alert to these pivotal levels and adjust their strategies based on solid technical signals and market dynamics. Implementing stringent risk management and keeping abreast of market news are imperative to navigate the anticipated volatility effectively.
BTCOf the opinion BTC has entered into marco w5 of the HTF (3) wave. The (3) is set to hit $90-$110k .
For now the marco 1 has entered into a diagonal pattern which is a combination of ABC 3 waves inside of an impulsive 5 wave structure.
I have the local top at $61,000 before a pull back to $54-$56,000 for marco 2 of 5 of (3)
BTC Bearish Pattern in Weekly ChartAfter a long time, BTC has been dropped with weekly candle below bottom line of Pi cycle average line. This is a bearish pattern based on the history.
Now resistance is around 65000.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
25/6 update to yesterday update: BTC 9:00 UTC-4 18/6/2024 Short Hello everyone,
looks like yesterday's call: "In my opinion, there is still potential to move to Lower prices, but we need to take a close look at how the price will behave around 1M ATH Close price @ 61.375$. If we are able to blast through it, my next expected target would be 58.500$."
- comes to fruition once again. Extra 5% in the bag for those who stuck with trade at least partially.
So what's Next?
As we can see, after we arrive at our target 58.500$ we got immediate bounce back to the price I told you to keep an eye on. Reason Why I already mentioned several times in my previous posts.
As for my next trade, I can still see odds in favor of continuation to Lower price targets - 58.500$ again and depending on How it will act around that price on a 1-5-15min chart determine if we can see further bleeding or we bounce and revisit Higher price.
So for now, I'm of the opinion that if we reach around 61.375$ to 61.500$ again it would be still a great Short entry area. Having in mind that I will be using STOP LOSS around 61.850$ as protection in a case I'm WRONG and we go to the "bounce target" I mentioned yesterday which is around 63.8k$-64.2k$. If that happens, that would be my New Short Entry area.
Good luck in your trading
Joe
BTC update to: BTC 9:00 UTC-4 18/6/2024 Short TradeHello everyone,
Looks like our trade was delivered even though it took longer than was expected.
So everyone who took the same trade, congrats on your profits!
Aswell, I would point out How after I called for a lower price we went lower by around 1.85%, and How after that we visited the price I expected that is possible to reach for a great Short entry around 66.478$ (not so far from 66.500$) before our move unwind.
With that said, I hope everyone who took the same trade already took some profits off to pay the trader.
Now, to the harder part. And that's How to manage correctly trade if you still left some portion of your Short entry open.
In my opinion, there is still potential to move to Lower prices, but we need to take a close look at how the price will behave around 1M ATH Close price @ 61.375$. If we are able to blast through it, my next expected target would be 58.500$.
On the other hand, if in the upcoming hours price struggles to go lower than 61.3-61.5k$, I would expect it to bounce back a few % and that would be an opportunity to Open New Short trade. -> (around 63.500$ to 64.200$)
I will update further once I get more confirmation about What is more probable to happen next.
Joe
[LONG] Blue means go (again) Tokenfi's TOKEN
### RSI Analysis on TOKEN from Tokenfi
#### Overview
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is primarily used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market. Generally, an RSI below 30 is considered oversold, and an RSI above 70 is considered overbought.
#### Current RSI Reading
As of the latest analysis, the daily RSI for TOKEN from Tokenfi is reading at 11.25. This extremely low RSI value suggests that TOKEN is deeply oversold.
#### Historical Performance and Patterns
Historically, TOKEN has shown a tendency to rebound strongly from oversold conditions as it makes its way into overbought territory, often indicated by the PMAR (Price Move Average Range) or PMARP (Price Move Average Range Percentage) metrics. Let's delve into what this could mean for the current market situation.
#### Analysis
1. **RSI at 11.25**: This is an exceptionally low reading, significantly below the traditional oversold threshold of 30. It indicates that TOKEN has been aggressively sold off, potentially due to market overreaction or broader market downturns.
2. **Historical Rebounds**: Observing past performance, TOKEN has demonstrated a pattern of substantial price increases following periods of being oversold. These rebounds often propel the RSI from the oversold territory into the overbought range (typically above 70).
3. **Potential for a Pump**: Given the current RSI of 11.25, there is a strong potential for a significant upward price movement. Historical data supports the notion that TOKEN often experiences sharp increases in buying pressure once the RSI reaches such low levels.
4. **PMAR / PMARP Indicators**: As TOKEN begins to recover, monitoring the PMAR and PMARP indicators will be crucial. These indicators can provide additional confirmation of the strength and sustainability of the upward movement. Typically, as TOKEN approaches these overbought territories, further analysis using these metrics can help in decision-making for profit-taking or continuing to hold.
#### Conclusion
The daily RSI reading of 11.25 for TOKEN from Tokenfi suggests that the coin is currently in a deeply oversold state. Based on historical patterns, this condition often precedes a significant price rally. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on the RSI and PMAR / PMARP indicators as TOKEN has a high likelihood of moving from its current oversold condition towards the overbought territory, potentially offering substantial gains.
#### Recommendations
- **Entry Point**: Given the RSI is at an extreme low, this could be an opportune entry point for those looking to capitalize on a potential rebound.
- **Monitoring**: Regularly monitor the RSI and PMAR / PMARP metrics to gauge the strength of the recovery and identify optimal exit points as TOKEN approaches overbought conditions.
- **Risk Management**: As always, employ proper risk management strategies and consider setting stop-loss orders to protect against further downside risks.
By staying informed and vigilant, traders can potentially take advantage of the oversold conditions in TOKEN and position themselves for gains as the market corrects itself.
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[LONG] Reputable news sites say BTC is 7 days away from going up**Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Chart**
**Current Market Situation:**
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at a critical support level, with the daily chart indicating a high likelihood of a reversal in the near term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 30, signaling that the cryptocurrency is approaching oversold territory.
**Oversold Conditions:**
The RSI, a popular technical indicator, measures the speed and change of price movements. A reading below 30 typically indicates that the asset is oversold, suggesting a potential rebound. With BTC's RSI hovering around this level, it's likely that the selling pressure will soon subside, paving the way for a potential rally.
**Support Level:**
The last lowest support level was $59,000. This level has been tested on multiple occasions, and a bounce from this $63,100 could propel the cryptocurrency higher.
**Bullish Sentiment:**
Reputable news websites are reporting that a BTC price surge is imminent, with some sources suggesting that the cryptocurrency is just 7 days away from a significant upward move. This bullish sentiment, combined with the oversold conditions on the daily chart, creates a compelling argument for buying BTC at current levels.
**Buying Opportunity:**
Given the confluence of oversold conditions, support at $63,100, and bullish sentiment, now is an attractive time to consider buying BTC. The cryptocurrency's price is likely to rebound from this level, and with the next potential low already established at $59,000, the risk-reward ratio is skewed in favor of buyers.
**Conclusion:**
In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests that BTC is on the cusp of a potential reversal, with oversold conditions and a robust support level at $59,000. The bullish sentiment and imminent price surge reported by reputable news sources further reinforce the case for buying BTC at current levels. With the stars aligning in favor of a potential rally, now may be an opportune time to enter the market.
BTC FRACTAL - 20% Correction PossibleLet's do a quick recap on Bitcoin.
I rediscovered a fractal from a post I made a few months ago, which compared BTC price action to NVDA price action after making an ATH.
Currently, there is another Bitcoin fractal based on the M-Pattern and we take a deep dive into how far this correction could go.
I'm labelling this post as "short" simply for the lack of better options. I do believe the price will correct lower, but I wouldn't take a leveraged trade so close to the a new ATH.
Link to the earlier comparison with Nvidia:
___________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC 9:00 UTC-4 18/6/2024 Short TradeHello everyone,
this is my Close timeframe Short.
Right now we sit at 65.250$ but I expect price to go Lower. My target is around 61.5k$ for now.
If we are able to break lower "right now" I would expect to arrive at that price relatively quickly (in the next 24 to 56 hours), but I still see that there is potential to re-visit 66.500$ before this move can start. So act accordingly.
*Note that 66.500$ would be in my book great Short entry.
Good trading day to everyone
Joe
edit: the reason behind this trade is that Today's numbers for Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales came Colder than expected. It should been a sign of a slowing economy and that should have put pressure on markets in general.
Also, do not forget to use Stop Loss in case the trade does not play out as expected!
BTC Prices Cannot HoldAlthough BTC is currently resting at the demand zone, there is no strength in the background to support a continuous rise. Over the past 2 days, prices inched up slightly but volume decreased significantly, which means there is no demand at the moment. New highs have failed and new lows are starting to form.
With this lacklustre reaction, now is a good time to short and see how it reacts around the 62,000 mark.
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders dip to $60,500OKX:BTCUSDT has created a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe. If it confirms below the neckline, we could see a pullback to $60,500 - the same distance from the peak of the Head to the neckline from the breakdown.
This is not actionable until it confirms, when a candle closes lower than the first candle closing below the breakdown.
Given the institutional interest and price manipulation, this could be turned around by market makers, so I won't be entering a short, or exiting my spot positions, until I see confirmation on the daily timeframe.
However, I could also see those who manipulate the markets wanting a lower entry for large amounts of institutional capital - so the price could likely be manipulated either way. What the chart tells us is this is a big bearish signal to be monitored.
There is also a Bearish Divergence on the RSI, which isn't actionable by itself, but does add a layer of confluence.
Bitcoin short below $73k resistanceThis pair failed to beat the previous resistance between $72k to $74k and now it will have to turn south to find some momentum.
If BITSTAMP:BTCUSD falls as predicted then the 1st line of defense will be at $63k then #60k and finally 58k
Always do your analysis before placing and trades and use a hardstop loss in all your trading activities
Why I think Bitcoin Trades to $64k NextWhile there have been lots of wins on the fundamentals and adoption of Bitcoin globally increasing. There is still more to be desired from a technical perspective in my opinion.
This chart might look busy, but the outlook from here is quite simple for me. Let me break it down.
Why I think its weak
Price has on the 21st of May (Orange circle) failed to remain above resistance from the previous highs.
We have also failed to make any new higher highs since this rejection.
The Big Picture is still Bullish
We are also current trading in a range within the overall March range structure, that has yet to take out the high or low.
As my current thesis is the Bitcoin will trade higher in the coming months, It's reasonable to think that we go lower before the next leg higher.
I think there also some pragmatic selling happening ahead of the FOMC and CPI data that will release in the coming weeks.
Lower then Send It Higher
So in summary, $64,000 -> towards the fair value gap (green box) as the next likely move. And then I would like to see accumulation in that zone for the next move into new all time highs.
Invalidation of this idea, would be to close back above $72,000.
BTC Fails to beat ATH- 73K ZoneFor the last couple of days to weeks bitcoin has failed to make a significant move above 73-74k zone. there has been a consolidation happening around 68k-70k zone and I think the pair has to retreat first to pick some momentum before it can burst the previous highs.
Area of focus remains to be 60k, lowest 58k. Lets me know what you think
BTC from hereSince my last update, Bitcoin has successfully defended the range lows, and importantly reclaimed the mid-range where we currently trade just under $70,000 at the time of writing. From here we would want to see if the bulls are still in control - below is my take on where we could venture next.
Bullish Scenario
Prices hold and push for the range high’s. We could then see new all-time highs. There may also be a further move back to the range midpoint before the market moves higher.
Bearish Scenario
Failure for bulls to hold prices at these levels, as we are now at levels not seen since mid-April. Price moving below the range midpoint towards $66,000.
Chart Idea - Swing Short on BTCI was bullish on BTC until last Friday before the WAR news broke. It was beautifully making a bullish penant which 70% breaks towards the upside. However, it didn't happen this time and it broke towards downside and confirmed.
Since we now got the confirmation of breaking downwards, I am seeing further downside now. Currently trying to bounce from 0.382 fib level ($60K). There is no volume though and structure is really bearish. I believe it should bounce from 0.618 ( GETTEX:52K ) level. IMO, we will be seeing the following levels in next few days/week:
Support Levels:
1- Daily EMA 100 - $58673
2- 0.5 fib level - $56188
3- 0.618 fib level - $52000
4- Daily EMA 200 - $50182 (Worst case scenario IMO)
We should bounce really hard if we hit 3rd or 4th level of supports.