Bitcoinprice
BTCUSDT: two scenarios!hello guys!
Key Observations:
Pattern Formation:
Left Shoulder: Formed earlier around the $97,000 region.
Head: A drop to approximately $96,598.96 (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level).
Right Shoulder: A potential retest of the $97,800 support area before continuation.
Price Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Bitcoin breaks the current resistance near $103,000 and continues to the target zone at $107,992.11.
Scenario 2: A retest of the $97,800 support region (right shoulder), followed by a bullish breakout to the $107,992.11 target.
Targets:
Major target: $107,992.11 (blue supply zone at the top).
Technical Confirmation:
Price is currently consolidating above the neckline and above key Fibonacci support (0.618 at $96,598.96).
Breaking the $103,000 resistance decisively could validate a strong bullish move.
Conclusion:
If BTC maintains support above $97,800 and breaks above $103,000, there is a higher probability of reaching the $107,992.11 target. Watch for bullish momentum confirmation and avoid downside risk if the right shoulder level fails.
Bitcoin Eyes $107K: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin is showing bullish momentum, breaking through the key intraday resistance around $102,000. However, given the weekend, I am keeping my expectations realistic.
1. Ideally, I’d like to see either (A) a quick dip below $101,662 followed by a prompt recovery, or (B) sustained price action above $101,662. Both scenarios would significantly increase the likelihood of a bullish move toward the critical resistance at $107,000 in the coming days (as per the green projections).
2. Conversely, a drop below $98,984 could lead to choppy price action, a considerable slowdown in momentum, and a high probability of retesting the $94,650 level.
Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record HighBitcoin's meteoric rise has captivated the world, with its price surging to record highs and traders setting their sights on even more ambitious targets. As the cryptocurrency market experiences a bullish "Santa Claus Rally," Bitcoin traders are now targeting a staggering $120,000 price level.
Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record High
Bitcoin's recent rally has been fueled by a confluence of factors, including increased institutional adoption, growing global interest, and favorable macroeconomic conditions. The cryptocurrency has consistently broken new price records, surpassing the $100,000 mark and even reaching heights above $106,000.
However, the market's optimism has been tempered by concerns about the potential impact of a "hawkish rate cut" by the Federal Reserve. While a rate cut is generally considered bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin, a hawkish tone from the Fed could dampen sentiment and lead to a price correction.
The Fed's Impact on Bitcoin
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions have a significant influence on the cryptocurrency market. A rate cut can stimulate economic growth and increase liquidity, which can benefit Bitcoin and other digital assets. However, if the Fed signals a less accommodative stance or hints at future rate hikes, it could lead to a sell-off in the market.
Bitcoin's price has historically been correlated with traditional financial markets, and the Fed's actions can have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency's value. Therefore, traders are closely monitoring the Fed's announcements and any potential shifts in its monetary policy.
Bitcoin's Potential as a Reserve Asset
Another factor that could increase Bitcoin's price is its increasing adoption as a reserve asset by institutions and governments. Several countries have expressed interest in incorporating Bitcoin into their national reserves, recognizing its potential as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.
If major economies start accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset, it could significantly increase demand for the cryptocurrency and drive its price to new highs. This development could further solidify Bitcoin's position as a digital gold and a valuable asset for investors.
The Road to $120,000
While the $120,000 price target may seem ambitious, it is not entirely out of reach. If the bullish momentum continues, supported by strong institutional adoption, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and potential positive developments in the regulatory landscape, Bitcoin could very well surpass this milestone.
However, it is important to approach the cryptocurrency market with caution and to be aware of the inherent risks involved. Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and its price can fluctuate significantly in a short period. Traders should conduct thorough research, diversify their portfolios, and consider consulting with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent rally has been impressive, and the cryptocurrency's potential for further growth remains significant. While the Fed's monetary policy decisions and broader macroeconomic conditions will continue to influence the market, the increasing adoption of Bitcoin as a reserve asset and the growing interest from institutional investors could drive its price to new heights. As Bitcoin traders set their sights on the $120,000 target, it is crucial to maintain a balanced perspective and to be prepared for both upside and downside risks.
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High of $107k — Is $150K Next? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has once again shattered expectations, climbing to a record-breaking $107,000. This milestone follows a 3.68% surge over the weekend, with bullish sentiment fueled by a surprising announcement from President-elect Donald Trump.
Bitcoin Price Today
Bitcoin’s recent rally can be attributed to President-elect Donald Trump’s pledge to establish the U.S. as the global center for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency innovation. During a CNBC interview on Sunday, Trump unveiled plans for a U.S. Bitcoin reserve, emphasizing the need for the country to lead in digital assets. This announcement sparked a surge in buying activity, propelling Bitcoin to its new all-time high of $106,727.
The market’s reaction underscores the growing influence of policy decisions on crypto prices. Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance has injected optimism into the market, with investors viewing it as a step toward broader institutional adoption and regulatory clarity.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,893, slightly off its daily high of $107,080. The recent breakout above the psychological $100,000 level signals strong bullish momentum. Key technical indicators suggest further upside potential:
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI stands at 71, indicating overbought conditions, historical patterns show that Bitcoin can remain overbought during strong uptrends.
2. Support Levels: In the event of a local correction, support ranges are identified at $97,500–$99,500 and $94,100. These levels could provide buying opportunities for traders looking to enter the market.
3. Resistance Levels: Bitcoin faces minimal resistance in uncharted territory. The next significant psychological level is $110,000, followed by the ambitious $150,000 target predicted by analysts.
Market Dynamics
Bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume stands at $110.4 billion, with Binance leading the charge. The exchange’s perpetual and spot trading volumes contribute significantly to Bitcoin’s liquidity. This robust trading activity underscores the market’s resilience and readiness to absorb high volumes.
Outlook: Can Bitcoin Reach $150,000?
The path to $150,000 hinges on several factors:
1. Macroeconomic Environment: Continued pro-crypto policies from global leaders could drive institutional inflows and bolster market confidence.
2. Technical Breakouts: A sustained move above $110,000 would validate the bullish continuation pattern and set the stage for a run toward $150,000.
3. Market Sentiment: Despite overbought conditions, Bitcoin’s historical performance during Q4 and Q1 suggests strong potential for further gains.
However, traders should remain cautious. The RSI’s overbought reading and the potential for profit-taking at key levels could trigger short-term corrections. Risk management is crucial, as the market navigates these uncharted waters.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s new all-time high of $107,000 marks a significant milestone, driven by both fundamental and technical factors. President-elect Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance has ignited fresh optimism, while technical indicators and on-chain metrics point to continued bullish momentum.
With $150,000 as the next ambitious target, the crypto market is buzzing with excitement. Will Bitcoin continue its ascent, or will a correction provide a breather before the next leg up? Only time will tell, but for now, the flagship cryptocurrency is firmly in the spotlight.
Easy trade BTCBTC trade with 50x looks juicy
there's many things I cant show
look below
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there's nothing here
Bitcoin, we have to talk !FIRST AND FOR MOST, CONGRATS EVERYONE ON 100K !
Now, I don’t even know what to say, honestly. Right now, we’re in a bit of a situationship with Bitcoin.
You see those two trendlines (red and green)? Yeah, they’re a problem.
Both are drawn from the 2017 market cycle peak and the two 2021 market cycle peaks. (We can argue all day about which one was the real top, but honestly, that’s irrelevant in this situation.)
The real question is: what makes a trendline valid?
A valid trendline needs to touch three points, right? And here’s the catch—we can argue that these trendlines are missing that third peak to be considered valid.
Exactly. My point is that we might actually be making that third peak right now. If that happens, the trendline gets validated, and we’d have—ugh, I hate to say it—a market cycle top. In the best-case scenario, it’s just a local top.
The volume has been decreasing on the daily chart since we first breached 100k. This suggests there isn’t much conviction behind the slow grind higher we’ve been seeing. but hey its a grind i'll take it.
But nothing is guaranteed. Let’s just watch and tread carefully.
P.S. ETH hasn’t hit a new ATH yet, so I’m not saying it’s game over for the market. But for Bitcoin? Yeah, it might be. how and ETH is not even challenging the ATH , I don’t know.
Can Bitcoin slice through them like they don’t even exist? Yes, it absolutely can.
"That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
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Bitcoin preparing for the next move!Bitcoin is currently consolidating in an ascending parallel channel after a very sharp rally.
The most likely scenario is that it will remain in this channel for a while longer, until it ends up breaking up with the approach of Trump's presidency.
If it breaks the channel downwards, there are chances of a slightly deeper correction, and we could visit US$90K.
Navigating Bitcoin BTC Bull Market: $120k+ After CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Tonight Bitcoin has printed another one leg up and touched our previous final target at $107k without correction. What does it mean? It means that targets for this bull run are going to be much higher. Anyway, the warning sign of correction is about to be flashed. Let's try to understand what is happening!
On the daily time frame we market the Elliott waves. Taking into account the maximum value of Awesome Oscillator (AO) current growth is still wave 3 because price reached new high but divergence on AO has happened without zero line cross. It means that currently BINANCE:BTCUSDT is printing wave 5 inside major 3. The big warning is the potential red dot printed by the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator , to see the confirmation we need to wait daily close, so everything can be changed. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
After printing red dot previously we have seen the drops in most of cases, so now it can be wave 4. Wave 4 has the target at 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci level. We suppose that price reach $86k and find support there for the new impulse to the upside. If we assume that wave 3 is finished here and wave 4 will be finished at the pointed out target, the wave 5 has the target zone between $120k and $140k. Anyway, it can be easily recalculated, we will update you with all changes.
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Skyrexio Team
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Next BTCUSD buy ZoneI am going to assume that the US dollar is increasing in value until we get to the debt ceiling decision. I am expecting a move up to and perhaps beyond the $103-$104 area.
If this happens I have to assume that the BTCUSD will come tumbling down into my next buy zone. If we don't take out the next weekly level, this will be a great buying opportunity. But some sort of confirmation will be needed.
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis:
Current Price: $102,859.06
Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance)
Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound)
🚨 Signal:
Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉.
Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area).
💡 Strategy:
Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC.
Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces.
📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻).
🔐 Risk Management:
Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level).
Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
Altcoin Market Cap - Target - 2.5 TrillionHow do determine if its the right time to out on Alt Coin trades? Easy. Look at total Crypto Market Cap, less ETH & BTC. Long term uptrend. Market Cap Just held support on long term up trend and If we are to truly enter the Banana Zone, I’m looking to $2.5 Trillion as the top end target. Once we are at higher timeframe oversold conditions (Weekly, Monthly) average out and take profits.
This could be where the $$$ is made…
Bitcoin: $73K Breakdown or $130K Breakout ? Your Thoughts !Post your thoughts and analysis in the comments and share your charts! I’ll respond and discuss your predictions. Let’s decode Bitcoin’s next big move together!
Bitcoin is at a critical Gann crossroad where time and price meet—a setup that traders cannot ignore. 📉📈 Is BTC ready to blast off to $130K, or will it lose momentum and plunge to 73K?
Understanding Market Cycles Through Gann's Principles-
W.D. Gann, one of the most legendary traders, discovered that markets move in predictable cycles based on time, price, and natural law. Gann's philosophy states that markets are not chaotic; they follow repetitive patterns influenced by planetary cycles, angles, and geometry. These cycles allow traders to identify turning points in price with incredible accuracy.
1. Time Cycles:
Gann emphasized that time is the most critical factor in forecasting market movements. He believed that history repeats itself, as cycles tend to recur after specific intervals. For example, key highs and lows often form at regular intervals (like 30 days, 90 days, or annual cycles). Gann connected these patterns with planetary cycles, such as the Saturn return (29.5 years), which often marks major shifts in financial markets.
2. Price and Geometry:
Gann introduced the concept of geometric angles, where price moves in harmony with time. The Gann Fan, for instance, uses angles like 1x1, 2x1, and 4x1 to predict the support and resistance levels based on a balanced relationship between price and time.
When a market breaks through a Gann angle, it signals a major trend change or continuation. This principle highlights how BTC could now be at a decisive point between 73K (downside Gann target) and $130K (upside Gann target).
3. Cycle Extremes and Reversals:
Markets tend to hit extremes before reversing. Gann believed that natural time cycles, such as the seasonal year or 90-degree quarters, correspond to price extremes. For example, Bitcoin may currently be completing such a time cycle, aligning with a potential breakout or breakdown. Recognizing where we stand in this cycle allows us to anticipate the next big move.
4.The Law of Vibration:
Gann’s Law of Vibration explains that every financial asset vibrates at a specific frequency. By identifying these vibrations through time and price charts, traders can forecast future price movements. BTC's current consolidation may be a result of price vibrating at a critical frequency before a decisive upward or downward move.
Understanding market cycles through Gann’s time-tested principles is like decoding the market's hidden language. BTC’s current setup aligns perfectly with Gann's theories, signalling a potential major move. Is it a $130K breakout or a 73K crash?
👉 Share your thoughts and analysis. How do you see this market cycle unfolding? Let’s discuss! Bitcoin: 73K Collapse or $130K Explosion? What's Next? Share Your Analysis!
Bitcoin Halving & Its impact on price growth update from 13 Dec.Addition to previous analysis from 13 Dec 2024
Executive view
I won't delve deeply into the definitions of price movements for KRAKEN:BTCUSD ,
as an in-depth analysis was already provided in my previous article dated 13 December 2024. You can find the full breakdown here:
In this updated version, I aim to provide a broader perspective on Bitcoin's future price movements and its potential trajectory. If the outlined theory holds true, we are still in the mid-term phase, and the cycle’s top has not yet been reached.
I maintain my view that the top for KRAKEN:BTCUSDT could approach $200,000.
Disclaimer:
Conduct your own research and ensure proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin Halving and Its impact on price growthExecutive Summary
BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin’s halving events have historically marked significant milestones in its price trajectory, often serving as catalysts for substantial growth. Each halving reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half, effectively decreasing Bitcoin’s issuance rate and increasing its scarcity. This predictable supply shock, combined with growing global adoption, has led to a recurring cycle of price surges post-halving.
In this analysis, I'm trying to explore Bitcoin’s price performance after each halving event, focusing on the time it takes to surpass previous all-time highs (ATHs) and reach new price peaks. Using historical data and trendline analysis, we provide insights into Bitcoin’s current trajectory following the April 19, 2024, halving, and evaluate the potential for its price to reach unprecedented levels in this cycle.
Key observations
November 28, 2012 Halving
After Bitcoin's first halving, it took approximately 368 days to surpass its previous ATH of ~$31 (set in June 2011).
New ATH (November 2013): ~$1,242.
July 9, 2016 Halving
Post-halving, Bitcoin took 266 days to exceed its prior ATH of ~$1,242 (set in November 2013).
New ATH (December 2017): $19,764.
May 11, 2020 Halving
Following the 2020 halving, Bitcoin surpassed its previous ATH of $19,764 (from December 2017) in just 161 days.
New ATH (November 2021): $69,000.
April 19, 2024 Halving (Projected)
As of December 2024, 238 days post-halving, Bitcoin has already surpassed its prior ATH of $69,000 (from November 2021) and is currently trading at $101,393.
Trendline Analysis
Drawing a trendline connecting the 2017 ATH ($19,764) and 2021 ATH ($69,000) reveals a potential upper boundary for BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin’s post-halving growth. This trendline indicates that Bitcoin may test the upper range, with a target price around $200,000 USD in the current cycle.
Risks to Consider
Macro-Economic Factors: Geopolitical events, interest rate changes, or regulatory actions could disrupt market trends.
Market Liquidity: Declining liquidity could delay BINANCE:BTCUSD price breakout despite favorable conditions.
Unexpected Events: Network-specific issues or technological vulnerabilities may impact price movements.
Recommendations
For Traders: Monitor key resistance levels and trading volumes for breakout confirmation.
For Long-Term Investors: Consider accumulating during consolidation phases for optimal entry points.
For Analysts: Keep an eye on macroeconomic indicators and Ethereum’s network activity to validate price movement projections.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s consistent post-halving price surges underscore the significant role halvings play in shaping its growth trajectory. Historical data and trendline projections suggest that Bitcoin has the potential to reach unprecedented highs in this cycle, with a plausible target near $200,000 USD. While macroeconomic factors and market dynamics may influence short-term movements, the long-term growth pattern remains compelling for investors and analysts alike.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risks, and readers are advised to conduct their own research.
BITCOIN ABOUT TO DUMP?BTC has been consolidating around the $90 - $100k price now for 20 days or so, the weekly time frames are clearly showing price slumping as liquidity and volume slows down due to traders liquidating positions and capitalising at the $100k mark.
I do believe people are still buying BTC and there will be LOTS of fomo buyers at this price, but usually this is where the markets catch those who are to late to the party and they are the ones who are stung when price dumps.
There is some TA to back a potential dump, we have the slumping of price clearly shown by the candle formations, rejections of major key levels ($100K) as well as some patterns like a rising wedge / rising consolidation however i'm not much of a pattern trader but it is worth taking into consideration as i know a lot of retail traders do trade patterns so this could influence areas of liquidity and help predict future market movements.
It's likely we see a spike through $100k before price dumps to grab liquidity above the $100k mark. I'm fully expecting a volatile and highly manipulated market as it plays out over the next few days.
If price does dump i would think it will dump to the $72,000 level (-%30) as this is the next major level so again there will be a lot of liquidity in the form of buy orders from traders expecting to 'buy the dip'. It also makes sense for the market to pull back / dump this much as we hade a massive bull market / pump for 3 weeks and there is always relief after a big increase in price simply due to profits being taken so supply will increase.
Be wary, if BTC does dump so will 90& of alts.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT Continuation Setup
Trade Idea:
- Target downside liquidity to approximately $98,500 with a short, followed by a high-confluence long entry in the 4H/Daily FVG.
Short Setup:
- Target: $98,500 to capture downside liquidity.
- Stop-loss: Tight stop above $101,500 to manage risk.
- Confluence:
- 4H OB rejection.
- Rising wedge breakdown aligning with bearish structure.
Long Setup:
- Entry Zone: Around $98,500 , in the 4H/Daily FVG for a discounted entry.
- Target:
- TP1 at $101,500 .
- TP2 at $104,000 , targeting liquidity above the weak high.
- Confluence:
- 4H and daily Kijun support.
- Strong reaction potential after liquidity grab at $98,500 .
Quick Take:
This strategy aims to capture both short-term downside liquidity and the subsequent bullish continuation. Ensure confirmation on both sides for precise execution!
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin's repeated pullback in this week's trading session by upholding firmly at the Mean Sup 96000 price level within the completion of the Inner Coin Rally 103600 is now noted. Recent analyses indicate that the cryptocurrency will likely retest the completed Inner Coin Rally 103600 by navigating the weak Mean Resistance 102300. This movement is anticipated to revitalize its upward trajectory toward the projected Outer #1 Coin Rally 110000 and beyond. Furthermore, a potential decline to the Mean Support 97000 would prepare the market for the subsequent phase of a bullish trend.
BTCUSDT Trade Log BTCUSDT 1H Short Setup
Trade Idea:
- Short from the micro FVG in a premium zone after rejecting an Order Block (OB).
Confluence:
- Rising Wedge: Bearish wedge structure showing signs of exhaustion.
- Bearish Divergences: RSI and CVD indicate weakening momentum.
- Macro Pressure: Bybit fined in the Netherlands for fraud; Flow Traders withdrew €157M in BTC—both signal potential bearish sentiment.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss above the OB/FVG zone.
- 1:2 RRR targeting liquidity levels below $98,000.
Quick Take:
Macro events and bearish divergences align for a strong short opportunity. Stay cautious of volatility and confirm rejection before full entry!
BTC Update 2024-12-14This idea is stated optimistically and the goals are displayed on the chart.
Note : This is a personal Idea and is not enough for trading.
BTC up to $250K - Remarkably Accurate Projection 2022/25Initial projection from December 12, 2022, ➡️ ⬅️
When the price was at $17K, aimed to predict the bottom of the cycle, but primarily to predict Bitcoin's next all-time high and its timing.
This projection has been spot on!!!
The two-year forecast has proven to be exceptionally and remarkably accurate, demonstrating high credibility.
The analysis employed a multifaceted approach, including these key factors:
- Projected symmetrical parallel channel for price forecasting
- Volume Price Range (VPR) for identifying Points of Interest (POIs)
- Price range (PR) tool, to project the peak from the hypothetical bottom
- Measurement of days between halving events and peaks
- Measurement of days between peaks
- The symmetrical parallel channel , ( Green and Red lines ) derived from previous highs and lows, linking them enabled the projection of a clear symmetrical parallel channel into the future, this channel has proven to be highly predictive of price movements, whenever the price reached the channel's boundaries, it consistently signaled reversals or marked the cyclical highs and lows.
As shown by the three green arrows, the price consistently reversed direction upon reaching the lower boundary of the channel.
The orange arrow points to the most recent bottom, the initial analysis predicted that the bottom would be reached only in January 2023, with a price somewhere between $10K and $12K, which did not materialize, in fact, the bottom was reached in December 2022 a month early, with the price hitting a low of $15K, a slight deviation from the projection."
- Volume Price Range (VPR) ( Combined yellow and blue bar projection ) was employed to identify Points of Interest (POIs) by connecting reversal bottoms to peaks, then red rectangles were projected on the chart to align with these bottoms, indicating potential reversal zones for BTC.
Both projections (Red Rectangles ) accurately predicted a reversal in this zone, whatever in the recent bearish cycle, the exact reversal point was slightly higher than anticipated
VPR indicators remain a valuable tool for forecasting future price movements and identifying key areas of interest, and have proven to be reliable tools for identifying potential reversal zones.
- Price range (PR) tool ( Parallel channel with a white upward projection arrow ), was applied to projected from the December 2022 bottom until it intersected with the upper band ( Red line ) of the symmetrical channel, a level that historically coincided with cycle peaks.
- Measurement of days between halving events and peaks:
2nd Halving on July 2016 to Peak December 2017 +/- 500 days
3rd Halving on May 2020 to Peak November 2021 +/- 500 days
4th Halving on April 2024 to Peak October 2025 +/- 500 days ➡️ Projection ⬅️
The measurement of days between halving events and peaks for the 2nd and 3rd cycles was approximately 500 days, based on the results of the two previous cycles, we observe a potential temporal pattern and correlation between halving events and price peaks.
This correlation is reinforced by our projection, we forecast the peak of the 4th cycle to be around October 2025, occurring roughly 500 days after the halving (16-17 Months ).
Measurement of days between peaks we started by measuring from the December 2017 peak to the November 2021 peak and found that it took 47 months (approximately 1430 days) to reach a new peak, with a price increase of 250%
We then measured the duration from the latest BTC peak in November 2021 to October 2025 which was the month that coincided with our projection of a new peak.
Remarkably, we discovered that this period was identical to the previous cycle at exactly 47 months.
Intrigued and Astonished, we decided to copy and paste the measurements ( Blue Rectangle ) from the previous cycle and were stunned, the range was exactly the same 47 months and approximately 130 days.
And when we thought nothing could surprise us more, to our further amazement, the price increase was a striking 250% the same as before. This uncanny correlation is truly astonishing. What a heel, what is this?
CONCLUSION
The remarkable accuracy of the December 12, 2022 projection underscores the robustness and reliability of the multifaceted analytical approach employed. Multiple coinciding patterns and consistent correlations have converged to validate the forecast, enhancing its credibility significantly.
Symmetrical Parallel Channel: The use of green and red lines to establish a symmetrical parallel channel accurately anticipated price reversals at the channel boundaries. The consistent directional changes upon reaching these boundaries highlight the channel’s effectiveness in signaling cyclical highs and lows.
Volume Price Range (VPR): [ By identifying Points of Interest (POIs) through the combination of yellow and blue bars, the VPR method successfully pinpointed reversal zones. The alignment of red rectangles with these zones accurately forecasted price reversals, reinforcing the tool’s reliability in predicting key market movements.
Price Range (PR) Tool: The projection of the peak from the hypothetical bottom using the PR tool intersected precisely with the upper band of the symmetrical channel. This intersection historically aligns with cycle peaks, further validating the projection model.
Halving Events and Peak Correlation: The consistent interval of approximately 500 days between halving events and subsequent peaks across multiple cycles reveals a strong temporal pattern. Projecting this correlation forward suggests a peak around October 2025, maintaining the established 16-17 month post-halving window.
Measurement of Days Between Peaks: The identical duration of 47 months (approximately 1430 days) between consecutive peaks, along with a consistent 250% price increase, showcases a compelling cyclical pattern. The replication of these measurements in the current cycle with precise alignment adds to the projection’s accuracy.
The convergence of these diverse analytical methods each independently demonstrating high predictive accuracy creates a compelling case for the projection’s validity. The alignment of historical patterns, consistent temporal correlations, and the successful anticipation of recent market movements collectively inspire strong confidence in the forecast.
Projection: Given the synchronized alignment of these multiple indicators and patterns, it is highly plausible that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach approximately $250K by October 2025. This projection not only aligns with historical trends but also exemplifies the power of comprehensive, multifaceted analysis in accurately forecasting cryptocurrency market movements.
Breaking: Riot Platforms' $500M BTC Buy Sparks Rally to $101KIn a landmark move, Bitcoin mining giant Riot Platforms has catalyzed a fresh surge in Bitcoin’s price by purchasing over $500 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC within two days. This acquisition underscores the growing trend of institutional Bitcoin adoption, as more firms strategically bolster their reserves to capitalize on the cryptocurrency’s potential.
Riot’s Bold Bet on Bitcoin
Between December 10 and 12, Riot Platforms acquired 5,117 BTC at an average price of $99,669 per coin. This significant purchase was funded through the proceeds of a $525 million convertible bond offering. With this addition, Riot’s total Bitcoin holdings have soared to 16,728 BTC, valued at approximately $1.68 billion at current market prices.
This purchase aligns with Riot’s broader strategy to lead the institutional charge into Bitcoin accumulation, a move reminiscent of MicroStrategy’s long-term commitment to $BTC. Riot’s CEO, Jason Les, emphasized that this initiative bolsters their position as a key player in the Bitcoin ecosystem while highlighting its strategic importance in managing long-term value.
Wall Street’s Quiet Bitcoin Race
Riot Platforms isn’t alone in this institutional push. MARA Holdings recently invested $1.1 billion to acquire 11,774 BTC, while Australia’s AMP Pension Fund allocated $27 million to Bitcoin as part of its diversified portfolio strategy. These moves signal a subtle competition among institutions to secure Bitcoin, further solidifying its position as a hedge and a valuable reserve asset.
Even at the state level, Bitcoin is gaining traction. In Texas, a proposed bill to establish a Bitcoin reserve could pave the way for government-backed cryptocurrency holdings, potentially reshaping fiscal strategies in the U.S.
Technical Analysis
At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $101,000, up 1.49% over the past 24 hours. The technical indicators suggest room for further growth:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 58, the RSI indicates a balanced market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC neither overbought nor oversold, signaling potential for further upward movement.
- Moving Averages: Bitcoin is trading above key moving averages, reinforcing its bullish momentum.
- Support Levels: In the event of a correction, the 65% Fibonacci retracement level provides a critical support zone, offering stability for further consolidation.
Fundamental Impact
This aggressive Bitcoin acquisition by Riot and other firms reflects a paradigm shift in institutional attitudes toward Bitcoin. Riot’s purchase highlights confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value and its ability to serve as a hedge against economic uncertainties.
As more firms follow suit, Bitcoin’s status as a mainstream financial asset continues to strengthen. With the $101,000 milestone reclaimed, the question remains: can Bitcoin maintain its momentum and push toward new highs?
Conclusion
Riot Platforms’ latest acquisition not only reinforces Bitcoin’s narrative as “digital gold” but also showcases the rising institutional interest that underpins its price trajectory. With technical indicators favoring further gains and institutional players driving demand, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is poised for an exciting phase in its journey to redefine the financial landscape.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions.
