Will #Bitcoin repeat its past moves?#Bitcoin 1W chart;
Let's try to look at the Bitcoin picture from a more distant and different angle;
First of all, the positive divergence of the MVRV indicator with the breakout of the rising top in October 2020 signaled the beginning of a movement in the market.
MVRV is an indicator used to determine the overbought or oversold conditions of the market.
In May 2021, we see that the first top began to decline (2nd vertical yellow line), again with negative divergence.
Subsequently, the 1/RSI divergence at the second top signaled that the downward start of the cycle was now possible. We can say that the manipulation area here was the foam of the 2021 cycle. We can say that those who read this place well left the market with good gains in time.
With the start of the bear cycle, the next first positive signal came in April 2023. With the 2/RSI giving a positive divergence, it showed us that the direction of the market was about to change.
With the test of the Ath level in March 2024, the 4/RSI divergence formed with the 2021 top showed us that the rise was over for now. Subsequently, the 3/RSI divergence formed at this level showed us the direction of the market a little. I tried to warn you as much as I could in this regard.
The area indicated by the orange arrow below shows us that an extreme buying period has not yet started in the market and therefore we have not yet entered the cycle we call mega bull.
Let's talk about the target... According to my estimates, I foresee that this cycle may be between 102k and 120k.
I hope this was useful information for you. If you like it, I would be very happy if you can share it to support.
Bitcoinprice
#Bitcoin geçmişte yaptığı hamlelerini tekrar eder mi?#Bitcoin 1W grafik;
Bitcoin resmine daha uzaktan ve daha farklı bir açıdan bakmayı deneyelim;
Öncelikle Ekim 2020’deki yükselen tepenin kırılımı ile birlikte MVRV indikatörünün pozitif yönlü ayrışması bize markette bir hareketliliğin başlangıcı olduğu sinyallerini vermişti.
MVRV, piyasanın aşırı alım veya aşırı satım durumlarını belirlemek için kullanılılan bir indikatördür.
Mayıs 2021’de yine negatif yönlü ayrışmayla birlikte ilk tepenin düşüşünün başladığını görüyoruz (2. dikey sarı çizgi).
Akabinde gördüğümüz ikinci tepede ise oluşan 1/RSI uyuşmazlığı artık döngünün aşağı yönlü başlangıcının olabileceğinin sinyallerini vermişti. Buradaki manipülasyon alanı da 2021 döngüsünün köpüğüydü diyebiliriz. Burayı iyi okuyanlar piyasadan vaktinde iyi kazançlarla ayrıldı diyebiliriz.
Ayı döngüsünün başlamasıyla birlikte bir sonraki ilk pozitif sinyal Nisan 2023’de geldi. 2/RSI’ın pozitif uyumsuzluk vermesiyle birlikte piyasanın yönünün değişmek üzere olduğunu bize göstermişti.
Mart 2024’de Ath seviyesinin test edilmesiyle birlikte 2021 tepesiyle birlikte oluşturduğu 4/RSI uyumsuzluğu bize yükselişin şimdilik buraya kadar olduğunu göstermişti. Akabinde de bu seviyede oluşan 3/RSI uyumsuzluğu bize marketin yönünü az da olsa göstermişti. Bu konuda elimden geldiğince sizleri çokça uyarmaya çalıştım.
Aşağıda turuncu ok ile belirtili bölge bize aslında markette aşırı bir alım döneminin henüz başlamadığını ve bu nedenle de mega boğa dediğimiz döngüye henüz girmediğimizi gösteriyor.
Gelelim hedefe.. Bu döngünün tahminlerime göre 102k ile 120k arasında bir seviyede olabileceğini ön görüyorum.
Umarım sizler için faydalı bir bilgi olmuştur. Beğendiyseniz, destek olmak adına paylaşabilirseniz çok sevinirim.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has consistently demonstrated an upward trend in the current week's trading, aligning with the projections outlined in the Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of July 12. Both the Mean Resistance level at 60400 and the subsequent Mean Resistance level at 62800 were not only reached but surpassed greatly. The overall trajectory is progressing towards the long-anticipated target of the Outer Coin Rally at 92000. Concurrently, two significant interim milestones have emerged: the Inner Coin Rally at 70400 and a retest of the completed Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300. It is imperative to underscore the substantial downward primary squeeze pressure toward 64000, prevalent across all specified upper target levels.
Bitcoin following Amazon 2010 chart in the exact same pattern!!This is crazy find guys!!! I found this a while ago and bitcoin is absolutely copying the exact pattern of Amazon chart back in 2010!! and I've been watching it all along, and it just keep going the way Amazon did!!! According to this pattern, we can see that bitcoin's previous ATH will break soon. and continue the move by copying the pattern again.
Is the bull market over? Ultimate Bitcoin (BTC) analysisHello, Skyrexians!
Last month was bloody for the crypto market. BINANCE:BTCUSDT dumped from $70k to $63k, altcoins have completely dead and broke the belief for the altseason. We suppose that now nobody wants to hear anything about altseason and crypto. Most of traders has -50-60% portfolio loss and even cryptocurrency trading platforms which are using the automated trading bot faced with the huge losses. Will this dump continue or now is the reversal point and the forbidden word "altseason" can be said again in the nearest future? Let's try to understand!
Bitcoin weekly time frame analysis
First of all let's take a look at the 1W BTC time frame using our cryptocurrency trading strategy. This timeframe is good to describe current bull run with the Elliott waves. The first we shall do is to find the highest high on the Awesome oscillator. This top corresponds to the recent top at $73k. Therefore, there is a high probability that now price is printing the wave 4.
We have the minimal requirement to finish this wave is the cross of the zero line by Awesome oscillator. We need to see much more candles for this crossover. It means that wave 4 will be finished at least in September. The good news that target price has been already reached or almost reached, that's why we don't expect the significant drop from here. 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci retracement from wave 3 is enough to finish this correction. It means that max drop is possible to $49k. When the reversal bar will be printed there correction is gonna be over.
After that the major wave 5 is expected which can reach 85-107k depends on if it's gonna be extended or not. We will have more precise target when this wave be in progress. Then the bull run is gonna be finished and the next bear market can potentially be huge, but now it's too early to talk about it.
BTC – Weekly Inside Bar and Wychoff AccummulationWhile the world plunges into a complex array of issues that threaten social destabilization across multiple fronts, Bitcoin has shown an unexpected level of resiliency. Through the past two weeks is has climbed from $53.4k to $67.4k and in so doing has confirmed a large Inside Bar in the weekly timeframe (orange circle). This is a bullish formation, typically demonstrating a trend reversal and in this case, comes after 16 weeks of a 3-3-5 Flat Correction.
What’s more, when we look at the daily chart, one can see a pretty clear impulsive 5-wave pattern to the upside from the low, demonstrating a notable change in sentiment. However, through the corrective period a well defined Head and Shoulders pattern has completed, with confirmed resistance of the neckline through July 6-12. That projects a deeper correction down below the $45.4k level, or towards the 1.618 projection of the A-wave from B (the top of the H&S pattern), which target also happens to be coincident with the S3 support level of the weekly pivot.
The inside bar is strong though, and price moved quickly back to test the 0.236 level of the declining channel. In doing so, BTC has reclaimed many critical levels including the 1W 12MA, the 1W 20MA, and the weekly Pivot point all now offering support. And as I’ve pointed out in my last post, historically, between a Halving and the next market top, the BTC price has never closed below the lower level of the weekly Bollinger Band, which now currently sits at $58.4k and has only dipped below 52.85 on the RSI once before (from which it launched strongly to a new market top).
In fact, even when one looks at the Wychoff model for Accummulation/Distribution, we can make a strong case that we are only just completing the Accumulation stage in preparation for significant price appreciation, with Distribution phases still well into the future.
So, what do you think? Was the break of the neckline a false signal and we are about to take a moon shot, or is this rally just a bull-trap and a deeper correction will follow?
Bitcoin - Half way to the $200.000 target!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is consecutively retesting the previous all time high and breaking out soon.
You all know my life motto: Keep your long term vision. This is especially true when it comes to trading the major swings on Bitcoin. These very volatile short term moves will always give you a false perception of the underlying trend. And the underlying trend on Bitcoin is bullish, despite the recent back and forth at the previous all time high. I do expect a major bullish breakout soon.
Levels to watch: $67.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
BTC IS RISING STAR 67000-69000$ + %70BEAR= 58317-46930= + 11387
BULL= 58317+11387= 69704 ( MAİN TARGET )
TAKE PROFİT
(SELLER) HİGH= 59400- 59800- 60600- 61500 -62300- 63000$ - 67000$ - 69700 - 70300 - 71400- 73600
( BUYER ) LOW= 43000-47200-48500-49800-51300-52900-55000
Btc dominance now 44.
We estimate Btc Dominance 55.
It is not investment advice. Calculate your risk. Big money big risk, Little money Low risk.
Bitcoin Surges after Donald Trump Assassination AttemptMarket Update - July 19, 2024
Bitcoin Rallied Amid Renewed Volatility Linked to Trump's Election Prospects
Mt. Gox Moves SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B in Bitcoin Ahead of Creditor Repayments
Investors Hedge Positions as US Spot ETH ETFs Near Launch
Coinbase Shifts Strategy for Gary Gensler Subpoena
Hong Kong to Release Stablecoin Consultation Results
Bitcoin Rallied Amid Renewed Volatility Linked to Trump's Election Prospects
Following an attempt on the life of Donald Trump on Saturday, crypto assets linked to the US Republican candidate’s chances of winning the November 4 election experienced increased volatility. Bitcoin surged by around 7% as the candidate's probability of winning rose to 70% on popular prediction market Polymarket.
After the event, Bitcoin broke above the crucial 200-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a positive long-term trend. Additionally, Trump-themed Polifi tokens also surged on news of the attack. Recently, Trump has embraced crypto and been pictured with various high-profile figures, seeking a comparatively friendlier regulatory environment than the one President Biden has overseen. Consequently, some have viewed Bitcoin and the broader crypto market as bets on Trump's victory.
Trump’s selection of JD Vance as his vice presidential candidate was also seen as a positive choice for crypto. A former venture capitalist, the Ohio Republican has been supportive of the crypto industry and criticized the SEC for what he perceives to be regulatory overreach. Last year, Vance, along with other Republican lawmakers, sent a letter to SEC Chair Gary Gensler expressing concerns about its lawsuit against crypto company DEBT Box. Vance is also believed to personally hold more than $100k worth of bitcoin.
⛏️ Topic of the Week: How to Mine Crypto
➡️ Read more here
BTCUSD Daily chart Potential breakout ( Potential Inverse H&S )This is a Daily chart on the BTCUSD
Recently the price has been pulling back producing a correction of about 25% ( something normal for this kind of bull runs )
Recently the price encountered a double support from a general up trend support line ( lower red line ) and a support range. From there the price bounced up and managed to cross above a smaller up trend support line ( green line )
Currently the price is retesting this line
If the price bounces up from here this can continue the recovery in the price but it will also form a potential inverse H&S in the process
This Inverse H&S gives a projection for a potential increase to around 75000 - 80000 in the following weeks
DXY Heading Lower Toward Bitcoin Rally Zone The DXY is in a downtrending channel and despite today's small bounce based on MFG data, it's still looking like it will lose this key level in the coming days.
This brief cool-off period before the 23rd when the ETH ETF is schedule to start trading would make sense and with BTC retracing from the strong sell order blocks at $66k which I've been talking about for over a week.
The big question will be -- If BTC can break above the 5th attempt at the upper trendline resistance and close back above $72k and then a new new ATH over $74k.
THEN I'll be convinced we do head hither.
Until then, I recommend cautious optimism, taking profits along the way and being ready to get out of this market. The cycle low should be later in August, but we'll see.
Bitcoin Daily Chart Bitcoin is currently experiencing a pullback after a bullish run lasting nine days. The next strong support zone is between $61,379 and $60,298. I anticipate Bitcoin will fall to this point of interest (POI), where we should see a reaction. There are multiple confluences suggesting a long setup, one of which is Bitcoin trading above the 200-day EMA, an important indicator of strength.
Bitcoin (BTC) analysisDespite recording a correction of approximately 1% within the past 24 hours with a trading volume of $31.059 Billion, the Bitcoin price has recorded a jump of 11.93% within the past seven days, highlighting a strong bullish rise in the crypto space.
Moreover, the market leader is on the path of testing the resistance neckline of its rounding bottom pattern in the 1D time frame, the outcome of which is unpredictable.
On the other hand, the BTC coin price is also hovering close to its important resistance trendline of the descending channel pattern, highlighting increased price action for the star crypto in the market.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a constant rise in the green histogram with its averages recording a positive action. This indicates increased buying pressure for the BTC token within the crypto space.
The RSI indicator has experienced a neutral action below its overbought range. However, the average trendline displays a bullish action, suggesting a positive outlook this week.
Taking the current market sentiments into consideration, if the bulls continue to gain momentum, Bitcoin price will break out of its crucial resistance level and test its $67,775 mark.
Maintaining the price at that level could result in the star crypto heading toward its high of $73,750.07 during the upcoming weeks.
However, if the bears overpowered the bulls, the BTC price will lose momentum and plunge toward its important support level of $60,000 in the coming time.
Bitcoin and altcoins overview(Jule 18-19)Yesterday, we started a local corrective movement in Bitcoin.
The entry into the support zone of $65,100-$64,600 did not result in a noticeable reaction, but as it went lower, the first signs of buyer defense appeared.
The situation is not so straightforward now; globally, of course, we expect the continuation of the long movement, but locally, if we cannot hold above in the near future, we can expect the formation of a balance within the volume profile framework.
Buyer zones: $61,700-$60,800 (pushing volume) $58,700-$65,200 (accumulated volume zone), $55,000-$53,900 (volume anomalies zone).
Sales zones: $68,700-$69,800 (volume anomalies), $70,500-$71,400 (accumulated volume).
Interesting altcoins.
Regarding the MAVIA coin, there is currently a lack of purchase effectiveness visible. For further upward movement development, it is necessary to test the important purchase zone of $2.54-$2.44, and if there is a reaction in this zone, we expect the resumption of purchases.
It is also possible to implement a speculative short idea targeting the designated volume zone if the upward movement develops from current prices. Scenarios are marked on the screenshot.
Bitcoin's Next Big Move: Long or Short? Key Levels to WatchHello Traders,
Bitcoin has been moving within an uptrend channel for the past week, forming three continuous bottoms at 54,200, 55,000, and 56,600. This pattern suggests it has been gaining momentum for a significant move expected tomorrow or the day after.
Long Scenario: If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking and closing above 59,200, I will enter a long position targeting 62,200. My stop-loss will be set at a close below 56,600.
Short Scenario: If Bitcoin closes below 56,600, I will enter a short position targeting 51,500. The stop-loss will be set at the close of a 4-hour bar above 59,000.
Happy trading!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD