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BTC price projection for November based on historical returnsI got data from CoinGlass looking at Bitcoin historical returns in November since 2013. BTC has accumulated 42.78% gains on average. With seven positive years out of eleven, November also has a median return of 7.12%, from opening (1) to closing (30). In particular, November’s best year was 2013 with 449.35% gains from day one to 30, followed by 2017 and 2020, with 53.48% and 42.95%, respectively. Meanwhile, 2018’s bear market resulted in -36.57% returns in November for Bitcoin, being its worst year followers by 2019. Bitcoin opened November 2024 at $70,272. So, if you project this price for the end of the month based on historical average and median returns, BTC could reach a range between: Median (7.12% = $75,275) Average (42.78% = $100,334) This, of course, is just for your entertainment, and the analysis shouldn't be used in isolation to make any financial decisions. I hope you enjoyed it. All things considered, Bitcoin price is impossible to predict with precision, as the market is extremely volatile and uncertain. Investors should understand what they are buying and consider multiple factors before pressing the button.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by vinibarbosa
rally that is slow taking offwe have broken out of the channel weekly and are trying to confirm another higher daily low in the pattern. sequencer has not completed its bull exhaustion pattern, and we havent lost trama although it isnt rising yet. supertrend is still in a holding pattern, but the larger move hasnt brought us down to signal at this top yet. new all time highs are still the target, and i wouldnt be surprised to see this confirm a breakout and head toward $79k. im interested in smaller moves, and ill be using BITO during normal trading hours.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by cerealindicator
Bitcoin Approaches All-Time HighMarket Update - November 1 2024 Fueled by positive market sentiment, the price of bitcoin exceeded $73,100, just shy of its all-time high:  The Fed’s decision on rate cuts could further fuel a price increase, but bitcoin pulled back Thursday toward $70,000 amid a broader tech sell-off. US spot bitcoin ETFs recorded $870 million in inflows on Tuesday, led by BlackRock’s IBIT with $629 million:  It’s believed that bitcoin’s swelling price might be contributing to investment in these funds. Florida CFO Jimmy Patronis has requested an evaluation of the feasibility of adding bitcoin to the state’s public pension funds:  The state of Florida has typically shown keen interest in crypto initiatives, with Governor DeSantis having made proposals to allow businesses to pay tax in bitcoin in 2022. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd. (HKEX) will launch the “HKEX Virtual Asset Index Series” on November 15, providing reference prices for BTC and ETH during the Asian trading day:  The indexes aim to offer transparency and support for virtual asset investment decisions in the region. Weekly sales of NBA Top Shot NFTs have hit a six-month peak, with 43,600 NFTs sold as of October 27, marking a 94% jump from the previous week:  Renewed excitement from the season opener is driving the surge in activity after a slow offseason. Bitcoin Surges Past $73,000, Pulls Back on Thursday Bitcoin climbed above $73,000 Tuesday, marking the first time it breached this level in over seven months. The renewed surge comes near the end of a strong year for bitcoin, partly driven by the SEC’s approval of spot bitcoin ETFs and anticipated rate cuts in the US. Tuesday was also reported to be bitcoin’s biggest trading day in months, as volumes skyrocketed. However, the price of bitcoin retreated Thursday, pulling back toward $70,000 as the broader tech market recorded mixed earnings results. Federal Reserve decisions in particular have been playing a role in bitcoin’s recent rally, with bitcoin rising from around $54,000 in early September as expectations for a rate cut increased. A majority of analysts currently anticipate a 25 bps cut November 7, which could drop rates to the 4.5% to 4.75% range. If this comes to be, it would most likely add to the current bitcoin trading frenzy. Some analysts are bitcoin to climb even higher before the end of the year as market conditions become more favorable. It could depend on numerous factors, and will most likely be influenced in some form by the results of the upcoming US presidential election. 💱 Topic of the Week: Traditional Lending vs. Crypto Lending 🫱 Read more here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
Bitcoin vs Halving vs US Election DatesLook at the history. Bitcoin bull cycle start after Halving event & US election. So accumulation period is prior to halving event and we can sell bitcoin after 1 year from the date of US election. As of historical data, the best time to sell bitcoin will be around November, December 2025. Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by rukshan2102
2
Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money." Gold: The Timeless Haven Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven. • Pros of Gold: o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control. o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term. o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk. o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity. • Cons of Gold: o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient. o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price. o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds. Bitcoin: The Digital Gold Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth. • Pros of Bitcoin: o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity. o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation. o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection. o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains. • Cons of Bitcoin: o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment. o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies. o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some. o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy. The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance. Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven. Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age. Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including: • Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold. • Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time. • Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk. A Balanced Approach Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC Price holding above 50 sma on the hourlyBitcoin price has currently broke above resistance in a recent bullish impulse. The 71,300 has been flipped from resistance to support. This support test also coincided with a 50 sma test and the 1.382 fib extension. All three held strong. Price action is possibly going to test the support again at time of publishing. this is a good area for a long trade. Buy inside the rectangle and hold rips. Not financial advice. Do your own DD.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
Bitcoin Breaking Higher Highs: What to Watch for NextBitcoin is currently breaking above a recent higher high, signaling potential for continued upward momentum. If it successfully surpasses this level with strong volume, it could indicate that buyers are in control and ready to push prices higher. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation—this means letting Bitcoin close above the high to avoid a potential false breakout. By waiting for a clean break, traders can enter with more confidence, aligning with the trend and reducing risk. If this higher high holds, it may serve as new support, creating a solid foundation for the next move upward.
Long
by Professor_Noah
1
BTC Potential Plan !BTC / USDT Summary : BTC finally made its first HH and HL after 6 months being in bearish pattern What next ? Correction started and i still think we will get strong bullish wave but first we have high chance to take liquidity at 59.2k or even 57k because there are much liquidity there and also won’t invalidate our pattern (HH and HL) After that a full bullish wave is expected to 73k as first target Invalidation of bullish plan : lose 52k daily Do u agree ? Let me know in comments section below 👇
Long
by Babenski
15
Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Derivatives Markets Signal The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a surge in bullish sentiment, driven largely by trends in the derivatives market. Analysts and traders are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's potential to reach and even exceed the $80,000 mark before the end of 2024. The Role of Derivatives Markets Derivatives markets, which allow investors to speculate on the future price of assets, have been a key indicator of market sentiment. In the case of Bitcoin, derivatives like options and futures contracts provide valuable insights into the expectations of professional traders and institutional investors. Recent trends in the Bitcoin derivatives market suggest a significant uptick in bullish sentiment. The open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts, which represents the total number of outstanding contracts, has been steadily rising, indicating growing interest from market participants. Additionally, the implied volatility of Bitcoin options, a measure of market uncertainty, has been elevated, suggesting increased expectations for price swings. The Trump Factor: A Potential Catalyst A significant catalyst for Bitcoin's bullish run could be the potential election of Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Trump's pro-business stance and his previous support for cryptocurrencies have led many to believe that a Trump presidency could be positive for the crypto market. If Trump were to win the election, it could lead to increased regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies in the U.S., which could attract more institutional investors to the market. Additionally, Trump's policies could stimulate economic growth, which could indirectly benefit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart also supports the bullish outlook. The cryptocurrency has been forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic bullish pattern known as a bullish uptrend. The recent breakout above the $72,000 resistance level has further strengthened the bullish case. Many analysts are now setting their sights on the $80,000 level, and some are even predicting a six-figure price target for Bitcoin in 2025. If Bitcoin can maintain its current momentum and break above the $80,000 level, it could trigger a significant price rally. Potential Risks and Challenges While the bullish outlook for Bitcoin is strong, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the cryptocurrency's price. These include: • Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulatory policies could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market. • Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden price swings can occur. • Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin. Conclusion The convergence of bullish factors, including the positive sentiment in the derivatives market and the potential impact of a Trump presidency, has created a strong foundation for Bitcoin's continued upward trajectory. While challenges and risks remain, the potential for Bitcoin to reach and exceed the $80,000 mark in 2024 appears increasingly likely. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout: Uptrend ResumesThe big bitcoin bull flag pattern, which began in March 2024, has officially come to an end yesterday with the break of the $70,000 level. This development suggests that the market has resumed its uptrend, which can be traced back to January 2023 or even as far as 2009. With the market currently hovering around all-time highs and the bull flag pattern having been completed, we can expect increased volatility on the upside, potentially leading to a breakout of all-time highs. However, it is essential to remain cautious and prepared for potential downturns. Key support levels to watch include: • 67k-68k, which remains an active support area • $62,000, a major support level • $43,000, the whales support, although a decline to this level is considered unlikely We'll be dialing back the frequency of our updates, focusing on major market developments and occasional insights from other spaces; take care!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MCFractalStudies
The $100,000 Bitcoin Chase: Can You Catch It?Hello traders, It's been a while since BTC reach all time high $73000 spot. As you traders notice that price started making all those LH, HH and even LL making the market in a state of uncertainty. In fact, the BTC market is accumulating a very strong momentum making ready to skyrocket at time especialy at this time when Gold is making superbe HH. I am seeing Bitcoing nothing but going forward the golden spot $100000! Keep a close eye on the market and never miss the great opportunity when it comes. Good luck!
Long
by YMtradingsystem
The 30mn time frame is offering potential winning trades BTCHello traders, Since BTC reached the 71580 level which was a weekly major level, price started consolidating and being rejected showing a high probability of a pullback towards the 1H 70927 level. If this is the case and price breaks the 70927, wait for a retest and then go short toward the next 1H level of 70297 and then do the same thing if price breaks it downward. The other senario is that if price bounces back from 70927 and can't break it, we might see a rejection from area toward the weekly level 71580. If price breaks that level, wait for a pullback and then go long and look for the next weekly level 73907. Good luck
by YMtradingsystem