BITCOIN BLUEPRINT 2.0 - MACRO MATRIXThis is a refined / updated version of my old 'BITCOIN BLUEPRINT' Macro Matrix.
I struggle with finding the right display format for the charts on publishing tradingview ideas. Here is the chart organised so everything is visible.
We are now seeing bitcoin story develop from its negative bias, into a positive one. ETFs have now been approved, aswell as other crypto ETFs. We are 150days post halvening, coming to a potential end for this period and start to move up into the upper Powerlaw band (Red).
The important note is to realise we have 365days+ of Bull Run ahead of us. Anywhere around Mid Sept 2025 could potentially signal a Peak in Price, which precedes approx 1year in declining price actin (Bear Drop).
All time highs & Lows by Cycle:
CYCLE 1: Bull High = $31.50 / Bear Low = $1.85
CYCLE 2 : Bull High = $1140 / Bear Low = $145.5
CYCLE 3 : Bull high = $19170 / Bear Low = $3148
CYCLE 4 : Bull high = $68944 / Bear Low = $15495
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Potential Forecasted Targets:
CYCLE 5 :
Bull High = $300000 - $325000
Bear Low = $58000 - $65000
CYCLE 6:
Bull High = $1000000 - 1150000
Bear Low = $300000 - $325000
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*Note - This is not financial advice, just finding from my own analysis work. The future targets based on forcasts will become more clear once previous cycles have completed. Therefore its best to focus on the next cycle, rather than jumping ahead one cycle. Seeing MIL:1M in CYCLE 6 is exciting!
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CONTEXT:
As noted prior - we are seeing dveelopments in the BTC space. Most notably, the programability of BTC. With projects such as Fractal Bitcoin, TAPROOT, RUNES, BRC20, CAT20, OPNET, OPCAT and many many others paves the way for a fresh narrative other than digital gold.
Bitcoinprediction
Bitcoin Daily TargetHere is the daily target to reach for BTC. I expect a possible range with a fake pump to let retails to long. Then, we will probably see a drop until the $57.200 area, where there is enough liquidity for Bitcoin. This is a magnet level, and I will DCA a short entry with an easy invalidation above $59.500
BTC Bitcoin Chart PredictionIf you haven`t sold the BTC top:
Now you need to know that the summer decline in Bitcoin's price, despite multiple ETF filings, can largely be attributed to the massive selling pressure from several key sources like Mt. Gox, Silk Road, FTX, and Germany.
This influx of supply overwhelmed the market, and there simply wasn't enough demand to absorb it.
I think that the purpose of these ETFs is likely to stabilize Bitcoin rather than drive its price up dramatically. They're designed to bring more legitimacy and structure to the market.
As for the technical outlook, the current formation of a falling wedge could indicate a short-term price increase. However, the expected retracement suggests that any near-term rally might be temporary.
Longer term, I think Bitcoin has the potential to break higher, especially with more regulatory clarity and broader adoption. Reaching $80K by the end of the year seems possible, but a lot will depend on macroeconomic factors and the broader risk appetite in the crypto space.
when moon sir? 69k when bear sir? 37666.33red lines - sell or watch zone for bull trend continuation
orange lines - touch already
green lines - accumulation zone (with DCA)
BULLRUN confirmation after 69000 retest (at least on small tf).
BEARMARKET? we don`t talk things like this here :)
But personally i think that we have around 40% chance for a new low under 47000.
Altcoins? other story...NOV or next year
$IBIT 4-Hour Chart Gaps Continue to Fill and Leave Clues for BTCThis new leading 'indicator' for lack of a better term, continues to be accurate and 100% since the NASDAQ:IBIT inception. Every single gap has filled, except one recent one which I believe will resolve to the downside at some point below.
The 2nd IBIT Gap just filled on this mini-rally today, so I think we head lower to fill the other lower unfilled gap as noted.
Although it's showing a nice hammer reversal candle and Bullish Engulfing candle here.
So If it breaks and holds above $33, then we likely push higher for a time.
There's no time limit for filling these gaps unfortunately.
But I think we'll re-test recent price action on Bitcoin around GETTEX:54K , which would be a nice buying opportunity.
Unless the markets continue to get spooked with election / econonomy fears.
Also, since the CPI came in as expected there's less reason for the FED to drop rates .50 basis points which is what I thought could be a short term catalyst to rally prices. As of today's CPI news, there's an 85% chance of just a .25 basis point cut.
I can't foresee any positive bullish news in the short term, so I'm expecting September to continue to be rangebound, choppy, and re-test recent lows.
BTC.D does look bullish here, so I'm focusing attention on Bitcoin and SOL buying zones mostly.
Really curious to see if and how long this 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT chart and 'gap trading' continues to work...
Shhhhh, for now I've found something new that's working :)
Feel free to like and share.
More info in my bio.
- Brett
Bitcoin BTCUSDT Long Opportunity when Breaks Through 58000Signal:
Green on 1st Ribbon
Green on Background Ribbons
Bitcoin may have found strong support, High Probability for a good Long Opportunity if it breaks through 58000 - a valid breakout
Target-1: 63500
Stop-Loss: 56300
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities.
BTCUSDT: IDEA THAT MIGHT RESONATE SOONHello All,
Welcome to the quick update of BTCUSDT . We have seen BTC touch the levels of $ 52500 and retrace a bit until $ 58000 but couldn't hold it.
We can see it dumping and is currently trading around $56100.
The next levels to watch out for are $54700 and $53800 . If this holds, we can see BTC pump again and might make a new high in a few months.
Support levels: $54700. $53900, $49600 in the long run.
Resistance levels: $58027, $61100, $64000, and $72000 in the long run.
Let's wait and see how this pans out. Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES !!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
ScramblerG is always there to help and trade with caution but DYOR.
Bitcoin Daily TargetPerfect execution on yesterday's setup. Today's plan is very simple. I expect to see BTC above $57.000 today. It's still early to see if now is the perfect time to entry for a long, but doesn't matter. I start now to build a long entry and I will DCA targeting $57.000. As of now, we have liquidity at that level
SUMMERTIME SADNESS - SHORT CRYPTO - SHORT BTCI was caught off guard when everything started going up. The old saying sell in May and go away wasn't the perfect play this year in 2024.
May served as a trap, the way it was done is kinda crazy. Sometimes it seems as if these algorithms are at the perfect equilibrium all the times.
With that being said:
After the summer things will start heating up for CRYPTOCAP:BTC , COINBASE:ETHUSD & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS other cryptocurrencies. Big big bull run incoming.
Buckle up because it will be fun.
Total Crypto Market Cap H&S Invalidation and ForecastWith a quiet week ahead of the CPI and PPI due out this week, it's a good time to look at the Macro chart structure.
Sometimes simpler is better, and I've had great success using simple formations like the H&S pattern, which beats Elliot Wave hands down most of the time.
In this case, we were looking at a potential inverse Head and Shoulders on the Total Market Cap last week, but that has now been invalidated leaving us with this new wedge formation and a new lower high trendline.
I think we have some unclear or negative economic data this week and likely see prices fall across the board and the TOTAL market cap here dip down into the buy range (Green boxes based on aggregate buy limit orders on the order books and using our Order Block Detector).
Then we rally into the FOMC and ahead of a possible 50 basis point rate cut surprise, and kicking off a rip-roaring Q4 October to December rally and off to new ATH's on BTC.
September is seasonally a down month, so I'd expect more chop until the above plays out.
And of course, new information = new decision, so we have to remail open to anything.
Some are calling for a re-test of the yearly open around $44k as Bitcion usually does re-test this level at least once during the year, and as of yet hasn't. But I think we'll hold $50k bitcoin on a closing basis and will be buying in the $50k - GETTEX:52K range, as Bitcoin will likely lead the rally, followed by Solana and ETH.
Our multi-time frame radar indicator is mixed, so I'm waiting for this to turn Green and our other signals to also turn Bullish, namely our ERI and TSI (Early Reveral Indicator and Trend Strength Indicator - not shown).
We'll have to play it week by week and see what opportunities present.
Good luck trading, this has been a very difficult area to predict and forecast, and as we can see, there's still heavy sell pressure above.
However, on another chart study I shared with M3 members yesterday, there's a massive macro Bull-Flag formation on the TOTAL market cap, with a measured move of $4.8T if and when we can solidly break to new ATH.
Our weekly signals show we're oversold and poised to break higher soon, just like we saw in September 2023 and before the big rally we've been enjoying all year!
Like and comment below for more like this, and I'll do my best to keep you posted!
#BTC/USD ROADMAP to $93000! Stay Strong, Know the Plan!Hello everyone, first off, stay strong—things are going to improve soon!
Many people are confused right now and might get liquidated, eventually leaving the market and regretting it later. But not you! You have access to this information.
Take your time to read and understand the current situation fully.
Special Thanks to my close friend Adison for the valuable insights he shares with the community and me!
Please HIT that follow to stay ahead and like this article if it helps!
Key Bottom Ranges to Watch For
There are two high-confluence zones to look out for that could signal a strong bounce and an upward move:
• 50,521 - 50,901
• 46,216 - 46,930
These ranges represent higher timeframe (HTF) bottoms for the overall HTF trend. There’s a good chance that we could see a reversal within one of these zones, leading to a potential upward move.
However, if these levels don’t hold, we might see a deeper extension into the 37.7k - 43.5k range, which is an attractive liquidity zone. But this lower range only becomes relevant if the higher ranges fail to hold. That said, both of the above ranges are strong support levels and could propel the price back to all-time highs (ATH) of 70k - 72k or even higher, potentially reaching 89k - 93k.
Currently, we’ve already hit 53,400, a key level that’s holding off a potential sharp drop. If we lose this level, we could see a rapid decline to 3k. (Current price: 53,627)
Be prepared! We’ve already touched the 52,550 level, which is acting as major support. If it breaks, the ranges mentioned above become the most likely areas for a bounce, although the 52k range could still hold. However, I’m not counting on it, as we’ve previously sliced right through that level.
Additional Market Update:
• BTC is up 68% in volume.
• ETH is also up 68% in volume.
Both BTC and ETH have seen significant buying activity during this dip, especially since yesterday, with most of it happening today.
On the lower timeframe (LTF), the market is risky as we’re sitting at the final support zone of 52,550. Being the weekend, when mostly private retail traders are active, there’s a risk that they could get dragged down into losses, with many long positions liquidated before we move higher. LTFs are always tricky, and while volume is still low, pumps are easy.
I believe that the 52,550 support won’t hold through the weekend.
We’re likely to see the above-mentioned levels by the end of the weekend or early next week. Once those levels are reached, the market should stabilize, bringing a healthier, less choppy environment.
So it's just about a couple of weeks. Stay strong don't do anything stupid, I'll come up with more information very soon for trade setups on Altcoins.
Stay tuned and make sure you follow me.
HIt the like if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
#BTC/USDT Weekly Update! $58k first!#BTC Weekly:
Closed red at $54,881. Holding the GETTEX:54K support is a positive sign in the short term. However, the price action seems incomplete, with substantial liquidity sitting around the GETTEX:48K and $43K levels (as mentioned in my previous article on BTC).
The key focus right now is maintaining the GETTEX:54K level.
If we lose this level on the daily chart with a confirmation candle, expect lower levels to be swept soon.
That said, as long as we hold the current level, we could see a retest of $58K to capture liquidity.
BTC Daily:-
The daily chart looks promising, as the price has bounced off the support, with a confirmation candle printing today.
Stay tuned, and I’ll keep this chart updated.
Hit that like button and share if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin Support & Resistance- 09-Sep-24Bitcoin Support & Resistance- 09-Sep-24
Further to my post last week,
The supports are working fine and 52650-52750 ( Previous Feb 24 high) and Fib Support 51750, further downside 44736 ( Fib support) to watch out.
Supports provided with clear mark up in the chart.
What does the future hold for Crypto Mining?I have chosen RIOT as the chart, but I am looking at MARA and also BITF. But as a whole, looking at the WGMI (Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF), BTC mining companies as a whole is taking a hit. Crypto itself is taking a huge hit and of course, this affects Crypto Mining. It did seem that Crypto was going to push higher as the expectations for the BTC ETF release was going to be the first part of pushing BTC to the "moon" and with the BTC halving, money would just start stacking for holders. But that didn't happen. There is a decent amount of geo political turmoil going on. Governments selling BTC. SEC doing what it can to get Crypto labeled as securities in order to bring the coins to its realm of oversight. The Yen carry trade unwinding. The potential of a recession.
But there is the other side, where there is good news going on for BTC. The possibility of BTC becoming a reserve asset. The upcoming elections, with a a lot of fingers pointing at former President Donald Trump being very pro Crypto. But even if Kamala Harris (pointed in ALTCOIN daily), says that she is in support of crypto, then that will be a good push for Crypto to move higher. There is also the FED reducing rates towards the end of September; with the recent NFP coming out lower than expected and pushing the chances for a reduction in rates for 50 basis points to 50%.
So if the self fulling prophecy for BTC hitting $100k - $150k do come true, then Crypto Miners are going to be cooking. Projects are already underway and the Crypto Market has been very resilent. There are those that thought Crypto was going to collapse during the silk road incident. Then after the cash in 2017 when BTC hit $20k. Then the Terra Luna incident. FTX collapse. Mt. Gox incident. And many others. Yet Crypto is still here.
The main issue I think is where all the money is pilling into, and during 2017, crypto was starting to hit the mainstream and a lot of coverage was on it. Institutions finally starting trading BTC and others, as well a lot of retail traders and investors were pilling in. In 2021, people were staying home, receiving check after check of stimulus, wondering were to put it. Then when things started opening up, businesses were offering sign up bonuses. Afterwards, during both these events, once Crypto hit a certain lvl, a ton of people cashed out and instantly became very rich. This money flowed into other products, such as wants and/or other ventures/markets. Now money is flowing into different meme coins, AI, FAANG-M stocks, among other things.
If BTC is able to push higher and hit the around $120k, then MARA, holding around 13,677 BTC will be worth around $1.65 billion, RIOT with a holding of around 7,250, will be around $870 million, and BITF, with holdings of around $1,016, would be around $121 million (which RIOT is attempting a takeover of BITF, offering a buyout of BITF, which BITF did not accept. If this does happen, RIOT would become a very strong competitor to MARA, pushing its exahash production from 12.6 to 19.6. MARA has an exahash of 29.9).
For the price targets, if things go accordingly, MARA will likely be able to break out of the $20 resistance, avoiding the completion of the inverse cup and handle pattern. If this pattern forms, price will likely keep pushing lower, potentially to around the $8 lvl (at least breaking the $10). For RIOT and BITF, they have the same pattern as MARA, and WGMI price is in a monthly rising channel, so there is a strong possibility that price will drop, but if things go accordingly, then prices on these companies will also avoid the acceptance of the inverse cup and handle pattern. The psychological lvls for these two companies are $10 and $2, which could be hit depending on how things go these next few months.
I am in a position on RIOT and a few on BITF, my positions are at a small loss, but I am selling covered calls and cash secured puts to offset the loss, which, when factored in, puts me at a net positive. Additionally, I am participating in the stock lending program, which is further offsetting my losses. I am on the side that price will push higher and I am willing to see it through.
Protect your inventory (your capital), and have some great trading out there.
Bitcoin's Price Struggles: A Bearish Short-Term OutlookAfter dipping to 50k in early August, Bitcoin staged a recovery and climbed to 65k. However, the bullish momentum lacked follow-through, as buyers were unable to push past the resistance of a large flag pattern that has kept Bitcoin in a corrective phase for months.
In the short term, Bitcoin’s price pulled back down from 65k, initially forming what looked like a falling wedge—a potential bullish reversal pattern.
Unfortunately, this formation did not hold, and Bitcoin experienced another breakdown.
Currently, the short-term outlook is bearish, with resistance around the 55,500-56k zone.
Short-term traders may consider selling in this range, targeting a move back to 50k if a new leg downward materializes.
This bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price stabilizes above the 58k level.
Bitcoin Bull Run Continues?My expectations from the previous post have materialized, and the price of Bitcoin has dropped again into the price imbalance zone below 53,500. My expectations for Bitcoin's price next week are as follows: due to negative economic news, the stock market will likely continue to decline for several more days starting on Monday. Since Bitcoin's price correlates with key indices like the S&P and Dow Jones, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will continue to decline, potentially reaching as low as 48,900.
If we look at the Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio 7D indicator, which unfortunately is not yet available publicly on the TradingView platform, based on this data, Bitcoin is currently in an accumulation phase before a major growth season. Similar patterns occurred during the 2011 and 2021 market seasons.
Bitcoin Approaching Critical Support: Prepare for a Big MoveBitcoin is entering a decisive phase this September, with a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern forming on both the weekly and daily charts. This pattern typically signals potential volatility, and we are now approaching the descending support trendline, which also aligns with the wick from the sharp price dump on August 5th. This region, around 48K, is likely to be tested in the coming days as the market seeks to sweep liquidity.
Key Support Zones to Watch:
Crucial Support Zone 1: The first line of defense. If Bitcoin holds here, we could start seeing signs of bullish momentum returning.
Crucial Support Zone 2: A deeper level of support. Breaking below this zone could lead to a more extended bearish trend.
In the event that these levels are broken and confirmation bearish candles start forming, we could see Bitcoin testing 42K, 40K, and even 36K in the weeks ahead. However, if Bitcoin holds these zones and begins to print higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), it would be an early sign that the downtrend might be over.
Also an important element in this setup is the 100-day EMA, which aligns perfectly with Crucial Support Zone 2. This adds a layer of confidence that the price may find strong support here. The confluence of the 100-day EMA with this key support level suggests that a touch of this zone could trigger the next major move, potentially kickstarting a rally.
Strategy for Traders:
Swing Traders/Spot Traders: Pay close attention to the support zones, as these levels could present excellent buying opportunities. A bounce from these areas might indicate the start of a new rally, so it’s time to prepare and fill your bags.
Scalpers: Be mindful of the resistance zones. The price may spike slightly before retesting lower levels, providing potential shorting opportunities. Watch closely for a "soft" or "hard" landing around 50K-48K.
Caution: Bull Trap Alert
If Bitcoin encounters a pump in the near term, be cautious about falling into a bull trap. All signs currently point to a retest of the 50K and 48K zones as highly probable, so don’t get caught up in premature optimism.
BTC IS GOING TO ALL TIME HIGH LADIES AND GENTLEMEN ! BTC ended up in a complex WXY correction. Initially what may have seemed like a FLAT ended up being WXY. No matter how much the MM plays with the market and no matter what news hits the screen, algos always run their course guys.
We are in the early formation of wave 3, which will make history. True we may retrace a bit more to tap the lower levels but this will sling shot BTC to the ATH ! Remember the deeper the retracement of wave 2, the higher will be wave 3, a slingshot - - get it ;). Mega hidden bullish divergence on the weekly also playing out well.
Invalidation of this idea is at the low of Wave Y. WorD of advice guys, avoid over leverage and practice risk management fells. DCA is the name of the game. When Bitcoin hits ATH, all ALTS will pop like fireworks hence DCA and Spot Buy is the name of the game, especially for all the young bucks and inspiring traders out there.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.