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Bitcoin Parabolic Bull Run with the Latest 200-Day MA CrossAfter a brief dip below the $60,000 mark on October 10, Bitcoin (BTC) has regained momentum, inching closer to its all-time high (ATH) of $73,700, reached in March of this year. This price recovery follows considerable volatility experienced by the largest cryptocurrency on the market throughout the year, with significant price swings, including sharp falls of almost 20% on 5 August and 6 September. The 200-Day Moving Average (MA) A key indicator to watch for Bitcoin is the 200-Day Moving Average (MA). This technical analysis tool represents the average closing price of Bitcoin over the past 200 days. When the price of Bitcoin crosses above this long-term moving average, it often signals a bullish trend reversal. Historical Significance Interestingly, the last three times Bitcoin's price crossed above the 200-Day MA, it triggered a "parabolic bull run." This refers to a period of rapid and sustained price increases, characterized by a parabolic curve on the price chart. The first instance occurred in 2016, when Bitcoin's price surged from around $400 to over $20,000 within a year. The second instance took place in 2019, with the price climbing from roughly $3,000 to nearly $14,000 in a similar timeframe. Most recently, in 2021, Bitcoin's price soared from approximately $29,000 to its ATH of $73,700. Current Outlook Given the historical significance of the 200-Day MA crossings and the recent price recovery, many analysts are closely watching Bitcoin's price action in anticipation of a potential breakout. If Bitcoin successfully breaks above its ATH, it could signal the start of a new parabolic bull run, potentially leading to even higher price targets. However, it's important to note that the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Several factors could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment. Key Considerations As investors evaluate the potential for a Bitcoin breakout, they should consider the following factors: • Regulatory Environment: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies varies across different jurisdictions. Favorable regulatory developments can boost investor confidence and drive price appreciation, while unfavorable regulations can create headwinds. • Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical events, can influence the overall market sentiment and impact the demand for risk assets like Bitcoin. • Investor Sentiment: The prevailing sentiment among investors towards Bitcoin plays a crucial role in determining its price direction. Positive sentiment can fuel buying pressure, while negative sentiment can lead to selling pressure. • Technical Analysis: Technical indicators, such as moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and support and resistance levels, can provide valuable insights into Bitcoin's price trends and potential future movements. Conclusion Bitcoin's price action is approaching a critical juncture, with the potential to break above its all-time high. The historical significance of the 200-Day MA crossings and the recent price recovery have fueled speculation about a new parabolic bull run. However, investors should remain cautious and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market is subject to significant volatility, and it's essential to consider the various factors that could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSD Come on Baby, You are Ready to Bullrun1. Current Price Action Price is trading at around $64,719, approaching the previous all-time high of $67,752. There appears to be a breakout from a downward wedge pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend. The price target projected from this wedge is aiming towards higher levels. 3. Future Price Targets 1.272 Fibonacci extension is marked at $100,214, which seems to be the next major target on the upside if the price breaks above the previous all-time high ($67,752). The chart suggests that there’s a good probability of Bitcoin rallying towards this level if bullish momentum continues. 4. Trend Analysis The breakout from the wedge is significant, as wedge patterns often signal the end of a corrective phase. The breakout suggests that the market could resume its bullish trend after the consolidation. If Bitcoin sustains its price above $67,752, it would likely confirm a new bull run, with Fibonacci extensions providing potential targets for the next leg up. 5. Support Levels On the downside, the first major support is around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at $49,793. Below that, significant supports include $39,099 (0.618 Fibonacci level) and $32,992 (0.5 level).
Long
by YogaID
New HBO Documentary Hints at Identity of Bitcoin InventorMarket Update - October 11th 2024 Takeaways HBO documentary seeks to unveil Satoshi Nakamoto’s identity : HBO released a documentary, “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery,” on Tuesday that suggests an early Bitcoin developer named Peter Todd invented the cryptocurrency. Crypto.com has filed a lawsuit against the SEC after receiving a Wells notice, claiming the agency has overextended its authority : The lawsuit challenges the SEC's stance that most cryptocurrencies are securities and the agency's regulatory practices. Bitcoin's price pulled back this week : The US Department of Labor announced that inflation rose 2.4% year-over-year in September, slightly above analyst expectations. Crypto reacted negatively to the news, with bitcoin dropping back below $60,000. US spot bitcoin ETFs saw $18.66 million in net outflows on Tuesday, led by Fidelity’s FBTC, which recorded $48.82 million in withdrawals : BlackRock’s IBIT was the only ETF to see inflows, with $39.57 million entering the fund. The head of Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) says the body plans to approve more crypto exchanges before the end of 2024 : The news comes after the regulator received criticism for implementing a strict approach to licensing. New HBO Documentary Suggests Peter Todd is Bitcoin’s Founder An HBO documentary, “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery,” released Tuesday hints that early Bitcoin developer Peter Todd is the cryptocurrency’s founder and man behind the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. In a clip late in the documentary, Todd denied he is the founder of Bitcoin and continued to deny it in a subsequent interview with Coindesk and other media outlets. The film provided minimal concrete evidence that Todd created Bitcoin, but focused instead on his technical skills, his love of cryptography, and his relationship with Adam Back, the Blockstream CEO and investor of Hashcash. "Money Electric" director Cullen Hoback also pointed to a 2010 forum post from Satoshi Nakamoto in which Todd responded, arguing that Todd had forgotten to switch his accounts and his post was a continuation of Satoshi’s original post. "This is going to be very funny when you put this into the documentary and a bunch of bitcoiners watch it," Todd said in the documentary clip while standing alongside Back. "I suspect a lot of them will be very happy if you go this route because it's yet another example of journalists really missing the point in a way that's very funny." This is not the first time Hoback has made a documentary film about trying to uncover the identity of a secretive figure. For his 2021 HBO documentary “Q: Into the Storm,” Hoback spent three years attempting to find the creator of Qanon. Crypto.com Sues SEC After Receiving Wells Notice Crypto.com has officially sued the SEC after the company received a Wells notice from the regulatory agency, which typically precedes enforcement actions. The platform said the SEC's continued regulatory enforcement against crypto companies forced them into taking legal action. According to Crypto.com, the SEC is unjustly expanding its jurisdiction over digital assets by labeling most cryptocurrencies as securities. The lawsuit is part of a broader industry pushback against the SEC's regulatory approach, which many crypto companies claim is outdated and unsuitable for digital assets. The platform is far from the first to take such legal action; Coinbase and Consensys have also previously sued the SEC, similarly challenging the agency’s stance on categorizing cryptocurrencies as securities. The SEC has reiterated the need for crypto exchanges to register with the agency, while firms argue that current regulations are impractical for the digital asset sector. 🌉 Topic of the Week: What is Bridging? ➡️ Read more here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things: 1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different) 2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe) 3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe. I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH) Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
Recent Trends in Crypto Options MarketWell, he crypto options market is experiencing a surge in growth, driven by increasing adoption and maturation. Key trends include short-term turbulence versus long-term growth, with a focus on short volatility on elections and long positions on new all-time highs by the end of the year. Whale Activity Whales are taking a protectionist approach, with a focus on long-term optimism: Puts: $40K is the most popular strike price, with 2562.5 contracts Focus: November 8, 2024, and March 28, 2025 Calls: Bets on FWB:65K -$100K by the end of the year Currently: Selling volatility at 60K-65K (November 8) Retail Activity Retail traders are taking an aggressive approach, with a focus on optimism: Puts: Weak protection $60K-$61K (October 2024) Calls: Focus on $95K-$100K (December 2024) Summary Short-term Turbulence vs Long-term Growth: The crypto options market is experiencing short-term turbulence, but long-term growth is expected. Long on New ATH: Whales are taking long positions on new all-time highs by the end of the year. Data Source for Analysis: Deribit
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
(BTC) October predictions - BEAR & BULLHello Tradingview community! As always: If these patterns I'm showcasing doesn't work as predicted.. then please don't come crying to me (ty) -> NFA DYOR Alright.. the chart explains itself as you can see We got 2 scenarios/targets for October: Bull targets-> 66k-70k Bear targets-> 52k-46k I do find it more likely to go up than down.. Why? Well Q4 in a bull market is usually heavy green and especially towards a presidential election Anyway, Keep in mind this is only an idea/prediction that could easily be wrong in many ways. I will update this post in the future! BOOST if you like it and follow for more NFA DYOR <<<<-----
by RandomTAdude
1
BTC & Crypto Market Forecast. 4 Yr Cycle Top and Elliot WavesIn this video, I've pulled up an old chart from 2022 I've had on my desktop (not my original chart) that shows potential Waves 3-5 for Bitcion and the 4 year cycle high time targets. In my new chart, I've re-created this showing that we're ahead of schedule from the dark study, and the 4 year past cycle time targets for reaching ATH around 539 days after the halving. But as we know, we hit ATH's this cycle already BEFORE the halving, so it's unclear how that's going to affect the next phase. It would certainly make sense, that everybody (Big money, smart money and even us dumb money retail traders) will be looking to 'go all in' early... But also to GET OUT early. Remember, it's a game of musical chairs.. and the music is speeding up. For these reasons, and other global economic and political influences... I think we could STILL see a left-translated cycle and a parabolic bull rally going into Dec of this year... Unsure if that would be THE Top, but I'd be looking for some profit taking and correction there, which most likely WILL LOOK like the top. But may not actually be. We may still see the 4 year cycle play out, and continue to push higher until October '25 as the original study suggests (539 days post-halving). On the one hand, some are suggesting a deflationary market bust in early 2025 for both the stock market and Bitcoin / crypto. We'll have to wait and see. But it does look like we're experiencing the Wave 4 pullback, and poised to beging the final Wave 5 phase of the bull-run. What do you think? Would appreciate any likes, comments, or compliments below. Cheer always welcome! To the moon 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BrettFogle
#BTC/USDT Weekend Update!#BTCUSDT: Not much is happening—just sideways price action on low volume due to the weekend. Expecting more volatility on Monday after the weekly close. For now, OB remains untested so be ready if that gets tested, possibly $63k-$64.3k. It will give us some good entries for scalp and swing in altcoins. With both the monthly and weekly closes approaching, these will be crucial. We’ll need a few confirmations for the anticipated "UPtober." I’ll be sharing more details on Monday. Alts? Alts might be choppy for now, but I expect strong rallies next month. Remember, dips are for buying! Have a great weekend folks! Do hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
4
Bitcoin Sideways Action - Long scenarioBitcoin is consolidating. This means that we are preparing for something. I expect a scenario with the opportunity to enter long positions. Right now, it looks like we will not break the recent lows and continue to form small higher lows. This to me is an indication that we could see a strong move until the consolidation is complete. That could start this Thursday with jobless claims and Fed Chair Powell's speech or next week when all the data is released and the market will react to things like JOLTS Job Openings and Non-Farm Employment Change. We can also make a bearish move. I would expect a move to the FWB:65K region to take out the last high from August and then move down to reverse.
by reports20netrust
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action + trade planTechnical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action with multiple indicators and a descending triangle pattern by Blaž Fabjan Chart Patterns Descending Triangle: This is a classic pattern that typically suggests consolidation, and in many cases, a breakout (especially when formed in an uptrend). The triangle seems to be nearing the apex, indicating that a breakout could happen soon. Breakout potential: Since it's forming within an overall uptrend, the triangle suggests the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend after the consolidation. Indicators VMC Cipher B: The VMC Cipher B shows wave-like movements indicating market momentum and divergences. It looks like the waves are approaching a positive curve, indicating a potential bullish movement if confirmed by momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering around 50.49, which shows a neutral trend at the moment. No overbought or oversold conditions are present, leaving room for upward or downward movement depending on the breakout direction. Stochastic (14, 1, 3): The stochastic shows a level of 43.32 (blue) vs 56.91 (orange), indicating a slight bearish momentum, but it could reverse if price continues consolidating and breaks upwards. HMA+ Histogram: The histogram appears to show bearish pressure with negative values such as -55.9, though it looks like it may start to shift upwards if there's enough buying momentum. Volume: The volume appears lower during consolidation, which is typical before a significant move. Watch for an increase in volume as the price approaches the end of the triangle. Support and Resistance: Support: Around 63,800 USDT (marked by the bottom of the triangle). Resistance: Immediate resistance appears at around 64,200 USDT, the upper trendline of the descending triangle. Trading Plan: Breakout Strategy: Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks the triangle to the upside, enter a long position after confirmation (e.g., after the price breaks above 64,200 USDT with volume). Place a stop-loss slightly below the triangle's bottom at around 63,500 USDT. Target price: A potential upward target could be around 67,000 USDT (previous high) based on the size of the triangle. Bearish scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle’s bottom (around 63,800 USDT) with volume, a short position can be considered. In this case, place a stop-loss just above the upper trendline of the triangle (around 64,500 USDT). Target price: A downside target would be around 62,000 USDT, depending on how strong the downward momentum is. Risk Management: Set a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2, considering the uncertainty of the consolidation period. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on the trade. In summary, BTC is consolidating in a descending triangle within an uptrend, and a breakout in either direction is likely. Watch for volume and confirmation before taking a position, and stick to a disciplined risk management plan.
Long
by elfabiiani
technical analysis and trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)Technical analysis and trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan Bullish Pennant Formation: The chart shows a bullish pennant pattern, which typically indicates a continuation of the prior upward trend. This suggests that once the consolidation within the pennant breaks to the upside, there could be a further rally. Support and Resistance Levels: Support Level: Around $61,758.48, which is holding the price within the consolidation. Resistance Level: The next significant resistance is around $64,591.15. If the price breaks the resistance of the pennant, it could target higher levels, potentially leading toward $68,556.87 as a bullish target. Volume: There’s a moderate amount of volume, but a volume breakout would be needed to confirm the movement in either direction. Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences is showing some green dots indicating bullish divergence, which further supports the potential for an upward breakout. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI value is around 53.94, suggesting that the market is in a neutral zone. It's neither overbought nor oversold, giving room for movement in either direction. Stochastic Oscillator: Around 36.45, slightly on the lower end, signaling that Bitcoin might be in an oversold position on the short-term, indicating a potential upward reversal. Trendline Projection: The image also indicates an upward price projection beyond $67,000 if the pennant breaks to the upside, aligning with the bullish sentiment. Trading Plan: Buy Scenario (Bullish Breakout): Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if Bitcoin breaks above the upper trendline of the pennant and surpasses the $64,000 resistance level with strong volume confirmation. Take Profit Levels: First target: $64,591.15 (immediate resistance). Second target: $68,000. Final target: $68,556.87 (upper resistance). Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the $61,758.48 support level or just below the lower trendline of the pennant. Sell Scenario (Bearish Breakdown): Entry Point: If Bitcoin breaks below the lower trendline of the pennant and the $61,758.48 support level, it might indicate a bearish reversal. Consider entering a short position. Take Profit Levels: Look for a price drop toward $60,301.68 or lower. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just above the pennant resistance level around $63,000 to limit risk. Conservative Strategy: Wait for a clear breakout from the pennant either way before entering any trade. Watch for confirmation through volume increase, as this would validate the direction of the breakout. Final Notes: The chart leans toward a bullish continuation, but confirmation from volume and a breakout from the pennant are key before making any trades. Always manage risk carefully by setting stop losses and taking partial profits along the way. I hope this information assists you in making more informed decisions during your trading activities. Enjoy! Blaž Fabjan
Long
by elfabiiani