Bitcoinmarkets
Market structure Shift? OR Fakeout?!It seems like we MAY have have seen a market shift “signal” in #BTC with the W formation with a HL AND ON TO ITS SECOND “wave”
If we break this zone to the topside I will look for longs.
If we break to the downside it’s possible we’re seeing the second wave down in our identified bearish trend (short term) and validates our current short positions.
The 50 EMA is going to be a good point of interest for me to decide to close my shorts and protect profits. Only Until we see some more confluence for a probable trade, I don’t like to “gamble”
Always protect your profits fam
I’m currently still in short positions
Bitcoin Regaining the $1 trilion❤️Forex Besties❤️
INFORMATION
Bitcoin prices jumped above $52,000 level, regaining the $1 trillion market capitalization for the first time since December 2021.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down 0.24% over the last 24 hours at $52,194.50, and the token’s market capitalization was above $1.02 trillion.
💲SELL 52280 - 52460 💲
SL @ 53852
TP @ 51600
TP @ 49900
Everyone success..👍👍👍
❤️FOREX BESTIES WEB - Technical Analysis
Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS
❤️NOTE
The rally in the prices of the world’s largest cryptocurrency comes on the back of optimism that US approval of broader trading in the unit will ramp up demand.
Bitcoin has enjoyed a strong run in recent months, fueled by expectations US lawmakers would allow the creation of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the price and let the public invest in crypto without directly purchasing
❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital
⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On
⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage
⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat
⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed
⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital
⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
Bitcoin With the Expected Pullback but How Far?Bitcoin has given us our expected pullback and now we must look at the support side to study which supports will hold price and for how long?The first option, as of this post, is that the pullback will only last till Tuesday (U.S. stock markets are closed Monday) and then the buyers come back via BTC ETFs. If this is the case, it may also mean that our RED ascending trendline, which currently sits at around 50,300, may hold. If our RED ascending TL holds, there is a likelihood we go to 56k before more pullback.
Our second scenario is that the TL breaks and we drop to 48k before more buyers jump in. This is my hope because it represents the best technical options. I’d like to see a retest and hold of our 48k price level. And if we hold, I see the upward longer-term trend continuing for some time.Of course, we could always break 48k support. This is our third scenario. If 48k support breaks, we do have a lot of support underneath us and I don’t see us dropping much below 42k before demand kicks back in. Remember, ETFs are currently demanding 12x+ more than BTC miners can provide. This is on a liquidity ratio of 1 to 4, meaning that something like less than 25% of all Bitcoin in current circulation is even available for trading. Simple math here suggests a near impossibility to drop to 20k or lower again as some analysts are suggesting. Even 31.6k, as I had previously suggested (this was before ETFs were actually confirmed and approved) is now somewhat of a bygone dream. But with current U.S. geo-political policy as disastrous, devastating, disgusting, and destructive as it currently is, it remains a possibility. Anything that brings the price to that level will almost certainly be news-driven at that point in my opinion.
Other indicators that we must consider are the strength of the U.S. dollar and the status of the U.S. stock markets. The dollar (below) continues its rise in strength to that 105.6 target level as predicted many months ago. Once achieved, back down we’ll go. Dollar weakness is almost always reflected in market price which then trickles over into our crypto space. But even more so does this last part ring true with the advent of BTC ETFs in the space.
If the dollar does as I have expected and drops once it hits or nears that 105.6 resistance level, the meltup that I predicted a year and a half ago now, will continue onwards and upwards to even greater highs. Many markets and indices have already achieved all-time highs. This melt-up should continue into mid-late summer. But somewhere before September you can expect it all to end and come crashing down. Bitcoin would then follow at that point but from what price level and to what extent is yet obviously unknown. I do believe Bitcoin reaches at least 80k by mid-late summer. Any sort of crash from that point could bring us quickly back down to 48k or lower. But, I don’t want to speculate price action too dogmatically that far into the future. What I am fairly sure of is a blow-off top (already happening in U.S. stock markets) and then a fairly severe pullback (potential crash) sometime around or before September of this year. This is what I am attempting to prepare myself and those who follow me for.
Now lastly, in terms of my current trades, I have taken profits on most and been stopped out of others at or just above break even. I mainly did a just-above-break-even SL for psychological benefit as it shows green on my spreadsheet (insert smiley emoji). Once I have ascertained to a greater degree where this current pullback will find support, I will begin looking for new entries again.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The chart analysis on February 9th shows how powerful the Trade Selector System is to this Trading View platform. Bitcoin has completed the second phase of the reignited rebound extension phase, also known as the "Outer Coin Rally 53000". Currently, this analysis shows the downside price action is in pivotal squeeze mode; it is expected to rebound and retest Mean Res 52500. Moreover, completing the Outer Coin Rally 53000 from this spot is imminent.
BITCOIN-2024Hello guys,
Since USDT dominance reached to an important support zone of 5%, looks like Bitcoin is in topping process only if USDT holds this support zone and makes some kind of bullish Divergences. For short term looks like UDST dominance bounces back from support zone, so Bitcoin can correct from 52k to 53k zone.
Case1: If USDT.D holds 5% zone n forms Bullish Divergences, than Bitcoin can still make higher highs, tops inbetween 50k to 58K something.
Case2: If USDT.D keeps falling Bitcoin can go to new all time highs.
Case3: Or if USDT.D keeps making higher highs and Higher Lows below the current parallel Trend same like the previous Parallel Trend as in the chart, than Bitcoin can be in a slow upTrend Formation with higher highs and higher Lows. something like from 2015 to 2018.
Not a financial advice though.
thank you.
Bitcoin's Daily Price Analysis: Expanding Ranges and Ascending Analyzing Bitcoin's Price Movement: A Detailed Look at the Daily Timeframe Chart
In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading, understanding price patterns and chart movements is crucial for making informed decisions. Bitcoin, the pioneer of the crypto market, has exhibited notable price movements since December 5th, 2023, particularly within the daily timeframe chart.
Over this period, Bitcoin's price action has formed an expanding range characterized by higher highs and lower lows. This pattern indicates growing volatility and uncertainty in the market sentiment. Within this expanding range, a notable development has been the testing of the high side of an ascending wedge.
An ascending wedge is a technical pattern formed by converging trendlines, with the lower trendline rising at a steeper angle than the upper one. It typically suggests a potential reversal to the downside. In the context of Bitcoin's current price movement, the testing of the high side of this ascending wedge indicates a crucial juncture.
The recent price action has shown high volatility, with significant swings in both directions. However, there are indications that the price is beginning to encounter resistance, as evidenced by wicks forming at resistance levels. A rejection at this juncture could signal a potential downward movement towards the $48,000 to $49,000 range, where the support side of the ascending wedge lies.
Breaking through this support level could lead to further downside momentum, potentially testing the bottom of the expanding range. It's worth noting that the green lines on the chart represent areas of major support levels, adding significance to these price levels in determining market sentiment.
Given the current technical setup, it's prudent for traders to closely monitor the ascending wedge pattern. As of now, the focus should be on observing price behavior within this pattern. With the potential for further downside movement, caution is warranted for those considering buying positions, as the market faces a higher probability of correction.
In summary, Bitcoin's price movement within the daily timeframe chart since December 5th, 2023, has been characterized by an expanding range with higher highs and lower lows. The testing of the high side of an ascending wedge pattern amidst high volatility suggests a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency. Traders should pay close attention to key support and resistance levels, particularly within the ascending wedge pattern, to gauge potential market direction.
2 years you can see bc drop again #BTC is not going to 100K.By analyzing old data BTC data bitcoin's low should be 8k to 10k Btc might come down again wiping out all reentered money and and making lows again . I am entring now and don't buy at top plz save your capital for deepest dip 😅 Best of Luck or Fcuk .
Bitcoin 2024 Hilarious Insights, Halving Hurdles 18k Bold ForcasBitcoin, oh dear Bitcoin, you're in a pickle! Picture this:
Feb through April 2024, three months before the Bitcoin halving, and things are getting more complicated than explaining blockchain to your grandma.
The Bitcoin ETF approval in January? Well, that turned out to be about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. Instead of a price boost, we've seen Bitcoin taking a nosedive from 48k to a not-so-supportive 38500.
4HR CHART OVERVIEW:
Now, let's peek at the 4-hour chart. Bitcoin buyers are tap-dancing around 42k like they're in a high-stakes dance-off. Rumor has it they want to tango with 44k, maybe even attempt a daring move to 45900. But watch out, because they might trip and fall back to 40k-39400. It's like a suspenseful dance, and if they break free from the current 4-hour chart shackles at 43900, the buyers will persist. Until then, it's a riskier dance than attempting the moonwalk in roller skates.
On the sellers' side, they're lingering around like they just got front-row seats to a comedy show. Despite all the dollars poured into Bitcoin ETFs, they seem to be the ultimate party poopers, unimpressed and unyielding. If buyers can't break the 43900 barrier, it's cue the bear strike – back to 40k to 39k support, and it might get so bad that even Bitcoin buyers will need a lifeline.
DAILY CHART OVERVIEW:
Now, let's switch to the daily chart. Buyers are halted at 43800, contemplating life decisions after bouncing back from the 38500 support pitstop. It seems market makers on BTC ETFs are more into fees than making Bitcoin holders happy. Brace yourself for a revisit to the 40k to 39400 support range, and if buyers don't bring their A-game, it's bad news. Patience is a virtue, especially if you plan to join the support party.
On the sellers' daily chart, it's a saga of indifference. If buyers lose interest and the price revisits 40k to 39400, brace for impact. Breaking below 38k could be the trigger for a sell-off extravaganza, with sellers and shorters throwing a grand party, pushing the price down to the 36600 to 34k support zone. It's like a rollercoaster, and the only way to enjoy the ride is by gripping your seat tightly.
WEEKLY CHART OVERVIEW:
Zooming out to the weekly chart, Bitcoin buyers seem stuck in a range, as if the market has them in a headlock. The return to 43800 was a slap in the face, signaling a potential return to 40k support and a quick smooch with 39200. While there's a glimmer of hope for buyers to take Bitcoin back to the 45k to 47k range, it's like waiting for a superhero in a rom-com – you're not sure if they'll show up.
Weekly sellers, on the other hand, are circling like vultures. If buyers can't hold the price above 45k by Feb to March, sellers will seize the moment, dragging Bitcoin down to the 36600 to 34k support zone. It's like a high-stakes poker game, and the chips are on the table.
MONTHLY CHART OVERVIEW:
Now, onto the monthly chart, where buyers are looking indecisive. Despite the approval of BTC ETF, the price is playing hard to get, avoiding the much-anticipated 50k mark. It's the first sign of weakness since Bitcoin broke above 30k in Oct 2023. Buyers might have a shot at 45k-47400, but it's like trying to catch a unicorn – a little tricky.
Sellers on the monthly chart are eyeing Feb 2024 like it owes them money. If it closes as a red candle, get ready for a 3-bar reversal extravaganza. The threat of visiting the 32k to 28k range before or after halving is looming, like a dark cloud over a picnic.
And now, the grand finale – the monthly chart after Halving, sellers' edition. Brace yourself for a possible flash dump, like the grand finale of a fireworks show. Will it hit 20k, or will market makers go all-in for 14k to 12k? Nobody knows, but if you're holding Bitcoin, it's like being on a rollercoaster – hands up, eyes closed, and hoping for the best. The real pump might kick in around Oct-Nov 2024, so hang in there and buy more when you can. It's like waiting for the punchline of a long joke – it better be worth it!
BTC - Weekly Perspective - 02/04 to 02/11We start another month with the cryptocurrency resisting staying above the 40K range as well as failing to overcome strong resistance that has lasted for a long time, the 44.9K region as found in a previous analysis.
$ Let's go graphic $
The monthly bias is still upward. Current resistance: 44.9K
Going to the weekly bias there are possibilities of bullish formation. Current resistance: 43.8K
Coming to the daily bias, we also have resistance in the 43.8K region, as mentioned in a previous analysis.
Now look at the image of the BTC hourly chart. Do we have a time zone here? Lol
Do your analysis and good business.
Be Aware, If Buy, US=se Stop Loss.
See other BTC analyzes below.
Bitcoin Market Cycle This chart tried to reflect the uncanny similarities between Bitcoin's previous cycles and will try to use that information to "predict" next market cycle top in terms of price and time.
The price is derived using Log FIB extension 1.618 and is the minimum Bitcoin has to hit.
Although Bitcoin has gone way above this extension in the past, I am going to keep things a little conservative.
The chart is aimed to not use any indicators to keep it clean but you can apply Pi cycle top indicator (which has been super accurate to make it more precise)
The chart shows how bottom of the previous bear market to the next one takes about 206 Weeks or so and how bear market lasts about 52-55 weeks while Bull market (from the bottom and not halving) is about 155 Weeks ish.
While the drawdowns are becoming less and severe by some percentage, I chose about 75% drawdown for next bottom in 2026 with price of about mid 40K.
Like someone said " All models are wrong but some are useful" this can clear some noise and provide us some timeframe when we can start taking some profits based on time and price.
Over time, I will provide update to this model if I think I can make it more accurate.
LFG!!
BITCOIN Weekly Update 05/02/2024 - 4hr breakdownHello again,
so little quick cooperation on my statement : That by prolonged time of staying in highier price range without retracing down, odds are shifting to probability of going highier with time.
So for better visibility I colored chart..
Now its clearly to see, that we stuck in price accumulation before unloading move..
But, its aswell clearly to see, that with time we slowly progressing highier, to our Buyside liquidity area and is unknown if we are willing to break to Highier range... Thats why for me is important FED high, which serve at this point of time as REVERSE point for me ... If I see price going above, and not willing to work to lower part of that range.. It should be "EARLY" signal, that there are increased odds of revisiting Highs from January and potentional more...
Thats WHY is this idea not labeled long or short...
But, if we not START to Reversing lower very soon (next 4-12 hours), odds to price pushing above 44k increasing a lot.
So AGAIN, if you decide to make move and enter the trade, using STOP LOSS is a MUST!
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 2, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has been experiencing a very tight trading range. Its progress has been obstructed by our Mean Res 43200, which has been causing a significant block jam. However, the market is anticipating a strong push through the Inner Coin Rally 44200, propelling the prices towards Mean Res 47000. This move is expected to be followed by a retest of the completed Outer Coin Rally 47500, which would signify a noteworthy milestone for Bitcoin's upward momentum. In case of a downside, the coin may retest a Mean Sup 42000 before continuing its upward trend.
Estimated date of the next Bitcoin all-time highBitcoin tends to go through 4-year cycles which are divided into 2 parts, the uptrend and the downtrend. A regular 4-year cycle consists of a 3-year uptrend followed by a 1-year downtrend also known as a bear market. So far Bitcoin has completed 4-year cycles and they’ve shown incredible accuracy.
BTC When will the Bitcoin selloff end??I've previously mentioned in a BTC (Bitcoin) trading idea that the ETF approval would be a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' event:
Now, we observe a continuation pattern with bearish divergences on the RSI.
A bearish divergence is a term used in technical analysis to describe a situation where the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator. In particular, it occurs when the price of the asset is making higher highs, but a related indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), is making lower highs.
My current price target is FWB:39K , representing the next regional support.
Bitcoin - Buy Buy BuyHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Bitcoin.
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2018 Bitcoin created an obvious resistance level at the $17.000 level. This was the all time high of the previous bullish cycle. In 2021 Bitcoin then broke above this structure and came back to retest it in 2022. So far Bitcoin is looking very bullish and it also just broke above another key structure mentioned in the analysis. If we get a retest I will be looking for longs.
--------
I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.