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BTC IN UP MOVEMENT + TRADE PLANTrend Identification: Descending Channel: Bitcoin is currently in a descending parallel channel after an uptrend, indicating a potential bullish continuation if it breaks out of this channel. Previous Uptrend: The price came from an uptrend, and descending channels often serve as continuation patterns, suggesting a higher probability of an upward breakout. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: $68,556.87: Major support near the recent low in the channel. $66,333.98: Secondary support zone that could act as a cushion in case of a downside move. $64,591.15: Historical support level providing a safety net if the price dips further. Resistance Levels: $72,198.87: Immediate resistance that BTC needs to overcome for a continued uptrend. $73,655.67: Key resistance area that, if broken, could trigger a strong bullish move. Indicators Analysis: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is close to the midpoint, indicating a neutral zone. However, an upward movement in RSI could signal increasing bullish momentum. Stochastic RSI: Currently near the overbought zone. It indicates potential upward pressure, but caution is needed as it may signal short-term exhaustion. Volume: Noticeable increase in volume around the support levels, indicating buying interest. Volume confirmation on breakout above the resistance line would strengthen the bullish case. Moving Averages: HMA (Hull Moving Average): Showing a slight upward trend, aligning with the potential breakout from the descending channel. Trading Plan Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: Enter a long position upon the breakout of the descending channel, ideally with a confirmed volume increase above $72,198.87. This would signal a possible continuation of the previous uptrend. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest of the $72,198.87 level. If the price holds above this level after retesting, it indicates stronger bullish confirmation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below $68,556.87 to limit downside risk. This area aligns with recent support, and a drop below it may indicate invalidation of the breakout pattern. Take Profit Levels: Primary Target: $73,655.67 (first resistance level). Partial profits can be taken here to lock in gains. Secondary Target: $76,000, if Bitcoin gains strong momentum after breaking through the primary target. This level could be achieved in a continued bullish scenario. Final Target: $80,000 as a psychological target, if there is sustained bullish momentum and no major resistance above. Risk Management: Position Size: Limit the position size to manage risk exposure, especially with the potential volatility in cryptocurrency markets. Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop after reaching the first target to lock in profits while allowing for potential upside. Monitoring Indicators: Volume: Continuously monitor the volume as the price approaches resistance zones. Higher-than-average volume would support the breakout, whereas weak volume could lead to a false breakout. RSI and Stochastic: Keep an eye on these momentum indicators. If the RSI and Stochastic enter overbought territory and start to diverge, it could signal a potential reversal. Timeframe: This setup appears on a 4-hour chart, suggesting a medium-term trading perspective. Reassess positions if the breakout fails to materialize within the next few days.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Bitcoin Faces Critical Week Amid US Presidential ElectionBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is at a pivotal moment, with the cryptocurrency market bracing for heightened volatility as the United States approaches a historic election. The impact of this key event, combined with a possible Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate cut, is set to make waves across digital asset markets. At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading at $68,749.84, up 0.62% over the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $35 billion and a market cap surpassing $1.35 trillion. Elevated Volatility Expected Traders are bracing for sharp moves in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as indicated by a 30-day gauge of implied volatility developed by CF Benchmarks. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, highlighted a potential swing of 8%, starkly contrasting the usual 2% fluctuation level. This suggests traders are preparing for significant market action, and expectations of volatility are reflected in the crypto options market. Political Uncertainty Looms Large The 2024 US presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability. Both frontrunners, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, have expressed distinct stances on cryptocurrency and blockchain technology, setting the stage for shifts in market sentiment. Trump has boldly positioned himself as the "Crypto President," promising to elevate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve for the United States. His strong pro-Bitcoin rhetoric, coupled with a pledge to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler—widely seen by the crypto community as an adversary—has fueled optimism among investors. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's emphasis on tech innovation has kept speculation alive about how her policies might influence the crypto market. The political landscape’s close ties to the crypto industry could be pivotal, especially with the backdrop of regulatory debates involving the SEC and CFTC. Historical Trends and Market Sentiment Historically, Bitcoin’s performance has been closely linked to major political and economic events. Notably, the cryptocurrency has often rallied following US presidential elections, mirroring trends seen in traditional markets like the S&P 500. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis of past elections reveals that 83% of election years have yielded positive returns leading up to Election Day. However, these gains moderated post-election, emphasizing the importance of timing in market strategy. Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s charts reveal mixed but potentially bullish signals. Two critical patterns are forming on the daily chart: 1. Doji Candlestick Pattern: The emergence of a Doji pattern, which indicates indecision among traders, often precedes significant market moves or trend reversals. This formation suggests that market participants are awaiting key news, such as the election results and the FOMC decision, before committing to a direction. 2. Golden Cross Formation: The market is closely monitoring a potential Golden Cross, a bullish indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. While this pattern has yet to fully materialize, it is gradually building momentum, signaling possible upside in the coming weeks. Bitcoin’s Dominance and Macro Environment Bitcoin’s dominance remains robust at 59.2%, a testament to its evolution from a peer-to-peer (P2P) technology to a global financial asset. Amid ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty, CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to be seen as a hedge against traditional financial risks. The potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week could further boost bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, making it an attractive asset for risk-on investors. Long-Term Optimism Despite Short-Term Concerns Despite near-term worries about a potential market dip or crash on election day, long-term optimism prevails. Analysts are betting on a strong rebound, with Bitcoin potentially setting a new all-time high if bullish catalysts align. The overall crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, but any positive momentum in Bitcoin could see a cascade effect on top altcoins, setting the stage for a robust market recovery.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout Incoming – $100k Target!!Bitcoin is forming a bull flag pattern on the daily chart, hinting at a potential breakout that could propel the price towards $100,000. Currently trading at $65,859, Bitcoin is testing the upper boundary of the flag, with multiple rejections seen in previous attempts to break out. This consolidation within a descending channel, following a strong upward trend, suggests a bullish continuation if the breakout is confirmed. If Bitcoin successfully breaches the flag’s resistance, the measured move from the prior leg indicates a target of $100k. Bull flags are known for signaling a continuation of the prevailing trend, and with Bitcoin’s bullish momentum intact, a breakout could lead to a significant surge. Traders should watch for a clean break above the upper trendline as a confirmation of this setup.
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
1
Yes, Bitcoin can also do this - next move to watch out1️⃣ Bitcoin is retracing to its 60-day low, giving risk-takers a chance to enter the market’s next leg up right now 🪙. No rush, wait patiently. So, are we going to go up in November? It all depends on the next 10 days. If Bitcoin can hold above $65,000–$66,000 while the 3-day indicator resets, it’ll be a prime opportunity to re-enter the market. If Bitcoin fails to hold that level, we may need to wait for the 1-week (red line) indicator to reset instead. 📈 Bitcoin has rallied 34% from September to November, hitting overbought on all cycle indicators. Just like in 2021 , the 2-week cycle (light blue line at the bottom) indicates mid-term growth, while other indicators are beginning to retrace. 🔄 📉 If history repeats (and it might), the ideal re-entry will be when the 3-day indicator (violet line) dips below 20. Let’s stop gambling and start making sustainable money in crypto.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTC targets for NovemberLocally I would like to see Correction to 64-63 after elections But we can also hold a line around 67500-68000 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Monthly we are in re-accumulation Daily would be good to see retest of this hypotetical uptrend local line Sweep of EQLow will be perfect test D fvg on 4h chart you can find the targets Let me remind you once again, regardless of who becomes the president of the USA, bitcoin will be algorithmically delivered to pre-planned targets, you cannot know the timing, only after the fact, people, guided by a logical chain, will tie each event to the bitcoin timeline to convince the crowd that bitcoin is something special! In fact, this is a simple asset that institutions use for speculation, you just can't even imagine the scale of speculation! If it were something special, this asset would never fall, right? But it has its own cyclicality, ups and downs like any other asset! The rate will most likely be reduced by 0.25! And the market will still be in uncertainty until January 20, when the president finally enters the White House Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Long
by Crypto4light
1
Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money." Gold: The Timeless Haven Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven. • Pros of Gold: o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control. o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term. o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk. o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity. • Cons of Gold: o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient. o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price. o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds. Bitcoin: The Digital Gold Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth. • Pros of Bitcoin: o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity. o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation. o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection. o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains. • Cons of Bitcoin: o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment. o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies. o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some. o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy. The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance. Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven. Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age. Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including: • Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold. • Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time. • Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk. A Balanced Approach Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
ALERT: Bitcoin just hit >$70,000!🧵 With $100,000 in sight, you might wonder if we're truly ready for this next big move. Let’s dive into the cycles to find out 👇 1/ 🔍 Cycle Analysis can help pinpoint ideal entry points for Bitcoin—and eventually, altcoins. Here’s what we’re seeing right now (see the chart above): 2/ 📊 Today’s Reading (Oct 30): All three indicators (1-day, 3-day, 1-week) are above 80, meaning we’re officially in *overbought* territory. This usually signals a potential pullback. Translation? It’s a time to *sell*, not buy 🛑. 3/ 😱 So, why’s everyone so hyped on BTC right now? It’s simple: after half a year of sideways action, people are ready to see a breakout. BTC has been stuck between $60k and $70k for seven months. Altcoins have taken a beating during this time too, making it tough to profit 🩸. 4/ 😅 After this long wait, everyone’s desperate for upward movement. Many folks bought at the last high back in March and are now shouting “BUY!” in the hopes others will push prices higher. 5/ The Bottom Line 📉 - We’re in overbought territory, which typically signals caution. - The hype is real, but a retracement could offer better entry points soon. Let’s see how this plays out! 👀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
2
BTC - NEW ATH Approaches and ALTSEASONThe first time I started talking about my outlook for BTC in 2024, was in MAY. This is the original post where I first propose the Elliot Wave theory, with a 30% multi-month correction: It's been a painful journey that required a lot of patience - but today, I am pleased to see that the idea has payed out by 95% so far. The play has always been a "multi-month" approach, and now it is the last push towards the new ATH which I believe to be anywhere from 82K upwards. _________________________ OKX:BTCUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
1
Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Derivatives Markets Signal The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a surge in bullish sentiment, driven largely by trends in the derivatives market. Analysts and traders are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's potential to reach and even exceed the $80,000 mark before the end of 2024. The Role of Derivatives Markets Derivatives markets, which allow investors to speculate on the future price of assets, have been a key indicator of market sentiment. In the case of Bitcoin, derivatives like options and futures contracts provide valuable insights into the expectations of professional traders and institutional investors. Recent trends in the Bitcoin derivatives market suggest a significant uptick in bullish sentiment. The open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts, which represents the total number of outstanding contracts, has been steadily rising, indicating growing interest from market participants. Additionally, the implied volatility of Bitcoin options, a measure of market uncertainty, has been elevated, suggesting increased expectations for price swings. The Trump Factor: A Potential Catalyst A significant catalyst for Bitcoin's bullish run could be the potential election of Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Trump's pro-business stance and his previous support for cryptocurrencies have led many to believe that a Trump presidency could be positive for the crypto market. If Trump were to win the election, it could lead to increased regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies in the U.S., which could attract more institutional investors to the market. Additionally, Trump's policies could stimulate economic growth, which could indirectly benefit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart also supports the bullish outlook. The cryptocurrency has been forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic bullish pattern known as a bullish uptrend. The recent breakout above the $72,000 resistance level has further strengthened the bullish case. Many analysts are now setting their sights on the $80,000 level, and some are even predicting a six-figure price target for Bitcoin in 2025. If Bitcoin can maintain its current momentum and break above the $80,000 level, it could trigger a significant price rally. Potential Risks and Challenges While the bullish outlook for Bitcoin is strong, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the cryptocurrency's price. These include: • Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulatory policies could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market. • Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden price swings can occur. • Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin. Conclusion The convergence of bullish factors, including the positive sentiment in the derivatives market and the potential impact of a Trump presidency, has created a strong foundation for Bitcoin's continued upward trajectory. While challenges and risks remain, the potential for Bitcoin to reach and exceed the $80,000 mark in 2024 appears increasingly likely. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - 4H Timeframe - Massive Target Achieved!The Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 4-hour chart reveals a successful long trade setup, with all pre-determined targets reached. Here's a breakdown of the key technical elements that guided this trade: Entry Point: Positioned at $61,732.3, the trade setup aimed to capitalize on a bullish momentum, as indicated by strong support above the Risological dotted trend line. Stop Loss: Strategically set at $60,316.2 to limit downside exposure while providing room for price fluctuation. Target Points: TP1: $63,482.7 TP2: $66,315.0 TP3: $69,147.4 TP4: $70,897.7 (final target successfully hit, confirming strong upward momentum ) Volume Analysis: The trading volume stands at 56.92K, with an average of 120.91K over the past 30 days, indicating a slightly below-average activity level, yet sufficient to support the trend. Bitcoin's successful breach through each target highlights robust bullish sentiment. Monitoring future price action will be crucial to gauge the sustainability of this trend, especially considering potential resistance levels post-TP4.
Long
by ProfitsNinja
BITCOIN TODAY - STILL THE KING OF THE CEREMONY (TA+TRADE PLAN)Price Levels and Resistance Zones: The chart shows several key resistance and support levels marked by blue horizontal lines. Major Resistance Levels: $73,654.77 $71,552.73 $69,730.95 Support Levels: $65,947.27 $60,061.54 $52,774.45 Bitcoin is currently trending upward, with price action near $70,734.95, approaching the resistance zone at $71,552.73. VMC Cipher B Divergences: The VMC Cipher B indicator shows bullish momentum with green dots, signaling possible upward continuation. The RSI and Stochastic lines are also above mid-levels, suggesting continued bullish momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI (14, close) is at 77.25, indicating overbought conditions. This could mean a possible retracement or consolidation in the short term. However, a strong uptrend may continue if Bitcoin maintains support levels above 70. Stochastic Oscillator: Stochastic (14, 1, 3) is also at a high level, around 86.19, indicating overbought conditions. This aligns with the RSI and could signal a need for caution on long positions until the oscillator moves back to a neutral or oversold region. HMA+ Histogram: The histogram indicates some bullish divergence, but recent bars are turning red, signaling a potential pullback or pause in momentum. Monitoring this for further bearish signs is essential, especially if it crosses below zero. Trading Plan Short-Term Strategy: Entry: Consider entering a long position on a pullback to support around $69,730.95 if bullish signals persist. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the $65,947.27 support level to limit potential downside risk. Take-Profit: Target $71,552.73 as the primary take-profit level. If momentum remains strong and BTC breaks above $71,552.73, consider holding for $73,654.77. Medium-Term Strategy: Entry: Buy on confirmation of a breakout above $71,552.73 with strong volume. Stop-Loss: A stop-loss slightly below the breakout level at $69,730.95. Take-Profit: Set a take-profit target around $73,654.77. If Bitcoin breaches this, reassess the position for potential gains towards higher levels. Risk Management: Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of the trading account on each trade. Trailing Stop: Implement a trailing stop if Bitcoin strongly surpasses $71,552.73, to lock in gains while allowing for additional upside. Monitoring Indicators: Keep an eye on RSI and Stochastic Oscillator for any signs of bearish divergence or weakening momentum. Monitor VMC Cipher B for any shift in green dots to red, which could indicate potential retracement. Overall Market Sentiment: Given the current uptrend and approach to resistance, Bitcoin shows bullish sentiment. However, indicators suggest overbought conditions, so caution is advised.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
1
Bitcoin Prints the First Golden Cross in Almost Exactly One YearWe'll have to see if it sticks but BTC has just printed a golden cross. The crazy thing is, the last golden cross occurred on October 29th 2023! This golden cross was 2 days short of exactly hitting the 1 year mark. We all know what happened after the last golden cross, over the next 4.5 months the price increased by over 116%. If you take the time to study Bitcoin's price history, it is very clear that Bitcoin has been running in 4-year market cycles. This is especially true for the last two market cycles. From bear market bottom to the next bear market bottom, the 2015 to 2018 market cycle was 1432 days in length, and the length of the 2018 to 2022 market cycle was 1438 days. Even the elapsed times between events (bottom to halving, halving to peak, and peak to bottom) during each of these cycles is very consistent. Obviously, this market cycle trend doesn't have to continue, but I believe that it will, at least for this cycle. If that is the case then I wouldn't expect the post halving bull market to begin until late October or November of this year. Looking back at the previous two cycles, the 2016 bull market started 259 days after the halving, and the 2020 bull market started 149 days after the halving. We are now 192 days past the halving that occurred on April 19th. There is always a chance that I am totally wrong and the peak in March was the peak for this market cycle and it will be all down hill from here. But, I believe the probability of that is very low. But this is just how I am approaching this market cycle, every investor needs to do their own research and make their own decisions. I also make my decisions based on my long-term view and long time horizon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
9
BITCOIN TARGETS 70000$ - BTC BULLISH MOMENTUM IS RISINGBitcoin recently broke and closed above the massive diagonal trendline that had been driving the weekly bearish trend since March 2024. This weekly breakout and close above the trendline gives me strong confidence that a bullish weekly momentum has begun. After the breakout, Bitcoin retraced into the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection. During this retracement, it also ran the daily swing liquidity and attempted to close below for six consecutive days. However, buyers defended the daily swing level strongly. This indicates that Bitcoin is likely aiming higher, with the first target set at $70,000. Other targets can be seen on the chart as well, and I’ll be watching these levels, ultimately aiming for an all-time high. I’m feeling quite bullish about the crypto market at the moment.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
1