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BTCUSD: High chance to see 75k+ soon. Here's why!Please see previous btc ideas for more context ☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!! The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Yelli_trades
7
Bitcoin looks good for a 20% upmove from current levelsKUCOIN:BTCUSDT has been hovering around and below 70k+ levels for few months now and looks prime to make an upmove after breaking this zone. If we draw a trendline using the highest close values then we have got a marginal close above the trendline this week and today, #BTC is again trying to push past it. If it manages to convincingly breakout above this trendline, we might see a 20% upmove from current levels. Keep an eye!
by YetAnotherTA
Bitcoin's Stalled Breakout: A Test of Bullish Resolve Bitcoin (BTC) ended last week with a whimper, failing to decisively break out of a bullish technical pattern and overcome key resistance levels. This has left many investors questioning the short-term trajectory of the world's leading cryptocurrency. After a price drop on Friday and a lackluster weekend, what can we expect from Bitcoin in the coming days and weeks? The Failed Breakout and Bullish Doubts The recent price action centered around a prominent technical pattern known as a bull flag. This pattern typically precedes a bullish continuation, with a price consolidation period following an uptrend. However, Bitcoin's attempt to break above the flag's resistance level at the end of the week proved unsuccessful. This failed breakout has cast doubt on the immediate bullish momentum and raised concerns about a potential reversal. Technical Indicators: A Mixed Bag Adding to the uncertainty are technical indicators that paint a conflicting picture. Some, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are hovering around neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This could be interpreted as a sign of potential buying pressure waiting to be unleashed. However, other indicators like the "death cross" – formed when the 50-day moving average dips below the 200-day moving average – have emerged, historically hinting at a possible short-term price decline. The ETF Inflow vs. Hedge Fund Shorting Tug-of-War Beyond technicals, a fascinating dynamic is playing out between two opposing forces in the market: inflows into Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and short positions taken by hedge funds. On the bullish side, significant inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have been observed. This suggests institutional interest in the cryptocurrency remains strong, potentially providing a buying force that could propel the price upwards. However, this optimism is countered by reports of hedge funds taking large short positions on Bitcoin. These bets essentially profit if the price falls. This shorting activity could act as a headwind, potentially hindering any significant price gains. Short-Term Bounce vs. Long-Term Trend While a short-term bounce from current levels seems likely, predicting the long-term direction of Bitcoin remains a challenge. The failed breakout and bearish technical indicators raise concerns about a potential downward correction. However, the underlying fundamentals, including strong institutional interest and Bitcoin's limited supply, suggest long-term bullish potential. The Bottom Line: Patience and a Multifaceted Approach For investors, the current situation necessitates a patient and multifaceted approach. Monitoring both technical indicators and on-chain data to gauge investor sentiment can provide valuable insights. Additionally, staying informed about regulatory developments and broader market trends is crucial, as these external factors can significantly influence Bitcoin's price. Ultimately, while the immediate future of Bitcoin is uncertain, one thing remains clear: the battle between bulls and bears is far from over. The coming weeks will be telling, revealing whether Bitcoin can gather enough strength to overcome the recent setbacks and continue its upward trajectory.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Breaking $72,000 as a Catalyst for a Surge to $180,000+As we closely monitor Bitcoin's price movements, a critical resistance level at $72,000 stands out. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this barrier, it could signal the beginning of a significant upward trajectory. The implications of surpassing $72,000 are substantial, potentially driving momentum that propels Bitcoin to new all-time highs. Reflecting on historical trends and market cycles, it's evident that Bitcoin is on the verge of entering a new bull market phase. Analyzing the patterns and growth from previous years, there are compelling indicators suggesting that Bitcoin's next peak is on the horizon. I anticipate that we will see Bitcoin's value soar between April and September of 2025, reaching levels above $180,000. Several factors support this bullish outlook. The increasing institutional adoption, growing acceptance as a store of value, and technological advancements within the blockchain space all contribute to the potential for significant price appreciation. Moreover, the macroeconomic environment, characterized by inflation concerns and a search for alternative assets, further bolsters the case for Bitcoin's continued growth. In conclusion, breaking the $72,000 mark is more than just a price milestone; it could be the trigger for a substantial bullish run. With the potential peak projected between April and September 2025, reaching above $180,000, Bitcoin's future looks exceptionally promising. Investors and enthusiasts alike should keep a close eye on these key levels and prepare for the opportunities that lie ahead in this dynamic and evolving market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by cryptomaki
2
Altcoin/Bitcoin AnalysisAs I always say, when I look at the ALT/BTC parity, not the Bitcoin price, I see a downward break in the 40th week of 2019. This breakdown may happen again, it is possible. After this breakout, I expect to see a scenario in which Bitcoin becomes in a channel. (70 - 50k) This scenario would also not be contrary to the macro perspective of the markets globally. Another chart that supports this scenario is the USDT dominance chart. We can think that this chart will reduce the price of Bitcoin as it rejects the uptrend and rises to decide the continuation of the trend. Seeing the rise of Bitcoin dominance in this process signals to me that some altcoins in particular will be hit hard. Therefore, there will be great bleeding in the altcoin market, except for the solid altcoins. However, the altcoins that survive this process will make ATH much more performant as Bitcoin reaches its 100k target.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by YavuzAkbay
Bitcoin 4-Year Market Cycle Visualization ChartI created this chart mostly out of boredom. I'm not sure that it has any value or that we can learn anything from it. Each 4-year period starts at the previous bear market low. You can see that the first market cycle is abbreviated, so there is a large overlap of the first 4-year period into the second 4-year period. The overlap continues to shrink in the following cycles. This chart also shows how long it took to surpass the previous all-time high after a bear market low. The time it took to surpass the previous all-time high during the second and third market cycles are similar at around 2 years. But the time it took to surpass the 2021 all-time high during this current market cycle only took 16 months. This timing is similar to the first market cycle which took 15 months to surpass the previous all-time high. Whether or not this is an indication that this current market cycle may more closely resemble the first market cycle rather than cycles 2 and 3 remains to be seen. Another similarity between the second and third market cycles is when they both peaked. Both peaked just short of the three year mark. But looking at the first cycle we can see that it peaked at almost exactly the two year mark. If this current market cycle is mimicking the first market cycle then I would expect a peak around November of this year. But if the pattern of the previous two market cycles continues this market cycle then I wouldn't expect a peak until late 2025. There is no way to predict with any certainty how this market cycle will play out. All we can do is strap in and go along for the ride. I think that is what makes this asset class so exciting, we have our own ideas about what is coming but we really never know just how crazy it will be.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
A Bitcoin Compression patternBitcoin appears to be compressing near all-time highs in what looks like an ascending triangle. Previously, Bitcoin would pierce the ascending triangle to the downside and the result would be the liquidation of all of the leverage in the system, then the price of Bitcoin would proceed to chop around more before eventually moving higher. Essentially, the ascending triangle pattern would be extended by double the amount of time, give or take. I have found this example in many uptrends in crypto and specifically in Bitcoin. While this scenario could certainly play out again, I lean more toward a sooner breakout before this type of scenario happens. Why? Quite simply - ETFs and big money have entered the market. A lot of these players are accumulating bitcoin for the long term in spot. The brokers will have a new fear to face besides waiting to liquidate people, what if they can't? It will force them to cover and the price could start driving higher sooner. This fact alone could lead Bitcoin to not follow its "usual" path of a breakdown first and an extension of its compression pattern and instead break to the upside and continue its journey further north. For now, we wait and see what happens. Cheers, TCD
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ChartDudes
Bitcoin Poised for Surge Towards $85,000?Bitcoin (BTC) bulls are back in the driving seat, predicting a potential surge towards $85,000 in the coming months. This bullish forecast comes amidst heightened anticipation surrounding key U.S. economic data that could significantly influence investor sentiment towards the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy trajectory. Technical analysts are pointing to a trendline formed by connecting several price points on Bitcoin's chart, suggesting a potential trajectory towards the coveted $85,000 mark. This technical analysis hinges on the assumption that the price will continue to follow the established trendline. Factors Fueling Bitcoin's Optimism Several factors are contributing to the renewed optimism surrounding Bitcoin: • Potential Fed Rate Cuts: The upcoming release of key U.S. economic data, such as inflation figures and employment numbers, is keenly awaited by investors. If this data indicates a softening of the U.S. economy, it could bolster expectations of a rate cut by the Fed. A dovish pivot by the Fed, potentially lowering interest rates, is generally considered positive for riskier assets like Bitcoin, as it increases liquidity in the market. • Institutional Adoption: The continual rise in institutional adoption of Bitcoin is another tailwind for the cryptocurrency. Major financial institutions are increasingly offering Bitcoin-related products and services to their clients, signifying growing acceptance and legitimacy within the traditional financial landscape. This broader institutional participation lends further credence to Bitcoin as a viable asset class. • Scarcity: With a capped supply of 21 million Bitcoins, scarcity is a fundamental property baked into Bitcoin's design. This inherent scarcity, coupled with rising demand, could theoretically drive up the price of Bitcoin in the long term. • Store of Value Narrative: Bitcoin proponents tout the cryptocurrency as a digital store of value, similar to gold. In times of economic uncertainty or inflation, investors often seek refuge in assets perceived as hedges against inflation. Bitcoin's limited supply and decentralized nature position it as a potential candidate for this role. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Case Technical analysts utilize price charts and mathematical indicators to predict future price movements. In the case of Bitcoin, some analysts are pointing towards a trendline established by connecting several significant price points on the chart. This trendline suggests a potential bullish trajectory for Bitcoin, with a target price of $85,000. It's important to remember that technical analysis is not an infallible science. Past performance does not necessarily indicate future results, and unexpected market events can disrupt even the most meticulously drawn trendlines. Challenges and Considerations While the outlook for Bitcoin appears promising, there are still challenges to consider: • Regulation: Regulatory uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrency continues to be a hurdle for wider adoption. Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate this nascent asset class. Stringent regulations could dampen investor enthusiasm. • Volatility: Bitcoin is notorious for its price volatility. This volatility can deter risk-averse investors. • Environmental Concerns: The energy consumption associated with Bitcoin mining has drawn criticism. If sustainable solutions aren't implemented, this could continue to be a black mark against Bitcoin. Conclusion Bitcoin's potential surge towards $85,000 hinges on a confluence of factors, including the upcoming U.S. economic data, continued institutional adoption, and Bitcoin's inherent properties as a scarce, digital store of value. Technical analysis also suggests a bullish trend. However, investors should be aware of the challenges posed by regulation, volatility, and environmental concerns.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Price Psychology and Game TheoryMarkets move in cycles and based on game theory . Everyone is risk averse and everyone jumps in when it appears "risk free". This is how prices would be bid up. Stocks work like auction . During Bull runs -> Highest payer - bids up the prices and the averages increase. During Bears -> it's a fire sale. BUYER has an upper hand and takes the lower prices available. It's human nature... Game theory states you buy whilst you can else you will be left behind. during "ATH" prices fly because prices are relative . Where the driver is the credit condition cycle (loose is good) and ofcourse ETFs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by citsvar
1
Bitcoin Price Approaches $72,000: A Potential Fuse for New ATHThe price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been steadily climbing in recent weeks, inching closer to a critical resistance level: $72,000. This price point holds more significance than just another round number on the chart. Analysts believe that surpassing $72,000 could trigger a chain reaction that propels Bitcoin toward new all-time highs. The Squeeze is On: Liquidations and Momentum One of the key factors fueling the significance of $72,000 lies in leveraged short positions. In the world of cryptocurrency trading, some investors use leverage to amplify their potential gains (and losses). Leveraged short positions essentially bet on the price of Bitcoin going down. However, if the price goes up instead, these positions get liquidated, meaning the investor is forced to buy Bitcoin to cover their short bet. According to data from CoinGlass, a staggering $800 million worth of leveraged short positions would be liquidated if Bitcoin surpasses $72,000. This sudden surge in buying pressure from forced liquidations could act as a powerful catalyst, pushing the price even higher. Imagine a domino effect: rising price triggers short liquidations, which in turn creates more buying pressure, further driving up the price. This positive feedback loop could propel Bitcoin towards uncharted territory. Breaking Through Resistance: Psychological and Technical Hurdles The $72,000 mark also represents a significant psychological resistance level. Previous price movements have often stalled around this point, creating a barrier in the minds of traders. Overcoming this psychological hurdle can be a self-fulfilling prophecy. Once investors become convinced that Bitcoin can break above $72,000, it can become a reality due to increased buying pressure. Beyond the psychological aspect, $72,000 also presents a technical challenge. Technical analysis, which studies historical price patterns and indicators, can reveal potential resistance and support levels. If there's a concentration of sell orders around $72,000, it can create temporary resistance, making it harder for the price to break through. However, a decisive break above this level could signal a shift in the technical landscape, potentially leading to a sustained uptrend. Investor Confidence and Market Sentiment The bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is not solely driven by technical factors. Increased investor confidence and a positive overall market environment are also playing a role. Several developments are contributing to this optimism: • Institutional Adoption: More and more institutional investors, such as hedge funds and investment firms, are entering the cryptocurrency space. This influx of capital can significantly impact Bitcoin's price. • Growing Recognition: Bitcoin is increasingly being recognized as a legitimate asset class. This growing acceptance is attracting new investors and fostering a sense of stability. • Limited Supply: Unlike traditional fiat currencies, Bitcoin has a finite supply of 21 million coins. This scarcity can drive up its value over time, especially with increasing demand. A Word of Caution: Volatility and Risk Management While the current outlook for Bitcoin is positive, it's important to remember the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Sudden shifts in sentiment or unforeseen events can lead to sharp price corrections. Investors should always approach the market with caution and implement sound risk management strategies. Conclusion: The $72,000 price point for Bitcoin is more than just a number. It represents a potential tipping point that could ignite a surge towards new all-time highs. The combination of short liquidations, overcoming psychological resistance, and positive market sentiment creates an intriguing scenario. However, investors should be aware of the inherent risks involved in cryptocurrency trading and act with a well-defined risk management plan. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can indeed break through the $72,000 barrier and ignite a new bull run.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
GOLD to zero vs BITCOIN What an awesome chart (For Bitcoin maxi's that is) here this shows Gold in relation to Bitcoin.... Here we can see the halvening (blue vertical lines) and the decline in gold value respective to Bitcoin, we can see an 80%+ decline each cycle. The next halvening date is April 2024, (Red vertical line) After the move has moved to a new low, we can see that a retracment has come in to the upside each cycle into and around the golden pocket (61.8% - 80%) . This area has already been tagged... another pattern is the influx of Volume regarding the start of 2023, dwarfing any other previous volume... I shall continue to update this thread moving forwards.
TVC:XAUBTCShort
by TraderE9
3