Bitcoinlong
IBIT | Be PatientThe market is declining rapidly, and Bitcoin remains highly volatile, making it dangerous to take risks in the current environment. I have marked the HTF (High Time Frame) demand zones as critical areas to monitor.
Trades should be based on the reactions observed in these demand zones on lower timeframes. This approach helps minimize risk while identifying potential entry points with stronger confirmation.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
BTC / USDT: Bouncing back strong from key support BTC/USDT: Bouncing Back Strong from Key Support
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing resilience 💪 as it rebounds from a critical support level, signaling potential bullish momentum ahead 📈. This key level has previously acted as a launchpad for strong upward moves, and the current price action hints at a similar scenario unfolding 🚀.
Key insights:
1. Strong support zone: BTC has bounced off a well-established support area, reinforcing its importance as a demand zone.
2. Momentum shift: Indicators like RSI and MACD are turning upward ⚡, hinting at renewed buyer interest.
3. Volume increase: Early signs of increasing volume suggest that bulls are stepping back into the market 🔥.
Steps to confirm the uptrend:
Watch for a clear 4H or daily candle close above immediate resistance levels 📍.
Monitor trading volume; a surge in volume during upward moves strengthens the bullish case 📊.
Look for higher highs and higher lows on the charts to confirm a trend reversal 📈.
Risk management strategies:
Set a stop-loss below the support level to limit potential losses 🔒.
Scale into positions gradually as bullish confirmation develops 🎯.
Avoid overleveraging; position size should align with your overall trading plan ✅.
Important note:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 and trade responsibly.
Bitcoin: Hold now, buy laterHello,
Bitcoin is a clear uptrend as the price is above the moving averages, as the picture on the left side of the chart shows. Technical indicators like Ultimate Oscillator, ADX, MOM, and MACD are bullish. However, RSI indicators are overbought, which means Bitcoin might go higher, but there'll be a better time to buy when the market corrects the overbought conditions. I hold my Bitcoins, but I won't buy any more until the upcoming correction, which might come soon.
Regards,
Ely
BTC.D Analysis: Retest of Key Area Highly LikelyBitcoin Dominance Looking
Bitcoin dominance looks very strong but BTC has entered the range. So I think dominance may follow a calmer course for a while, a few coins that have separated from the herd may make good moves in these few days, but it is too early to claim that the general atmosphere is completely bullish, because SP500 seems to be making a deep correction and is giving signals of this. I do not buy anything during the New Year, and I will not buy, but then I will spend all of these corrections with buying because I believe that 2025 will be good.
A retest of this area in BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) seems very possible based on current market behavior. This level holds significance as a potential reaction zone for further movements.
Also, I see no point in saying that this view of dominance supports the blue box analysis I shared here:
Because when BTC goes down to blue box we will see an upside move on dominance then we blue box of dominance chart will support the price, we will see an upmove on both.
Key Points:
Current Setup: BTC.D is approaching a critical area of interest.
Retest Likelihood: Market dynamics suggest a probable revisit to this zone.
Focus: Monitoring the reaction at this level for future directional clarity.
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
Bitcoin | Low Timeframe TradeIf the market breaks below the red line, I will place an order at 98.464$ as shown in the figure. This is a low timeframe trade and please do not take too much risk on it. I usually do my analysis in the high timeframe and take most of my risk there.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
Bitcoin: How to Trade the Ranges Like a ProWe are in a relative range.
The reactions from the 0.5 levels are proof of this.
In a similar analysis, I had previously made one of the best trades that could be made in BTC.
The manipulations of this range at the 0.25 and -1.25 levels are not very regular.
Also, the movements it makes are far from creating symmetry, so we cannot compare this analysis to the previous one.
How to trade here? First of all, we are not in any serious demand area and it would not be wise to assume that there is any serious resistance range.
So what will we do? We will try to find entries from the upper and lower parts of this range. My short analysis on the upper part is available here.
The initiative at the bottom can be the Range Low and the green line.
So can the price continue down without giving a short opportunity? Of course it can, in this case our stop loss order will be triggered. I don't like to take high risk in such non-serious demand areas. However, I don't want to neglect a point that can give 1 to 3-4 in the lower area of the range. If my long order comes, I will take a large part of my profit on the upper part of the range, pull my stop to the entry and open the short trade.
Don't hesitate to carry two trades in two directions, especially if the price seems to form a range. And when the price starts to go voluminously below or above the range, definitely let your stop order be executed and stop your loss.
If you think this helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share with you.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
BITCOIN | IF DECLINE GOES DEEPERThe possibility of a deepening decline appears serious, and it’s essential to stay prepared for such scenarios. I have identified my hedge short levels at the red boxes, which I consider key areas for managing risk and capitalizing on potential downward movements.
Monitoring these levels closely will be crucial to adapting effectively to the market's evolving structure.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
Bitcoin | First Line of DefenseBitcoin's first line of defense lies within the blue boxes, marking potential areas of interest. However, there are currently no significant demand zones, making it more prudent to wait for upside breakouts on lower timeframes before considering a buyer's position.
Given the uncertainty around the depth of the ongoing correction, it's wise to maintain some cash reserves to adapt to market movements effectively. Patience and careful observation will be key in navigating this phase.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active
Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record HighBitcoin's meteoric rise has captivated the world, with its price surging to record highs and traders setting their sights on even more ambitious targets. As the cryptocurrency market experiences a bullish "Santa Claus Rally," Bitcoin traders are now targeting a staggering $120,000 price level.
Bitcoin's Bullish Run and Record High
Bitcoin's recent rally has been fueled by a confluence of factors, including increased institutional adoption, growing global interest, and favorable macroeconomic conditions. The cryptocurrency has consistently broken new price records, surpassing the $100,000 mark and even reaching heights above $106,000.
However, the market's optimism has been tempered by concerns about the potential impact of a "hawkish rate cut" by the Federal Reserve. While a rate cut is generally considered bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin, a hawkish tone from the Fed could dampen sentiment and lead to a price correction.
The Fed's Impact on Bitcoin
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions have a significant influence on the cryptocurrency market. A rate cut can stimulate economic growth and increase liquidity, which can benefit Bitcoin and other digital assets. However, if the Fed signals a less accommodative stance or hints at future rate hikes, it could lead to a sell-off in the market.
Bitcoin's price has historically been correlated with traditional financial markets, and the Fed's actions can have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency's value. Therefore, traders are closely monitoring the Fed's announcements and any potential shifts in its monetary policy.
Bitcoin's Potential as a Reserve Asset
Another factor that could increase Bitcoin's price is its increasing adoption as a reserve asset by institutions and governments. Several countries have expressed interest in incorporating Bitcoin into their national reserves, recognizing its potential as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.
If major economies start accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset, it could significantly increase demand for the cryptocurrency and drive its price to new highs. This development could further solidify Bitcoin's position as a digital gold and a valuable asset for investors.
The Road to $120,000
While the $120,000 price target may seem ambitious, it is not entirely out of reach. If the bullish momentum continues, supported by strong institutional adoption, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and potential positive developments in the regulatory landscape, Bitcoin could very well surpass this milestone.
However, it is important to approach the cryptocurrency market with caution and to be aware of the inherent risks involved. Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and its price can fluctuate significantly in a short period. Traders should conduct thorough research, diversify their portfolios, and consider consulting with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent rally has been impressive, and the cryptocurrency's potential for further growth remains significant. While the Fed's monetary policy decisions and broader macroeconomic conditions will continue to influence the market, the increasing adoption of Bitcoin as a reserve asset and the growing interest from institutional investors could drive its price to new heights. As Bitcoin traders set their sights on the $120,000 target, it is crucial to maintain a balanced perspective and to be prepared for both upside and downside risks.
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High of $107k — Is $150K Next? Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has once again shattered expectations, climbing to a record-breaking $107,000. This milestone follows a 3.68% surge over the weekend, with bullish sentiment fueled by a surprising announcement from President-elect Donald Trump.
Bitcoin Price Today
Bitcoin’s recent rally can be attributed to President-elect Donald Trump’s pledge to establish the U.S. as the global center for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency innovation. During a CNBC interview on Sunday, Trump unveiled plans for a U.S. Bitcoin reserve, emphasizing the need for the country to lead in digital assets. This announcement sparked a surge in buying activity, propelling Bitcoin to its new all-time high of $106,727.
The market’s reaction underscores the growing influence of policy decisions on crypto prices. Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance has injected optimism into the market, with investors viewing it as a step toward broader institutional adoption and regulatory clarity.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,893, slightly off its daily high of $107,080. The recent breakout above the psychological $100,000 level signals strong bullish momentum. Key technical indicators suggest further upside potential:
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI stands at 71, indicating overbought conditions, historical patterns show that Bitcoin can remain overbought during strong uptrends.
2. Support Levels: In the event of a local correction, support ranges are identified at $97,500–$99,500 and $94,100. These levels could provide buying opportunities for traders looking to enter the market.
3. Resistance Levels: Bitcoin faces minimal resistance in uncharted territory. The next significant psychological level is $110,000, followed by the ambitious $150,000 target predicted by analysts.
Market Dynamics
Bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume stands at $110.4 billion, with Binance leading the charge. The exchange’s perpetual and spot trading volumes contribute significantly to Bitcoin’s liquidity. This robust trading activity underscores the market’s resilience and readiness to absorb high volumes.
Outlook: Can Bitcoin Reach $150,000?
The path to $150,000 hinges on several factors:
1. Macroeconomic Environment: Continued pro-crypto policies from global leaders could drive institutional inflows and bolster market confidence.
2. Technical Breakouts: A sustained move above $110,000 would validate the bullish continuation pattern and set the stage for a run toward $150,000.
3. Market Sentiment: Despite overbought conditions, Bitcoin’s historical performance during Q4 and Q1 suggests strong potential for further gains.
However, traders should remain cautious. The RSI’s overbought reading and the potential for profit-taking at key levels could trigger short-term corrections. Risk management is crucial, as the market navigates these uncharted waters.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s new all-time high of $107,000 marks a significant milestone, driven by both fundamental and technical factors. President-elect Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance has ignited fresh optimism, while technical indicators and on-chain metrics point to continued bullish momentum.
With $150,000 as the next ambitious target, the crypto market is buzzing with excitement. Will Bitcoin continue its ascent, or will a correction provide a breather before the next leg up? Only time will tell, but for now, the flagship cryptocurrency is firmly in the spotlight.
BTC/USD Bull Run Continuation
My analysis is pretty simple. Using moving averages, volatility, and momentum indicators, I predict a sizeable move to the upside on a daily time frame. price action has consolidated around the yellow 21 EMA and is now officially bouncing off of the 5 EMA. The last time this happened was last month in the beginning of November after we broke the all time highs within the 70K range. Momentum itself has also shifted to the upside along with volatility rising. That's pretty much it. Have a great holiday season everyone.
Bitcoin, we have to talk !FIRST AND FOR MOST, CONGRATS EVERYONE ON 100K !
Now, I don’t even know what to say, honestly. Right now, we’re in a bit of a situationship with Bitcoin.
You see those two trendlines (red and green)? Yeah, they’re a problem.
Both are drawn from the 2017 market cycle peak and the two 2021 market cycle peaks. (We can argue all day about which one was the real top, but honestly, that’s irrelevant in this situation.)
The real question is: what makes a trendline valid?
A valid trendline needs to touch three points, right? And here’s the catch—we can argue that these trendlines are missing that third peak to be considered valid.
Exactly. My point is that we might actually be making that third peak right now. If that happens, the trendline gets validated, and we’d have—ugh, I hate to say it—a market cycle top. In the best-case scenario, it’s just a local top.
The volume has been decreasing on the daily chart since we first breached 100k. This suggests there isn’t much conviction behind the slow grind higher we’ve been seeing. but hey its a grind i'll take it.
But nothing is guaranteed. Let’s just watch and tread carefully.
P.S. ETH hasn’t hit a new ATH yet, so I’m not saying it’s game over for the market. But for Bitcoin? Yeah, it might be. how and ETH is not even challenging the ATH , I don’t know.
Can Bitcoin slice through them like they don’t even exist? Yes, it absolutely can.
"That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
btc long"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Bitcoin preparing for the next move!Bitcoin is currently consolidating in an ascending parallel channel after a very sharp rally.
The most likely scenario is that it will remain in this channel for a while longer, until it ends up breaking up with the approach of Trump's presidency.
If it breaks the channel downwards, there are chances of a slightly deeper correction, and we could visit US$90K.
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis:
Current Price: $102,859.06
Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance)
Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound)
🚨 Signal:
Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉.
Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area).
💡 Strategy:
Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC.
Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces.
📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻).
🔐 Risk Management:
Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level).
Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT Continuation Setup
Trade Idea:
- Target downside liquidity to approximately $98,500 with a short, followed by a high-confluence long entry in the 4H/Daily FVG.
Short Setup:
- Target: $98,500 to capture downside liquidity.
- Stop-loss: Tight stop above $101,500 to manage risk.
- Confluence:
- 4H OB rejection.
- Rising wedge breakdown aligning with bearish structure.
Long Setup:
- Entry Zone: Around $98,500 , in the 4H/Daily FVG for a discounted entry.
- Target:
- TP1 at $101,500 .
- TP2 at $104,000 , targeting liquidity above the weak high.
- Confluence:
- 4H and daily Kijun support.
- Strong reaction potential after liquidity grab at $98,500 .
Quick Take:
This strategy aims to capture both short-term downside liquidity and the subsequent bullish continuation. Ensure confirmation on both sides for precise execution!
BTCUSDT Trade Log BTCUSDT 1H Short Setup
Trade Idea:
- Short from the micro FVG in a premium zone after rejecting an Order Block (OB).
Confluence:
- Rising Wedge: Bearish wedge structure showing signs of exhaustion.
- Bearish Divergences: RSI and CVD indicate weakening momentum.
- Macro Pressure: Bybit fined in the Netherlands for fraud; Flow Traders withdrew €157M in BTC—both signal potential bearish sentiment.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss above the OB/FVG zone.
- 1:2 RRR targeting liquidity levels below $98,000.
Quick Take:
Macro events and bearish divergences align for a strong short opportunity. Stay cautious of volatility and confirm rejection before full entry!
Bitcoin Outlook \wGenAI assisted analysisGiven that the JP Macro Trend script integrates DeMarker and momentum indicators and now includes the OBV data, we can refine the analysis and attempt to outline a more informed probabilistic outcome for the short and longer term.
However, it's important to note that probabilities in market analysis are inherently subjective and can vary widely depending on market conditions and the analyst's interpretation.
Short-Term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
Bullish Signals: If the price is trending upward, accompanied by rising OBV and the proprietary momentum indicators are in a bullish configuration, the confidence in a continuation of the uptrend might be relatively high.
Bearish Signals : If there are any bearish divergences such as price making new highs while momentum indicators and OBV fail to confirm, the probability of a price correction or consolidation might increase.
Probability Estimate : If all indicators align and confirm the current trend, one might posit a 65-75% probability of the trend continuing in the short term. In the case of divergences or conflicting signals, the probability might be adjusted down to 50-60%.
Longer-Term Analysis (1-6 months):
Bullish Scenario : Should the price maintain above significant moving averages, and the OBV continues to show volume backing up the price increases, one could maintain a bullish outlook. Watch for the momentum indicators to remain in a bullish posture without significant divergences.
Bearish Scenario : Should the OBV and momentum indicators start to show sustained divergences with price, or if the price falls below key moving averages, one might adopt a cautious stance with a higher probability of a bearish phase.
Probability Estimate: With the confirmation of the trend by OBV and proprietary indicators, one might estimate a 60-70% chance of the prevailing trend continuing . Should divergences become apparent, the probability of trend continuation might drop to around 40-50%.
Momentum GrowingThe crypto industry and Bitcoiners in particular will remember 2024 as a very successful year. That final bastion of TradFi acceptance, ETFs, was taken. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have attracted more than $34 billion in inflows. Bitcoin crossed that big psychological barrier of $100,000 and is now a 6-figure asset. Total crypto market capitalization exceeded a remarkable $3.6 trillion. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has become the most successful ETF ever launched on the market.
But as is usual in Crypto, the journey was far from straightforward. Ethereum, and many other Altcoins, lagged behind. Solana paced ahead of other Altcoins and saw more than 300% growth. Memecoins took off. In some parts of the industry, mania took hold. Pump.fun, a platform that enables anyone with a $5 wallet and an idea to create a token in two minutes, saw 4.5 million tokens launched. The Phantom wallet, commonly used for on-the-go memecoin trading, reached top positions in the App store. A particularly low point was reached when Pump.fun temporarily launched a live-streaming feature. When things deteriorated rapidly, pump.fun had to quickly disable the feature. In the last few weeks, momentum accelerated as some of the users who had quit the market with FTX' collapse returned. The prices of 'old' coins such as XRP, Cardano and others, took off.
Traders continue to wait for possible pull-backs of BTC to the $80,000-90,000 range. But for now, momentum seems to be building and instead, Bitcoin has ranged above $100k for the longest time so far over the past 24-48 hours. More momentum could be on the way. A very crypto-friendly US administration is coming. US regulatory winds against crypto are likely to shift. All the while, interest rates are likely to drop further, leading to more available liquidity in the market.
We all know that History does not repeat but it can rhyme. Bitcoin's price cycles regularly included one year of decline followed by three years of growth. If this trend continues, then 2025 may be the last, and possibly the most explosive year of this bull-cycle. For now at least we can say: momentum is growing.
DOG (GO TO THE MOON) IS MOONING THE BANANA IS FORMINGHaven'tThe DOG Meme of Bitcoin is breaking out. Notice the inverted Head & Shoulders with measured move to 0.007. Also Macro Fib puts the 2.618 target at (can't see on my chart because of publisging. somewhere around 0.015
If Not in, buy zune retest is marked.
BTC @ 63K imagine where DOG will be when BTC is 200K??
Bitcoin: The Path to $125K or Beyond?BINANCE:BTCUSDT after yesterday’s flash crash price is currently consolidating around $95,000-$98,000. The market’s bullish sentiment is fueled by factors such as record-low exchange reserves, growing demand from Bitcoin spot ETFs, and increased accumulation by long-term holders. These dynamics have significantly tightened supply, positioning Bitcoin for another potential rally.
Looking ahead, again breaking the $100,000 psychological level could pave the way toward targets of $110,000 and $125,000. Analysts highlight the influence of regulatory developments, particularly in the U.S., and the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutions as critical catalysts for its growth. Conversely, a dip below $94,000 could signal a bearish phase with support at $90,000.
The long-term outlook remains optimistic, with experts forecasting Bitcoin’s price to reach between $150,000 and $250,000 within the next year, driven by its finite supply and enhanced institutional backing. As Bitcoin’s trajectory unfolds, monitoring BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ETF inflows and macroeconomic trends will be essential to capitalize on its upward momentum.
As per technical analysis, COINBASE:BTCUSD Bitcoin has formed an ascending support line alongside a higher-high structure. This bullish pattern strongly indicates further upward momentum in the coming weeks.
In our previous Bitcoin analysis, we set a bold target of $100,000 when the price was around $60,000, despite widespread skepticism in the market. True to our prediction, Bitcoin achieved and surpassed this milestone, completing all our projected targets. Stay tuned and follow us for more accurate updates and insights into the cryptocurrency market.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT Currently trading at $97500
Buy level: Above $97,000
Stop loss: Below $90,000
Target : $125,000
Max Leverage 3x
Always keep Stop loss
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