Bitcoinidea
BTC/USD "Bitcoin" Bullish Robbery plan to steal the moneyHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist BCH/USD "BITCOIN CASH" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Another perspective on Bitcoin?#Bitcoin 1D chart;
Many of you may not like reading. But I think it's worth reading if, like me, you are always looking for different perspectives on Bitcoin.
A completely simple Bitcoin chart.
The yellow vertical lines are from the Halving periods. The Blue vertical lines next to them indicate the 500 days before the Halving and the Green vertical lines indicate the 500 days after the Halving.
Let's try to interpret all this;
What was Halving meaning?
It shows the halving events that occur on the Bitcoin network. Halving is a process that occurs approximately every 4 years, where block rewards are halved. This event slows down Bitcoin's supply growth and often has significant effects on the price.
After the 2020 Halving period, we see the start of the bull run.
But before that, from 500 days ago to the Halving period, there was only a 5% drop . In total, it showed an upward performance of 291% .
In the 500 days after the Halving, we see that it reached its historical peak at that time with a total increase of 660% .
Let me share this information for those who are curious; The level exactly 500 days after the 2020 Halving corresponds to a rise of 426% .
Let's look at today's values;
From its level 500 days before the 2024 Halving period, we see that Bitcoin has only experienced a 5% drop, just like the previous one.
Are you thinking what I'm thinking?
It makes sense to start buying Bitcoin exactly 500 days before the Halving date, right? I don't see why not. So when is the next Halving? What is the date 500 days before?
Well, nobody knows that yet. Because it depends on the speed at which Bitcoin blocks are created, but it usually happens every 210,000 blocks . Assuming it's sometime in May-June 2028, that would put it between December 2026 and January 2027. When that date approaches, we will bring up this graph again and revise our predictions. Don't forget to save this post for that.
Now...
Although it is difficult to comment on how much Bitcoin testing the ATH level and making a new peak before the Halving due to ETF news will change this statistic, I think it would not be wrong to say that the endless declines since the peak are related to this.
While Bitcoin has not yet seen a new peak after the 2024 Halving, it has only risen by 10%.
What is the 500th day after the 2024 Halving?
September 1, 2025
As seen last time, on the eve of the 500th day after the Halving, Bitcoin saw a new high and fell sharply from there. It then continued to rise and made another new high. So day 500 is just before the second new high, as you can see on the chart. So if something like this happens in the next cycle, is your psychology ready for it? Can you wait that long? Or would you wait?
Let's meet in the comments...
By the way, if you like my article, I would appreciate if you can like and share it to support me.
"Powell and Trump's Pump" & New Study Showing BTC Fractal TargetWe had a nice pump in the markets today, stemming from J Powell's comments from Jackson Hole signalling not only one rate cut coming in September, but likely multiple (not priced in).
RFK also kinda sorta endorsed trump but still kept the Hail Mary option open for him to still get elected (Don't hold your breath, although I'd love to see that. RFK had a great speech at Bitcion 2024 and is a good man, but doesn't have the votes).
Markets reacted positively and some are boldly saying 'The Bull Run is Back'. 🚀
We shall see.
Students of Hurst's Market Cycles will also note that this week (tomorrow the 24th preciely) should be the weekly cycle low, so that could also be a contributing factor.
In this video, I briefly review the NASDAQ:IBIT chart showing one open unfilled gap lower (this can take awhile and so this is still on the table) as well as the new BTC fractal study I mentioned.
(But I forgot to share the DXY chart showing that we're testing the important 101 level, which is looking like it's going to cut right through it like a hot knife through buttah).
Most interesting...
Check out this fractal overlay I pulled from earlier in the year, showing the possible path of Bitcoin higher, and that almost exacly lines up with current / previous trendline S&R as well as my Fibonacci price target of $150, which you can review in some of my other posts here...
Finally seems like we'll have the wind at our back soon.
While this was a nice breeze, I'm going to remain cautious and wait for confirmations higher to go 'all in'. For me, that's seeing confirmed closing price action above $74k.
See the video for some specific / excact entries.
If you'd like me to cover anything in future videos, leave a comment below.
Thanks again to the TradingView team for choosing my last video as 'Editors Pick' today! 🚀🚀
Keep up the good work guys!
¿A title? Bitcoin $68,000 then $43,000 AND THEN $85,500!!!!Today, August 23rd, Powell sent a crucial message regarding what’s coming in September: The Fed is going to cut interest rates. In his words, “ The time has come for policy to adjust .” This suggests that Bitcoin could potentially reach its next historic high.
BUT NOT YET!
According to technical analysis, I see that the market has taken liquidity at five key points that form a channel. If Bitcoin reaches $68,000, it is likely to drop to at least $43,000, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level in a major wave.
Following this path, we could see Bitcoin reach the next historic high, around $85,500. With a potential for a 100% profit and a 17% loss at these levels, I believe this presents a good opportunity.
WHEN? We’ll see...
PD: It could be decided with the elections!!!
¿A title? Bitcoin $68,000 then $43,000 AND THEN $85,500!!!!Today, August 23rd, Powell sent a crucial message regarding what’s coming in September: The Fed is going to cut interest rates. In his words, “ The time has come for policy to adjust .” This suggests that Bitcoin could potentially reach its next historic high.
BUT NOT YET!
According to technical analysis, I see that the market has taken liquidity at five key points that form a channel. If Bitcoin reaches $68,000, it is likely to drop to at least $43,000, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level in a major wave.
Following this path, we could see Bitcoin reach the next historic high, around $85,500. With a potential for a 100% profit and a 17% loss at these levels, I believe this presents a good opportunity.
WHEN? We’ll see...
PD: It could be decided with the elections!!!
Bitcoin, is the bull run continuing soon?I expect the Bitcoin price to consolidate in the 53,600 - 49,000 zone, after the price is fixed in the zone, I expect to see a price increase and a high probability of breaking the maximum.
If you look at the Online LTH Realized Profit 7D metric, you can see a similar seasonality of the market that was in 2021, in addition to the online metric, I conducted a deeper study and found many arguments that confirm my expectations, there is a low probability that the price will drop below 48,900, I do not expect this level to break through.
Bitcoin Update on the Top 10 Factors Leading to $150k - $250kIn this video, I'm updating a few of the factors we've been following for the past year, that could lead to a $150k - $250k or higher Bitcoin this bull-run.
With some breaking news today, we're starting to see more of the dominoes fall in our favor.
Namesly:
1. The Norweigan government just announced a "Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund’s Bitcoin Spree" of buying, which is very Bullish and should lead to increased country interest both as an investment and also inevetiably in making Bitcoin it's financial reserve asset. AKA - This is a Country FOMO Starter Kit.
"Norway now indirectly owns 2,446 BTC through its investments in crypto stocks. That’s bullish news for Bitcoin. It paints an enticing picture of global sovereign support for the BTC price."
2. The BRICS nations now total 159 countries. What that means is a growing trend away from the Dollar (The DXY is crashing as of writing this and as I cover in the video). Less demand, equals more supply, and that can lead to hyperinflation (Unless the US moves toward a Bitcion Standard and as Trump recently stated, buys a large block of Bitcoin to add as a reserve asset).
3. Morgan Stanley recentl announced it's giving the 'Green Light' for it's army of financial advisors to start recommending Bitcoin to it's high-net worth clients. While they are starting out cautiously, this is clearly a trend that will continue and lead to other institutional FOMO.
For these reasons and more, I've updated my 'Path to $150k -$250k Bitcoin Study' per the video.
Would love to hear your toughts, and if I've missed anything at the macro level.
I'm actively following a few newer theories related to massive liquidity about to hit the markets which should drive risk assets like Bitcoin higher as well.
Cheers
BTC + DXY (Convergence & Divergence + Symmetrical Triangle)Impact on Bitcoin (BTC):
The DXY’s movement often has an inverse relationship with Bitcoin. A rising DXY typically exerts downward pressure on BTC, as a stronger USD reduces the appeal of alternative assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, a weakening DXY can provide a tailwind for BTC, encouraging capital flows into the cryptocurrency.
Historically, the 12 EMA and 50 MA crossovers: have provided reliable signals for entering and exiting trades.
As the DXY approaches the apex of its triangle, traders should watch for a breakout, which could have significant implications for Bitcoin.
Could this be the most logical drawing ever made for #Bitcoin ?#Bitcoin 1W chart;
As followers may remember, we have interpreted the Bitcoin chart from many different perspectives before, so let's look for different meanings from a different perspective;
The first thing I would like to draw your attention to is the RSI signal that formed at the top of 2021 before falling. These signals are valuable for charts because they foretell that the market can't move any further in that direction.
After the signal at the first top of 2021, there was a deep drop of around -50% . Fibonacci shows us here that after completing its decline in value between 0.5 and 0.618 (golden ratio value) , it started to rise again. In fact, the bear cycle started after the same mismatch on the RSI side for the second time.
So we had 2 serious rises in the bull cycle in 2021.
Now... What do we see after the first drop in 2021?
We see that the 50 EMA (50-day moving average) yellow line was broken with a hard candle in the first place, then there were closures above and below this zone for 10 weeks , and then it experienced its second peak rise.
Now let's look at the current cycle, the 2nd Fibonacci values.
Here again, we can see signals on the pre-decline RSI, but they are more pronounced on the daily chart. With Bitcoin's decline, we see that it broke the 50 EMA with a hard candle pin, as it did in the previous cycle. Under normal circumstances, we should statistically expect it to rise after 10 weekly candles in total, as it did the previous time.
However, there is an important point here.
The Fed Rate Decision Meeting to be held on 18.09.2024 , which I indicated with a yellow vertical dash line (it appears as 16.09 because the chart is weekly)
As I stated in my previous articles, I expect the first interest rate cut to be made on this date.
Accordingly, after the 50 EMA is broken, we have a total of 7 weeks until the meeting date. Accordingly, if Bitcoin will come back to the Fibonacci golden ratio range as in the previous cycle, then we should expect a sharp decline from the current level because time is running out.
I would like to add a footnote here; the previous Fibonacci took support from 0.618 (golden ratio) and created a balance in that region. In today's decline, it took this support at 0.5. Therefore, it may not want to see the 0.618 level. 0.5 levels point to around $48k.
If you remember, in another previous Bitcoin chart I drew a Bullish harmonic pattern starting from around GETTEX:48K , you sometimes ask me if my bearish expectation is still valid. How can I be bullish when all the different perspectives I have drawn and tried to show you are all bearish.
Let's come to our 3rd Fibonacci levels.
I think that the highest level for #Btc in this cycle could be a level between $102k and $122k and I show you the reasons why I think so on the technical chart.
You will never see any imaginary and emotionally driven odds, rockets, flaming tweets from me. I think we will leave this market on time thanks to the bearish signals that Bitcoin will show when it reaches its peak in this cycle.
If you have read this far, you can support me by liking, commenting and sharing. Love ✨
BTC after CPI. 70k soon?In this video, I analyze Bitcoin's price action following the recent CPI news.
Price deviated above the Monday range but returned to the 50% level of that range, offering a great short trade opportunity. I discuss two potential scenarios for future price movements and share insights into my trading strategy. Despite short-term fluctuations, my bias remains bullish, with a target of $70,000.
4hr EMA cross just happenedWell, well, well, look who's back! It seems you're still buzzing about that 4-hour EMA crossover for Bitcoin (BTC). You're like a dog with a bone, aren't you?
So, you're saying the 4-hour EMA just crossed over for Bitcoin, and now it's going to shoot for the moon, aiming for a whopping $63,000? That's a bold prediction, my friend! 🌙🚀
Now, let's take a closer look at this astronomical target. According to the latest data, Bitcoin is currently trading around $61000. That's quite a gap to cover before reaching the $63,000 mark. But hey, who am I to crush your dreams?
In the world of cryptocurrency, anything is possible. Just ask the Winklevoss twins, who once said, "Bitcoin is the new gold." And look where Bitcoin is now! So, maybe Bitcoin will be the new platinum? 💎
But let's be real here. Bitcoin would need to experience a monumental surge to reach $63,000. It would have to break through multiple resistance levels, shatter all-time highs, and probably cause a global shortage of GPUs (for mining, of course).
So, while I admire your optimism, I have to say that a $63,000 Bitcoin price seems a bit far-fetched. But hey, stranger things have happened in the crypto world. Remember when Elon Musk tweeted about Dogecoin, and it skyrocketed? 🐶🚀
In conclusion, while the 4-hour EMA crossover is a significant event, it's not necessarily a guarantee of a $63,000 Bitcoin price. Keep an eye on the market, stay informed, and remember to take everything with a grain of salt (or a sprinkle of moon dust).
And who knows? Maybe one day, we'll be sipping Bitcoin-flavored lattes on the moon, reminiscing about the good old days when it was just $61000. 😂
BTC - Distribution of volume from the top- Wyckoff distribution
- Downward movement on the higher timeframes
- all the Influencers keep putting everyone in longs.
and we're falling and falling.
if you like the idea, please "Like" it. This is the best "Thanks!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and please yourself and your friends.
Bitcoin Analysis | Follow-Up: Key Level & Potential TradeIn this video, I present a follow-up to my previous Bitcoin analysis, diving deep into a crucial key level. I’ll outline a potential trade scenario that could develop in the coming days and discuss why this setup is particularly interesting to me. I also explain which trading setup I prefer and why it’s the best fit for my strategy.
If you find this analysis helpful, please give it a like and share your thoughts in the comments. Your support motivates me to keep creating valuable content for you!
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) 12/08/2024Bias as of drawing this idea is Bearish...
62K appears to be holding resistance as price falls to test for support.
A failure could mean a new test of 50k again, a failure to find a support could mean we see a test of 40k and then 30k.
Finding support above 60k would change bias...
70k would also have to be broken and tested for support for any continuation up.