Bitcoin Halving and Its impact on price growthExecutive Summary
BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin’s halving events have historically marked significant milestones in its price trajectory, often serving as catalysts for substantial growth. Each halving reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half, effectively decreasing Bitcoin’s issuance rate and increasing its scarcity. This predictable supply shock, combined with growing global adoption, has led to a recurring cycle of price surges post-halving.
In this analysis, I'm trying to explore Bitcoin’s price performance after each halving event, focusing on the time it takes to surpass previous all-time highs (ATHs) and reach new price peaks. Using historical data and trendline analysis, we provide insights into Bitcoin’s current trajectory following the April 19, 2024, halving, and evaluate the potential for its price to reach unprecedented levels in this cycle.
Key observations
November 28, 2012 Halving
After Bitcoin's first halving, it took approximately 368 days to surpass its previous ATH of ~$31 (set in June 2011).
New ATH (November 2013): ~$1,242.
July 9, 2016 Halving
Post-halving, Bitcoin took 266 days to exceed its prior ATH of ~$1,242 (set in November 2013).
New ATH (December 2017): $19,764.
May 11, 2020 Halving
Following the 2020 halving, Bitcoin surpassed its previous ATH of $19,764 (from December 2017) in just 161 days.
New ATH (November 2021): $69,000.
April 19, 2024 Halving (Projected)
As of December 2024, 238 days post-halving, Bitcoin has already surpassed its prior ATH of $69,000 (from November 2021) and is currently trading at $101,393.
Trendline Analysis
Drawing a trendline connecting the 2017 ATH ($19,764) and 2021 ATH ($69,000) reveals a potential upper boundary for BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin’s post-halving growth. This trendline indicates that Bitcoin may test the upper range, with a target price around $200,000 USD in the current cycle.
Risks to Consider
Macro-Economic Factors: Geopolitical events, interest rate changes, or regulatory actions could disrupt market trends.
Market Liquidity: Declining liquidity could delay BINANCE:BTCUSD price breakout despite favorable conditions.
Unexpected Events: Network-specific issues or technological vulnerabilities may impact price movements.
Recommendations
For Traders: Monitor key resistance levels and trading volumes for breakout confirmation.
For Long-Term Investors: Consider accumulating during consolidation phases for optimal entry points.
For Analysts: Keep an eye on macroeconomic indicators and Ethereum’s network activity to validate price movement projections.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s consistent post-halving price surges underscore the significant role halvings play in shaping its growth trajectory. Historical data and trendline projections suggest that Bitcoin has the potential to reach unprecedented highs in this cycle, with a plausible target near $200,000 USD. While macroeconomic factors and market dynamics may influence short-term movements, the long-term growth pattern remains compelling for investors and analysts alike.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risks, and readers are advised to conduct their own research.
Bitcoinidea
#BTC/USDT Urgent Update!BTC experienced a correction, but it can be seen as just a minor dip compared to the carnage in altcoins.
This kind of surprise is bound to happen along the way. One thing is certain: Bitcoin is far from done, and altcoins haven't even begun to show their real potential.
Looking at the chart, BTC held the support and looks ready for a new ATH.
As long as $90k holds, BTC will likely hit $110- $115k.
Dyor, this is not financial advice.
If you decide to exit now, the only thing you'll likely do in a few months is regret it. Plan wisely.
I will be posting more updates on this week.
If you agree, please click the like button and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin's Critical Juncture: A $100K Test or a Bearish Turn?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently reached a critical juncture. Its price action has formed a key support level that bulls must defend to maintain the upward momentum and potentially pave the way for a new $100,000 price push.
A Pivotal Support Level
After a period of consolidation and recent price volatility, Bitcoin has found support at a significant level. This level acts as a crucial line in the sand for the cryptocurrency. If bulls can successfully defend this support, it could signal renewed bullish sentiment and potentially trigger a fresh rally towards the coveted $100,000 price target.
Bullish Resilience
Despite facing headwinds from broader market volatility and regulatory uncertainty, Bitcoin bulls have shown remarkable resilience. The recent bounce from the key support level underscores this bullish sentiment. It demonstrates the underlying strength of the market and the unwavering belief of many investors in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
A Glimpse into the Future: A Golden Warning
However, a closer look at Bitcoin's performance relative to gold raises some concerns. By analyzing historical price patterns, a potential bearish fractal has emerged. This fractal, when compared to previous market cycles, suggests that Bitcoin may be due for a significant correction, potentially as much as 35%.
This bearish signal stems from the fact that Bitcoin's price against gold has reached resistance levels that historically coincided with the start of bear markets in 2018-2019 and 2021-2022. While this fractal analysis provides a valuable perspective, it's essential to remember that market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
The Road Ahead
The coming weeks and months will be pivotal for Bitcoin's price trajectory. If bulls can successfully defend the key support level and maintain the upward momentum, a new $100,000 price push could be on the horizon. However, if the bearish fractal plays out, a significant correction may be inevitable.
It's crucial to approach Bitcoin investing with a long-term perspective and a risk management strategy. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and price fluctuations are to be expected. By staying informed, conducting thorough research, and diversifying investments, investors can navigate the complexities of the market and position themselves for potential rewards.
Key Takeaways:
• Bitcoin has reached a critical support level that bulls must defend.
• A successful defense could trigger a new $100,000 price push.
• A bearish fractal suggests a potential 35% correction.
• The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and price predictions are uncertain.
Additional Considerations:
• Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, interest rate policies, and geopolitical events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
• Regulatory Environment: Regulatory positive and negative developments can influence investor sentiment and market dynamics.
• Technological Advancements: Ongoing technological advancements in the blockchain space can drive innovation and adoption, positively impacting Bitcoin's long-term prospects.
By carefully considering these factors and maintaining a balanced approach, investors can navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market and position themselves for potential rewards.
When is the Right Time to Reenter?You see those two green stripes? That’s where I bought:
1️⃣ First Stripe:
- Indicators Alignment: The **1-Day, 3-Day, and 1-Week Cycles** were all below 20, signaling a strong buy.
- Retracement: The market had retraced ~12%, confirming the **bullish trend** was still intact.
- Cycle Low: The **60-Day Cycle low** was just around the corner.
- Key Level: When the **$40K level** broke, the **bottom volatility** confirmed we were bottoming in the **60-Day Cycle**.
- 🔍 **Did I catch the exact bottom?** Rarely—but I waited for the **1-Day Cycle to reset** and bought again at the **second green stripe** in early February.
2️⃣ The Result:
- The market resumed its climb, gaining another **50%** from my entry point. 🚀
The Current Plan
📝 I’ll take a similar approach this time:
- 1-Day & 3-Day Cycles: Plan to reenter when both indicators drop below 20 —without waiting for the 1-Week Cycle to reset fully.
- Why? A left-translated cycle (concept by Bob Loukas, 2022) suggests this could still be a great entry point.
📊 Historical Data: Strongly supports this strategy.
Stay patient, and let the cycles guide your reentry. 🚦📈
BTCUSD // Levels matchedwww.tradingview.com
Friends, the levels are given on very high time frame which is weekly.
The smartness here is, the Cup is inside another cup.
The Fibonacci retracement target level is exactly matching where Cup and Handle target is.
So, we can consider its reliability.
I would love to see your comments for improvement if there is any. Request you to please provide your honest feedback.
Good luck.
Can Bitcoin Sustain Its Meteoric Rise and Reach the $110,000 MarBitcoin's Meteoric Rise: A Rally Towards the $100,000 Mark
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has once again defied expectations, surging past the historic $100,000 milestone. This remarkable achievement comes amidst a backdrop of sluggish performance in traditional assets such as oil, gold, and the S&P 500 index.
A Bullish Outlook for 2025
Analysts are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory, with some predicting that the rally will continue well into 2025. This bullish sentiment is fueled by a confluence of factors, including growing institutional adoption, increasing regulatory clarity, and a strengthening global economy.
As more traditional financial institutions and corporations embrace Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency's legitimacy and mainstream appeal have surged. This institutional adoption has significantly contributed to the price surge, as large-scale investors seek to diversify their portfolios and gain exposure to the emerging digital asset class.
Furthermore, regulatory developments around the world have played a crucial role in shaping Bitcoin's future. While regulatory frameworks vary across different jurisdictions, increased clarity and supportive policies have fostered a more conducive environment for cryptocurrency investment.
A Closer Look at the Technical Indicators
Despite the impressive rally, technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin's upward momentum may be losing steam. The "Choppiness" index, a measure of price volatility, has been steadily increasing, indicating a potential shift towards a more sideways market. While the $100,000 level represents a significant psychological barrier, breaking through the $110,000 mark may prove to be a more challenging task.
Long-Term Holders: A Sign of Strength or Weakness?
The behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders has also sparked debate among market analysts. Some argue that the increased accumulation of coins by long-term holders is a bullish signal, suggesting strong conviction in the cryptocurrency's long-term potential. Others, however, believe that this could be a sign of impending weakness, as long-term holders may be preparing to sell their holdings at higher prices.
The Future of Bitcoin: A Fork in the Road
As Bitcoin continues to evolve, several key questions remain unanswered. Will the cryptocurrency achieve widespread mainstream adoption, becoming a staple in investment portfolios worldwide? Or will it face increased market volatility and regulatory hurdles, potentially leading to a price correction?
Furthermore, the future of Bitcoin may be intertwined with the development of innovative technologies such as blockchain and decentralized finance (DeFi). These emerging technologies have the potential to revolutionize various industries, including finance, supply chain management, and healthcare.1
Investor Sentiment: Hold, Sell, or Buy More?
Retail and institutional investors alike are grappling with the decision of whether to hold, sell, or buy more Bitcoin. While the cryptocurrency's recent performance has been impressive, it's essential to approach investment decisions with caution and conduct thorough research.
As with any investment, it's crucial to consider your risk tolerance, financial goals, and long-term investment horizon. Diversification is also a key strategy to mitigate risk and optimize returns.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's journey to the $100,000 milestone is a testament to its resilience and transformative potential. While the future remains uncertain, the cryptocurrency's underlying technology and growing adoption continue to drive its value. As the digital asset landscape evolves, it's imperative to stay informed and adapt to the changing dynamics of the market.
BTC CME Regression Trend Re-visiting an old chart, I put in a regression trend channel on March 11 2024, before the halving. BTC has just come back to the bottom part of that channel. Should retest bottom, then middle, another test, then test the top , in theory. nothing about the next 6 months is known. watch the liquidity cycle. Gonna get crazy, be safe, hardware wallets everyone!
Where from here? my thoughts are $225K, but..., ladder out at fibs, the 61.8's
Bitcoin Going to Zero ? The End of Bitcoin ?Before you all feel any trauma or alarm from the title, I urge you to stay calm and read this idea carefully to understand the broader perspective.
History of Bitcoin: The Rise of Decentralization
Bitcoin's journey began in 2008, when an anonymous figure under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto introduced it through a white paper titled Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. Nakamoto’s vision was to create a decentralized currency, free from government or central bank control, using blockchain technology. The first block, called the genesis block, was mined in January 2009, marking the birth of Bitcoin.
Despite Nakamoto's critical role in Bitcoin's inception, his true identity remains a mystery, leading to much speculation over the years. Some have theorized that he could be a single individual, while others suggest that Nakamoto could be a group of people or even a government agency. After releasing the software and participating in the early days of the network, Nakamoto gradually withdrew from public involvement, leaving the Bitcoin community to grow independently. This disappearance into the shadows has only added to the intrigue and mystique surrounding the cryptocurrency's origins.
While Nakamoto remains a key figure in Bitcoin's history, he has remained silent since 2011, with no clear explanation as to why he stepped back.
1. BIS: The Puppet Master of Global Finance
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is often referred to as the "central bank of central banks" due to its unique role in fostering international monetary and financial cooperation. Established in 1930, it serves as an umbrella organization for central banks worldwide, providing a platform for collaboration and offering banking services to them. The BIS is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland, and its primary objectives are to promote financial stability, monitor economic trends, and facilitate communication between global central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and others.
Over time, the BIS has played a crucial role in shaping global monetary policies, overseeing financial markets, and fostering agreements between the world's leading financial institutions. It is instrumental in setting regulatory standards and guidelines that many countries' central banks follow. This level of control and influence positions the BIS at the centre of international financial governance, which is critical when discussing the future of currencies, including Bitcoin and the potential shift to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
As a body that influences the direction of global banking, the BIS has been actively involved in discussing and exploring the future of digital currencies. Given the growing interest in decentralized cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, the BIS has expressed concerns over the stability of decentralized systems and has advocated for centralized digital currencies to ensure that monetary policy can remain under control, furthering the possibility of a CBDC rollout in the future.
3. Why Bitcoin’s Fall to Zero Could Be a Strategic Move
Now, with global economies struggling under record-high debt levels, central banks might see Bitcoin as a bubble ready to pop. The BIS could leverage its influence to push for a CBDC revolution, positioning these centralized digital currencies as “safer” and more reliable alternatives to Bitcoin. By orchestrating a dramatic collapse in Bitcoin, the narrative could shift, convincing the public that decentralized currencies are unstable and unsustainable.
CBDCs are fundamentally different from Bitcoin:
- Fully controlled by central banks.
- Allow tracking and surveillance of every transaction.
- Provide central banks the ability to impose negative interest rates or freeze funds.
This shift would mark a return to centralized control, with individuals losing the financial freedom Bitcoin promised.
4. Was This the Plan All Along?
It’s not far-fetched to believe that Bitcoin’s rise and fall have been part of a larger test. During the pandemic, Bitcoin surged on the back of mass media promotions and institutional FOMO. Billionaires like Elon Musk promoted Dogecoin and Bitcoin, fuelling speculative buying. Yet, when the dust settled, the same institutions that promoted Bitcoin quietly accumulated it during crashes.
With Bitcoin at $100,000 now, the euphoric belief in its unstoppable rise mirrors past market bubbles. Could this be the final phase of Bitcoin’s journey before an engineered collapse leads to the introduction of CBDCs as the “solution”?
5. What’s Next?
If Bitcoin does crash to zero, it will be a defining moment for cryptocurrencies and global finance. CBDCs would emerge as the dominant narrative, backed by the BIS and central banks, with promises of stability, security, and control. However, it would come at the cost of financial freedom and decentralization.
Disclaimer:
The post explores possibilities based on historical trends, institutional behaviours, and emerging global financial strategies. While I am not claiming that Bitcoin will inevitably fall to zero, we cannot ignore the potential for this to occur, especially as major players like the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) push for a centralized currency system under the guise of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
The BIS, as the central bank of central banks, is focused on pushing for a centralized, controlled financial system, and this has implications for decentralized systems like Bitcoin. They are aiming to promote their agenda of centralization, and in doing so, they seek to control the masses through monetary power, which is in direct opposition to the fundamental principles behind Bitcoin’s decentralized nature.
This is not final financial advice, nor am I claiming Bitcoin will necessarily collapse to zero. However, the possibility cannot be ignored, especially when considering the global financial forces at play. I urge you to think critically and keep an open mind regarding these dynamics. What we are witnessing may just be the beginning of a new chapter in the future of money and its control. Let’s keep a close eye on how this unfolds.
What Do You Think? Could Bitcoin's journey be part of a larger plan to usher in CBDCs? Are we witnessing the twilight of decentralized finance? Share your thoughts and perspectives below, and share this to make people aware :)
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to pump up late yesterday with the following three News and the important resistance of $100,000 seems to be broken:
1- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell: Bitcoin is like gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), not dollars.
2- President Putin says, “Bitcoin, Digital Assets will continue to develop".
3- 'Who's Laughing Now?' NYC Mayor Eric Adams Boasts About Bitcoin Paychecks
⚠️Note: As I said in previous posts, the crypto market has become more dependent on the news and reacts to any development or news in the world, so capital management should be observed more than before.⚠️
Let's now look at the analysis of Bitcoin after yesterday's pump .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support zone($99,600-$98,620) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 , and we should wait for the start of wave 5 . The wave 4 structure is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start increasing again after the end of wave 4 and attack the Resistance line . If the resistance line breaks, it can at least go up to the previous top($104,088) .
⚠️Note: We should wait for Bitcoin to fall further if Bitcoin goes below the Support line and the Support zone($99,600-$98,620).⚠️
⚠️Note: Due to the Sharpie movement of wave 3, BTC may not even create a new All-Time High(ATH) (wave 5 will be Truncated). ⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Parallel Channel in Daily ChartOn the BTCUSD daily chart, we can observe that Bitcoin's price has been oscillating within a well-defined parallel channel. The upper trend line acts as resistance, while the lower trend line serves as support. This channel has been respected multiple times, making it a reliable indicator for future price movements.
Key Observations :
Resistance and Support :
The upper trend line has consistently acted as a resistance level, limiting the upward movement of BTC.
The lower trend line has provided strong support, preventing significant downward breakouts.
Price Action:
The price has touched the upper trend line many times, indicating a strong resistance level.
Similarly, the lower trend line has been tested few times, confirming its role as a robust support level.
Potential Breakout :
A breakout above the upper trend line could signal a bullish trend continuation, leading to higher price levels.
Conversely, a breakdown below the lower trend line might indicate a bearish trend reversal, resulting in lower price levels.
Technical Indicators:
To complement the parallel channel analysis, I have included the following technical indicators:
50-Day Moving Average (50 DMA): Provides a smoothed trend direction.
200-Day Moving Average (200 DMA): Indicates long-term trend direction and potential reversal points.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Indicates overbought or oversold conditions.
Conclusion:
The parallel channel on the BTC daily chart provides valuable insights into potential price movements. Traders should watch for a breakout above the upper trend line for a bullish signal or a breakdown below the lower trend line for a bearish signal. Additionally, keeping an eye on the included technical indicators can help confirm these signals and enhance trading decisions.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Unpopular opinion; BTC at 100kShort and sweet; Btc is quite a bit oversold on the weekly rsi, and looks like it might be forming a bearish divergence. Price has hit the 1.618 reverse fib retracement. BTC hasn't traded above the red trend line, stretching back to the highs of 2017. Sad as it might be to say, we are at or very near the end of this run.
Triangle Consolidation on Bitcoin (BTC)Hello,
Current Price: $94k.
Chart Pattern: Triangle
Trend: Consolidation/Sideways
Trade: You may try a long position if BTC stays within the triangle or breaks upwards. Breaking the triangle downward would invalidate the long position ideas and have a bearish indication.
Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin | Liquidation of Highly Leveraged LongsBitcoin's price movement often reflects a balance between bullish sentiment and market corrections. In this scenario, we anticipate an upward trend overall. However, there is a potential for a short-term dip caused by the liquidation of highly leveraged long positions.
When a large number of traders enter long positions with high leverage, it creates a fragile market structure. If the price dips slightly, triggering stop losses or margin calls for these leveraged positions, a cascade of liquidations can occur. This sell-off pressure can temporarily drive the price down.
In such a situation, the orange box represents a strong support zone, likely characterized by high buying interest or significant historical price activity. As liquidations occur and the price approaches this area, it is expected that buyers will step in, absorbing the sell pressure and stabilizing the price. This makes the orange box a key level for potential reversals or consolidation before the upward momentum resumes.
My last bitcoin analysis. 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
This explanation highlights the importance of understanding leveraged dynamics and support zones in Bitcoin trading.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. Trading doesn’t have to be overly complicated, and I enjoy sharing setups that have worked well for me.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. It’s all about learning and growing together as traders, and I’m here to share what I see.
The markets can confirm what the charts whisper if we’re paying attention. I hope these levels help you as much as they’ve helped me in the past. Let’s see how this plays out!
My Previous Hits
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
At the end of the day, trading is a journey. I’m happy to share mine, and I’d love to hear your thoughts as well. Let’s keep learning and improving together. 😊
Bitcoin Bulls Beware: The "Mother of All" Head & Shoulders Is LuOh, Bitcoin. The gift that keeps on giving—and by giving, I mean serving up enough drama to rival a reality TV show. 🎭 Right now, the charts are screaming something that no bull wants to hear: “Head & Shoulders Incoming!” Yep, the "Mother of All" Head & Shoulders patterns is staring us dead in the face. 👀 So let’s talk about it—before you YOLO your life savings into the next parabolic trap. 🚀💸
The Head & Shoulders: Bitcoin’s Drama Queen Moment 👑
Let me break it down for the bulls who are too busy chanting “TO THE MOON!” 🌕 to notice the iceberg ahead. ❄️
The Head & Shoulders pattern is the chart equivalent of a red flag 🚩. Imagine this:
🟢 Left Shoulder: A confident high—Bitcoin strutted its stuff back in 2021, reaching new heights.
🟢 The Head: Fast forward to now, where we’ve hit $95,000 and everyone’s acting like Bitcoin’s the next messiah. ✝️
🟢 Right Shoulder (Projected): Oh, honey, this is where it gets juicy. That weaker rally you’re about to see? It’s Bitcoin saying, “I’m tired. Let me rest.” 🥱
And the neckline? That’s the last thread holding this fragile rally together. Snap it, and we’re not just falling—we’re BASE jumping without a parachute. 🪂
Why This Pattern Is a Bull Killer 🐂🔪
The Neckline is the Guillotine:
If Bitcoin breaks below the $68,000-$72,000 zone (the neckline), it’s game over. 🎮 Expect the bears 🐻 to drag prices down faster than a meme stock crash. Think $12,000-$16,000. Ouch. 🩹
Parabolic Moves Always End Badly:
Every bubble in history starts with euphoria and ends with tears. 🥲 Remember 2017? Yeah, me too. If your strategy is “buy high, pray higher,” consider this your intervention. 🙏
Smart Money is Already Exiting:
While retail investors are busy chanting, "HODL!" 🗣️, the big players are already cashing out. You’re not buying the future; you’re buying someone else’s exit strategy. 🏃♂️💸
The Bull Arguments (and Why They’re Hilarious 🤡)
Let’s address the hopium-filled arguments Bitcoin bulls love to make:
“Bitcoin’s going to $1 million!”
Sure, and my grandma’s starting a TikTok empire. 🙄 Hyperbolic targets are fun until you realize they’re marketing tactics for bag holders. 🎒
“This time is different!”
Yes, this time is different—it’s a bigger bubble with more memes. 🐸💥 The math doesn’t care about your feelings.
“Buy the dip!”
At $12,000, you’ll be wondering, “Which dip were they talking about?” 🕳️ Spoiler: It’s not this one.
What’s Next? The Wild Ride Ahead 🎢
So, what should you do while Bitcoin flirts with financial disaster? 🤔
For the Bulls: Tighten those stop losses! If you’re still screaming “HODL,” you’d better enjoy emotional rollercoasters. 🎢
For the Bears: Grab some popcorn 🍿 and wait. When the neckline breaks, it’s gonna be a feast.
For Everyone Else: Stop trading like you’re gambling in Vegas. 🎲 Learn some strategy, or better yet, join our Road to a Million Club 🚦 where we teach you how to trade smart and avoid emotional wreckage.
Final Word: Don’t Be the Greater Fool 🧠
Bitcoin’s meteoric rise is mesmerizing. But remember, meteors burn out. 💥 This Head & Shoulders pattern is the market’s way of saying, “Party’s over.” 🎉 You can keep pretending the moon 🌕 is within reach, or you can wake up and start playing the game strategically.
Join the Road to a Million Club 🌟 if you’re ready to stop chasing dreams and start creating real wealth. Because when Bitcoin decides to tumble, it’s the prepared who’ll walk away richer. 💼💎
Stay sharp, stay sarcastic, and don’t let the bulls take you down with them. 🐂💔
Bitcoin BTC Analysis By Skyrexio: Correction To $85k Is IncomingHello, Skyrexians!
In our last Bitcoin analsys we pointed out how BINANCE:BTCUSDT will break $100k and why it's not going to happen with the first attempt. There we expected correction before the bullish continuation. Now it looks like our scenario is playing out. Let's look in details when this correction will be over.
Let's take a look at the 4h time frame. We can see there the large wave 3 which has been finished almost at $100k. This wave consists of 5 Elliott waves inside. All this small cycle has been finished with the bearish divergence and the red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . You can see two red dot. On low time frames, like 4h it's needed more than signal to have the high probability of reversal.
Large wave 3 is finished and now it's time for wave 4. This wave is likely to be the zigzag ABC. Waves A and B have been already printed, now price is I wave C. The target for this dump is clear, waves 4 tend to reach 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels. Moreover the wave 4 of lower degree usually ends at the same zone. As a result we have the very strong potential reversal level at $85k approximately. After reaching this zone expect the bullish continuation to the target $107k.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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BTCUSD Trade LogBTC Long in 4H FVG
Entry : Within the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) at a relative discount level.
Risk Management : Risk 1% of your trading capital, incorporating any commissions.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) : 1:2 (set the take-profit at twice the distance of the stop-loss).
Take-Profit (TP) : Position the TP below the 1-hour bearish FVG, which has signaled a potential short opportunity.
Confirmation : Ensure a strengthening uptrend in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) to confirm increasing buying pressure.
This strategy balances the long opportunity while respecting potential bearish setups in shorter time frames.
Bitcoin Ending of 2024Bitcoin Price Forecast: A Nocturnal Market Analysis
In the world of cryptocurrency, the twilight of the market reveals hidden patterns. As Bitcoin stands at its current threshold, we anticipate a compelling journey that starts with a retracement toward key support levels, setting up a crucial bounce.
Phase 1: The Pullback to $85K
Bitcoin's recent rally has brought us into an area of overextension, and with any strong upward momentum, a healthy correction is inevitable. The market will likely test the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level, located near $85,000. This zone marks a natural retracement point where the market will digest its prior gains, drawing in buyers looking to capitalize on discounted prices.
Phase 2: The Bounce
Upon reaching this critical support level, the market will reveal its true potential. The 2.618 Fibonacci level isn't just a number; it's the point at which bulls typically gather strength. Expect a strong bounce here, as this level has historically shown resilience, and it could set the stage for an explosive move upward.
Phase 3: A Rise to the 423.6 Fibonacci
Once the 2.618 level holds and Bitcoin begins its ascent, the next target lies at the 423.6 Fibonacci extension. This level, a key resistance zone, represents the potential to propel Bitcoin to new heights. The $150K+ region will become a focal point for the market, as Bitcoin positions itself for its next major leg up.
Is Bitcoin's Liquidity Index a Reliable Indicator for PredictingBitcoin (BTC) has been making significant strides in recent times, and a new analysis suggests that the cryptocurrency could reach a local top of $102,000 by January 2025. This prediction is based on the behavior of Bitcoin's liquidity index, a metric that measures the ease with which Bitcoin can be bought or sold.
The Significance of Bitcoin's Liquidity Index
The liquidity index is a crucial indicator of market sentiment and potential price movements. A higher liquidity index suggests increased investor interest and a stronger demand for Bitcoin. Conversely, a lower liquidity index may signal waning interest and potential price declines.
Historical Correlation Between Liquidity Index and Bitcoin Price
Historical data reveals a strong correlation between Bitcoin's liquidity index and its price. In the past, periods of high liquidity have often preceded significant price rallies, while periods of low liquidity have coincided with price corrections.
The 2025 Prediction
Based on the current trend of the liquidity index, analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach a local top of $102,000 by January 2025. This projection is supported by the historical correlation between the index and Bitcoin's price.
However, it's important to note that this prediction is based on the assumption that the historical correlation between the liquidity index and Bitcoin's price will continue to hold. While this assumption is reasonable, it's not guaranteed. Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price trajectory, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and geopolitical events.
Potential Correction After the Peak
Following the projected $102,000 peak, Bitcoin may undergo a correction to around $70,000. This potential correction could be driven by profit-taking, overbought conditions, or a shift in market sentiment.
Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price
Several factors could impact Bitcoin's price in the coming months and years:
1. Macroeconomic Conditions: Global economic conditions, such as inflation rates, interest rates, and GDP growth, can significantly influence Bitcoin's price.
2. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can boost investor confidence and drive Bitcoin's adoption.
3. Institutional Adoption: Increased adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, can provide significant price support.
4. Network Upgrades: Technological advancements and network upgrades can enhance Bitcoin's scalability and efficiency, attracting more users and investors.
5. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment, including fear, greed, and speculation, can play a significant role in short-term price fluctuations.
Conclusion
While the liquidity index suggests a potential $102,000 peak for Bitcoin by January 2025, it's essential to approach this prediction with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and unforeseen events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial advisors before making any investment decisions. It's also crucial to diversify one's investment portfolio and manage risk effectively.
As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, its long-term potential remains significant. However, investors should be prepared for both upside and downside volatility in the short term.
#BTCUSDT: Bitcoin to 100k is not far now! Get ready In our previous chart, we identified a potential swing buy planning area at 60k, where we anticipated a price reversal. The price subsequently reversed and is currently at 68k. Examining the price behavior in this pattern, we observe a Wyckoff strategic pattern on the two-day timeframe. The pattern has been completed, and the price is currently in a distribution phase. Potential targets include an all-time high, with 80k as the next target, followed by 90k and a final target of 100k. While this may seem optimistic, we base our actions on observed price behavior, which currently indicates the potential for a significant move. We appreciate your feedback and encourage you to follow for more insights.
Bitcoin Analysis Base On Eliott Wave Theor and Macro EconomicsBitcoin Projection
Base On Technical Analysis Eliott Wave Theory & Macro Economics
Target Price (Bullish Scenario) :
🔹$108.000 = Fibo Extend 1.272
🔹$134.000 = Fibo Extend 1.414
🔹$182.000 = Fibonacci Extend 1.618
INDEX:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Be Careful :
🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K.
🔹BTC is now in the final Impulse Wave (Wave 5). When Wave 5 finishes, a deeper correction might happen
DISCLAIMER :
🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K.
🔹 Fibo Extend 1.618 is hard to visit, it'll take a while & need some corrections.
🔹Consider trailing TakeProfit in $108K-$134K (In case BTC successfully breakout from $100K)
🔹Be careful of unexpected bad news.
🔹Watch US inflation rates during The FED's rate cuts, as higher liquidity will boost purchasing power and impact inflation.
🔹ETF's Inflow have entered too much, one day hedge funds will taking profit, be careful !.
🔹Donald Trump's company tax cut policy will impact to inflation. If it happens, The FED might have to stop rate cuts, or even raise interest rates.