M2 needs to move to historic trend to avoid massive risks.The United States has the capacity to bailout the retirement system for Boomers and Millennials if we do not blow the "dry powder" of American Exceptionalism on pumping up the economy and markets for political and 1%er gains.
America will be at peak Boomer dependence on Social Security & Medicare around 2030 and will not see a reduction of that dependence until more Boomers have crossed the Rainbow Bridge than Xers retiring. During the 2040s there will be a reprieve for the retirement system, but then in the 2050s the Millennials retire putting strain back on.
The United States needs a sustained period of 3%+ GDP growth, moderate to low energy prices and productivity gains driven by technology. America should probably also merge & standardize Medicare & Medicaid to eliminate waste and fraud (Trumpcare?), as well as, start putting about 20-25% of Social Security payroll taxes into the S&P 500, 600 & 400 indexes with the rest in special 3% rate UST in the "lockbox" that Al Gore talked about 25 years ago. That will require seed money in the form of $10-20 trillion of QE, aka, the dry powder we can't waste.
Beyond Technical Analysis
BTC - What the Next Movement? Wyckoff MethodThe Wyckoff Range typically manifests as horizontal price action (sideways movement) on a chart. It represents a phase where supply and demand reach a temporary balance, and large institutional players accumulate or distribute their positions.
Wyckoff Range manipulations are deliberate actions by large market participants (like institutions or "composite operators") to deceive retail traders, creating a false sense of market direction. These manipulations are integral to the Wyckoff Method, designed to exploit liquidity and accumulate or distribute large positions without causing significant market impact.
UKOIL - Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key swing low and left untouched swing high.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
EURGBP Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.83500 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.89750 zone, AUDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.89750 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
RUM Rumble Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought RUM before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 6usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOLD IS READY TO FALL As I expect, that gold will fall when it reaches at the area of SBR, which is in D1 Timeframe and H4 Trendline area.
We have seen that gold has fall since last two weeks, and flown from the level of support of Little Timeframe.
As you can see that, sometimes gold fall and sometimes gold fly but it follows the scalping setups right?
lets talk about my idea, there is a SBR in D1 Timeframe and there is a area of trendline in H1,H4 Timeframe. H4 has Bearish Eng and has failed bullish Eng in H1 and H4 Timeframe.
ENTRY POINT : 2632 at the area of failed Eng.
STOPLOSS : 2651 and Target is 2585.
Don't forget to use stop loss on your trades.
stay tune for update, don't forget to share your idea on this post.
NBIS Nebius Group Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetNebius Group N.V. (NBIS) presents a compelling bullish case for a potential doubling of its stock price by the end of 2025, driven by several fundamental factors that highlight its growth trajectory within the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure market.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has made a significant investment in Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), contributing to a $700 million funding round aimed at expanding Nebius's AI infrastructure capabilities. This investment aligns with NVIDIA's strategic focus on enhancing its presence in the rapidly growing AI market.
Explosive Revenue Growth:
Nebius Group has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth, with Q3 2024 revenues reaching $43.3 million, representing a 1.7-fold increase compared to the previous quarter and a staggering 766% year-over-year increase. This surge is primarily driven by the company's core AI infrastructure business, which grew 2.7 times quarter-over-quarter and 6.5 times year-over-year. Analysts expect this momentum to continue, projecting annual revenues of approximately $731.96 million for 2025, reflecting a robust demand for AI-centric services and solutions.
Strategic Investments in AI Infrastructure:
The company is heavily investing in expanding its GPU cluster capabilities and data center capacity, with plans to allocate over $1 billion towards these initiatives. This strategic focus on enhancing AI infrastructure positions Nebius to capture significant market share as the global demand for AI technologies continues to rise. The annualized run-rate for its cloud revenue has already surpassed $120 million, indicating strong customer adoption and a growing client base that includes Fortune 500 companies.
Strong Market Position and Competitive Advantage:
Nebius Group is uniquely positioned within the AI infrastructure landscape, specializing in full-stack solutions that cater to developers and enterprises looking to leverage AI technologies. As businesses increasingly prioritize AI integration into their operations, Nebius's comprehensive offerings make it an attractive partner for organizations seeking to enhance their technological capabilities. The company’s ability to provide scalable solutions will be crucial as the demand for AI services expands.
Healthy Financials and Cash Reserves:
As of September 30, 2024, Nebius reported cash and cash equivalents totaling approximately $2.29 billion, providing a solid financial foundation to support its growth initiatives without excessive reliance on debt. This strong liquidity position allows Nebius to invest aggressively in technology and infrastructure while maintaining operational flexibility 14. Additionally, with gross margins projected to remain robust at around 55% in 2025, the company is well-positioned to improve profitability as revenues grow.
Master Gold Trading with Precise Price Action Strategies!FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Alexgoldhunter Chart Analysis: CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) 1-Hour Timeframe
Current Market Structure
Current Price: $2,623.689
Resistance Levels:
2,650.000 USD
2,645.861 USD
2,635.056476 USD (0.786 Fibonacci level)
2,629.61603 USD (0.705 Fibonacci level)
2,623.775288 USD (0.618 Fibonacci level)
Support Levels:
2,615.847 USD (0.5 Fibonacci level)
2,607.921412 USD (0.382 Fibonacci level)
2,588.000 USD
2,578.000 USD
Indicators
RSI: 63.41 (indicating neutral to slightly bullish sentiment)
MACD: Shows bullish momentum with the MACD line above the signal line
Volume Profile: High trading activity around $2,700, indicating strong support/resistance zones
Buy Strategy
Confirmation:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($2,615.847 USD).
Ensure RSI remains above 50, indicating bullish momentum.
Entry: Enter a buy position around the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($2,615.847 USD).
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the next support level at $2,578.000 USD to manage risk.
Take Profit: Aim for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, targeting around $2,645.861 USD (resistance level) and $2,650.000 USD.
Sell Strategy
Confirmation:
Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near the resistance levels around $2,650.000 USD.
Ensure RSI remains below 50, indicating bearish momentum.
Entry: Enter a sell position around the resistance level at $2,650.000 USD.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the strong resistance level at $2,655.000 USD to manage risk.
Take Profit: Aim for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, targeting around $2,615.847 USD (0.5 Fibonacci level) and $2,607.921412 USD (0.382 Fibonacci level).
VIP Signal Format
entry: $2,615.847 USD tp1: $2,645.861 USD tp2: $2,650.000 USD sl: $2,578.000 USD
This analysis uses price action techniques to generate a structured buy and sell strategy for CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ). If you need further details or adjustments, feel free to let me know! 📈😊
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
U Unity Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought U Unity at all time low:
My price target for U in 2025 is $35, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Strong Market Position in Gaming and Interactive Content:
Unity maintains a dominant position in the gaming industry, with approximately 70% of the top mobile games built on its platform. The global gaming market is projected to grow significantly, driven by increasing consumer spending on mobile and interactive content. Unity's extensive reach—3.7 billion monthly downloads of applications made with Unity—positions it well to capture this growth. As the demand for high-quality gaming experiences continues to rise, Unity's technology will be integral in meeting these needs.
Innovative Product Developments:
The upcoming launch of Unity 6 promises to enhance the platform's stability and performance, which is crucial for attracting new developers and retaining existing customers. Additionally, Unity's shift back to a subscription-based model has shown positive results, with subscription revenue growing by 12%. This focus on innovation and customer satisfaction is expected to drive user engagement and revenue growth in the coming years.
Focus on Operational Efficiency and Cost Management:
Unity's recent restructuring efforts have significantly reduced net losses, from $291 million in Q1 2024 to $126 million in Q2 2024. This focus on operational efficiency not only improves profitability but also enhances cash flow management—Unity generated $115 million in free cash flow in Q3 2024. As the company continues to streamline operations while investing in growth initiatives, it is likely to see further improvements in financial performance.
Valuation Potential Amidst Market Recovery:
Despite recent challenges, Unity's current valuation presents an attractive opportunity for investors. Analysts are optimistic about the company's long-term growth prospects, particularly as it adapts to market demands and enhances its product offerings. With a target price suggesting significant upside potential from current levels, Unity is positioned for substantial appreciation as it executes its strategic vision.
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
TLRY Long-term Bottom SignalsTLRY has created several long-term bottom signals including the first wiseman on the monthly and weekly charts. This combined with momentum divergences and the 161.8% (a+b) time relation all indicate a potential long-term reversal is starting now.
This also fits with my bearish stock market forecast because for the last couple of years there's been an inverse correlation between the index and cannabis stocks.
I also believe we could see an old switcheroo here, cannabis stocks dumped and crypto pumped post-election in the short-term, now we could see the opposite in the long-term where we see a long-term cannabis bull market and a long-term crypto bear market.
There's a high probability Trump does not create a strategic bitcoin reserve in the first 100 days, on Polymarket the odds are >70% that this does not happen. It's also very likely most state-level bills will fail initially. While some reserves could eventually happen it will likely be in 1-2 years when prices are much lower and the hype has died down.
Meanwhile, the HHS has already recommended and the DEA has already begun the process of rescheduling cannabis to Schedule 3 several months ago, and Chris Christie has said Trump will completely deschedule cannabis under his administration, ultimately making it fully legalized. In my opinion, everyone is underpricing this likely future, while simultaneously overpricing the future where Trump actually kept his promises about crypto in the first 100 days.
I do not think Cannabis stocks will ever be this undervalued again, especially after legalization happens, so now is probably the best time to be accumulating these stocks for the long-term while they're super undervalued.
GME GameStop Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought GME before the previous breakout:
My price target for GME in 2025 is $43, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Transformation into a Digital Retailer:
GameStop is actively transitioning from a traditional brick-and-mortar retailer to a digital-first company. This strategic pivot includes enhancing its e-commerce platform and investing in digital gaming, which are essential for capturing the growing online gaming market. As consumers increasingly shift towards digital purchases, GameStop's ability to adapt and innovate positions it to benefit from this trend, potentially driving significant revenue growth in the coming years.
Financial Recovery and Profitability Focus:
After a challenging period, GameStop is on a path toward profitability. Analysts predict that the company will earn approximately $0.08 per share in the fiscal year ending January 2025, reflecting a positive trend in its financial performance. The company's focus on reducing excess costs and improving operational efficiencies will further enhance its bottom line. As profitability improves, investor confidence is likely to increase, supporting higher stock valuations.
Strong Market Sentiment and Stock Performance:
GameStop has demonstrated remarkable stock performance over the past year, with a return of over 110%, significantly outperforming major indices 1. This momentum has created positive market sentiment around GME, which could attract more investors looking for growth opportunities. The current trading price around $26.84 suggests that there is room for appreciation as the company continues to execute its strategic initiatives.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations:
GameStop's collaborations with various technology partners are opening new avenues for growth. These partnerships are aimed at enhancing customer experience and expanding product offerings, particularly in the pre-owned game category where GameStop has unique refurbishment capabilities. By leveraging these strengths, GameStop can cater to niche segments of the gaming market, further solidifying its competitive position.
The Market Never Sleeps, and Neither Should Your Edge!Check this out, folks: The chart is looking like a bull’s playground 🐂 with more flags than an Olympic opening ceremony! 🏳️🌈 Let's break it down:
📈 Trend On Fire: Those sharp orange lines? That’s the market saying, “Pullbacks? Sure. But I’m not done climbing!” It’s a stairway to profits, baby! 💸
☕ Cup and Handle Brewing: See that big, juicy magenta cup? 🍵 This chart’s serving up a potential breakout recipe: a little consolidation, a lot of momentum, and maybe a moonshot. 🌕
🤔 But Wait, There’s More: The top triangle is throwing shade like, “I’m running out of steam.” ⚡ Could this be a fakeout before a shakeout? Or just the market catching its breath? Time will tell! ⏳
🎯 Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout above consolidation = 🚀 to new highs.
Failure? It’s time to re-test the base. 🛑
🔥 Remember, the market rewards the prepared, not the hopeful. Stay sharp, stay disciplined, and always trade with an edge. Let’s crush it, fam! 💪
#RoadToAMillion #BullishAF #CupAndHandle #GeorgeKnowsGraphs 🎄✨
BIDU Baidu Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you ahven`t bought the dip on BIDU:
My price target for BIDU in 2025 is $120, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Strong Domestic Market Growth:
Baidu continues to experience robust growth in its domestic market, particularly in its online marketplace, which reported a remarkable 24% year-over-year increase in the third quarter of 2024. This growth significantly outpaces industry averages and positions Baidu favorably against competitors. Analysts project mid-teen growth for Baidu in fiscal year 2025, driven by increased demand for its services and products within China, which remains one of the largest digital markets globally.
AI-Driven Revenue Expansion:
The company's commitment to an AI-first strategy is a major driver of its future growth. Baidu's AI Cloud business has shown resilience, with an 11% increase in revenue attributed to AI-related services. As businesses increasingly adopt AI technologies, Baidu is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, enhancing its revenue streams and profitability. The anticipated improvements in monetization of AI search technologies further bolster this outlook.
Valuation and Financial Health:
Baidu's current valuation presents an attractive opportunity for investors. Trading at approximately 8.6 times its fiscal year 2025 earnings estimate, the stock appears undervalued compared to its peers. The company boasts a strong balance sheet with a net cash position of around $15 billion, providing a cushion for continued investments in growth initiatives without excessive debt burdens. Additionally, Baidu's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 10.8 suggests significant upside potential as market sentiment shifts positively.
Strategic Investments and Share Buybacks:
Baidu is actively investing in its ecosystem, focusing on merchant support and logistics improvements. While these investments may impact margins in the short term, they are expected to yield long-term benefits through enhanced operational efficiencies and increased market share. Furthermore, Baidu's ongoing share buyback program demonstrates management's confidence in the company's future prospects and commitment to returning value to shareholders.
MRNA Moderna Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought MRNA on the recent breakout:
My price target for MRNA in 2025 is $55, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Innovative mRNA Technology and Expanding Pipeline:
Moderna has established itself as a leader in mRNA technology, initially gaining prominence through its COVID-19 vaccine. The company is now leveraging this innovative platform to develop a diverse array of therapeutic candidates, with approximately 40 development projects in progress across various fields, including infectious diseases, oncology, and rare genetic disorders. This broad pipeline not only enhances Moderna's potential for future revenue but also positions it to capitalize on emerging healthcare needs as the demand for advanced therapies continues to rise.
Projected Revenue Growth:
Despite facing financial challenges, including recent losses, Moderna's revenue outlook remains promising. The company is forecasting sales between $2.5 billion and $3.5 billion for 2025, which analysts believe could be conservative given the anticipated rollout of new vaccines and treatments. If successful, these products could significantly boost sales and profitability, driving investor confidence and stock price appreciation 16. Market projections suggest that if Moderna successfully navigates its clinical trials and product launches, the stock could reach around $80 per share by 2025.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations:
Moderna's strategic collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies enhance its development capabilities and market access. These partnerships are crucial for accelerating product development and increasing the adoption of its mRNA technology across various therapeutic areas. By aligning with established players in the industry, Moderna can leverage additional resources and expertise to bring its innovations to market more effectively.
Market Sentiment and Recovery Potential:
Currently trading at lower valuations due to past performance fluctuations, Moderna's stock is positioned for recovery as investor sentiment shifts with positive developments in its pipeline. The company's five-year growth trajectory shows resilience despite recent setbacks, indicating potential for a rebound as new products come to market. Analysts remain optimistic about Moderna's long-term prospects, suggesting that as the market recognizes the value of its innovative therapies, the stock could see substantial gains.
BTCUSD Analysis – A Breakdown of Key Levels and Market StructureThis is my recent analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour chart. The focus is on identifying key areas of interest, including Points of Interest (POI), supply and demand zones, and the premium/discount levels in the market.
Key Highlights
Market Structure and Choch (Change of Character):
A clear shift in structure (Choch) was observed around the marked regions, indicating a change in market sentiment. These zones became critical for identifying potential entries and exits.
The Choch aligned with supply zones, further validating bearish movements.
Premium and Discount Zones:
The market respected both the premium and discount zones. Prices retraced into premium levels before rejecting downward, confirming selling opportunities.
Conversely, discount levels provided areas of interest for potential buy setups.
Supply Zones and Breaker Blocks:
A significant supply zone near the 97,800 mark played a pivotal role in price rejection, pushing the market lower.
The "breaker block POI" at the lower level became an area of interest for observing a possible reaction. It aligns with a liquidity grab narrative, which often precedes a reversal.
Fibonacci Perspective:
These levels were further validated by Fibonacci retracement zones, dividing the price action into premium (sell) and discount (buy) areas.
Take-Profit Targets:
Trades were executed with precise take-profit levels, as seen on the chart. These targets were strategically placed based on market structure and liquidity zones.
Outlook and Next Steps
Looking forward, I'm watching how price interacts with the "breaker block POI" around 95,400. A bounce from this level could lead to a retracement into the premium zone, providing another selling opportunity. Conversely, if this zone breaks, it may open the door for deeper liquidity grabs into the lower discount regions.
INTC Intel Corporation Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TaIf you haven`t bought the Double Bottom on INTC:
My price target for INTC in 2025 is $30, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Strategic Product Launches and Technological Advancements:
Intel is set to launch its new Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake processors, designed specifically for artificial intelligence (AI) and personal computing. These chips, expected to be manufactured using Intel's advanced 18A process technology, promise significant performance improvements and energy efficiency. The successful rollout of these products could revitalize Intel's position in the competitive CPU market, especially as demand for AI capabilities continues to grow across various sectors. Analysts anticipate that these innovations will contribute to a recovery in Intel's data center and AI segments, which are critical for future revenue growth.
Financial Recovery and Growth Projections:
After experiencing a challenging period marked by declining revenues and operational setbacks, Intel is projected to report a strong recovery by 2025. Analysts expect the company to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of approximately $0.98, a significant rebound from anticipated losses in 2024. Revenue is also expected to grow by about 6%, reaching approximately $55.84 billion, indicating a positive shift in Intel's financial health. This recovery is supported by robust cash flow generation and a healthy balance sheet, which provides the necessary capital for ongoing investments in R&D and production capabilities.
Market Position and Competitive Advantages:
Despite recent challenges, Intel maintains a dominant market share in the global CPU market, estimated at 60-70%. This strong position provides a competitive advantage as the company looks to regain momentum against rivals like AMD and NVIDIA. Intel's shift towards an outsourced foundry model will not only enhance production efficiency but also open new revenue streams by manufacturing chips for other companies. This strategic pivot is indicative of Intel's adaptability in a rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape.
Investor Sentiment and Valuation Potential;
Currently trading at a significant discount relative to its historical valuation metrics, Intel presents an attractive investment opportunity. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains low compared to industry peers, suggesting potential upside as market sentiment improves with the anticipated product launches and financial recovery. Investors are increasingly optimistic about Intel's long-term prospects, particularly as the company navigates its operational challenges and focuses on innovation.
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point UpdatePreviously I mentioned the weekly was consolidating, but there is potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg as momentum shifts and the final emotional price movements are played out. I was too conservative in my price projections; a lot more than I used to be- but there wasn't a whole lot of TA involved- I figured the dollar issues would crop up earlier.
Now that the Fed had pivoted. the yields are creeping back up pushing bitcoin back down. The fed doesn't let on just how dire the situation is- and with global tensions rising, the dollar is at significant risk.
I expect a broad correction in all the markets- and cash to become very tight.
There is daily momentum consolidation- and if any other events occur that send yields upward- bitcoin is likely to suffer as a consequence. If instead we sail into the new year unscathed- then this consolidation may provide another leg up; but a break below 88k and a push towards 60k may solidify bitcoins correction.
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