BTC BREAKDOWN! MORE DUMP INCOMING!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick BTC update.
BTC is not looking good here. Rejected badly from the $23.9k resistance level. Also, Breaks down from the bearish flag-like structure in 1hr time frame. Expecting more drops from here.
Invalidation:- Close above $23.9k
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Bearish Flag
Yemi_Fx1 | Short for EURAUDPrice is approaching an area of Value, which if hold/valid there'll be a call in price, looking for a formation of flag continuation pattern. Then
I'll be considering
A Risk entry type at the top of the bearish flag structure.
Reduced risk entry after the impulsive back down followed by another tight flag or break of the flag.
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A buying and shorting opportunityA buying opportunity and shorting opportunity present on the EURUSD trade, which would you take?
On the higher timeframe(right), there is a buying opportunity base on the Bullish Shark Pattern that is completing at 1.0519. Although the trade is within the Buy Zone(blue box), a retest at 1.0519 with an RSI Divergence is preferred.
On the 4-hourly chart, the Bearish Flag Pattern is on the move. The way I'll trade it is to wait for a retest at 1.0666 with an RSI Divergence.
Both setups are trend trading; which trade would interest you?
Bitcoin to 18k. The big crash is coming!
It looks like Bitcoin has completed the first bullish impulse wave, which is a very positive sign for the future, but right now the correction is in progress.
As you know, from the Elliott Wave perspective, wave 2 corrections are usually deeper, especially in crypto. 0.618 FIB or even lower is a classic retracement, and because we have a huge unfilled GAP, this is going to happen!
0.618 FIB is at 18658 (LOG), and the start of the gap + POC of the previous consolidation structure is at 16830. Only these two levels are important; the others are insignificant. So you want to buy bitcoin at these points!
The market always moves in waves, no doubt about it. The waves in crypto are absolutely different from the stock market because different environments have different personalities. What works on the crypto market doesn't work on the stock market. If someone claims that his bot or trading system works on all markets, including forex, indices, crypto, commodities, and stocks, he is most likely lying to you. It is best to concentrate on a single type of market; in my case, that is crypto. I don't trade forex, stocks, or gold because the market movements are very different. It's like comparing apples to beef steak; they look different and taste different. It's better to eat the beef steak.
We can see on the chart that there is a large unfilled GAP between approx. 16830 and 20407. These gaps tend to be filled sooner or later. I think maybe it's better to fill the gap right now than next year. You probably do not want Bitcoin to go to 40k and then dump back to 16k next year; this would be as ugly as the COVID crash in 2020.
The bulls didn't react to the major supports on lower timeframes, and it's a huge sign of weakness at this moment. The structure was bullish, but currently at this point, it's extremely bearish to me.
So what is the plan now? You can trade Bitcoin on futures and trade reactions on the previous structures. For example, 21,950 is a strong level and bitcoin could bounce from it, so you can take some intraday trades with a few % of gains before it collapses down to the abyss. You can definitely short bitcoin. I will make these types of trades in the next few weeks. Once bitcoin reaches my reversal zone, I will take some brutal long trades with an extremely high RR and a target of 30k+.
March is going to be a very bearish month. And usually Bitcoin starts to pump significantly when April starts. You can do a back test. April is a very positive month.
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AUDUSD AUDUSD
Aussie, I am bullish the dollar short/medium term view.
I have been short most of FX major pair and scaling out but we are currently stuck within range on all FX majors. The commodity FX pairs have had more downside and that is being reflected on EURNZD / EURAUD. However, overall when we look just at Aussie we are within a range and it is a break to either direction and what's beautiful about this chart, look at the trendline support - Perfect!
Lows: 0.68580
Highs: 0.70165
A break to either direction. If you were to go to lower TF. There is a pattern brewing M.
Have a great day ahead,
Trade Journal
Don't forget to trade your own plan.
GRT (the graph) Is confirming breakout from descending channelWe can see here on the weekly chart that GRT (aka The Graph) has broken up from its descending channel and price action is currently very close to the descending channel’s breakout target. Much like many other crypto assets at the moment, we can also see that that descending channel has a large flag pole attached to it as well forming a bear flag. While the descending channel has validated its breakout, it is as of now still uncertain whether or not the bearflag will confirm a bullish breakout as well and pull an inverted Bart pattern. However, CoinMarketCap’s rankings of the “most valuable AI and big data crypto projects and tokens” currently has The Graph as the leading platform in market capitalization. According to Pablo Jodar, a crypto analyst at GenTwo, “I think it is linked to the rally on AI stocks, due to the ChatGPT effect.” Consider all the hype behind AI focused cryptos at the moment this greatly increases the probability that GRT will also confirm the bullish breakout up from the bearflag and reach the higher bearflag target as well. I have posted both targets here on the chart and will update this post once each target is hit. GRT is an indexing protocol that is setting itself up to be the decentralized google for searching blockchains.
LDO looks to be running out of steam (at least short-term)Hello Traders & Investors!
Here is a quick video going over the daily chart of BINANCE:LDOUSD for @hardikpatel1648
It looks to be forming a bear flag and the last bear flag played out, so I would look out below.
Let me know what you think and comment your own thesis below!
If you would like to make a request you can reach me here, or there is my Linktree on my profile where you can find all my contact info.
GOLD SHORT TERM INTRADAY IDEAIntraday Analysis - ( 10 FEB 2023 )
Bull flag longs were short lives yesterday as price went up to key price sensitivity area at 1890 whereby huge rejections were seen. Key level was warned ahead of time. Price broke out of bullish structure and below key support level at 1860 which gives us clean sells to the downside as per analysis since Monday. Will only be looking for sells and no longs unless there is a shift in structure or market sentiment. Will only look for buys if price breaks back above 1883, correcting the whole downside move yesterday.
A break of 1860s, will be targeting minimally 1830s giving us a solid 300+ pips with 1845 as a first target and ultimately 1820 and even extending to 1810s.
HRHR sells at 1876
MRMR sells at 1864 / 1863 region
Safest sells upon breaks of key levels 1855
GOLD BEAR FLAGGOLD CUP & HANDLE on the weekly tells the overall story. Gold is getting ready to make a bottom, Before new highs
Right now we see a BEAR FLAG that was formed, with a BROKEN NECKLINE. This is a nice continuation and frames our overall trajectory for GOLD very nicely.
Cup and Handle on the weekly is showing that a retest of a bottom will happen before a new top is created and the pattern we see here is a medium term sell signal into said bottom.
QNT could also be breaking upward from a monthly bearflagQuant has been hitting multiple double bottom breakout targets in a row on the daily time frame (not shown here) which has taken price action up and above a channel (in red) that I have also been watching on the daily chart. It was after I noticed Gala appeared to be breaking up from a bear flag on its weekly chart that made me decide to flip my qnt chart to the weekly time frame as well, and sure enough, the channel was attached to a long bear pole on the weekly chart making it also a bear flag. If it does break up from the flag the breakout target takes price back up to this blue inv h&s neckline and would then complete the right shoulder…which is the price movement I’ve been anticipating ever since we reversed trend back to the upside, so this measured move target from the flag leading directly back to the neckline makes a lot of sense and adds good bullish confluence….you can see I also have another little dotted green line going slightly higher than the one I put the price tag on. The slightly higher one was when I included the wick in the length of the flagpole and the one closer to the neckline is without including the wick…hard to say which one is more valid as of now. *not financial advice*
Will gala break up from its current bear flag?We can see here on the weekly char that Gala is in a bear flag with a very long pole. We can also see that the flag is the shape of a descending channel, a pattern that tends to break upward. When we see a descending channel as a bearish flag it is usually an indication that bears are starting to lose steam.,,,how much steam they are losing will determine whether or not the descending channel wins the dominance battle and it breaks upward or the bearish flag maintains dominance and the pattern breaks downward. If this flag were to break upward instead of downward, the question then becomes will it break upward and then head the entire measured move of the flag but in the bullish direction? Or will it simply just head to the smaller target of the descending channel itself. It’s hard to say but just in case I have put both potential bullish targets on the chart. One other thing it could do is reach the bullish breakout target of the channel and then pull a 180 and still break down below the flag and head to the bearish breakdown measured move target of the flag even after reaching the channels bullish breakout target. Seeing as how the rest of the crypto market recently has begun to see bearish momentum dwindling, I think the bullish outcome has slightly more probability at the moment. Also the measured move for the bear flag breakdown would be negative 20 cents….typical negative targets are a clue that the bullish direction is more likely….always possible for a breakdown to happen at the end of bearish momentum that doesnt hit 100% of its target though. If we take a look at the current volume candle, it is the highest weekly volume candle on this charts history and it happened during a bullish impulse…which is yet more bullish confluence here to suggest a break up from this bear flag is very feasible. *not financial advice*
Cardano bearish flag TGT 0.3055The Trader!
This analysis is based on the idea of a bearish flag. As the analysis visualizes, the red resistance and green support lines encircle this flag formation. In addition, a series of resistance levels are drawn at 0.3997, and 0.3866 respectively. In addition, a number of support levels are plotted at 0.3651, 0.3471, and 0.3256. In addition, the idea is based on a bearish breakout where a target at 0.3055 can be determined with the help of the tool, Fibonacci. This analysis can therefore conclude that Cardano has the potential to reach a bearish target where speculators could consider creating a short position on the crypto market.
I hope this analysis was instructive and that it can be used to consider where the price of Cardano is potentially headed.
Eth has a similar bullish confluence pattern to btcJust like the bear flag and wedge on btc, Eth also has a weekly bearflag pattern inside a monthly wedge. Eth’s flag is more of a bear pennant however since its flag is a symmetrical triangle..where as the flag on btc is a descending channel. Definitely gonna have to overcome the weekly 50 MA and maintain it as support to sustain a bullish breakout here. *not financial advice*
(XRP) Could catch a falling knife with this beautiful confluenceIf this local potential bear flag plays out exactly to the dollar on a resistance that is a directly on a trend line, a daily S/R level and some fib levels with market cipher b showing 1 hour divs and lower timeframes showing clear bullish divs as price hits the level it could make for a nice trade as XRP clearly likes to drop quickly and come back up.