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Bearishdivergence

USOIL - Bearish analysis & lessonG'day all, hope you're well! I don't usually publish my ideas, but I thought this might be worth a look since I've been experimenting with the effects of EMAs and Fibs on charts in what I like to call "Order of Priority". So, let's dig in. Before you read on, you hereby acknowledge that you will possibly be exposed to crappy chart jokes that may or may not include some form of innuendo and will likely be dad level, as well as a long-winded explanation. There are a few things happening in this chart that point to a short term downside target or at least $80/barrel - possibly lower. The first is the obvious giant 'W' pattern whose target was suspiciously met to within a buck or 2. The way I measured it is by running a Fib retracement from the last high prior to the W to the first wick after the lowest wick - I did this to find the .618 (dotted line Fib retracement on the left). I ignored the major drop as it was an anomaly. The wick after it lined up with the previous market bottom which made more technical sense. The .618 lines up perfectly with the 'W' neckline, so now we have a beginning and end point for a measured move - from the .618 down to the legitimate wick. Move that line upward and you have your target that met with scary precision. W patterns usually retrace to the neckline which is usually a .5 Fib after the move plays out, which lines up with the .618 Fib that we used to find the neckline. If it retraces lower, it's usually a speedy move to the .618 before becoming range-bound at around the .5. I've found this to be pretty typical of 'W' patterns in general. Secondly, we have the RSI and MACD indicators looking all depressed. A solid bearish divergence on the RSI and a downticking MACD, like 2 emo teenagers fighting over a black tshirt. In my experience, bearish divergences don't tend to reset until they first hit oversold territory, and there's a bit of a way to go before that happens. That distance in the RSI from the current position to oversold lines up nicely with a price movement to the $64 - $70 zone, assuming there's a quick buy-up. The MACD usually doesn't confirm a reset for the next move up until it falls below the median line and crosses upward again with conviction. Conviction is key here, it can't be a half-assed cross over like those 2 emo kids. Thirdly, we have the EMAs. The values I use are Fib values: 9 (blue), 13 (purple), 21 (red), 55 (yellow), 200 (Sasha Grey), 600 (light grey). There's a nifty rule I found works great after major moves: * If after a major move the price falls below the 9 EMA and fails to get back above on retest, we're going to the 21 EMA. * If the price falls through the 21 EMA and fails to get back above on retest, we're going to the 55 EMA. * If the price falls through the 55 EMA and fails to get back above on retest, we're going to the 200 EMA. * You get the point, same for the 600 EMA. Right now, it's failed to get back above the 21 EMA on retest. Guess what the next target is? Now here's the kicker, if it falls through the 55 EMA, the 200 EMA is waiting for the price right at the neckline of the W pattern, with the 600 EMA resting right on the 0.5 Fib retracement when measured from the major low to the major high (dotted line Fib retracement on the right). Coincidence? Who knows. "OK smartass, so what happens when we fall through ALL the EMAs then?" I hear you ask. First, don't be a wickhead. There's an order to these things. Everything has its own gravity in the charts, which is why I described everything above in that order. What has the most gravity, I believe, is the .618. That's at around $46 - $49. If the price falls through all the EMAs, that is the next major safe target. I say safe because of risk level. Sure, it could wick as low as the thick blue support trend line, but price will generally equalise at the .618 over time and it's generally where buy orders fill when these EMAs are broken. Placing any below there is an idea, but they're less likely to fill. "Damn it Shifty, why didn't you just call the .618 instead of wasting our time with your crap about colourful lines and levels that sound like pasta?". Well, because each of those steps has it's own trading opportunities, particularly the EMA rule. On a lower timeframe, the trades in the EMA zones alone when you reference the weekly are gorgeous. I hope this is helpful to someone out there who could play around with these concepts on other charts. I have other rules that I've come up with to do with Fibs and EMAs, so if you liked this crappy dad-joke of a lesson, let me know in the comments and I might go into more stuff down the line :) Stay safe all and happy trading!
TVC:USOIL
by Shifty-Ifrit
2
DYDX bearish divergenceLike some other DEX (Decentralized Exchange) cryptos, DYDX had made a 125% jump from its ATL at $1 on 18/06. A very nice performance which indicates that DYDX is a very intesting symbol to keep an eye on. However, at this time DYDX is showing some weakness. A bearish divergence and an Evening Doji Star candle are being formed (in 12H TF). As a consequence, a double top will be formed as well. For these reasons, a short setup is proposed as in chart. Enter when the current candle finishes in red Invalidation is when there is a 12H candle closing above $2.15 Targets are the blue lines and Stoploss is the red one. In my opinion, $1.7 is a strong support where DYDX will strongly bounce. We need to observe the reaction of DYDX at this level to see if a continuation or a reversal will be the next move (provided that the first leg down to $1.7 will have been done).
Short
by evasivesteering
4
BTC Long Term And Short Term AnalysisBTC LONG TERM - The bullish divergence looks like it's playing out on the 1D and close above the 21 EMA yesterday which means it could go and test the 55 ema at 25000, so I don't think this bounce is over just yet. BTC SHORT TERM - On the 1H it looks like it wants to put in a temporary top and pull back a little bit. There is a tiny bit of bearish divergence too, so that could lead to a little pull back on the shorter time frames. BTC OVERALL - I can see BTC having a pull back today and carry on it's bounce later on today or going into the weekend. Let me know your thoughts in the comments and like my idea!!
by cryptokid1507
DXY - Weekly bearish divergence! + Elliott Wave + PIN BAR!- As per my Elliott Wave technical analysis - it looks like the massive impulse wave can be completed and we are now headed to a retracement. - On the weekly chart we have a shooting star - bearish candle with a long wick ( PIN BAR )! - If we take a look at the RSI indicator on this chart, we can see a bullish divergence , which is a pretty strong bearish signal. - We don't really know how deep the retracement will be, but we can go back down to the acceleration point + 0.618 FIB. - MACD histogram is going down and loosing momentum, which is a sign of weakness. - Look at my ideas about Bitcoin, Ethereum and TOTAL crypto cap in the related section down below ↓ - For more content, please hit "Like" & "Follow"!
TVC:DXYShort
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
9
Tether Dominance - Bearish Divergence Current Market Cap - 6.3 Billion Tether dominance has risen over %284 ever since the market peaked back in November last year. However, it is starting to show weakness after it made a higher high while RSI made a lower low. The last time RSI printed a divergence, it signalled the market bottom and money started flowing back into cryptocurrency We could potentially see a similar move. The orange line below, represents the total crypto market cap. What is Tether Dominance? Tether (USDT) Dominance shows how much percent of the money is on USDT. There is 2 cause of the increase of USDT dominance. The first is that investors put cash on the market from the outside, which is due to the unfavourable weather in the market. And the second is again, as the market falls, investors withdraw their funds from cryptocurrency investments and put them to USDT. In both of them, a decrease in cryptocurrencies and an increase in USDT holders are observed. Speculative Setup, DYOR. Allow 3-18 Months For all Crypto Ideas. Credit to @without_worries for allowing use of indicators.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by bL1TZZ
4