Ethereum (ETH) Faces Critical Resistance After Market DownturnMarket Sentiment:
Last week started with a sharp downturn across various markets, including cryptocurrencies, leading to some of the most negative sentiment for Ethereum in years.
Key Challenge:
Ethereum CRYPTOCAP:ETH has broken below the crucial support zone of $2,600-$2,900, which has now turned into a major technical resistance. Closing below this level could allow the bears to maintain their technical edge.
Signs of Optimism:
Despite the negative sentiment, last Monday's candlestick showed a strong retracement from the October 2023 lows. Ethereum briefly dipped below the downside target of $2,300-$2,400 but quickly rebounded, suggesting this area might have been a temporary bottom.
Looking Ahead:
For Ethereum to regain bullish momentum, it needs to reclaim and close above the $2,600-$2,900 resistance zone. Until then, the bears still hold a slight advantage, but the recent market reaction offers hope for a potential recovery.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $2,600 - $2,900
Support: $2,300 - $2,400
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Bearish Patterns
GOLD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 2,391.669.
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EUR/GBP SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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EUR/GBP pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.844 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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AUD/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
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AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 12H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.641 area.
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NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
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We are going short on the NZD/USD with the target of 0.592 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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NG1! BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
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NG1! is making a bullish rebound on the 9H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 2.013 level.
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GBP/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/USD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.265 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.09150 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.09150 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dollar Index: Vulnerable Support Ahead of CPI Inflation Data Ahead of this week’s CPI inflation print, the US Dollar Index has moderately bounced back from support at 102.78. Despite benefiting from additional channel support (taken from the low of 103.65) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently shaking hands with oversold space (< 30.00), bullish resolve from the support has been uninspiring.
Lacklustre Rebound from Support
The lacklustre reply from support could be due to sentiment favouring bears; since topping at 106.13 in late June, sellers have dominated price action, pushing the unit through the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 104.21.
Further Downside?
Should bulls change gears and extend the pullback from support, resistance at 104.02 calls for attention. This base also shares chart space with channel resistance (extended from the high of 106.13), and the 200-day SMA underlined above. Alternatively, in light of the feeble response from current support and sentiment favouring downside at this point, breaching current support could be on the table this week, with the pendulum swinging in favour of reaching support from 101.78 and 101.01.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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Bearish trend on USOIL, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 74.17.
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EUR/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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EUR/USD is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 1.076.
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BITCOIN SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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BITCOIN pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 57,382 area.
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NZD/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
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We are targeting the 0.511 level area with our short trade on NZD/CHF which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
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It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.070 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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Continue To Monitor 5390 For Bulls and BearsWe are currently 1.5 trading days away from our original market top call, but this analysis will cover any new developments. Wave A appeared to have a good 5 wave structure with wave 3 having an extension. Wave B retraced 73% of wave A's movement quicker than expected. Wave C has most likely completed at least the first two waves and possibly as much as 4 waves. Wave 2 retraced around 64% of wave 1 and as wave 3 is currently marked, it extended 304% of wave 1. I have marked wave 3 based on my wave 3 indicator at the bottom. The shorter arrow pointing down depicts a wave 3 of 3 and the larger arrow depicts the end of a wave 3. The gap in the blue painted backgrounds at the bottom is the distinguishing feature of two separate wave 3s being signaled instead of just one wave 3. The retracement off of the signaled wave 3 was very quick although it was a 20% retracement and quite possibly the end of wave 4. If these four waves have concluded, wave 5 and the market could top as early as Friday.
I will walkthrough the levels on the far right first to determine a possible top. The furthest right values are retracements from the original market top from mid-July. If the index moves back to the all-time high, it would have retraced 100%. A common retracement could be between 38.2%-61.8%. The next column left of this is the movement extension of C from wave A which topped at 5336.20. Basically, wave C should finish somewhere above 5336.20 which the index has now surpassed and therefore is capable of topping at any time. The next leftmost column are movement extensions from wave 3's movement inside of wave C. Once again, we are already above wave 3's top (5333.70) and capable of ending at any time.
I try to find common levels among these three columns and monitor the index as it approaches. A 50% retracement of the macro wave 1 would occur at 5387.30, while an extension of wave A would of 123.6% is at 5393.31, coincides with a 138.2% extension of wave 3 at 5392.57. This very tight zone is certainly one to monitor for a top and it is not far away at the time of this analysis.
I try to make similar identifications in other symbols to get a better read of the S&P500 index. Japan is moving the same, although it is unclear if they have completed wave 3 of C yet.
They will most likely see more movement as their trading day gets in full swing during the overnight hours for North America. They may continue the momentum observed from America's Thursday session. Without marking their completed wave 3 with certainty, their area of commonality is between 37705-37782.
JP Morgan Chase makes things more interesting because it is not clear if we are still in macro wave 1 or macro wave 2. The case for macro wave 1 has it in a micro wave 3 of C albeit in wave 4 of macro wave 1 here:
If this holds true, the S&P 500 may not be in the correct place. If JPM is actually inline with the current wave structure as the index, waves 4 and 5 were very abbreviated based on the location of the wave 3 of 3 signals from early August. This alignment would slightly alter the retracement lines to the far right as seen here:
The area of commonality is around 211.30 which is almost too much of a movement over the next 1-2 days for this stock.
Amazon appears to fall inline with the theory of ending macro wave 2 soon.
It has a target area around 170.5-171.32 and another much higher at 175.52-176.35.
Based on the lack of obvious agreement, it is difficult to determine where the market is. I will continue to monitor the initial theory that the market topped in mid-July and has completed a five wave structure down and is about to finish a three wave structure up in the coming days. If the levels pointed out here are significantly surpassed, the market could continue upward to new all-time highs once again. Another downward reversal on or before Monday likely points to a new index low between 4100-4700 within the next month.
GBPUSD: Dovish BoE and Strong DollarHey Traders,
Today, we’re focusing on GBP/USD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.27600 zone. The pair is currently in a downtrend and is undergoing a correction phase, approaching this critical support and resistance area.
The British Pound faces significant pressure due to a dovish stance from the Bank of England, which has signaled a more cautious approach to monetary policy. This dovish outlook, combined with ongoing economic challenges and recession risks in the UK, is weakening the GBP. On the other hand, the US Dollar is strengthening, driven by the current recession risk USD is considered a safe haven.
This combination of factors supports the likelihood of further declines in GBP/USD as it approaches the 1.27600 zone. We should watch for bearish signals at this level for a potential selling opportunity.
DOT - Price hit accumulation zone #DOT/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ DOT price has hit accumulation zone and currently trading inside the accumulation zone.
+ Price is expect to trade in this range for upcoming weeks.
+ A clear breakout from this accumulation zone is essential for the trend reversal.
+ A breakout from the accumulation zone will push the price higher eventually result in a bullish trend.
+ Let's wait for the breakout before entering the trade.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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Bearish trend on USOIL, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 71.64.
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EUR/AUD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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EUR/AUD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.632 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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AUD/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
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AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.647 area.
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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar | Selling Opportunity | 15m Time FrameDay Time Frame Analysis : Check the related idea tagged below.
15m: Wait for a buy-side liquidity sweep in any kill zone, then take a short position followed by a 1-minute bearish confirmation.
In the meantime, if there is any strong sell-side liquidity sweep in any kill zone, take a long position for the time being, followed by a 1-minute bullish confirmation.