EUR/NZD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so EUR-NZD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.802.
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Bearish Patterns
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on USOIL, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 67.02.
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EUR/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 160.417 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/JPY pair.
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23/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $108,403.98
Last weeks low: $92,261.97
Midpoint: $100,332.98
Last week we saw a swing fail pattern (SFP) of the week previous' high. Ever since then it's been a steady sell off throughout the week, mostly thanks to JPows FOMC statements despite a 25bps cut as forecast. BTC is now battling the 4H 200 EMA for the first time since the US election, a much needed pullback or the start of a further sell-off?
Going into the holidays we should expect a lower volume as whales take some time off, retail will remain as crypto is shilled to family members over Christmas dinner so the market will continue to be interesting. The 4H 200 EMA is a key battleground, I would have hoped to see a better reaction off the moving average initially but maybe this is bad timing due to the holidays and lower volume, or the reluctance to open new trades while markets are shut etc.
This week is obviously quiet in terms of data releases, there are various token unlocks ENA, IMX, FET and burns for some key altcoins such as ISP & BONK. I think the general consensus is that normal service will resume in January once everything opens back up.
So for this week it's probably better to set alerts for key areas you want to get involved in, planning for when volume returns to the markets and when Trump takes office too.
Merry Christmas to all and good luck!
NAS100USD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 21,471.9.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 20,314.7 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 2,606.670 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EUR/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.478 area.
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EUR/GBP BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 0.821 level area with our short trade on EUR/GBP which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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USD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.890 level.
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GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.26000 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.26000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Cosolidation Approaching The Main Downtrend on AUDUSDHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62900 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.62900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on SILVER right now from the resistance line above with the target of 29.057 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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Has BITCOIN reached its maximum and is a bear market coming?To make a prediction about Bitcoin’s next rally based on historical patterns, we should first examine the overall trends and how these increases and decreases have evolved in percentage terms.
Data observations:
337,000% increase -> 93% decrease
Massive increase, followed by a steep correction.
61,000% increase -> 86% decrease
Significant increase, but smaller than the first, and the decline was still close in percentage terms.
11,000% increase -> 84% decrease
Smaller increase, the decline remains large, but slightly milder.
2,000% increase -> 77% decrease
Significantly smaller increase compared to previous cycles, and the decline continued to moderate.
Observing a descending pattern:
The increases seem to be getting smaller and smaller with each cycle, and the decreases also tend to be less severe. This shows diminishing returns on increases and a reduction in market volatility.
Estimate for the next increase:
Given this pattern, the next percentage increase could be significantly smaller than the last one (2,000%). If we apply a progressive reduction coefficient, as was the case in previous cycles, the increase could be around:
~300%-500%.
This would mean a maximum increase of 5x from the low of the last cycle, and currently we have an increase of over 600%, that is, 6x. Is this ATH in this bull market?
To estimate the duration of the next Bitcoin uptrend, we can analyze how the duration of these uptrend cycles has evolved over time:
Historical data:
240 days
730 days
850 days
1050 days
Notes:
The increase in duration between cycles is not uniform, but follows a general trend of extending duration.
The duration increase intervals were:
From 240 -> 730: +490 days
From 730 -> 850: +120 days
From 850 -> 1050: +200 days
Analysis:
The duration extension appears to be accelerating moderately, with an irregular but generally increasing trend.
If this pattern continues, the next cycle could add between 200 and 300 days to the previous duration (1050 days).
Estimate:
The duration of the next cycle could be:
~1250-1350 days.
This estimate corresponds to a natural extension of Bitcoin cycles, reflecting wider adoption and lower volatility as the market becomes more mature.
AUDCHF Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.558.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.553 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITCOIN BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
BITCOIN uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 92,876 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the BITCOIN pair.
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USD/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 12H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.418 area.
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CAD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on CAD/JPY, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 107.832.
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GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.25500 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.25500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD: The Dollar Continues to Take OverHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.04700 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.04700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
$SOL Short-Term Pain Ahead CRYPTOCAP:SOL price broke to the downside of the 50D SMA
Bearish Crossing from the 20D MA ahead.
Needs to hold critical support at $190 / .786 Fib
Another bearish day could dump CRYPTOCAP:SOL to $175 / .618 , and if that doesn’t hold the move should finish at $165 / 50% level.
RSI shows more downside for confluence.
$BTC Showing More Downside AheadCURTAIN CALL FOR CRYPTOCAP:BTC 🧐
Need to close the Day above $99k to hold this uptrend and .786 Fib level
Tomorrow will be a big day to watch 🍿
If we get a 3rd bearish candle that will signal our final dump to $85-90k before we take our next leg up to $115k 🚀
Volume trending bearish along with the RSI showing more room for downside.
Don’t get shaken out!
Santa Claus is coming to town 🎅