Reporting season in Australia to begin soonIts been 14 days since no one have updated a chart, that could means that everyone is making money. BUT lets get ready for 4-5 weeks of volatility with the Australia reporting season kicking off on Wednesday.
I am still long from 5420 , aiming at 5800 by the end of the year.
Here is a link to the days each big company will be reporting. www.commsec.com.au
Here is my Harmonic trading post that I uploaded 2 months ago.
We are in a Bull market in Australia unless something happens in RIO's Olympic.
AUS200
Waiting for Australia new PM Before RallyStill waiting on a decision on who is going to be the next PM, it have been 5 days since the election finished.
Expect huge rally after the announcement of the PM
This is the same Graph from MAY, still holding on to my trend line
I Bought in last week at 5086 with target 5445
BREXIT IS OVER, LETS LOOK TO THE FUTURE NOWJust a follow up on my chart of which I entered LONG at 5086 on Monday.
I have posted this same chart 3 times now and I have not been wrong.
Next Monday we will have a New prime Minister in Australia, expect the Market to jump back all the way to 5400
Good luck trading.
AUS200 - Potential Patterns (Continued from last ASX chart)From the first chart, if target 1 and 2 is reached.. It will potentially complete a C Leg for two potential patterns to form.
If so, then I would look for evidence for a reversal back up and confirm if price completes the D Leg to complete the pattern.
If the two patterns complete, then i will look to enter short.
AUS200 - Two Patterns on the 4HRHigh Probability Setup:
2 x Advanced Patterns
Ratio Confluence
Harmonic Pattern (Symmetry)
Price testing at or around Major structure (Support Resistance)
Entry to Short at or around 5058 and 5096
Initial Targets around 4962 and second targets around 4884
Stops at 5147
Potential entry down at target 2 for a rally up
(Daily) Eventual Bearish Gartley // IF=THEN ®FX:AUS200
Despite the major bullish trend with another harmonic ending around the 6500$(Long-Long Term), there's a bearish Gartley Pattern that can work as another "bullish impulse" at the real end...
GARTLEY
Point B:
61.8% can not touch 78.6% XA
Point C:
38.2% to 88.6% AB
Point D:
78.6% XA
127% ext AB
Target:
TP1 38.2% AD
TP2 61.8% AD
Safe Trades;
EURAUD: Multiple timeframe analysis suggests rallyThis is an update to my previous EURAUD chart, I was waiting for a long entry and it just presented itself to me.
We have an hourly impulse forming, looks like a 5 wave advance, which could be the first of a new bullish cycle.
The daily chart shows a strong mode has been formed and price is about to move above it, after producing a series of strong moves up followed by weak and grinding corrections.
This looks like a potentially explosive long trade, with the weekly timeframe hinting at the possibility of a larger uptrend as well.
I'll enter long and manage the position, trying to scale in on every chance I get.
The initial target is the projection of the point of balance off the lows to the mode of the current distribution curve (a time spent at price profile of recent price action, as per Tim West's technique).
A hefty move, considering this is only a very speculative projection, price can always end up trending and moving faster and in wider intervals.
We'll see in due time, for now, looking to get long off lower timeframe signals, speculating that the larger timeframe ones will be confirmed with me already in an advantageous position.
Cheers,
Ivan.
AUDUSD: Neutral but potentially due for a long tradeWe have interesting evidence, suggesting AUDUSD might be ready for a reversal from this level.
The selloff has been intense, but price only completed a 0.786 retracement of the advance, which matches the daily mode that originated said uptrend.
The downtrend generated a 4 bar target that has reached and exceeded the projected level, and is flashing a buy signal after doing so right on time, sending price back to a support area.
Similarly to EURUSD, I'm changing my bias to cautiously bullish here, and will look for an entry long tomorrow before NY opens, based on tonight's developments.
An early small position could be entered here but I'd rather take a confirmed setup off the 1h/4h and daily charts instead.
Good luck!
Ivan.
WHY ARE PEOPLE SCARED? SPX500 AUS200 FRA40 GER30 UK100 JPN225I present you 6 stocks with the same pattern action.
SPX500 AUS200 FRA40 GER30 UK100 FX:JPN225
Contrary to popular belief, I don't see any preference of expecting stocks to crash. I just see scared investors because prices touched the support levels, so everyone is panicking about it.
This also happened last year on October, many people panicking that it was going to crash but it was just a correction. Bubbles don't end until proven exploded.
Why?
Because the major support level just bounced. Look at the symmetrical support and resistance lines, they haven't been broken in all stocks. They all bounced.
I am not saying it will go up or down. I am just trying to clarify that the trend still continues, although it can be an excellent opportunity to buy while this hasn't been broken. Just don't let your emotions kick in.
As always, keep it safe.
AUS200: Aussie stocks about to correct or what patience meansIf you see the "Aussie map", linked below, gives a more rounded picture of the local market at the time being.
Stocks are currently in confluence area that gives the shorts better probabilities for a possible correction.
Momentum divergence can been seen from miles away and a closing below the up trending arc line will have the sound of a bottle opened, supported by playing loud some really old classics classics like iNXS "Original Sin", "Under the milky way tonight" by Church, some Triffids and Jenny Morris. Cave &Bad Seeds, AC/DC's and local beloved cult hero Jimmy Barnes will fade the night away.
God bless and cheers
P.
p.s. "No Pussy Blues "by Grinderman is dedicated to the stops above 1,272
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