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Audusdshort

AUDUSD: Australian budget revenue growth cools amid economic heaThe Treasurer has previously highlighted the impact of weaker commodity prices, particularly on iron ore - a key Australian export - along with rising unemployment as key factors. to adjust revenue. Australia's unemployment rate hit a two-year high of 4.1% in January. Over the last month, Chalmers has also highlighted concerns about global economic stability, noting that recent events in the Middle East are likely to affect upcoming budget plans in May. The exchange rate at the time of announcement was $1 to 1.5133 Australian dollars.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Consolidation TradeTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1 time-frame - Price action is at a Consolidation Zone - Aiming for the 50% Fibo retracement to TP Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - US yield differential against AUD will support USD - China's economy is still struggling to improve and dampening AUD's growth potential Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6550 - 0.6560 SL @ 0.6596 TP 1 @ 0.6505 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.6479 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.10 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same? Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same? The US Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate within the 5.25%-5.50% range as anticipated. Notably, Fed Chair Powell, in the press conference, expressed that while the central bank remains vigilant about inflation risks, a hike is "unlikely" for the next move. Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) echo a similar stance when it announces its interest rate decision next week? Although there were hopeful indications that inflation in Australia was trending in the right direction, these were dashed recently by a stronger-than-expected reading for the March quarter. With hopes for a rate cut dashed, speculation now centers around the possibility of another increase before 2024 concludes. Bloomberg reports a shift in expectations from rate cuts to a potential rise by year-end. Market sentiment has transitioned from a 70% likelihood of an interest rate cut in August to a 50% probability of a 0.25% rate hike, which is a huge shift in sentiment. If indeed an interest rate hike materializes, it would place Australia in stark contrast to other central banks. Presently, the RBA's cash rate stands at 4.35%. None of the major four banks anticipate the RBA's next move to be an increase, with all still projecting a rate cut by Christmas. However, these forecasts remain subject to change in the lead-up to the RBA's decision.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDUSD Potential Short Opportunity Bearish Bat Harmonic PatternThe AUDUSD pair is currently exhibiting a potential Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) formation, coupled with its proximity to a significant resistance level. This suggests a possible reversal in trend momentum, with bearish indications expected to strengthen from Point D onwards. Harmonic Pattern Analysis: The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) is emerging on the AUDUSD chart, indicating a potential reversal of the current uptrend. The completion point (Point D) of this pattern aligns closely with the key resistance level, adding further confluence to the bearish scenario. Entry and Stop Loss: We recommend taking a short position at 0.65200, anticipating the reversal from Point D. A stop loss should be placed at 0.65900 to mitigate potential losses in case of a breakout above the resistance level. Take Profit Targets: TP-1: 0.64520 TP-2: 0.63820 TP-3: 0.63128 Rationale: The decision to enter a short position is supported by the confluence of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern and the key resistance level. This setup suggests a high probability of a bearish reversal, with potential downside targets identified at various support levels. Risk Management: It's crucial to adhere to proper risk management principles when executing this trade. By maintaining a disciplined approach to position sizing and adhering to the specified stop loss level, traders can effectively manage their risk exposure. Conclusion: Based on the technical analysis, a short position on AUDUSD is recommended, with entry at 0.65200 and a stop loss at 0.65900. Take profit targets are set at 0.64520, 0.63820, and 0.63128. This analysis aims to capitalize on the anticipated bearish momentum following the completion of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern and the resistance level confluence.
Short
by trading_jupiter
2
AUDUSD - Shark Harmonic Pattern Formation Detected-Bearish TrendAUDUSD is currently forming a Shark Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour time frame. This pattern is characterized by specific Fibonacci ratios between the price swings. The completion point, Point D, coincides with a key Resistance level, indicating a potential reversal. Trendline Analysis: In addition to the harmonic pattern, there is a significant Trendline acting as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting the bearish outlook. Entry and Stop Loss: Based on the analysis, a prudent entry point is identified at 0.64800, just below Point D. To manage risk, a stop loss is recommended at 0.65350, above the recent swing high and the pattern completion point. Take Profit Targets: Three take profit targets are set to capitalize on potential downward movement: TP-1: 0.64270 TP-2: 0.63740 TP-3: 0.63200 Risk Management: The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade is carefully considered to ensure favorable risk management. The potential profit targets offer a balanced reward relative to the risk taken with the stop loss. Conclusion: With the Shark Harmonic Pattern formation, along with the confluence of the Trendline and key Resistance level, the technical analysis suggests a bearish momentum in AUDUSD. Traders may consider entering short positions with the specified entry, stop loss, and take profit levels, keeping risk management principles in mind.
Short
by trading_jupiter
3
AUDUSD - Potential sell idea ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from FIBO 0.618 level. Fundamental news: This week on Friday will be released Unemployment Rate on AUD, news with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
2
AUDUSD: The dollar headed for a second weekly gain amid interestThe US dollar is on track to gain for a second straight week today, underpinned by a strong US economy that has changed expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The greenback's 0.17% gain for the week was tempered after Thursday's warning message from financial leaders in the US, Japan and South Korea regarding the weakness of the Japanese yen and won by South Korea, suggesting the possibility of coordinated intervention. Asian currencies have been hit particularly hard by a stronger dollar. Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, noted the importance of the joint statement and acknowledged the growing possibility of Asian foreign exchange intervention. However, Kong expressed uncertainty about US involvement, arguing that a stronger dollar would h
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD - Bearish Breakout ConfirmedThe Australian dollar continued its strong sell-off even as the prices of industrial metals continued bouncing back. The AUD/USD pair crashed to a multi-month low of 0.6450 on Monday, much lower than this month’s high of 0.6645. Bearish view: - Sell the AUD/USD pair and set a take-profit at 0.6425 - Add a stop-loss at 0.6525 Bullish view: - Set a buy-stop at 0.6480 and a take-profit at 0.6550 - Add a stop-loss at 0.6400 Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
Short
by tradingconmike
2
audusd confirm signalAUD/USD (Australian Dollar - US Dollar) is one of the most frequently-traded currency pairs in the world. The AUD/USD rate, as shown in the real-time price chart, tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a single Australian Dollar. Follow the AUD/USD live with the interactive chart and read the latest forecast and AUD/USD news to boost your technical and fundamental analysis when trading this pair. AUD/USD has found fresh buyers near 0.6400, hanging near YTD lows after strong China's Q1 GDP data. However, the further upside appears elusive amid weak Chinese activity data and sustained US Dollar demand. Focus shifts to US data, Fedspeak. If sellers remain in control, AUD/USD could fall to the 2024 low of 0.6442 (February 13). Breaking below this level may result in a potential test of the 2023 bottom of 0.6270 (October 26), before the round level of 0.6200. On the flip side, there is an immediate hurdle at the key 200-day SAM of 0.6539 prior to the April high of 0.6644 before reaching the March top of 0.6667 (March 8) and the December 2023 peak of 0.6871. Further north, the July high of 0.6894 (July 14) precedes the June top of 0.6899 (June 16) and the crucial 0.7000 threshold
Short
by Mark804