AUDUSD - Look for a sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fulfill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB + institutional big figure 0.63000.
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Audusdshort
SHORT AUDUSDKeeping in line with the current bear trend, I would anticipate price looking to reach for levels below 0.62672. Currently short in profit at 42 pips, total target would be for 150. Although we've been ranging for the past two weeks, price has slowly but steadily been shifting downwards. A key area of interest was taken out when we crossed below 0.63500, no real bullish pressure resulted after reaching below that level. Take note that bullish volume strength has been significantly lower compared to the bearish levels. My take is this market is going to keep trending downwards a bit more. Let's see what the next couple of weeks has in store!
AUDUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisAUDUSD is moving in an UP trend channel.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Audusd AUD/USD rises to 0.6392, buoyed by weak US labor market reports. US Initial Jobless Claims hit a two-month high, fueling speculation of continued Fed policy easing. Australian employment exceeds expectations with 35.6K jobs added in November, unemployment dips to 3.9%The AUD/USD rose sharply and print a daily high of 0.6429 following Aussie’s data, but it has trimmed its gains, as strong US PPI figures, hint that the Federal Reserve would adopt a cautious approach on reducing interest rates.
Momentum turned slightly bullish in the near-term, but overall, the trend Is tilted to the downside as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bearish.
If AUD/USD buyers reclaim 0.6400, the next resistance would be the 0.6500 mark. A breach of the latter will expose the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.6568.
Conversely, if sellers stepped in and drag prices below the December 11 daily close of 0.6336, the pair might drop to 0.6300, before aiming toward October 23, 2023 swing low of 0.6270
Audusd AUD/USD reacts little to better-than-expected Australian Goods Trade Balance data and remains in a range above 0.6400 early Thursday. Rising bets for an early RBA rate cut cap the Aussie's upside amid China's economic woes and US-Sino trade war fears. Eyes turn to US data, FedspeakThe AUD/USD pair dives more than 1% to near the round-level support of 0.6400 in Wednesday’s European session. The Aussie pair plummets as the Australian Dollar (AUD) has been hit hard by weaker-than-projected domestic output data for the third quarter of this yearThe Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the Australian economy surprisingly expanded at a slower-than-expected pace of 0.8% compared to the same quarter of the previous year against the 1% growth seen in the previous quarter of this year. Economists estimated the annualized Q3 GDP growth of 1.1%. On a quarterly basis, the Australian economy expanded by 0.3%, slower than expectations of 0.4% but faster than the former reading of 0.2%
AUD/USD: The Bear is Lurking – A Breakdown in the Making?Hey Forex fam! 🌍✨ Let’s talk about the Aussie Dollar (AUD) versus the Greenback (USD) – the pair that's been stuck in a battle royale of consolidation! 🧐 But here’s the scoop: the bears are sharpening their claws 🐻, and we might just be on the edge of a big breakdown! 🚨
🔍 The Setup: A Symmetrical Triangle (Bearish Edition!)
📉 Chart pattern: For the last few years, AUD/USD has been dancing between two trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangle – a classic consolidation pattern. Think of it like a coiled spring, ready to pop... but in the bearish direction! 👇
👀 Why bearish?
1️⃣ The triangle is following a long-term downtrend. The pair has been sliding since 2013, and this consolidation looks like a classic continuation pattern.
2️⃣ Momentum is fizzling out as we approach the apex of the triangle – suggesting that a downside breakout could be just around the corner.
📉 Levels to Watch: The Bear's Roadmap
Support to break: 0.63 – the bottom of the triangle and a critical level to confirm the bearish breakdown.
Next bearish targets:
0.60: A psychological barrier.
0.56: The low not seen since 2008 (ouch!).
💡 Why is the Bear in Control?
1️⃣ Fundamentals 📰: With the Federal Reserve still hawkish 💵 and China’s economic recovery slowing 🐢 (a key driver of AUD strength), the Aussie is under pressure.
2️⃣ Risk sentiment 😬: Investors are flocking to safe-havens like the USD in uncertain markets, leaving the AUD vulnerable.
⏳ Timing the Breakdown
⚡ Be ready for action! The pair is sitting right at the edge of the triangle. A daily close below 0.63 could trigger an avalanche of selling pressure. But remember: wait for confirmation – false breakouts can wreck your P&L! 🚨
🔥 Pro Tips for Trading the Breakdown
✅ Trade the breakout: Short AUD/USD once it closes below 0.63, and target 0.60 or lower.
✅ Set stop-losses: Place them slightly above the triangle (~0.64) to protect against fakeouts.
✅ Patience is key: Don’t rush in – let the price action confirm the direction.
The Bearish Bottom Line 🐻
AUD/USD is playing a waiting game, but the technicals and fundamentals both scream downtrend continuation. If the bears break through 0.63, get ready for a dive that could take us to 2008 levels! 📉
Are you ready to ride the bear? 🐻💥 Let me know your thoughts below, and as always, trade safe! 💪✨
AUDUSD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 021. Seasonality:
During the first week of December, the USD exhibits bearish momentum, while the AUD shows bullish tendencies. This combination makes AUDUSD overall bullish.
2. COT Report:
The AUD's COT RSI and Index are near the top, while the USD is near the bottom, indicating potential overextension. This suggests a bearish outlook for AUDUSD.
3. Fundamental Analysis:
LEI
The USD Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) is increasing, while the AUD LEI is decreasing. Global LEI is also rising, favoring USD strength and adding a bearish tone to AUDUSD.
Endogenous Factors
These suggest bearish pressure for the AUD and bullish sentiment for the USD, further supporting a bearish bias.
Exogenous Factors
Exogenous influences, however, indicate an increase in AUDUSD, favoring a bullish trend.
4. Technical Analysis:
AUDUSD is forming an ABCD pattern and is currently at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level on the 1-hour chart. Additionally, there is significant resistance on the 4-hour chart, indicating potential bearish pressure from a technical standpoint.
Summary
The analysis presents mixed signals: seasonality and exogenous factors favor bullishness, while the COT report, LEI trends, endogenous factors, and technical resistance suggest bearish potential.
Bias
The combined analysis leans toward a short entry for AUDUSD.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.64746
SL: 0.65130
TP: 0.64362
AUDUSD AUD/USD maintains its offered tone below 0.6500, looks to FOMC minutes for fresh impetus
The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its intraday bounce from the 0.6435-0.6430 area, or its lowest level since August 5 touched earlier this Tuesday and keeps the red through the first half of the European session. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.6480 region, down for the second straight day, and seem vulnerable amid renewed US-China trade war fears.The AUD/USD pair fell sharply after failing to break above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.6540, suggesting that the bulls are unable to stage a recovery. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50, indicating that the bears are in control. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is green, indicating that there is still some bullish momentum. Overall, the technical outlook is mixed, with the bears having the upper hand in the short term. If the AUD/USD pair breaks below the 0.6400 support level, it could fall further toward the 0.6300 level. On the other hand, if the pair can break above the 0.6540 resistance level, it could rally toward the 0.6600 level.
Uptrend for AUDUSD, upto 0.69, Is my analysis wrong? {27/11/202}Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move UP from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
Why BULL RUN?
Because this pair has been juggling around for months in this range, I finally changed the character to show a sign of an uptrend, and I am looking to buy and hold this position on this pair.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
AUDUSD Pattern FormationThis price has been forming a rising flag pattern, which IMO is a strong indicator of a strong bearish momentum.
The price might either continue with the current bearish movement, or ChoCh to happen and a bullish momentum to happen so as to complete the pattern.
An analysis using a shorter timeframe will follow.
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Intraday the Aussie might lift but beating USD% D, W, TF? No
On Friday AUDUSD looked to me a very strong case for long positions, at least going forwards a few days to a week. I took the trade Long, knowing the USD$ was strong, because that's what the charts were telling me on Friday, but today it's a difference story. The Aussie likely to get a small bounce now and further selling to then take hold later in Tuesday.
But that has all changed with the Gold price selling off yesterday Monday, Gold selling and correcting in a bigger manner puts the US Dollar in a position of strength. Yesterday, I wrote how the US Dollar broke out with Bitcoin last week.
But at some point, very soon I imagine, the USD$ will not be able to outperform and be in alignment with Bitcoin's continued outbreak upwards.
But stranger things have happened, for now the USD$ is back and showing its strength against other currency's.
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AUDUSD buying Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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