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Ascending Channel

GOLD → Beginning of correction, possible test of support OANDA:XAUUSD forms another micro rally on Tuesday. On Wednesday, the price tries to test the high but fails to reach the area amid a strengthening TVC:DXY ahead of the news. Several important news are published today, I am interested in Initial Jobless Claims - as one of the inflation indicators. Analysts expect a slight improvement in this indicator, which may strengthen the dollar in the short term. But as we remember, the last 3 times the data was worse than the previous one. If they are better than expected, gold will show a slight correction and vice versa. From the last FOMC meeting: Fed members are not ready to cut the rate yet, but there is a high probability that they will not raise it again. From a technical analysis point of view: Gold looks quite strong despite the indicators data, we are judging on a fundamental basis. High interest, weakening dollar and geopolitical basis suggest further price growth. The 1984 level still plays an important role for the market. At the moment the price is in the range of 2004-1993-1984. Since today's retest failed to update the high, the price is forming a correction. The market is aiming to test the nearest support. We highlight several most important scenarios regarding the overall situation: The main sense of which is either consolidation or retest of resistance after a small correction. But in the long term, I expect a breakout of the local resistance and the direction of further growth towards the global targets. Support levels: 0.236 fibo, 1993, 0.382 fibo, 1984 Resistance levels: 2000-2004 I am expecting a correction and news data that may determine the short to medium term outlook. I still see gold as an asset that can strengthen its price in the near term. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
SPX: Reached a Resistance After an Insane Rally!The SPX has reached a critical resistance area. As observed on the daily chart above, the index hit the 4,541-resistance line (black line), which was a previous top level from September. This resistance line is quite close to another key point, the 4,567, an open gap since August (yellow line), making this whole area a zone of resistance. Although the SPX showed some weakness today, there is no sign of a top nearby, and the index would have to make a serious bearish reaction in order to reject the bullish sentiment. In my opinion, as the index has just hit a resistance area after a relentless rally since October 30 (last bottom), a pullback would be healthy. In this scenario, I see it seeking the gap below the price around 4,421, near the 21 ema. However, it must make a decent top signal to convince me that it will correct. What if the SPX breaks its resistance area? In theory, it would resume the bull trend seen on the weekly chart. Its next technical resistance is the 4,607, and above this key point, we see the all-time high at 4,818, near the purple trend line that connects the tops of its Ascending Channel (which is another bullish chart structure). Therefore, given the multiple chart structures observed in this analysis, we conclude that the SPX is in a mid/long-term uptrend, however, a mid-term pullback would be acceptable now, as it just reached a critical resistance area – the only thing missing is a clear top signal. Keep in mind that, statistically speaking, November is the greenest month, with an average return of 1.71% (since 1950). December is another good month for stocks, going up 1.50%, on average, and it ends up being a positive month 75% of the time. I’ll keep you updated on this, so remember to follow me if you liked the content. All the best, Nathan.
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
BTC Daily Chart 9th november 2023In my previous idea i indicated the ascending channel in which COINBASE:BTCUSD is currelty moving. We had a recent retest of the bottom trendline followed by a rally towards the upper trendline. Usually ascending channels are a continuation formation so in a way i am hoping/expecting for a breakout BUT if we compare the trenline to the RSI indicator we can spot a bearish divergence, indicating a possible correction in the near future (we could already spot the divergence on the 4h chart and has now also formed on the daily chart, giving it more validation). So i would be cautious and look for confirmation on any next move (like a positive retest of the upper channel-line indicating it flipped from resistance to support). It's hard to predict how BTC will manage to get out of the channel (breakout or breakdown) but at least we have a range/channel to focus on. When BTC breaks the channel we can expect a more significant move.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Bullissimo
📈 AUDCAD Long Opportunity: Waiting for ConfirmationHello fellow traders, Today, we're keeping a close eye on a potential long opportunity in the FX:AUDCAD currency pair. Let's dive into the analysis: 📈 Upward Trend: The overall trend for this pair is in an upward direction, and it has been moving within an ascending parallel channel. 🛠️ Support Break: However, a noteworthy event has occurred - the support within the parallel channel has been breached. 📉 Lower Lows: Prior to the support break, AUDCAD was forming lower lows, signaling a potential shift. 🤔 Assessing the Situation: Now, there's a support level beneath the ascending channel, creating a possibility for a fakeout before a potential upward move. ❗ Caution: It's essential to acknowledge the risk involved. There's only a limited chance of success as this level has been previously tested. 💡 Wait for Confirmation: We should exercise patience and await a confirmation candle before making a decision. This is a critical step in risk management. 📌 Stay Informed: I'll keep you posted on whether it's a viable entry or not once we have the confirmation candle. Stay tuned! Until we meet again, trade wisely. Thanks & regards, Alpha Trading Station 🌟
Long
by AlphaTradingStation
4
Ascending Channel on EUR/USD @ D1This chart shows an ascending channel pattern that has formed on the daily timeframe of EUR/USD following a long-term downtrend that had been active since July. It can now be used for a bearish breakout trade setup. The pattern's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The potential entry level is at the cyan line. The potential take-profit level is at the green line. The position of both lines is calculated based on the channel's width. The stop-loss isn't shown on the chart. It is to be set to the high of the breakout candle (or to the high of the preceding candle if the breakout one is trading mostly outside the channel).
Short
by AndriyMoraru
1
#DXY Possible scenarioHello, traders. Let's take a look at the DXY chart and discuss the possible movements of this chart for the next couple of days. As we know, the price recently broke below an important bullish channel for the first time since July 4th when this major bullish run began. However, as you can see, it failed to break below the previous low, which has been identified as an important support level. Based on Dow theory, the bullish trend is still intact since we have not violated the most recent lower low. So, we currently have two conflicting signals. One is bearish due to the breakdown of the long-term bullish channel, while the other is bullish because the price hasn't breached the last low. Furthermore, following the rejection of the low, the price moved higher impulsively, suggesting that buyers are still active. This is another bullish indication. However, the formation of a descending triangle chart pattern, which is bearish in nature, provides a mixed signal. For trading and as a personal opinion, the current price area may not be the best entry point into the market. Additionally, any upside breakout of the triangle chart pattern could potentially be a false breakout and may not be an optimal trading opportunity. However, if the price retraces lower to test the previous low and fails to break below it, we might consider taking a long position on the US dollar. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
TVC:DXYLong
by mohemati
3