XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after collecting liquidity below $2635, the price faced renewed demand and successfully climbed above $2641. As a result, gold managed to rise to $2651, delivering a 100-pip return.
Today, we have the US interest rate decision, which could bring significant volatility to the market, with both bull traps and bear traps likely. If you are not a professional trader, it’s better to stay away from the market and wait for stabilization, especially during Jerome Powell’s speech.
The previous analysis remains valid: as long as the price holds above $2641, we can expect further upward movement. However, if the price drops below $2641 and closes a candle underneath, we will likely see a sharp decline.
Keep these scenarios in mind and be patient to find the best trigger.
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XAU/USD : LONG, SHORT, LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price failed to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday. With news favoring the dollar index, gold experienced further declines, reaching $2664 so far. Now, we can expect an upward correction, likely followed by another drop before gold resumes its rally towards levels above $2700. This analysis will be updated further, so stay tuned and follow step by step!
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XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe that yesterday, following the announcement of a potential ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, gold experienced a significant drop, correcting by over 800 pips down to $2,605. This sharp decline created a major liquidity gap, which I anticipate will likely be filled as prices recover soon.
Additionally, today we have the critical CB Consumer Confidence data release, which could significantly impact the market and trigger high volatility. Be cautious with your trades and manage your risk effectively!
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XAU/USD : Gold will rise more? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price experienced a very slight correction before continuing its upward movement. In the past hours, gold reached $2710, which we previously identified as a supply zone. As a result, the price reacted to this level and corrected by over 100 pips, currently trading around $2700.
After another minor correction, I believe gold could continue its upward trend. One of the key supply zones to watch is $2736 to $2738—keep an eye on it! 🚀
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XAU/USD : Time For Some Correction ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continues to rise due to escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine, as well as Hezbollah and Israel. The price has been extending its rally since yesterday and is currently trading around $2665. In my opinion, after such a significant rally, we can start expecting a minor correction in the price.
Be cautious, as gold's movements have been extremely volatile and risky these days. If you lack sufficient experience, you might end up losing your capital. Reduce your risk to a minimum, avoid trading through Market Execution, and preferably identify key levels in advance. Enter trades only when the price reaches those levels and triggers a suitable setup.
The key supply levels are $2670-$2673, $2682-$2699, $2704-$2711, and the key demand levels are $2654, $2642, $2636, $2616, $2610, $2567. (This analysis will be updated.)
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XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we notice that today’s market opened with a positive price gap between $2563 and $2566 . These types of gaps often act as magnets for price action, as markets tend to fill such gaps over time. Based on the current bullish momentum, I expect a price correction in the near future to fill this gap.
Looking deeper into the structure, we can see that gold’s recent rally has managed to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the previous bearish move to a significant extent. However, it still has room to climb and fully fill the gap at $2606. This level could serve as a critical zone where we might observe a strong price reaction . Keep this level on your radar—it could either confirm a continuation of the bullish trend or trigger a reversal.
From a broader perspective, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Ukraine-Russia conflict continue to provide a safe-haven bid for gold. These factors have been instrumental in driving demand, even as the US dollar shows signs of consolidation after its recent strength.
On the macroeconomic front, recent data showed strong US retail sales for October , indicating resilience in the economy. However, there’s growing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Markets currently price in a 65% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December, which could weigh on the dollar further and provide support for gold in the medium term.
From a technical standpoint:
1. Gold remains in a bullish structure, but short-term corrections are expected due to overbought conditions and the need to fill the gap at $2563-$2566.
2. The $2606 level acts as a magnet for price, as it marks the full closure of the previous FVG. Monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or continuation.
3. In case of a rejection at $2606, a retest of support levels near $2545-$2550 could be on the cards, aligning with the gap fill.
Key Levels to Watch :
- Support: $2563 (gap low), $2545
- Resistance: $2606 (FVG top), $2620
To summarize, while gold’s rally has been impressive, the presence of both the unfilled gap below and the remaining FVG above suggests that the market could be at a pivotal point. Watch these levels carefully, as they are likely to guide gold’s next move.
Previous Analysis :
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EUR/USD : First Long, then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #EURUSD chart in the daily timeframe, we can observe that the price is currently trading around the demand zone of 1.056. having declined over 500 pips from previous highs. This decline has brought the price into a significant demand zone between 1.0520 and 1.0580, where we anticipate a potential bullish reaction.
If the price manages to hold above this level, we can anticipate a short-term upward move. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless proven otherwise!
Fundamentally, the euro has been under pressure due to concerns over potential U.S. tariff hikes following Donald Trump's election victory, which could negatively impact the eurozone economy. Historically, the euro has fallen below the $1 mark twice, including for a few months in 2022 amidst rising U.S. interest rates and the energy price surge from the Ukraine war. A weak euro could raise import costs, potentially spiking inflation, though recent trends suggest inflation may not be a major concern. On the flip side, euro depreciation benefits exporters, particularly in Germany.
In summary, while the EUR/USD is currently in a bearish trend, the proximity to a significant demand zone and oversold technical indicators suggest a potential short-term upward correction. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless a sustained move above key resistance levels occurs.
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
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XAU/USD : CPI is coming, Bull or Bear ?Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after entering the highlighted demand zone, gold has delivered a return of over 270 pips so far and is currently trading around $2611.
It’s important to note that today we have the CPI data release, which could significantly impact gold prices. If the CPI figures come in higher than expected, we’re likely to see further declines in gold, and vice versa if the data comes in lower.
Key demand zones remain at $2586-$2593 and $2555-$2562, while important supply zones are $2610, $2619-$2626, and $2643. Additionally, the recent sharp declines in gold have created several liquidity gaps, marked in purple on the chart, which are expected to be filled in the medium term as the price recovers.
Stay cautious and keep an eye on these levels, as well as the CPI announcement, for potential trading opportunities!
The Last Analysis :
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EUR/USD : First Short, then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around the 1.06 level. Since the previous analysis, it has dropped over 500 pips. I anticipate that the price will soon react positively to the 1.052 to 1.058 zone, potentially leading to a recovery of 40 to 300 pips.Keep an eye on these marked levels!
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Gold Surges to New Highs: Will the Rally Continue or Reverse? By reviewing the latest #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, after reaching the target zone ($2471 to $2477), the price experienced only a brief negative reaction, which was quickly recovered, and finally managed to establish a new high, rising to $2509! Currently, there are no signs of a price reversal in this timeframe. To better predict and analyze gold's next move, we need to wait for a reversal pattern to emerge. Don’t rush into trading; wait for the price to stabilize! This analysis will be updated tomorrow before the New York session begins.
This fast rise to $2509 relates to a prediction I made back on the 4th of December 2023, when gold was trading around $2067. At that time, I forecasted that gold might reach $2500 within the next five years. Yet, here we are, less than a year later, and gold has already hit that milestone!
The speed at which this has happened has surprised even me. Over the months, we have seen several global events rapidly changing and increasing gold demand through:
• Geopolitical Conflicts: Everlasting wars and increasing tensions shifted investors' interest to safe-haven assets like gold.
• Political Instability: Shifting powers and unpredictable political landscapes make gold an attractive option.
• Changes in Geographies: Global geopolitical realignments and territorial disputes have contributed to market vagaries.
• High Global Inflation: The world has experienced great levels of inflation, making more and more people use gold to hedge their wealth.
• Rising Consumer Prices: With prices soaring, gold has proven to be a favorite store of value.
All these and more have combined to accelerate the rate of growth in gold well beyond our initial expectations. This is a very clear reminder of how uncertain the markets are and why we can only get ahead with constant updating of knowledge to new, adapting social and economic conditions; otherwise, we fall far behind.
Let's continue to be well informed, adapt quickly, and catch the opportunities that are likely to come across us on our way. The future is so unpredictable, but with the correct mindset and strategy, for sure, we will certainly find our way through!
For further context, check out my original analysis from December (2023) ! just click the chart below to dive in!
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((2+4+7+13+15+18+26+36+38+69+87+101+183+209+1000+1002+1000000000+1000000001+ 1000000853)^♾️*69) + 1 !
XAU/USD : Expected Decline After Initial Rise (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we see that the price initially rose to $2377, as expected, and then began to decline, also as anticipated. As mentioned, I expected an upward move first, followed by a decline. This happened exactly, with gold dropping sharply from $2379 to $2351, resulting in a 280-pip decrease. Currently, gold is trading around $2360, and if we see an increase in the dollar index today, we can expect further declines in gold. The potential short-term targets are $2351, $2348, and $2342. At present, gold is trading around $2361.
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XAU/USD : First LONG, Then SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, with the price entering and stabilizing below the $2309 level, gold faced increased selling pressure and finally, after two weeks, returned to the $2200 channel. Currently, gold is in a significant demand zone, suggesting a possible upward move. However, we might see further corrections afterward. So, first LONG, then SHORT! I hope this analysis, as always, is helpful for you. Have a great night everybody!
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EUR/USD : Potential Rebound After Entering Key Demand ZoneBy analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after a significant drop, the price finally entered the demand zone between 1.067 and 1.069. Following the accumulation of liquidity below 1.06740, there was a surge in demand, and the pair is currently trading around 1.06980.
The substantial decline in EUR/USD has created numerous liquidity voids and FVGs that I expect to be filled in the short term. This movement presents potential opportunities for traders to capitalize on the market's volatility. Keep an eye on this pair, as the current dynamics might lead to intriguing price actions soon!
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⭐️ EUR/USD : Bull or Bear ? Let's See (Read the Caption)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observed that the price initially declined to 1.08130, following the predicted analysis. Subsequently, based on our analysis, it resumed an upward trend. Currently, after several rounds of liquidity accumulation, it is trading around 1.08780. Notably, traders are closely watching the current price level to see if EUR/USD will experience another rejection or not. In my opinion, there is a possibility that the price might first enter the liquidity pool above the 1.08950 level for collecting more liquidity and then potentially undergo a corrective move.
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Trade Smart with TradingView’s Volume FootprintTradingView has just introduced an innovative feature on their charts known as the Volume Footprint . This tool represents a significant advancement in chart analysis, offering a detailed view of trading activity and volume at specific price levels. Are you interested in gaining an early advantage by becoming one of the initial traders to master this new tool ?
• I'm thrilled to share with you a fantastic new feature from TradingView : the Volume Footprint. This powerful charting tool gives us a visual representation of trading volume distribution across various price levels for each candle within a specified timeframe. It's a game-changer, offering deeper insights to help us pinpoint areas of high liquidity and significant trading activity.
• The Volume Footprint is available to those with Premium and higher-tier plans. It leverages data from multiple lower timeframes of the current symbol for historical calculations. Initially, it requests 1-second data, and once this is exhausted, it moves to the next higher timeframe. Consequently, as we delve further into history, the requested timeframe increases, which may reduce the accuracy of volume distribution.
• This tool determines whether trades are buy volumes or sell volumes by analyzing the direction of price movement. If the current bar closes higher than it opens, it's a buy volume. Conversely, if it closes lower, it's a sell volume. If the close equals the open, the volume direction follows that of the previous bar.
• One of the standout features of the Volume Footprint is its ability to identify market balance and imbalance. A balanced market indicates an equilibrium between supply and demand, resulting in stable prices. An imbalanced market, however, shows a significant disparity between supply and demand, leading to pronounced price movements.
• The Volume Footprint helps us understand market behavior, such as optimal entry points, potential price movements, and areas where supply and demand are balanced or imbalanced. It's an excellent tool for gauging market sentiment and spotting trading opportunities.
• Additionally, the Volume Footprint allows us to identify failed auctions. These occur when there's an unsuccessful attempt to set a new price, resulting in a return to previous price levels. Recognizing failed auctions can help us anticipate market reversals, validate support and resistance levels, and refine our trading strategies to capitalize on shifting market conditions.
• Another intriguing feature is Delta divergence, which refers to a discrepancy between price movement and the total delta value. Traders often use delta divergence in footprint charts to signal potential reversals or changes in market direction.
• Finally, the Volume Footprint lets us spot excess trades at extreme price levels. According to auction market theory, prices rise until demand dries up and fall until supply is exhausted. This is known as a completed auction. Sometimes, though, an incomplete auction occurs, where the volume of trades at the maximum or minimum price level differs slightly. This may indicate that the trend isn't complete, suggesting that prices might continue moving in the current direction until the auction concludes.
• In conclusion, the Volume Footprint is an invaluable tool that provides deep insights into market dynamics and trading opportunities. It's a fantastic addition to any trader’s toolkit, and I can't wait to explore and utilize this feature in my trading journey. Happy trading!
Prepared by : Arman Shaban
The Source : www.tradingview.com
⭐️ XAU/USD : Ready for LONG ? (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that the price, following last night’s analysis, has rallied once again, soaring to $2319! However, it wasn’t long before it encountered selling pressure and has corrected to $2307 as of this moment! As I mentioned in the previous analysis, the significant demand zone for gold lies between $2303 and $2291, and I anticipate that upon entering this level, the price will once again meet demand, potentially yielding a return of at least 100 pips to 350 pips from this range! The second crucial demand level is situated between $2268 and $2284.
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⭐️ XAU/USD : Will GOLD fall to $2200 Channel? (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart in the 2-hour time frame, we can see that yesterday the price penetrated above $2330 to collect liquidity, and then it fell and was able to hit the first target of $2312. Please note that the level of $2312 is a The important demand level and therefore the reaction to it was positive, now if the price penetrates below this level again, we can expect more fall from gold and the next targets are $2308 and $2303 respectively!
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💎 BITCOIN (BTC) : First SHORT , Then LONG (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the Bitcoin chart on a weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we observe that the price is trading around $61,200. It might penetrate below $59,500 to gather more liquidity! Let’s examine the scenarios together: if the price stabilizes and closes below $59,500, we may see a further decline, possibly even a correction in Bitcoin down to $53,210. This would be the first attractive demand zone. The second appealing buying range would be between $38,600 and $43,000, which you should keep an eye on! Note that Bitcoin corrections are buying opportunities for those who missed out on the previous upward trend. The medium-term targets for Bitcoin are, in order, $77,000, $85,000, and $100,000.
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⭐️ GBP/USD : First LONG , Then SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the GBPUSD chart, we can see that the price started to fall from the range of 1.257 and was able to correct up to 1.247 and it brought us about 100 pips of profit! Now I expect the price to move up first and then we will probably see a further drop in the price!
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⭐️ XAU/USD : Navigating Supply and Demand Shifts (READ CAPTION)Hello Traders , Upon examining the gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after the price entered the targeted supply zone ($2352), it faced selling pressure and corrected with a drop of 230 pips down to $2328. Now, gold has closed at $2338, and I expect further correction with the market opening, although it’s possible that the price may re-enter the defined supply zone first before correcting with greater momentum. There are several important price levels ahead for gold that I urge you to consider and mark on your chart; these levels are, in order, $2366, $2375, and $2385. The potential scenario has been outlined on the chart.
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⭐️ XAU/USD : First LONG, Then a huge SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the gold chart on a weekly timeframe, we observe that after closing at $2393 last week, the price began a steep decline and even corrected to $2295! After constructing bullish candles for five consecutive weeks, this week we are witnessing the formation of a bearish candle, and it remains to be seen how far this decline will continue. If the price closes below $2344, we can expect further declines in gold next week. The $2344 mark is significant as it was last week’s opening price. This analysis will be updated, and we will discuss it further. Finally, I must mention that if we have a bearish candle next week as well, we could anticipate a medium-term decline in gold to $2225.
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⭐️ XAU/USD - First Long , Then SHORT ! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, after correcting the price to $2324 yesterday, the price went up again and today it was even able to grow up to $2391! As you can see, gold is correcting its price again and is currently trading in the range of $2368!
The important range of demand is between $2324 and $2332 and the important supply ranges are $2390, $2398.8 and $2404 to $2406!
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
🔥 #USDJPY - BIG Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the USDJPY chart in the 12-hour time frame, we can see that the price penetrated above the 151.920 level in the past few days to collect liquidity, and then it was accompanied by a price correction! On the chart, we see the creation of a large LV, which I expect to be filled in the medium term! By stabilizing the price below 151.500, we can more confidently enter the SELL position! All important levels are marked on the chart! The overall efficiency of the previous analysis was about 450 pips for SELL and about 550 pips for BUY. It all happened in one month! I hope you have made the most of it!
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