Apple Stock W-Pattern: Another Bullish Entry on the HorizonOver the past few weeks, we’ve repeatedly seen the same W pattern forming in Apple’s stock. I believe the stock is still in an uptrend, and the next good entry point could be during the downswing of the second leg. I’m planning to open a long position.
Whether I’ll close this position at around $260 as a day trade or decide to hold it longer is something I’ll let you know soon. What’s your take on this? Let me know!
Stay tuned, and I’ll catch you in the next one — peace!
Appleinc
Apple - A Correction Is Actually Inevitable!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is preparing for a minor cycle correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating five consecutive bullish breaks and retests of the previous all time high, it seems like Apple is one of these stocks which is perfectly following technical analysis. Considering that and the current rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that we will now see a short term correction.
Levels to watch: $190, $240
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Exploring Apple's Latest AI: What Does the Future Hold? Apple's recent announcement of Apple Intelligence, coupled with the launch of a new iMac, has sent ripples through the tech industry and the financial markets. While the long-term impact of these innovations on Apple's stock price remains to be seen, initial market reactions suggest a positive outlook.
Apple Intelligence: A Game-Changer?
Apple's foray into artificial intelligence (AI) with Apple Intelligence marks a significant milestone for the company. This new AI framework is designed to enhance various Apple products and services, from the iPhone to the Mac. By integrating AI capabilities into its ecosystem, Apple aims to provide a more personalized, efficient, and intuitive user experience.
Key features of Apple Intelligence include:
• Enhanced Siri: A more intelligent and capable virtual assistant.
• Advanced Image Processing: Improved photo and video editing capabilities.
• Natural Language Processing: More sophisticated text analysis and generation.
While the full potential of Apple Intelligence is yet to be realized, the initial response from analysts and investors has been cautiously optimistic. Many believe that AI could be a significant growth driver for Apple, particularly in areas such as augmented reality, virtual reality, and autonomous vehicles.
The New iMac: A Refreshing Update
The new iMac, powered by the M4 chip, represents a significant upgrade over its predecessor. With improved performance, stunning visuals, and a sleek design, the new iMac is poised to attract both consumers and professionals. However, the impact of this product launch on Apple's stock price is likely to be more modest compared to the introduction of Apple Intelligence.
Market Reaction and Future Outlook
In the immediate aftermath of the announcement, Apple's stock price experienced a modest increase. While this initial positive reaction is encouraging, it is important to note that the long-term impact of these innovations will depend on various factors, including:
• Consumer Adoption: The success of Apple Intelligence and the new iMac will ultimately depend on consumer adoption.
• Competitive Landscape: The intense competition from other tech giants, such as Google, Microsoft, and Samsung, could impact Apple's market share and profitability.
• Global Economic Conditions: Economic factors, such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, can influence investor sentiment and stock prices.
While Apple has a strong track record of innovation and financial performance, it is crucial to approach the company's future with a balanced perspective. While Apple Intelligence and the new iMac represent exciting developments, it is too early to predict their full impact on the company's bottom line.
In conclusion, Apple's recent announcements have generated significant buzz and positive sentiment among investors. However, the long-term trajectory of Apple's stock price will depend on a variety of factors, including the successful execution of its AI strategy and the overall health of the global economy. As Apple continues to push the boundaries of technology, investors will be closely watching to see how these innovations translate into sustainable growth and shareholder value.
AAPL Apple Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t bought AAPL before this major breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 232.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $4.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Apple at a Crossroad – Surfing to 238 or Wiping Out to 226?Alright, trading family, AAPL is catching some chop, and it’s make-or-break time. If we dip, we could slide to 229.25 or even 226.90 before the bulls try paddling back. But if buyers show up, we might ride the wave to 234.79—and if we break through there, 238.56 is the next stop.
Key Levels:
Support: 229.25 – If this breaks, 226.90 could be the next target.
Bounce Zone: 2 34.79 – Bulls need to reclaim this for more upside.
Breakout Level: 238.56 – Pushing above this opens the door for higher moves.
It’s one of those moments—either we ride the wave higher, or we get dragged under and wait for the next set. Keep your eyes peeled; this one’s gonna get interesting.
What do you think—are we riding this one up or taking a dip first? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this chart got you prepped for the next move.
Mindbloome trader
APPLE Soars! Long Trade Achieves Key Targets – Bulls in ControlApple has displayed a strong uptrend since the long entry at 184.92 on 7th May, 2024, reaching multiple profit targets as the bullish momentum continued.
Key Levels
Entry: 184.92 – The long position was initiated as the price broke above this level, indicating bullish strength.
Stop-Loss (SL): 174.50 – Positioned below recent support to manage risk and protect against a downside move.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 197.80 – The first target was achieved, confirming the continuation of the uptrend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 218.65 – Bullish momentum carried the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 239.50 – A further extension of the rally will bring the price to this target which looks very likely.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 252.38 – The final profit target, indicating a significant uptrend since the entry.
Trend Analysis
Apple's price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the uptrend. The sustained upward movement suggests strong market sentiment, with the potential for further gains beyond the final target.
The long trade on Apple has performed exceptionally well, with multiple targets reached. The final target at 252.38 reflects a robust rally, supported by the Risological Dotted trendline and consistent buying interest.
Apple's iPhone 16 Pre-Order Struggles: A Buying Opportunity?Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AAPL ) has always been a tech behemoth, but its latest iPhone 16 launch appears to be facing some turbulence. Analysts are reporting weaker-than-expected pre-orders, with the first weekend sales estimated at around 37 million units, a 12.7% dip compared to last year. But could this moment of weakness actually present an opportunity for investors? Let's dive into the technical and fundamental aspects of Apple's current standing.
Weak iPhone 16 Pre-Orders and AI Lag
The most significant concern surrounding Apple’s recent performance stems from the iPhone 16’s pre-orders. Analysts, including Ming-Chi Kuo from TF International Securities, project a 12.7% decline in pre-orders compared to last year, underscoring a drop in demand for Apple’s latest flagship device. This decline in demand is primarily attributed to Apple’s sluggish pace in the artificial intelligence (AI) race.
While AI innovation has taken center stage in tech, Apple has yet to make significant strides in this area. The lack of AI features in the iPhone 16 has left many potential buyers underwhelmed, especially in China, where local competitors like Huawei are ahead in integrating cutting-edge AI into their devices. In fact, Apple has been knocked out of the top five smartphone sellers in China for the first time—a sobering signal of the challenges ahead.
The AI sector is rapidly expanding, and Apple’s reliance on OpenAI’s technology for AI features in its iPhones is becoming a liability, especially given the Chinese government’s stringent policies against foreign AI technologies. If Apple does not address this gap soon, its position in the global smartphone market could face more significant challenges.
Despite these obstacles, Apple is not out of the race. The company has a history of overcoming setbacks and bouncing back stronger. Apple's short-term hurdles might be part of a larger, strategic approach. Many analysts speculate that Apple could be holding back major feature releases for the holiday season, a time when consumer spending surges. If enhanced AI capabilities are introduced in the coming months, especially in tandem with the shopping season, Apple could see a significant boost in sales.
Moreover, Apple’s foray into health tech with the new FDA-approved sleep apnea detection feature for the Apple Watch Series 10 shows that the company is still innovating in other areas. This feature could be a game-changer for millions of people with undiagnosed sleep disorders, opening up a new market segment for Apple’s wearables.
Technical Analysis: AAPL’s 3% Decline and Key Support Zones
Now, turning to the technical aspect, NASDAQ:AAPL stock is down 3% during Monday’s trading session, marking a pullback from its recent highs. While this decline has raised eyebrows, it’s important to note that Apple’s stock has been in a continuous uptrend since June 2019, showing incredible resilience over the years.
The stock's recent decline is partly due to lower-than-expected iPhone 16 pre-orders and broader concerns over its lag in AI innovation. However, NASDAQ:AAPL stock has formed a major support zone at the $125 pivot level. This zone correlates with the consolidation area observed on November 30, 2023, marking a potential bounce point for the stock.
The stock’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around the mid-50s, suggesting that while the stock isn’t oversold, it’s approaching levels that could attract buyers. Additionally, NASDAQ:AAPL is still trading above several key moving averages, offering further support for a potential reversal. Investors looking for a technical entry point might find this level particularly attractive, especially if the stock can hold the $125 support level and begin to rally.
Why Apple Stock May Still Be a Buy
Despite weaker pre-orders and concerns about AI innovation, there are several reasons why NASDAQ:AAPL remains a compelling buy at this stage:
1. Strategic Timing: Apple often introduces new features and technologies closer to the holiday season. It’s plausible that the company is withholding some of its most compelling AI advancements for the peak shopping months in November and December.
2. AI Potential: While Apple may currently lag in AI, its history of integrating groundbreaking features into its ecosystem should not be overlooked. If Apple rolls out significant AI updates within the next 12-18 months, it could trigger a renewed interest in its product line and drive stock price appreciation.
3. Long-Term Growth: Apple’s stock has demonstrated long-term growth and resilience, bouncing back from setbacks in the past. Its ability to navigate challenges in China, coupled with a potential holiday-season boost, positions NASDAQ:AAPL for a recovery in 2024.
4. Health Tech Advancements: The FDA’s recent approval of Apple’s sleep apnea detection feature for the Apple Watch further strengthens its position in the health tech market, which could open up a lucrative revenue stream. With 30 million Americans affected by sleep apnea, this feature could see widespread adoption, boosting sales of the Apple Watch Series 10 and Ultra 2 models.
Final Thoughts
Apple's current dip, driven by weaker iPhone 16 pre-orders and a lack of AI innovation, may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors. While the stock is facing short-term headwinds, its strong fundamentals, history of innovation, and potential AI advancements in the coming months could set the stage for a strong rebound.
Investors should closely monitor Apple’s performance in the upcoming holiday season, as this could be a critical period for the company to regain momentum. For now, the $125 support level may provide an ideal entry point for those looking to capitalize on any future upside. As always, it's important to stay informed on new developments and keep an eye on Apple’s evolving strategies, particularly in AI and health tech.
Apple Loses €13 Billion Tax Battle with the EUApple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) has suffered a significant legal setback as the European Court of Justice (ECJ) ruled against the company in a high-profile tax case, requiring it to pay €13 billion ($14.4 billion) in back taxes to Ireland. This decision comes after years of litigation and represents a major victory for the European Commission’s ongoing efforts to crack down on so-called “sweetheart” tax deals that give multinationals an unfair advantage.
The ECJ’s ruling overturns a previous 2020 decision by a lower court that had favored Apple, signaling a renewed focus on holding large corporations accountable for exploiting loopholes in European tax laws. The ruling not only has financial implications for Apple but also sets a precedent for how the EU will handle similar cases in the future.
Key Details of the Ruling
In 2016, Margrethe Vestager, the EU’s competition chief, accused Ireland of granting Apple illegal tax benefits that unfairly favored the tech giant and distorted competition. The case focused on tax rulings granted by Ireland that allowed Apple to channel billions in profits through the country at a tax rate as low as 0.005%, far below the standard corporate tax rates.
Apple and Ireland both challenged the ruling in the EU’s General Court, which initially sided with the tech company in 2020, arguing that the European Commission had not sufficiently proven that Apple received a selective economic advantage. However, the ECJ has now reversed this decision, reaffirming the Commission’s stance that the tax arrangements constituted illegal state aid.
Impact on Apple’s Finances and Market Position
While the €13 billion tax bill is substantial, it represents a fraction of Apple’s vast cash reserves. However, the ruling could influence the company’s financial strategies and complicate its tax planning across Europe. Apple has been vocal in its defense, insisting that it has always paid taxes in accordance with the law and that the case is more about jurisdiction than tax evasion.
“This case has never been about how much tax we pay but which government we are required to pay it to,” Apple stated after the ruling. The company argued that its income was already subject to taxation in the U.S. and that the EU was attempting to change the rules retroactively.
The “Double Irish” Tax Scheme: A Closer Look
Central to Apple’s tax practices was the now-defunct “Double Irish” tax strategy, which allowed multinational companies to route profits through Ireland to minimize their tax liabilities. This involved transferring profits to an Irish subsidiary, which then paid the money to another entity registered in Ireland but taxed elsewhere, often in a tax haven like Bermuda.
Although Ireland shut down this tax loophole in 2014 under pressure from the EU and the U.S., the ECJ ruling underscores the long-term implications of such arrangements. The decision may also encourage the European Commission to scrutinize other tax agreements, signaling a broader crackdown on similar schemes used by other tech giants.
### Technical Analysis: AAPL Stock in Focus
Apple’s stock ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) has experienced turbulence following the ECJ’s ruling, dipping by 1% in Monday’s extended trading session. The decline was not solely due to the court’s decision; it also reflects investor concerns about the broader market environment and the recent iPhone 16 launch, which did not provide the immediate boost some had hoped for.
However, from a technical perspective, Apple’s stock remains in a promising position. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 60, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, which is a healthy sign for potential upward momentum. Moreover, NASDAQ:AAPL is trading above its key moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day MAs, suggesting that the overall trend remains positive despite recent setbacks.
The Path Ahead: Risks and Opportunities
The ECJ ruling may create short-term headwinds for Apple, both financially and reputationally. However, the company’s strong market position, diversified revenue streams, and continued innovation in technology could help it weather this storm. Apple’s commitment to paying all taxes owed, regardless of jurisdiction, is likely to resonate with investors who value corporate responsibility.
For the EU, this case represents a significant milestone in its quest to create a level playing field for all businesses operating within its borders. The ruling sends a clear message that the bloc will not tolerate tax avoidance strategies that undermine fair competition, and it may embolden further actions against other tech giants.
Conclusion
Apple’s €13 billion tax setback in the EU is a critical moment in the ongoing battle between multinational corporations and global tax authorities. While the financial impact on Apple may be manageable, the ruling has broader implications for corporate governance and regulatory compliance across the tech industry.
For investors, the current dip in Apple’s stock presents a moment to reassess the company’s long-term potential amid evolving legal and economic landscapes. With strong technical indicators and a robust business model, NASDAQ:AAPL remains a key player, but vigilance is necessary as the company navigates its complex legal challenges.
Apple Inc & the iPhone 16 Launch: What Lies Ahead for the Giant?Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is set to host its highly anticipated iPhone 16 launch event on Monday, September 9, 2024. This event, widely considered Apple’s most important of the year, comes at a pivotal time for the tech giant, as it struggles to convince investors and consumers alike that its flagship product still has room for innovation and growth.
iPhone 16 Launch: What’s New?
The iPhone 16 lineup, including the iPhone 16, 16 Plus, 16 Pro, and 16 Pro Max, will be the focal point of the event. However, industry analysts, including Bloomberg, have indicated that the new iPhones will not feature significant design changes compared to their predecessors, the iPhone 15 series. The base models will see minor upgrades like faster processors, increased storage capacity, and the inclusion of the action button previously exclusive to the Pro models.
The Pro versions will boast slightly larger screens, slimmer bezels, improved processors, more advanced AI features, and enhanced camera capabilities. However, these iterative updates might struggle to capture the excitement that previous models once did, reflecting Apple’s current challenge in the fiercely competitive smartphone market.
Declining iPhone Sales and Revenue Concerns
Apple’s iPhone remains its most important revenue driver, yet the segment has shown signs of slowing growth. In the most recent quarter, iPhone sales revenue fell to $32.29 billion from $39.66 billion a year earlier, reflecting broader challenges in the consumer electronics market. Over the first half of 2024, iPhone sales dipped from $156 billion to $154 billion year-over-year, highlighting the difficulties Apple faces in reigniting demand.
The broader issue for Apple lies in its perceived stagnation; incremental upgrades in the iPhone 16 may not be enough to drive substantial sales growth. This problem is compounded by changing consumer habits, as people now tend to hold onto their iPhones for 3 to 4 years before upgrading, compared to shorter upgrade cycles in the past.
Apple’s other hardware segments, such as the iPad, face similar challenges. While iPad sales rose to $7.1 billion in the last quarter, the line’s growth prospects remain questionable due to the lack of distinguishing features that set it apart from larger iPhones or other tablets.
Expanding Services: Apple’s Growing Revenue Driver
While iPhone and hardware sales may be slowing, Apple’s services segment continues to show resilience, growing from $81.7 billion in Q2 2023 to over $85.7 billion in the latest quarter. This high-margin segment, encompassing Apple Pay, Arcade, Music, News, and the App Store, has become a critical revenue driver as the company navigates challenging hardware markets.
However, even with robust growth in services, the company’s overall valuation remains under scrutiny. Apple’s $3.4 trillion market cap, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 33.63 and a forward EV-to-sales ratio of 8.47, has drawn skepticism from prominent investors, including Warren Buffett, who has recently trimmed his stake in the company. As Apple’s core revenue sources face headwinds, the question of whether its valuation can be justified looms large.
Technical Analysis: Potential Downside Ahead?
From a technical perspective, Apple’s stock chart is flashing warning signs. Recently, the stock has formed a double-top pattern, a classic bearish signal, with a neckline around $195.80. Should this level break, it could trigger a deeper correction, aligning with broader concerns over Apple’s growth trajectory.
Key support levels to monitor include $218, where a trendline support intersects with significant historical price action, followed by $207, which aligns with previous breakout levels. A failure to hold these zones could see the stock retest the critical $196 support, near its 200-day moving average. Conversely, resistance looms near $233, a level that coincides with recent 1 Month High and where investors may look to lock in gains amid a potentially volatile period.
Competitive Pressures: Huawei’s Tri-Fold Phone Steals the Spotlight
Adding to Apple’s challenges, Huawei has captured attention with its new tri-fold smartphone, the Mate XT, which has already amassed 2.7 million pre-orders. This launch underscores the growing competition Apple faces, particularly in China, where it recently fell out of the top five smartphone vendors. As Huawei and other Chinese manufacturers push the envelope with innovative designs and features, Apple’s lack of a folding phone remains a glaring omission in its product lineup.
Conclusion: A Critical Moment for Apple
As Apple gears up for its iPhone 16 launch, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The company’s ability to excite consumers and investors with its new lineup will be closely scrutinized, especially given the stock’s recent technical weakness and ongoing fundamental challenges. While Apple’s robust services segment provides a buffer, the question of whether this alone can sustain its lofty valuation remains unanswered. For now, Apple’s near-term fortunes may hinge on how well the market receives the iPhone 16 and whether it can navigate an increasingly complex competitive landscape.
Apple - Still Outperforming Everything!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is stronger than 99% of stocks:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the recent stock market weakness, Apple is trading at new all time highs. This clearly indicates that buyers don't let this stock down but are rather buying every dip. Even though Apple is retesting a channel resistance, a breakout followed by a rally is definitely possible.
Levels to watch: $230, $280
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
APPLE Stock 22% Gain - Profit Target 2 Reached!The APPLE stock price crosses over the Risological swing trader dotted line on on May 3, 2024 giving us a clear bullish trade setup.
LONG Trade Setup
Entry 185.5
Current trailing stop loss at : 203.6
Overall gain from the entry: 22%
Last profit target is at 254.5
Congratulations, who made profit!
Apple is a great buy once it exceeds 240!
The stock experienced an extended period of consolidation, during which it formed several bullish chart patterns, including the Double Bottom and Rounding Bottom.
After the price broke above the neckline of the Rounding Bottom, the stock surged to reach an all-time high close to the 237 level.
Since then, it has retraced nearly 17%-18%, returned to its support level.
Now, with a robust rebound underway, the stock is approaching its resistance zone, and there are strong expectations for a significant breakout.
The optimal buying opportunity lies just above the 240 level.
Apple Stock Defies Market Downturn with Strong Q3 PerformanceIn a day marked by a broad-market selloff, Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) stood out as a beacon of resilience and strength. The tech giant’s shares rose on Friday, buoyed by its impressive fiscal third-quarter results that surpassed Wall Street’s expectations. Here’s a closer look at Apple’s recent performance and what it means for investors.
Stellar Earnings Report
Apple reported a 4.9% year-over-year increase in revenue for the quarter ending June 29, reaching $85.8 billion. This growth was primarily driven by a 14.1% surge in services revenue, which hit $24.2 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) also saw a notable increase, rising 11.1% to $1.40, significantly above the anticipated $1.35 per share.
"During the quarter, our record business performance generated EPS growth of 11 percent and nearly $29 billion in operating cash flow, allowing us to return over $32 billion to shareholders," said Luca Maestri, Apple’s Chief Financial Officer. "We are also very pleased that our installed base of active devices reached a new all-time high in all geographic segments, thanks to very high levels of customer satisfaction and loyalty."
Key Performance Metrics
- Mac Sales: Increased by 2.5% to $7 billion.
- iPad Sales: Surged by 23.7% to $7.2 billion.
- iPhone Sales: Slight decline of 0.9% to $39.3 billion.
- Wearables, Home, and Accessories: Decreased by 2.2% to $8.1 billion.
The growth in services and devices sales highlights Apple's diverse revenue streams, which continue to drive overall financial health despite minor setbacks in iPhone sales.
Market Reactions and Future Outlook
Wall Street reacted positively to Apple’s robust financial performance, with the stock gaining ground in a market otherwise dominated by losses. Since early May, following the announcement of a substantial stock buyback program, Apple’s shares have climbed nearly 32%. The consensus among analysts remains bullish, with an average target price of $231.32, indicating a potential upside of about 4% from current levels. Notably, Needham has set a higher price target of $260, suggesting over 16% growth potential.
Needham analyst Laura Martin highlighted Apple’s strategic focus on leveraging its vast installed base of more than 1.25 billion wealthy consumers. "We believe Apple’s goal is to grow long-term volume through increasing the average revenue per user and lowering churn levels by up-selling its users into additional devices and services," Martin noted.
Strategic Initiatives
Apple’s strategy of enhancing its ecosystem through increased services and product integration continues to pay off. The company’s commitment to returning value to shareholders through stock buybacks and dividends further solidifies its position as a stable and attractive investment.
On the conference call, Maestri projected similar revenue growth rates for the fourth quarter, including double-digit growth in services. This positive outlook underscores the company’s ability to navigate economic uncertainties and maintain its growth trajectory.
Conclusion
Despite a turbulent market environment, Apple’s strong fiscal third-quarter results and strategic initiatives have positioned it well for continued success. The tech giant’s ability to deliver impressive earnings, maintain high customer loyalty, and execute effective growth strategies makes it a compelling stock for both current and potential investors.
As Apple continues to innovate and expand its services, it remains a cornerstone of stability and growth in the tech sector. With Wall Street's confidence and a solid roadmap ahead, Apple’s stock is poised to keep delivering value to its shareholders.
Apple: Bullish Seasonal Growth ExpectedApple Inc. (AAPL) is trading at $230.54 and higher in the pre-market session, continuing to demonstrate strength as the price embarks on a seasonal growth trajectory that is projected to persist through the first two weeks of August. This anticipated bullish upside aligns with our in-depth analysis of market trends and seasonal patterns.
A significant factor driving this optimistic outlook is the positioning of various market participants. Large speculators, typically institutional investors and hedge funds, are currently holding long positions on Apple. This suggests a strong confidence in the stock’s potential for further gains. On the other hand, retail traders are predominantly positioned on the short side, which often indicates a contrarian opportunity for upward movement as these positions may get squeezed.
Given these dynamics, we see a compelling opportunity to buy Apple stock at the opening of today’s market. The alignment of large speculators' long positions with the seasonal trend enhances the probability of a sustained bullish run. Historical data supports this seasonal growth pattern for Apple, typically seeing a positive performance during this time of year.
Investors should consider the broader market context as well. Apple, as a leading tech giant, often sets the tone for market sentiment. Its robust fundamentals, continuous innovation, and strong consumer demand further underpin the bullish case. Additionally, any positive developments in the broader tech sector or favorable economic indicators could provide additional tailwinds for Apple's stock price.
In conclusion, with Apple trading at $230.54 and higher in the pre-market and supported by a seasonal growth pattern and strong positioning from large speculators, we are poised to capitalize on this opportunity. Entering a long position at the market opening aligns with our analysis and the anticipated bullish trajectory through mid-August. Investors should monitor the stock closely, considering both the seasonal trends and market participant behavior to make informed trading decisions.
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Short $AAPL between $191-196. Target below $100?NASDAQ:AAPL is starting to look like a really great short opportunity. As you can see from the chart, the bullish trend that started in 2020, broke down in 2022 and hasn't been able to confirm support above it.
We confirmed resistance on that trend line in August and now looks like we're going back to test it one more time. I'd imagine this time, it won't break through and we should see a strong downward reaction afterwards.
I think we'll see price fall after that December pivot and then bottom sometime before 2025 at the lower support level.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming year.
Betting on the Apple Ecosystem: A Long-Term Look at AAPL StockApple (AAPL) has captivated investors for decades. Their sleek design, user-friendly interface, and commitment to innovation have fueled a loyal customer base and consistent stock growth. But with a recent focus on rebranding artificial intelligence (AI) as "Apple Intelligence," some wonder if the company can maintain its momentum. While this AI rebranding sparks debate, a long-term bullish outlook on AAPL remains strong, driven by the company's core strengths and a vibrant ecosystem.
Beyond the Buzzword: Why Apple?
Despite the recent "Apple Intelligence" announcement, the company's true value lies beyond a single rebranding effort. Here are some key factors driving a long-term bullish outlook on AAPL stock:
• Brand Loyalty: Apple boasts an unrivaled level of customer loyalty. Their products are not simply seen as tools, but as integral parts of users' lives. This loyalty translates to consistent product sales and recurring revenue streams.
• Innovation Engine: Apple is a constant innovator. From the revolutionary iPhone to the powerful M1 chip, they consistently push boundaries and create products that redefine user experiences. This drive to innovate keeps them ahead of the curve and ensures a steady stream of new revenue opportunities.
• A Walled Garden that Works: While some criticize Apple's closed ecosystem, it fosters a tightly integrated user experience. Seamless connectivity between hardware, software, and services like iCloud creates a smooth and efficient experience that users appreciate.
• Services Boom: Apple's services segment, encompassing offerings like Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple Arcade, is experiencing explosive growth. This recurring revenue stream provides stability and reduces dependence on hardware sales alone.
The "Apple Intelligence" Gamble: A Double-Edged Sword?
Apple's recent rebranding of AI to "Apple Intelligence" is a bold move. While it reflects a user-centric approach, some potential drawbacks exist:
• Managing Expectations: "Apple Intelligence" sets high expectations. Delivering features that consistently live up to the name is crucial to avoid user disappointment. Bugs and limitations can erode trust and damage the brand.
• Transparency Challenges: Apple hasn't always been at the forefront of AI transparency. Building trust requires openness about how their algorithms work and how user data is used.
• Integration Hurdles: Successfully integrating powerful AI features across their ecosystem requires meticulous engineering. Any hiccups in this process can hinder user adoption and adoption of the "Apple Intelligence" moniker.
The Long View: Betting on the Ecosystem
Despite potential roadblocks with "Apple Intelligence," the core strengths of the Apple ecosystem remain compelling. Their focus on user experience, consistent innovation, and a loyal customer base position them well for continued success. The "Apple Intelligence" rebranding might be a gamble, but it shouldn't overshadow the company's commitment to building a seamless and intelligent user experience.
For long-term investors, AAPL remains a strong contender. The company's dedication to innovation, a loyal user base, and a robust ecosystem suggest continued growth potential. However, keeping a watchful eye on the execution of "Apple Intelligence" and its impact on user experience is prudent. After all, in the world of technology, even the most brilliant ideas can falter without flawless execution.
Nvidia Races Ahead: Can It Lead After Apple Stock SplitNvidia Races Ahead: Can it Maintain the Lead After Apple's Stock Split?
The tech world is abuzz with the news of Nvidia's staggering outperformance of Apple's stock price in 2024. Annually, Nvidia has surged a remarkable 190+%, leaving Apple in the dust with a meager 19% gain. This stark contrast comes just ahead of Apple's highly anticipated 10-to-1 stock split, raising questions about the future performance of both tech giants.
Nvidia's Stellar Rise: A Chip Powerhouse on Fire
Nvidia's dominance can be attributed to its position as a leader in the booming semiconductor industry. The ever-growing demand for powerful graphics processing units (GPUs) for applications like artificial intelligence, gaming, and data centers has propelled Nvidia's growth. Their cutting-edge technology has made them the go-to choice for tech enthusiasts and professionals alike.
Apple's Stagnant Growth: A Maturing Giant?
While Apple remains a tech behemoth, its stock price hasn't mirrored the explosive growth seen in other sectors. This could be due to a number of factors. The smartphone market, a cornerstone of Apple's success, has reached a saturation point. Additionally, competition from other manufacturers, particularly in the Chinese market, has intensified.
Stock Splits: A Psychological Boost or a Price Trick?
Stock splits themselves don't change the underlying value of a company. They simply increase the number of shares outstanding while proportionally reducing the share price. However, stock splits can have a psychological impact on investors. A lower share price can make the stock appear more affordable, potentially attracting new investors and boosting short-term trading activity.
Volatility Ahead: Will Apple Reclaim Its Throne?
Apple's upcoming stock split has the potential to introduce significant price volatility in the short term. The lower share price might entice retail investors, leading to a temporary surge. However, long-term performance will depend on Apple's ability to innovate and tap into new growth markets.
Beyond the Numbers: A Look at the Fundamentals
While the current stock price performance paints a clear picture, a deeper analysis of both companies' fundamentals is crucial for long-term investors. Here are some key aspects to consider:
• Product Pipeline: Both companies have a history of successful product launches. Analyzing their upcoming product lines and potential disruptions will provide insights into future growth prospects.
• Innovation: Continuous innovation is vital for sustained success in the tech industry. Evaluating each company's commitment to research and development will shed light on their ability to stay ahead of the curve.
• Market Expansion: Identifying new markets and customer segments that either company can tap into can be a significant growth driver.
The Verdict: A Tale of Two Tech Titans
Nvidia's current lead is undeniable, but Apple shouldn't be counted out. The stock split has the potential to reignite investor interest in Apple, and its brand loyalty remains unmatched. Ultimately, which company emerges victorious will depend on their ability to navigate the ever-evolving tech landscape, deliver innovative products, and expand into new markets.
For investors, this is an exciting time to be in the tech sector. By carefully analyzing both companies' fundamentals and long-term strategies, investors can make informed decisions about where to place their bets. The race between Nvidia and Apple is far from over, and the coming months will be a fascinating test of their respective strengths and resilience.
Nvidia Scores a Knockout: Chipmaker Topples AppleNvidia Scores a Knockout: Chipmaker Topples Apple to Reach $3 Trillion Throne
In a stunning shift of the tech world's power dynamics, Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) has dethroned Apple (AAPL) as the world's most valuable company by market capitalization. Surpassing the $3 trillion mark for the first time ever, Nvidia's meteoric rise signifies the transformative power of artificial intelligence (AI) and the chipmaker's strategic positioning at the heart of this technological revolution.
From Graphics Giant to AI Powerhouse
Nvidia's journey to the top isn't a tale of overnight success. The company built its reputation on high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs) - the workhorses behind smooth gameplay and stunning visuals. However, a fortuitous discovery changed the game. These same GPUs, designed for complex graphics calculations, proved remarkably adept at handling the intricate computations demanded by AI. This adaptability propelled Nvidia into the AI arena, where its chips are now powering a vast array of groundbreaking applications.
Fueling the AI Engine
Several factors have converged to create a perfect storm for Nvidia's growth:
• The AI Explosion: The global AI market is on an exponential growth trajectory. As AI infiltrates diverse industries from healthcare to finance, the demand for Nvidia's powerful GPUs is expected to skyrocket. Self-driving cars, facial recognition systems, advanced medical research – these are just a few examples of the areas where Nvidia's technology plays a critical role.
• Gaming Goes Beyond the Console: The gaming industry, a long-standing customer base for Nvidia, is experiencing a renaissance fueled by cloud gaming and virtual reality (VR). These advancements necessitate ever-more powerful graphics processing, further solidifying Nvidia's position within this lucrative market segment.
• The Crypto Craze: While a volatile factor, the ongoing cryptocurrency boom has undeniably boosted demand for Nvidia's GPUs, as they are well-suited for cryptocurrency mining. This additional demand has contributed to Nvidia's recent surge.
Can Nvidia Maintain its Momentum?
While Nvidia's current market valuation is a testament to its success, questions naturally arise about its ability to sustain this extraordinary growth trajectory. Here are some key considerations for the future:
• The Competitive Landscape: Nvidia's success has attracted the attention of rivals like Intel (INTC) and AMD (AMD), who are pouring resources into developing their own AI-focused chips. Maintaining its technological edge will be crucial for Nvidia to stay ahead of the pack.
• Market Fluctuations: The tech sector is notorious for its sensitivity to market movements. An economic downturn or a shift in investor sentiment could potentially trigger a correction in Nvidia's stock price.
• Innovation as the Lifeblood: The rapid pace of technological advancement demands constant innovation. Nvidia must prioritize research and development to ensure its products remain at the forefront of AI technology.
A New Era for Chipmakers
Nvidia's ascension to the $3 trillion mark signifies a pivotal moment for the semiconductor industry. It underscores the immense potential of AI and the critical role chipmakers play in driving technological innovation. As the world embraces AI at an ever-increasing rate, Nvidia stands poised to play a central role in shaping the future. However, the company's continued success hinges on its ability to navigate a competitive landscape, prioritize innovation, and weather potential market fluctuations.
Support zone: Around 189.84Hello, traders.
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(1M chart)
You need to check if it is rising along the rising channel.
The important zone on the 1M chart is around 175.45.
(1W chart)
The important zone on the 1W chart is around 189.42.
Therefore, the support zone is the 175.45-189.42 zone.
You need to check if it is forming a trend while passing through the week including July 22nd and the week including August 19th.
If it falls below 157.65, we need to check for support near 136.72.
(1D chart)
The important sections on the 1D chart are around 189.84 and 172.16.
Therefore, the key is whether it can find support near 189.84 and rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.5 (197.89).
If it falls near 189.84 and shows resistance,
1st: 181.99
2nd: 172.16-175.45
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting section, it is necessary to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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