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HangSeng likely more downside till 17000Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
ICMARKETS:HK50Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
usd still bias on the upsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. I am in general still bias on upside for USD but do note that it is coming to a key rejection zone on the weekly chart..but shall monitor till something really changed... Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXYLong
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
SIGA Technologies Analysis 6/24Disclosure: As of 6/24 I am long SIGA Technologies NASDAQ:SIGA SIGA Technologies is a bio pharmaceuticals company that is in the public health market. They develop and sell products to treat Smallpox, Ebola, and other public health threats. Management Effectiveness: The company has been consistently profitable since 2018, with margins averaging 30%-40% in recent years with only a few unprofitable quarters. Very quickly after the company became profitable they brought the debt to essentially nothing. In recent years the company's return on equity has been above 25%, indicating their research spending is used effectively. The company has a large cash position for potential investment in research. Valuation The company trade at a P/E of 6 and a p/cf of 8 they have paid special dividends for several years and could potentially implement a stock buyback program, at least that is something I would be considering if I were a board member (Disclosure: I am not a board member obviously). Summary NASDAQ:SIGA is a well run company, trading at an excellent valuation if you are willing to take the risk of a concentrated portfolio of products and volatile returns. They have several positive tailwinds including: International Expansion, Re-Valuation of the company due to implementation of a dividend or buyback policy, and increased public health awareness by international governments.
NASDAQ:SIGALong
by sihen999
4
USDCHF: Key Level Rejection, Fibonacci Retracement ExpectedPrice recently broke out of the daily (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the daily (D) 50% Fibonacci retracement level, converging with resistance. Price then rejected this level and pushed down to retest support before breaking out of the four-hour (4H) downtrend line, suggesting strong bullish momentum. Price then pushed up and reached the daily (D) key level and converged with yet another 50% Fibonacci level. Price has proceeded to reject this level, highlighting temporary reversal and suggesting a possible retracement. I expect price to temporarily retrace to around the 38.2% level before continuing to the upside. **Rationale:** **Rationale:** ~ (L1): Breakout of channel (D) ~ (L2): Retest of support (D) ~ (L3): Break of trendline (4H) ~ (L4): Retest of support ~ (L5): Fib retracement convergence + Rejection ~ (F1): 38.3% Fib retracement **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Short
by Forexity
Assessing Forex Dynamics: EUR/USD Analysis📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We're focusing on the EUR/USD pair, which shows the value of the Euro against the US Dollar. This analysis will help us understand whether the US or European economy is stronger. 🧩 To better compare these currencies, it's helpful to also consider the DXY chart. For a full DXY analysis, you can find the link in the description. In that analysis, I mentioned that the DXY is likely to trend downward in the long term because the interest rate has reached 5.5%, which is quite high. The US might soon need to start lowering interest rates. However, since the inflation target in the US is 2%, the interest rate could reach 6% to control the current 3.3% inflation and bring it down to 2%. 💶 On the other hand, the economic situation in Europe is better than in the US, with both better interest rates and lower inflation. The average interest rate in Europe is 3.75%, and the average inflation rate is 2.4%. So, if the US eventually begins to lower its interest rate, the EUR/USD could start moving upwards. 🔍 Let's look at the chart. In the weekly timeframe, we see a downtrend in the High Wave Cycle, which is currently undergoing a correction up to 0.618. In the Medium Wave Cycle, within the downtrend correction, there's an uptrend that, after reaching 0.618 of our larger cycle, entered a correction phase down to 0.5. Currently, in the Low Wave Cycle, we are ranging, and we need to see whether the HWC or MWC will dominate to determine the next market move. 🧲 In the LWC, there's also a descending trendline that has brought the price down to the middle of the range box, and now the price is at 1.06245. This trendline could start a bearish momentum, but since it formed within a range box, it's unreliable. 📉 If 1.06245 is broken, the price could move down to 1.05195. A break of 106.723 in the DXY could confirm this breakdown. If the 0.5 area, which overlaps with 1.05195, is broken, the price could move to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. However, since the HWC is bearish, the downtrend might be much more significant. 📈 If the trendline is broken to the upside, after the trigger, we can expect the price to move to the top of the range box. In the DXY, a break of 104.5 could be suitable for confirmation. The main long trigger is 1.10464. The first barrier for the price is 1.12015, overlapping with the 0.618 level, which might hold the price for a few weeks. But if this area is surpassed, the price could move to 1.16558. 🎲 Moving to the daily timeframe, there's a gently sloping ascending trendline supporting the price, and a compression has formed in recent days. There's a hidden static line, not immediately apparent, but I've marked it in black on the chart. 📈 For a long position, we can enter riskily upon breaking 1.07370, but as I mentioned, it's a risky position, so the risk taken should be less than usual. The next long trigger is 1.09023, and if this trigger breaks, we can move to 1.11055. The final long trigger is the break of the range box top at 1.11055. 📉 For a short position, we first need to wait for the ascending trendline to break and then for 1.06687 to break. In this case, we can move to 1.06136, the main trigger for breaking the trend. Breaking this support can take us to the bottom of the range box. The third short trigger is breaking the bottom of the range box at 1.04610. 📝In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair is at a crucial juncture with potential for both upward and downward movements depending on key trigger levels. Keep an eye on economic indicators from both the US and Europe, and use strict risk management strategies to navigate the market. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in forex trading. Adhere to strict capital management principles, use stop-loss orders, and aim for an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a currency pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
4
USDCAD: Multiple rejections, temporary bullish biasPrice has recently rejected the daily (D) ascending channel support level. Price then pushed up and broke out of the one-hour (1H) descending channel to form a higher high. Price then pulled back to retest support, forming a higher low. I expect price to continue to the upside. **Rationale:** - Ascending Channel Support (D) - Multiple Rejections - Elliott Wave Completion - Descending Channel Breakout (1H) - Higher High - Retest of Support - Higher Low **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday
Long
by Forexity
1
All eyes on the PCE todayWe are waiting to see what's going to happen after the release of the Fed's preferred inflation metric, the PCE. EASYMARKETS:EURUSD could one of those exciting pairs to watch today, but wait for the number to come out first. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
Sell EUR/USD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0700, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0653 2nd Support – 1.0634 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0730. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
AUD/USD - H1 Chart - Wedge BreakoutThe AUD/USD FX:AUDUSD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6644, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6611 2nd Support – 0.6590 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6663. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
USDCHF: Recent Trendline Breakout, Temporarily BullishPrice has recently broken out of the (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the (D) 50% Fib retracement level and proceeded to the downside to retest support. The price has now broken out of the (4H) downtrend line. I anticipate the price will retest and reject this level of support, and temporarily continue to the upside. **Rationale:** L1: ~ Break of channel (D) L2: ~ Retest of support (D) ~ Impulse wave completion L3: ~ Break of trendline (4H) ~ Retest of support **Disclaimer:** My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. ** Annotations:** Categories: 1. Naming: (N1) 2. Labeling: (L1) 3. Forecasting: (F1) Sub-categories: 1. Naming: (N1.1) 2. Labeling: (L1.1) 3. Forecasting: (F1.1) --- #scalping #intraday
Long
by Forexity
3
A good time to accumulate HFCL?• HFCL is trading at around it's all time high. • The fundamentals are quite good. • A breakout on February failed and the prices fell and since February it was trading in a range. • Finally on 12th June it broke out with promising volumes and now has come down to retest it's breakout level which is between 108.80 - 111.50. • One can observe the markets tomorrow and plan their entry. Although an entry around 113.50 - 114 should be more convincing. • Buy and hold it. If the prices fall down, if you can't handle the risk, exit and buy on dip at lower level. • On dips, first buying zone is around 90. The second is around 84-82. • Invest doing your own analysis. Thanks
NSE:HFCLLong
by rohix
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2675, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2635 2nd Support – 1.2610 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2703. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
23
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 27, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair pulled back to the 1.06800 area on Wednesday after the German GfK Consumer Confidence Index for July unexpectedly declined, while a lack of meaningful data during the U.S. trading session left investors chewing over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious stance this week. Germany's consumer confidence reading for July fell to -21.8, falling short of forecasts for a recovery to -18.9 from the previous month's revised reading of -21.0. Despite a slow and steady recovery in the German GfK consumer confidence survey, Wednesday's downbeat publication knocked the legs out from under an already battered euro. The change in U.S. new home sales in May recorded a -11.3% month-over-month decline on Wednesday (2.0%), sharply revised from the initial reading of -4.7%. U.S. GDP for the quarter is expected to rise slightly to 1.4% from an initial reading of 1.3%, while May durable goods orders are expected to contract by -0.1% from a revised 0.6% in the prior month. U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending June 21 are expected to fall slightly to 236k from the previous reading of 238k, but the figure is expected to be above the four-week average of 232.75k. Market confidence that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will cut rates on September 18 has declined. The probability of a rate cut of at least a quarter point fell to 60%, down from a peak of just above 70% last week, according to CME's FedWatch tool. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004