AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 175usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $12.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMZN
When it comes to broadening wedges...AMEX:SPY Here we have a few broadening wedges. The last 2 were descending and SPY blasted off to new ath highs. Now were in a ascending wedge and sitting at 514. We have a few big name ERs that can put us back on the path to new aths but I think we are heading back to 480 by July based on the previous wedge behavior, and long support and resistance.
Even AMZN may struggle at 2021 HighsNASDAQ:AMZN rebounded off a gap up support level which implies that this is where fundamentals are likely to be. The stock's price shows resilience and no HFT interference for now, even after the Q1 earnings report after market yesterday.
Amazon has more than just its retail consumer and small business products. It has AWS with AI integrated to help the small businesses that sell via AMZN.
AMZN weekly chart shows that the highs of this month ran into the 2021 all-time highs. Note the negative divergence between the price trend and the Accumulation/Distribution indicator line, indicating a lack of buyers at that high. This resistance level is likely to take another quarter or more to overcome unless there is a big surprise. This goes for all companies, not just AMZN.
Amazon delivers results for the first quarterAmazon announced its earnings for the first quarter of 2024 yesterday after the closing bell. The company reported net sales worth $143.3 billion, marking a 13% YoY increase, and net income of $10.4 billion, up 225% YoY. Operating income rose to $15.3 billion, representing a growth of 218% YoY, with the AWS segment contributing $9.4 billion to the figure and accounting for 62% of the total operating income. In addition, the company’s operating cash flow increased by 82% to $99.1 billion for the trailing twelve months, compared with $54.3 billion for the trailing twelve months ended by 31st March 2023. These results topped the estimates, and the company’s shares slightly soared in the aftermarket.
Net sales = $143.3 billion (13% YoY) vs. $127.4 billion in 1Q23
Net income = $10.4 billion (225% YoY) vs. $3.2 billion in 1Q23
Operating income = $15.3 billion (218% YoY) vs. $4.8 billion in 1Q23
Additional information:
Amazon sales in North America rose by 12% YoY.
International sales grew 9.6% YoY.
Sales within the AWS segment increased by 17% YoY.
Sales within Amazon’s advertisement unit grew by 24% YoY.
Forward guidance
Net sales for the second quarter of 2024 are expected to fall between $144 billion and $149 billion, representing a growth between 7% and 11% compared with the second quarter of 2023. Operating income is expected to be between $10 billion and $14 billion, compared with $7.7 billion in the second quarter of 2023.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Amazon Surges on Earnings Beat Despite Cloud Growth ConcernsIn a whirlwind of earnings reports, Amazon.com ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) managed to dazzle investors with a stellar performance in the first quarter, even as concerns linger over its cloud-computing growth trajectory.
The e-commerce giant reported a 13% surge in first-quarter sales, reaching $143.3 billion, surpassing Wall Street's expectations. Bolstered by strong demand across its various segments, Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) saw its shares climb as much as 6% in after-hours trading, though settling at a 3% gain following a 3.3% decline in the regular session.
However, Amazon's second-quarter revenue forecast fell below analyst expectations, signaling caution amid anticipations of subdued spending on cloud-computing services by cost-conscious businesses. Despite Amazon Web Services (AWS) posting a commendable 17% rise in revenue to $25.0 billion, concerns linger over its growth rate compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet.
CEO Andy Jassy remains optimistic, citing a resurgence in companies' infrastructure modernization efforts and the appeal of AWS's AI capabilities, propelling AWS's growth rate forward. Jassy boldly predicts AWS's trajectory toward achieving $100 billion in annual sales, underscoring the company's commitment to innovation and market leadership.
Amazon's first-quarter net income more than tripled to $10.4 billion, significantly surpassing analysts' expectations and reflecting the company's ability to capitalize on shifting consumer behaviors and economic trends. However, despite this impressive performance, Amazon diverges from its Big Tech peers by bucking the trend of announcing a dividend, a move celebrated by investors in rival companies like Alphabet and Meta Platforms.
The decision to forgo a dividend announcement underscores Amazon's focus on reinvestment and future growth opportunities, with CEO Andy Jassy prioritizing innovation and expansion over short-term investor gratification. As one of the few tech giants not offering dividends, Amazon continues to chart its course by maintaining a steadfast commitment to its long-term vision.
Despite challenges and fluctuations in employment figures, Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) remains a powerhouse, with 1.52 million employees and a resilient stock performance, outpacing the broader market in 2024. While uncertainties loom, Amazon's relentless pursuit of innovation and market dominance positions it as a force to be reckoned with in the ever-evolving landscape of e-commerce and technology.
As the company navigates the complexities of the global economy and competitive pressures, Amazon's resilience and adaptability continue to inspire confidence among investors and analysts alike, cementing its status as a cornerstone of the modern digital economy.
Sharing AMZN chart from the TTR We are short as of high of the Sharing AMZN chart from the TTR
We are short as of high of the day
AMZN reports after the close
The price has re-tested the broken ending diagonal channel from below, a bearish signal by itself.
I will take one lotto put. Implied volatility for AMZN stock is about 8% in either direction
What Are Cyclical Stocks?What Are Cyclical Stocks?
Cyclical stocks are well known for ebbing and flowing with the rhythm of the economy. These stocks, a reflection of economic trends, demand a keen understanding of how various sectors react to changing economic conditions. This article delves into the world of cyclical stocks, offering insights into their nature, impact, and strategies for navigating their unique challenges and opportunities in the financial markets.
What Is a Cyclical Stock?
The cyclical stocks definition refers to shares of companies whose performance closely aligns with the economic cycle. They thrive as the economy booms but often underperform in recessions.
Unlike counter-cyclical stocks, which tend to be stable or even prosper during economic downturns, cyclical stocks mirror the highs and lows of the economy. Industries like travel, automotive, and luxury goods are typical examples where price performance is directly tied to consumer spending and the health of the economy.
Characteristics of Cyclical Stocks
Cyclical stocks are distinguished by a set of defining characteristics. Primarily, they exhibit high volatility in response to economic changes. When the economy is growing, they often see significant gains as consumer confidence and spending increase. Conversely, during economic downturns, they often experience steep declines.
The revenues and profits of these companies are closely tied to economic activities. For instance, in a booming economy, the automotive sector might see increased sales, boosting the value of car manufacturers. Sector-specific sensitivity is a critical aspect of cyclical stocks, meaning investors and traders must be adept at interpreting economic indicators to analyse performance trends.
Another key feature is their correlation with consumer behaviour. Cyclical growth stocks typically see fluctuating demand based on consumer confidence and disposable income, directly impacting the values of companies in these industries.
Cyclical Stocks Examples
Cyclical stocks encompass a variety of industries that are highly sensitive to the economic cycle.
Automotive: Companies like Ford and Toyota. Sales in the automotive sector often rise with economic growth, as consumers are more likely to purchase vehicles.
Consumer Discretionary: Retail giants such as Amazon and Nike. These securities depend on consumer spending, which fluctuates with economic conditions.
Travel and Leisure: Airlines like Delta and hotel chains such as Marriott. Travel spending is typically high during economic booms and drops during recessions.
Construction and Housing: Homebuilders like D.R. Horton and Lowe's. Housing market growth is directly linked to the economy, influencing construction activity and home improvement spending.
Luxury Goods: Brands like Louis Vuitton and Rolex. Luxury purchases increase with rising consumer wealth in strong economies.
Economic Indicators and Cyclical Stocks
Economic indicators play a pivotal role in the performance of cyclical stocks. Key indicators such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employment rates, and consumer confidence indices offer insights into the health of the economy, which in turn influences these stocks.
For example, a rise in GDP often signals growth, leading to increased consumer spending and higher corporate earnings, positively impacting this class of stocks. Similarly, low unemployment rates boost consumer confidence and spending power.
Conversely, negative data may lead to declines in these stocks. During recessions, when GDP contracts and unemployment rises, cyclical sectors like travel and automotive often experience reduced demand, resulting in lower prices.
Risks and Rewards
Although when trading share CFDs, traders can take advantage of both rise and fall in the price of an asset, it’s important to be aware of the risks and rewards of cyclical stocks:
Risks
Economic Sensitivity: This stock type is vulnerable to economic conditions, leading to potentially greater risks due to the constantly changing environment.
Timing Challenges: Predicting the peaks and troughs of economic cycles is difficult. Misjudging the timing might lead to losses.
Volatility: They can experience sharp price fluctuations, adding to risks. Want to observe just how volatile these assets can be? Check them on FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform.
Rewards
High Growth Potential: During economic expansions, cyclical stocks may offer market-beating growth as consumer spending and corporate earnings increase.
Market Opportunities: Savvy investors and traders may take advantage of the predictable patterns of economic cycles.
Diversification: Including cyclical stocks in a portfolio can provide balance, as they often move opposite to defensive, counter-cyclical stocks.
Strategies for Trading Cyclical Stocks
In navigating the cyclical stock market, traders often employ several strategies:
Searching for Undervalued Stocks During Recessions: It's common to look for undervalued cyclical shares at the end of recessions. Such a period often presents opportunities for buying at lower prices, anticipating a rebound as the economy recovers.
Monitoring Economic Trends: Traders typically keep a close eye on indicators like interest rates and consumer spending. Recognising changing trends early may help in making informed decisions about when to buy or sell stocks.
Diversification: Traders often diversify their portfolios by including a mix of cyclical and non-cyclical shares. This strategy may help mitigate risk, providing protection against economic fluctuations.
Moving Into Defensive Stocks as the Economy Falters: As signs of downturn appear, traders may shift towards more defensive stocks, which are less affected by economic cycles.
The Bottom Line
These stocks, mirroring the economic cycle's highs and lows, offer unique opportunities but also pose specific challenges. By combining strategies such as monitoring economic trends, diversifying portfolios, and adopting a long-term view, traders may leverage the potential of cyclical stocks. For those seeking to delve deeper into this dynamic aspect of trading, opening an FXOpen account could be a valuable step towards engaging with the cyclical stock market. Happy trading!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMAZON Under the 1D MA50 after 6 months. Is the bleeding over?Amazon (AMZN) has broken and closed below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since October 27 2023). Last time this happened, the stock had already begun the 2nd Bearish Leg (-18.83% decline) of the 2-year Channel Up.
As a result, there's a real possibility for the stock to reach as low as the 0.382 Fiboancci retracement level and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to form a new Higher Low near the bottom of the Channel Up and then rebound.
As long as the Channel Down of the Bearish Leg is intact and Amazon doesn't close a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, we will wait for a more comfortable buy at $160.00 and we will target $200.00 (+31.87% symmetrical rise as Dec 20 2023).
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Amazon (Amzn) sold the $188 level. Here's what next...Hello Traders, Skyboxpips here!
Amazon stock did a sell off from the $188 level last week to the $173 price level closing out the previous weekly candle bearish.
Amazon is doing a retracement for the retest
It feels satisfying when predictions play out.
Amazon channel is turning bearish to $134.51 watch outAmazon has had an incredible run. It's moved from $118 to $188 since November 2023.
But now it looks like the momentum is starting to slow down.
We haven't got a confirmed signal but we see a slow down in buying and the market is at the bottom of the channel.
There is still a gap to close and for the this reason, I'm anticipating a fall in Amazon in the next few weeks. THe first target will be at $134.51 and will be a medium term analysis.
Stock Market Analysis - Bullish & Bearish Sectors Heavy selling observed across the S&P500: Financials & Real Estate hit hard.
S&P500 hitting the 50 day MA...technical daily support.
Some breakout sectors are seeing there first pullback in a bullish trend.
The sectors that have had breakouts will likely see dip buyers.
Health Care & Utilities are into some interesting support levels. This is where bulls step in.
Megacap Tech still saw some flight to safety money! Lets see if this holds.
🌟📈 AMZN: Amazon on Olympus's Peak!Traders, brace yourselves for an epic showdown with Amazon! 🌟📈
🔍 Critical Juncture:
We're witnessing a pivotal moment as Amazon stands at the summit of Olympus. The level at $188.11 has proven its mettle twice before. Will lightning strike thrice? The stakes have never been higher!
💡 Adventure in the Jungle:
Embark on a thrilling journey through the Amazonian jungle of trading! With a potential 27% journey to the first buy zone, are you ready for the wild ride ahead?
🔥 Join the Expedition:
Venture forth and share your thoughts on this daring expedition! Are you prepared to navigate the treacherous terrain of the market? The jungle drums are beating, and the adventure awaits!
💬 Your Quest Awaits:
What's your strategy for tackling this Amazonian challenge? Share your insights and embark on this exhilarating quest with fellow traders! The path to glory awaits those bold enough to seize it!
🎁 Discover the Treasure:
Remember, the most insightful comment could unlock a treasure trove of prizes! So don't hesitate—join the expedition and stake your claim to riches in the jungle of trading! 🏆💰
Amazon Grows To Over 750,000 RobotsAmazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), the e-commerce giant, is undergoing a profound transformation as it embraces automation at an unprecedented scale. With over 750,000 robots now working alongside its human employees, the company is reshaping the future of work in its fulfillment centers.
This surge in automation comes as Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) seeks to optimize efficiency, safety, and delivery speed for its customers. New robot models like Sequoia and Digit are revolutionizing inventory management and order processing, freeing up human workers from repetitive tasks.
However, this shift toward automation raises important questions about the future of employment. While Amazon insists that robots are meant to complement human labor, concerns about job displacement and the implications for the workforce are inevitable.
Critics argue that the rapid deployment of robots could lead to job losses, particularly in tasks that are easily automated. Research suggests that industrial robots have a significant negative impact on workers, affecting jobs and wages in the areas where they are deployed.
Yet, Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) contends that automation has led to the creation of new skilled job categories within the company. This evolution reflects a broader trend where human employees are transitioning to more complex, nonrepetitive tasks that require higher levels of skill and creativity.
Nevertheless, the integration of robotics and artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping industries and the labor market, presenting both opportunities and challenges. As Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) navigates these changes, the broader challenge for society will be to ensure that the benefits of automation are shared equitably and that workers are prepared for the jobs of the future.
Amazon's ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) journey into automation serves as a microcosm for broader trends in the economy. As technology continues to advance, the key will be to harness its potential to improve productivity and enhance human lives while addressing the societal impacts of automation on employment and income inequality.
Technical Outlook
Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) stock is riding on the bullish train with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 71.99 indicating room for more growth in the near term. The stock is trading above the 200-day Moving Average.
AMAZON: Bullish continuation to 210.Amazon is bullish on its 1D timeframe (RSI = 67.557, MACD = 2.990, ADX = 31.700) as it is unfolding a very stable uptrend supported by the 1D MA50. This is the second bullish wave of the Channel Up, that is the dominant long term pattern. The 1D MACD suggests that we are entering the final phase of this wave that is aiming for a HH at +78.73% from the HL. We are bullish (TP = 210.00).
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Amazon's Billion-Dollar: Anthropic Investment Fuels AI Arms RaceAmazon's foray into the realm of artificial intelligence has reached unprecedented heights with its monumental investment in Anthropic, a San Francisco-based startup pioneering generative AI technology. With a staggering $2.75 billion injection, Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) solidifies its commitment to staying ahead in the AI arms race, marking its largest venture investment to date. This strategic move underscores the escalating competition among tech giants to harness the transformative power of AI and secure their positions in the rapidly evolving technological landscape.
Amazon's Strategic Maneuver:
By doubling down on its investment in Anthropic, Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) demonstrates its strategic foresight in identifying and capitalizing on emerging technologies with disruptive potential. Anthropic's cutting-edge AI capabilities, including its foundation model and chatbot Claude, position it as a formidable contender in the AI landscape, challenging established players like OpenAI and ChatGPT. Amazon's substantial backing not only enhances Anthropic's resources for research and development but also strengthens its competitive edge in driving advancements in generative AI.
Implications for AI Innovation:
The infusion of billions of dollars into Anthropic reflects the growing significance of AI as a transformative force across industries. With Anthropic's groundbreaking AI models outperforming industry benchmarks and setting new standards for performance and capability, the potential for innovation in areas such as language processing, reasoning, and multimedia analysis is immense. Amazon's strategic collaboration with Anthropic is poised to accelerate the pace of AI innovation and unlock new possibilities for enhancing customer experiences and driving business outcomes.
Tech Giants' Spending Blitz:
Amazon's blockbuster investment in Anthropic is part of a broader trend of heightened investment activity among cloud providers and tech giants in the AI space. As competition intensifies, companies like Microsoft, Google, and Salesforce are also making significant investments in AI startups to bolster their AI capabilities and expand their market reach. This spending blitz underscores the pivotal role of AI in shaping the future of technology and underscores the strategic imperative for companies to stay at the forefront of AI innovation.
Regulatory Scrutiny and Ethical Considerations:
While the surge in AI investments signals a growing appetite for innovation, it also raises important questions regarding regulatory oversight and ethical considerations. Concerns about antitrust issues, revenue reporting practices, and the potential for misleading investors have prompted regulatory scrutiny, including inquiries by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission. As AI continues to reshape industries and societies, stakeholders must navigate complex ethical and regulatory landscapes to ensure responsible and equitable AI development and deployment.