MyMI Option Plays - Amazon (AMZN)Just like AMD, NVDA is retracing back to the 50% level of it's most recent drop as well around $114.82. After announcing that they will be unleashing their own AI, I'm sure the reactions going to start picking up at some point behind that. Although AMZN is made of many other things.
But from an investment standpoint, I would be interested in going long as long as we break that retracement and hold finally.
We shall see!
AMZN
AMZN - Breakout Falling Trend Channel- AMZN has broken the ceiling of the falling trend in the medium long term, which indicates a slower initial falling rate.
- AMZN is testing resistance at 113.
- This could give a negative reaction, but an upward breakthrough of 113 means a positive signal.
- AMZN is assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern:
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Few Names holding up the Entire Market | Who's left to Buy? - NASDAQ:QQQ SKILLING:NASDAQ rising wedge continues to be in play
- NASDAQ:NVDA rising wedge looking to break soon
- AMEX:SPY still relatively weak
- volumes still low
- over 180 stocks hit 52 week low today while market was green breath is bad
Unusual Put Option Trade in Amazon (AMZN) Worth $17,212.50KUnusual Put Option Trade in Amazon.com (AMZN) Worth $17,212.50K
On May 10, 2023 at 13:27:06 ET an unusually large $17,212.50K block of Put contracts in Amazon.com (AMZN) was bought, with a strike price of $190.00 / share, expiring in 37 day(s) (on June 16, 2023). Fintel tracks all large options trades, and the premium spent on this trade was 4.04 sigmas above the mean, placing it in the 100.00th percentile of all recent large trades made in AMZN options.
This trade was first picked up on Fintel's real time Options Flow tool, where unusual option trades are highlighted.
What is the Fund Sentiment?
There are 5953 funds or institutions reporting positions in Amazon.com. This is an increase of 125 owner(s) or 2.14% in the last quarter. Average portfolio weight of all funds dedicated to AMZN is 1.69%, a decrease of 19.93%. Total shares owned by institutions increased in the last three months by 0.04% to 6,719,056K shares.
The put/call ratio of AMZN is 0.71, indicating a bullish outlook.
As of April 24, 2023, the average one-year price target for Amazon.com is 135.49. The forecasts range from a low of 90.90 to a high of $164.32. The average price target represents an increase of 27.07% from its latest reported closing price of 106.62.
As of April 24, 2023, the average one-year price target for Amazon.com is 135.49. The forecasts range from a low of 90.90 to a high of $164.32. The average price target represents an increase of 27.07% from its latest reported closing price of 106.62.
The projected annual revenue for Amazon.com is 575,744MM, an increase of 9.69%. The projected annual non-GAAP EPS is 1.72.
What are Other Shareholders Doing?
VTSMX - Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Investor Shares holds 263,585K shares representing 2.57% ownership of the company. In it's prior filing, the firm reported owning 258,307K shares, representing an increase of 2.00%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AMZN by 29.95% over the last quarter.
Price T Rowe Associates holds 218,514K shares representing 2.13% ownership of the company. In it's prior filing, the firm reported owning 282,602K shares, representing a decrease of 29.33%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AMZN by 43.69% over the last quarter.
VFINX - Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares holds 205,175K shares representing 2.00% ownership of the company. In it's prior filing, the firm reported owning 200,916K shares, representing an increase of 2.08%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AMZN by 30.07% over the last quarter.
Geode Capital Management holds 161,535K shares representing 1.57% ownership of the company. In it's prior filing, the firm reported owning 157,659K shares, representing an increase of 2.40%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AMZN by 29.59% over the last quarter.
Jpmorgan Chase holds 114,501K shares representing 1.12% ownership of the company. In it's prior filing, the firm reported owning 100,509K shares, representing an increase of 12.22%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AMZN by 22.26% over the last quarter.
$AMZN - bull and bear thesisNASDAQ:AMZN
Daily timeframe
* Breakout, bounce off the support trendline and 3 daily bounces off the top of the triangle I have laid out, I still think this goes to $119.98. I think my previous bear case will be wrong, adjusting based on new information
Bull: I still don't see resistance until $119.98 (the nearest breakdown candle)
Bear: If it breaks below the bear flag, I'd expect a move back to $88.40
NVDA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT VIX QQQ Support & Resistance Guide- NVDA MSFT AAPL all near its key resistance levels
- VIX likely setting a daily higher low and may bounce from here due to it being in historic lows
- VIX is inverse of the market
- CPI Data Wednesday May 10th 5:30am PST
- PPI Data May 11th 5:30am PST
Amazon set to BREAKOUT or FALLOUTAs we analyze the 4 hour chart of Amazon I am honestly indifferent on the stock and would not be trading or buying it right now as it seems "stuck to me" based off these channels... When we look at the "macro" blue channel it shows upside with price pointing to higher 130s... but it would be a very swingy ride there.. right now we are in the white channel which is also very swingy and large for a channel to trade but profit to be made if TIMING is right... I have fib levels listing this as a Wave 2 and looking for more downside, but will continue to watch if we are to breakout of the resistance.. until then I would stay bearish.
5/1 Watchlist + NotesSPY - Crazy finish to the week and month. Bulls absolutely controlled Friday and pushed us even higher on the weekly to create an engulfing week. We had super strong closes on the daily, weekly, and monthly. I cannot imagine a world where we don't push even higher next week. I would imagine we test the 418 and 420 levels at some point. Was not expecting this at all, so I am curious to see how next month plays out. With the FED predicting a bearish second half of the year, this price action leads me to think we may have already priced in a small recession as the FED claims we may have, or we are seeing a final push to the upside to trap some buyers before seeing a bigger drop. As always we have to play what's in front of us and not what we are expecting, so proceed with caution and try not to let your own personal bias effect your trading
Watchlist:
Nothing on the scanner really has my attention for Monday so I will just be trading SPY. I do have a long position on ARKK that I am swinging so I will be watching that as well.
All inside setups and 50% retrace setups listed on my scanner in the picture for this post.
Main Watch:
ARKK - Just watching to manage my position. I think with the bullish bias on SPY that we have, we should see a push higher on ARKK on Monday
Previous Main Watch:
U + ARKK
- Both created bullish engulfing days and I ended up entering ARKK 37.5 C for this coming Friday's exp. Up currently on that position and holding. Did not take a position on U. Just watching them still
Watchlist Stats From Last Week:
2/5 SPY Predictions
3/5 Main Watch Plays
Personal Stats:
0/2 on the week
Overall: Red
- Didnt trade much due to it being finals week for me
- Took a couple small L's but got some W's with forex and crypto scalps so I am pretty much B/E on the week, but for these lists I like to count only my options trading
- Looking to make a hard rebound this week with my schedule now being much more open and having more time to focus on trading.
Lets make some money this week. As always be smart, follow rules, and always be striving to learn more and better your trading. Cheers
AMZN breaking down (30 min)As we see Amazon break through the cloud to the downside we should expect more downside to come into next week.. I would play this to the downside until, or if we break the horizontal line which is resistance to the upside. It is possible we test that line and then break down or we just see it keep breaking down from the price it is at now. The good thing is we have broken out of the cloud and should see momentum continue to the downside. Always have a stop loss and it tight.
AMZN Earnings - $110 StraddleLet's pump this clown market? For real, how else can we hit 4200SPX?
Looking to see at least a 5-10% move. if it's like META then maybe we moon or inverse moon. Should be fun to watch.
Position is 5/19 HKEX:110 straddle. Going to close tomorrow regardless of outcome.
Have a beer and enjoy I'd say.
Stay Away from AMZN NowTechnical Analysis:
- AMZN is still doing a WXY medium term correction in blue
- In the short term AMZN is finishing wave ((2)) in black before going more down side
- We expect that the correction will be finished at around BMV:60 when wave ((II)) is also completed
- H1 right side is turning up
- H4 right side is turning down
Technical Information:
- Don't buy AMZN now
- We like to buy when the correction WXY is done
4/27 Watchlist + NotesSPY - Saw more downside as we had predicted last night. Made some solid range to the downside. I am expecting tomorrow to be a repeat of today or an inside day. We are reaching weekly downside exhaustion so I would say there is no reason to not be bearish... yet. But tomorrow could be a day of consolidation/retrace since we have had such big drops the past two days.
Watchlist:
MCD - 3-1
BABA - 2-1
Main Watch:
MCD - Looking for a heavy drop tomorrow. Seeing a Pivot Machine Gun pattern here that could play out nicely if sellers step up
Previous main watch:
W - Broke to the downside and banked. Solid trade overall. Pretty much filled all downside room I saw on my charts.
Watchlist Stats:
1/3 SPY Predictions
1/3 Main Watch Plays
Personal Stats:
0/2 On The Week
Overall Red
- Busy today with finals as I near the end of my semester at college.
- Wasnt able to trade because of this and probably wont be able to trade tomorrow either.
- Scalped some forex after hours but nothing serious
$SPY pre-market Resistance Rejection | $QQQ megaphone | $META ER- AMEX:SPY rejected from its pre-market highs and couldn't get over it then bears took over.
- NASDAQ:QQQ forming another megaphone pattern on 4h time frame
- NASDAQ:META Beat bullish earnings reaction
- NASDAQ:GOOGL fades all of its earnings gains and went red NASDAQ:MSFT held its gains.
- NASDAQ:AMZN earnings report tomorrow AH
QQQ Bullish Reaction to MSFT & GOOGL Earnings | Daily Downtrend|- both AMEX:SPY and QQQ confirmed Daily downtrend.
- NASDAQ:QQQ finally broke out of its 3 weeks range bearish but the AH bounce
- NASDAQ:MSFT good earnings bringing all tech stocks up
- NASDAQ:GOOGL decent pop but faded most of its gains
- NASDAQ:AMZN moving due to MSFT decent cloud report
AMZN - From A to Z Analysis ✈️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), we were looking for buy setups short-term as AMZN was sitting around a strong support.
AMZN rejected the 80.0 support and traded higher. However, we are still overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in blue.
🏹 For the bulls to take over long-term, we need a break above the upper blue trendline and blue zone 110.0
📉 Meanwhile, the bears can still push lower for a higher low . In this case, as we approach the 80.0 again we will be looking for new short-term buy setups.
Which scenario do you think will happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Market Outlook Analysis | Earnings Prediction | Support & Resist- QQQ Megaphone still in place
- NASDAQ:QQQ SKILLING:NASDAQ trading within 3 weeks range 320-312 area, likely breaking Tuesday
- Tuesday NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOGL Earnings prediction
- NASDAQ:AAPL broke out without much follow through, historically AAPL dips into earnings or after earnings if it moves up alot into it.
- advertising companies dont do well during recessions.
- AMEX:SPY still healthy daily uptrend that may change next week
- still holding my AMEX:SOXS ( NASDAQ:SOXX short )