Altseason
ALT M.CAP: JUST DID A RETEST! HODL YOUR ALTCOIN BAG!!Hey everyone!
If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and a follow would be greatly appreciated!
What is Total3?
Total3 refers to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies except for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). It provides a clearer picture of the overall market health of altcoins, excluding the influence of the two largest cryptocurrencies.
Now, let’s analyze its chart.
If you're worried about the recent dip in altcoins, take a look at this chart. Total3 has broken out from a bull flag on the daily time frame and is currently retesting that flag. If it holds at this retest level, we can expect another bullish rally in altcoins soon.
Don’t be scared by negative news like the war; such situations are temporary, and the market has rebounded many times in the past. Use this dip as an opportunity to dollar-cost average (DCA) into your altcoin positions. If you've already accumulated, just hold patiently.
What are your thoughts on Total3's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern developing? Share your analysis in the comments below!
BTC Beginning of the Month Downward VolatilityBYBIT:BTCUSDT
Seems we typically experience some downward volatility in the first week of each month since June.
I certainly have noticed a trend: July 4/5 bottom, Aug 5 bottom, Sep 6 bottom.
Let's see what the rest of the week has in store for us.
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Using the 50 period on the 12H for the ROC it seems we could be near a local top which has shown some tops/ bottoms in the past during this range.
The blue boxes represent the beginning week of the months.
YOY global liquidity is on the rise due to China easing significantly.
BitcoinBitcoin BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC Analysis
This week, we can expect significant price fluctuations. Each correction that occurs will present a buying opportunity.
For those who missed the chance to enter from the bottom, this current correction is a good opportunity to start accumulating for those who haven't entered the market yet. Prices are high, but this correction could be your last chance to get in.
LINK - Three White Soldiers Candlestick PatternIn the weekly timeframe, a bullish candlestick pattern has formed on Chainlink.
The Three White Soldiers are characterized by three consecutive green candles. The higher the timeframe, the more powerful the pattern. We've recently observed an instance of the TWS pattern in the weekly, which was a precursor to a 136% increase:
However, the unfilled wick around $8 remains a concern - but also a potential for buying in / accumulating at a lower price.
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BINANCE:LINKUSDT
17 Years Experienced Trader Talks About PEPE Hey guys , MartyBoots here I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on PEPE
PEPE is BNBs mini me or its little brother (for now at least )
It looks strong and should move well
Watch for more info and hit me up if u need help or have any questions
AVAX IMPULSE WAVE #AVAX #LONGTERM #MONTHLY
"On the monthly timeframe, the coin is bouncing off the main support at $20. I also believe that the monthly candle close will be an engulfing candle.
Main target: $100 to $250.
The $500 target is a major goal that may or may not happen under certain conditions and significant market news."
STOP LOSS : 17$
"The recommended holding period for the coin is 6 to 9 months."
Bearish Outlook on USDT Dominance (USDT.D)Hello Everyone! 👋
I hope you’re all doing well. I’ve shared my thoughts on the USDT.D price in the chart below. I believe this analysis could be useful for your trading decisions.
📈 Rationale:
Market Dynamics:
A decrease in USDT dominance typically reflects a shift in investor confidence toward altcoins, leading to increased liquidity and buying pressure.
Technical Analysis:
Recent price action indicates weakening in USDT.D. Indicators such as support a bearish outlook.
Impending Breakout:
A break below 4.28% to 4.31% could trigger swift market reactions, providing ample trading opportunities.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
Best Regards
OP & ALTs Resistance While I remain very bullish on crypto and alts I think this recent pump is not quite the true breakout.
I like the OKX:OPUSDT chart because it's price action has been a nice cheat sheet/ indicator for where the crypto market is. Significant peaks are usually the tops and clear support zones are usually the bottom in the market.
OP here seems to be replaying the same structure as last year. If it breaks out of this zone then perhaps alts are on the verge of the ultimate breakout. But in the past the major breakouts usually happen after a slow and gradual drift higher.
The timing can be off but just using last year as a guideline.
These sharp moves higher are usually shorts getting liquidated and longs jumping in from short term perp leverage traders which can be unsustainable for the true breakout back to ATH or new highs. There are exceptions like BINANCE:SUIUSDT
where it shorts get liquidated, longs pile in, and lots of late spot fomo buying occurs.
What invalidates this is if BTC creates a god candle breaking the 70k level from here and doesn't slow.
It makes a little more sense to me if we see alt season towards very EOY or towards the very beginning of 2025 if crypto as a whole shows strength here in Q4.
DOGE PARABOLIC?? First, watch for these TWO CONDITIONS Dogecoin has been one of my top altcoins to watch for 2024, and it's likely going to be a key player in the parabolic runs during the next impulse wave UP.
If you've been following for a while, you'll know I've been anticipating impulse wave 4-5 around December ( according to Elliot Wave Theory). Across many altcoin charts, we see very clear bottoms as the prices are making their way to the fist major resistance zones.
We see it HERE, on Avax:
HERE on FETCH:
And even on ADA, Here:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
VET VeChain Breakout with Price Targets (LONG)IF VET gets a volume increase soon, we will start breaking trough resistance. We have just broken out of a 6 month resistance trend line after finding a bottom. If we can get through the .702 fib re-tracement at 0.402, the we are heading straight to the higher targets towards the top of the channel with the dotted line 0.074 & 0.107
Spot buy and ride this one all the way up!
SOLANA - Second Wave Incoming?Everyone's favorite altcoin, at least in this cycle!
Let's study CRYPTOCAP:SOL 's behavior so far and see how much gas it has left in the tank.
Macro View
The month is looking promising! It's currently trading above previous month high and 2023 yearly open (key level) . What does this mean? Two possible outcomes:
The trend will stall for another three months before reaching new ATH (all-time highs).
The trend will issue a new bullish signal at the close of this month if it reaches $200.21.
The latter scenario has a higher probability, so let's explore it a little further
If the trend confirms within this month - let's say it doesn't but August does print the bullish signal - the price targets will be at $438 and $1,531 if things pick up nicely.
The second target remains within reach as the consolidation period features multiple equal highs. This calls for a strong move to the upside once things line up, as they are doing now.
Actions to take:
Bid this near $170 and have some last bids at the current monthly open ($148 - $152)
Add to spot buys if price hits $200 before the July monthly close.
Trade is meant to be long term, so be patient as I still think it presents the best and safest setup.
Below $140 the idea is invalidated :(.
Long ALT/USDT (D1). x3-x5 potentialLong ALT/USDT. TF D1
x3-x5 probably.
Setup specs:
Entry - 0.12 (or current level. But I usually prefer to wait for a retracement and make an entry using limit order).
Tp1 - 0.35
Tp2 - 0.55-0.57
SL - below 0.095 with confirmation on D1
FA:
AltLayer is a blockchain infrastructure project. MC - 300mln. FDV - 1.3bln
Next unlock - in 4 months
Backed by top-tier VC + Binance labs
TA:
- consolidation breakout
- LTF (h4) MAs inverted back to an uptrend after a squeeze
- unusually high volume + green candle
- S/R flip at 0.10 (support retest)
- HH and HL
TH-H4 screen for TA in details:
Don't buy alts right nowWe are approaching a very serious resistance on Rsi at 5d, I don't know what will happen next, but now is definitely not the time to buy alts, as I wrote in previous posts, the best time to buy was December, so let's wait and see. We may continue to grow a little bit more, but I think the growth is very limited.
Don't buy alts right nowWe are approaching a very serious resistance on Rsi at 5d, I don't know what will happen next, but now is definitely not the time to buy alts, as I wrote in previous posts, the best time to buy was December, so let's wait and see. We may continue to grow a little bit more, but I think the growth is very limited.
Rising Wedge Targeting Weekly SupportBTC Dominance has formed a rising wedge right into weekly resistance. If it loses local support around ~54-55%, it may drop to weekly support around 44-47-49%.
This could mean the entire market drops hard, or if Bitcoin holds up for the most part, it could instead mean a potential run for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance breaking 59% and holding above it invalidates this idea.
XRP Dying Star?! Or Rising Again!?XRP has been dying for years
Relative to the space XRP has been a bad hold. In the last bull run it underperformed BTC and of course many others. It also underperformed its own previous high.
Pattern is similar to previous mega run
The lower high pattern is similar to what it made before its last mega run in 2017. It did top out late and was a market topping signal overall.. so even if not an XRP fan its worth keeping an eye on.