Altcoin
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade planThe chart shows a clear falling wedge formation. This is a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upward breakout.
Price is nearing the wedge's apex, indicating that a breakout might be imminent.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$88,671.83 (near-term critical support)
$86,000.00 (strong psychological support)
Resistance Levels:
$95,497.11 (short-term resistance near breakout zone)
$108,329.96 (target resistance post-breakout)
Indicators:
VWMC Cipher B Divergences:
Bullish divergence appears on the indicator, aligning with the falling wedge's bullish potential.
RSI:
RSI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions, which often precede a rebound.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is oversold, suggesting incoming buying pressure.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic is in the oversold region (<20), showing high potential for a bullish reversal.
Market Sentiment:
Given the oversold indicators and bullish pattern, the market is primed for a potential upside movement. However, confirmation of the breakout is critical.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Enter long near the wedge's lower boundary (~$90,000), with a tight stop loss below $88,000.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a breakout above the wedge's resistance (~$96,000) and enter after confirmation with a retest of the breakout level.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stop-loss below the nearest support level:
Aggressive traders: $87,500
Conservative traders: $92,000 (post-breakout retest failure)
Profit Targets:
First Target: $108,329.96 (major resistance level post-breakout)
Second Target: $114,000 (psychological level, based on historical price action)
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio per trade.
Use position sizing to balance risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:3).
Monitoring
Volume: Ensure the breakout is accompanied by increased volume.
Candle Structure: A solid close above $96,000 validates the move.
Invalidation:
If the price falls below $88,000, the wedge pattern is invalidated, signaling further downside.
Alternative Scenario (Bearish):
If Bitcoin breaks below $86,000, expect a test of lower levels. Potential targets include $82,000 and $78,000.
Bitcoin is poised for a significant move. The falling wedge, oversold indicators, and strong support levels suggest an imminent bullish breakout. However, patience for confirmation is key to minimizing risk and maximizing gains. Adjust your strategy dynamically based on market conditions.
TOTAL3 - Altcoin Season DelayedCryptos are currently in correction mode, which could be a good time to accumulate.
TOTAL3 has an interesting setup, with the next relevant support at 765B-800B, which was the previous high in March 2024, and coincides with the daily SMMA (red line).
If we see a positive reaction in this area, we could at least retest the bearish trend line we have formed in the last few days.
I will update this idea as the setup develops.
Are You Scared About Altcoins? Huge Pump Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we focused on Bitcoin and Dominance analysis because it's much more important than analyzing any particular altcoin. Growth on altcoins cannot be counted a right prediction without Bitcoin Dominance drop. Today we are going to look in details on the wave 5 of CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D which we have already considered in our previous analysis on the higher time frame.
Today let's take a look at the daily time frame inside the global wave 5. It has pumped in November and it was just the wave 1, which has been finished with the red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
This wave 2 has the ABC shape and finally it touched 0.61 Fibonacci. Now it's forming the green dot and if this signal will be confirmed with daily candle close our scenario is likely to be valid. OTHERS.D is going to print the wave C which has the target between 16% and 20%. This is huge potential gains for all altcoins you have.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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RENDER SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - CRYPTO MARKETPrice is reaching to Price is approaching the monthly demand zone, aligning with a massive bearish trendline originating from Spring 2024. Additionally, there’s confluence with a key Fibonacci level. I anticipate a bounce from this area, potentially leading to new highs or even all-time highs.
As always, wait for lower time frame confirmations before initiating the idea.
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
"We had a great projection regarding the Bitcoin Dominance bearish shift around the 60% level, and it played out perfectly. I’ve linked that projection to this post for reference.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is testing the weekly supply zone as a bearish retest. This aligns with the premium side of the Fibonacci, adding to my conviction that we’re likely to see a bearish reversal from here, forming a lower high. This lower high could potentially trigger another leg down in dominance, setting the stage for a strong altcoin season.
I expect this shift to happen very soon.
KASPA - Poised for an Upward Trajectory (TA+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of KASPA (KAS/USDT)
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. The price is approaching the breakout point where resistance has converged with support, as marked on the chart.
The breakout above the resistance line suggests a potential upward trend.
Volume Analysis:
A spike in trading volume near the breakout area confirms increased interest and possible momentum shift.
Momentum Indicators:
VWMCipher B Divergences: Displays bullish divergence, supporting a potential price increase.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At ~27, indicating oversold conditions. This signals a potential upward price movement as the asset appears undervalued.
Arty Money Flow Index (MFI): At ~24, indicating an oversold condition with possible accumulation.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold levels at 32.5, crossing upwards, indicating a buy signal.
Potential Targets:
Short-Term Target: $0.14 (breakout confirmation).
Mid-Term Target: $0.18 (previous resistance level).
Long-Term Target: $0.22–$0.24 (major resistance zone from earlier trends).
Risk Level:
Support at ~$0.12. A breakdown below this level invalidates the bullish thesis, making this a critical stop-loss level.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Initial Buy Zone: Enter near the breakout point (~$0.128-$0.132) to capitalize on bullish momentum.
Confirmation Entry: Add to the position once price closes above $0.14 with strong volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.12 (e.g., $0.118) to limit downside risk if the breakout fails.
Profit-Taking Strategy:
First Take-Profit (TP1): At $0.14 (~10% gain) to secure initial profits.
Second Take-Profit (TP2): At $0.18 (approximately 40% gain from entry).
Final Target (TP3): $0.22-$0.24 for long-term holders seeking maximum gains.
Position Sizing:
Allocate 2–5% of your portfolio, depending on your risk tolerance. Keep capital reserved for potential averaging down if needed.
Trailing Stop:
Implement a trailing stop once the price exceeds $0.18 to lock in profits while allowing room for further upward movement.
Risk Management:
Maintain a Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:3. Adjust trade size to manage risk effectively.
Monitoring:
Regularly check volume trends, RSI levels, and significant market news affecting KASPA.
Be cautious of overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, as broader trends often impact altcoins.
This falling wedge setup, combined with oversold indicators and volume confirmation, suggests KASPA is primed for a bullish breakout. Stick to the trading plan and employ disciplined risk management to maximize returns while minimizing potential losses.
$USUAL Token Surge 267% After Listing: What’s Driving the Rally?The cryptocurrency market witnessed a standout performer in $USUAL, which surged 267% after its listing on major exchanges, including Binance. This Ethereum-based altcoin soared from $0.35 to a peak of $1.28 within hours, showcasing significant investor interest. Let’s delve into the fundamental and technical factors fueling this impressive performance.
About $USUAL
$USUAL powers the Usual Protocol, a decentralized fiat stablecoin issuer with a unique governance structure. It integrates three tokens into its ecosystem:
1. USD0: A stablecoin fully backed by short-term, liquid, and risk-free assets, ensuring composability and transparency in DeFi.
2. USD0++: A liquid staking token that distributes rewards in $USUAL.
3. $USUAL: A governance token directly tied to protocol revenue, granting ownership and decision-making rights to its holders.
This innovative structure aligns user incentives and drives adoption of USD0, making $USUAL pivotal to the ecosystem’s growth. Its intrinsic value, derived from real cash flows, positions it as a game-changer in the DeFi landscape.
Fundamental Highlights
Listing Impact: The token’s debut on Binance, Bitget, and other prominent exchanges significantly boosted liquidity and visibility, propelling its price to an all-time high of $1.29.
Market Activity: With a 195.60% increase in trading volume, totaling $1.64 billion in the last 24 hours, $USUAL has captured the market’s attention.
Market Cap & FDV: At $552 million, $USUAL ranks #183 on CoinGecko, with a fully diluted valuation of $571 million.
Technical Analysis
The daily chart of $USUAL depicts the formation of a symmetrical triangle, a pattern often associated with potential breakout scenarios. A breakout above the triangle’s resistance could initiate another rally, targeting higher highs and reaffirming bullish sentiment.
Immediate support lies near $0.80, reflecting investor confidence in this price zone.
While the RSI IS not overbought, $USUAL’s momentum indicates strong buying interest, bolstered by its fundamentals and ecosystem utility.
Future Potential
$USUAL’s unique proposition as a governance token tied to real cash flows, combined with its stablecoin backing and staking mechanisms, positions it for sustained growth. However, traders should remain cautious, as breakout patterns may also lead to short-term corrections.
Conclusion
The $USUAL token is making waves with its robust performance, driven by a strong listing impact and innovative ecosystem fundamentals. As the DeFi space evolves, $USUAL’s decentralized approach to stablecoin governance and intrinsic value alignment could redefine the sector. Investors and traders should watch for a breakout from the symmetrical triangle for further bullish momentum.
SOL | ALTCOINS | Does Solana Have One More Push?Solana has barely just made a new ATH, and it's likely at the end of the correction after trading red for 3 weeks consecutively.
It's likely that once ETH has made a new ATH, Solana will be soon to follow. More on that topic here:
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Expect Volatility for Altcoins: Key Levels to WatchTOTAL3 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH) is currently oscillating between $1 Trillion and $1.1 Trillion, presenting a tight range that traders are closely monitoring. Here’s what could happen next:
1. Range Rebound: A dip to $1 Trillion with a strong bullish rejection at this support could drive the market to test the top of the range at $1.1 Trillion.
2. Breakout Opportunity: A successful breakout above $1.1 Trillion would signal bullish momentum, potentially lifting Altcoin Market to $1.2 Trillion and marking the continuation of Altseason.
3. Bearish Scenario: Failing to hold the $1 Trillion support level would likely trigger short-term bearish sentiment, pushing Altcoin Market cap down by approximately 10%, targeting $0.9 Trillion.
FARTCOIN Ready to Go Down?I usually don't cover highly speculative altcoins like CRYPTO:FARTCOINUSD but when I looked at the chart, it looked a clean 5 wave up complete. It looks ready to begin the correction from here. Difficult to say how this correction would unfold, i.e. ABC, WXY, WXYXZ. It should do a minimum of 38.2% retracement of the whole rise, though I would be open to much bigger correction (>50%).
Having said that, exercise caution given the highly speculative nature of this coin. This view gets invalidated if the high of 0.92305 is breached.
Ripple Is Still Eyeing All-Time HighsRipple is in strong and impulsive rise after we spotted a bullish break out of a larger weekly bullish triangle pattern. It's actually already at 2.9 area and there can be easily space up to 3.3 all-time highs area. Looking at the 4-hour time frame, we saw a nice extension higher within wave (3), so after current wave (4) correction that can be completed as a nice and clean A-B-C flag pattern with textbook support from 2021 highs, be aware of another push to the upside for (5).
Just in case if Ripple stay sideways for a longer period of time, then we might even consider a bullish triangle pattern in wave (4), but sooner or later we can expect further rally within wave (5) towards all-time highs area.
Why XRP Is higher?
The reason for this push higher on ripple, which has been outperforming in the last few weeks, is the upcoming launch of Ripple USD (RLUSD). Ripple USD (RLUSD) is a new stablecoin aimed at bridging blockchain and traditional finance. "Designed for enterprise use, RLUSD focuses on stability, efficiency, and transparency, enhancing Ripple’s cross-border payments and meeting the demand for USD transactions".