Expected Key Points Google 12 May 2022Google 12 May 2022
The current implied volatility is at 44.32%/year
So that converted into daily is 2.79%
The close of yesterday was 2272
So based on that our channel for today is going to be compressed within
TOP 2335
BOT 2208
with a probability chance of 78.2% based on the last 3007 candles
From fundamental point, today we have
PPI and initial jobless claims releases and these mark a huge volatility moment
At the same time the current values are expected to be bearish.
Alphabet
Weekly Prediction 9-13 May GoogleGoogle
9 - 13 May
The weekly VXGOG-> Volatility Index for Google
Implied = 40.95
In this we have to standard it for weekly session
40.95 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 5.68%
My historical product is telling me with 1x coficient that the expected movement for this week
E Volatility = 41.19 / sqrt(52) = 5.71%
With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX, there were a 83.3% chance that the market
stay within the bottom and top created with the ranged from the E Vol
So for next week this range for us is going to be
TOP - 2447
BOT - 2183
#ALPHA/USDT 2hour UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !Hello, community members welcome to the ALPHA/USDT chart analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
As we can see from the above-mentioned chart that ALPHA/USDT broke the triangle pattern and retested well.
According to the current scenario, it can move up by almost 40% from the green zone which is also a support zone.
So, here we can take a long position for some short-term profit gains.
Entry:- $0.2590,$0.2640
Traget:- 40%
Stoploss:- $0.2470
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. All investment made by me is at my own risk and I am held responsible for my own profit and losses. So, do your own research before investing in this trade.
Happy trading.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you...
GOOG Potential Bullish Rise | 28th April 2022We are expecting price to rise from buy entry level of 2232.42 which lines up with 100% fibonacci projection and -61.8% fibonacci expansion towards the take profit level of 2385.24 in line with 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection . Alternatively, price might break through key pivot level and trigger a dip towards the stop loss level of 2152.98 which lines up with previous horizontal pullback support.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
GOOG Potential Bullish Rise | 28th April 2022We are expecting price to rise from buy entry level of 2232.42 which lines up with 100% fibonacci projection and -61.8% fibonacci expansion towards the take profit level of 2385.24 in line with 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection. Alternatively, price might break through key pivot level and trigger a dip towards the stop loss level of 2152.98 which lines up with previous horizontal pullback support.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
GOOGL Earnings Miss | YouTube revenue disappointsYouTube has more than 2bn monthly users.
YouTube revenues rose 14% to $6.9bn, below the $7.5bn expected by analysts.
YouTube revenue disappoints on growing TikTok competition concerns and Ukraine war which impacted YouTube ads.
GOOGL 23% increase in revenue in Q1 to $68bn, but below forecasts for $68.1bn.
In 2021, revenues increased 34%.
Considering the above, future growth is not so sure.
I expect a retracement to the $2100 level.
Google broken through key support? Alphabet
Short Term - We look to Sell at 2458.30 (stop at 2544.79)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support level of 2500.00 broken. Trading volume is increasing. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Trading has been mixed and volatile. We look to set shorts in the early trade.
Our profit targets will be 2173.56 and 2014.00
Resistance: 2500.00 / 2800.00 / 3000.00
Support: 2300.00 / 2000.00 / 1800.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Google (NASDAQ: $GOOG) Just Search It, Mi Amigo! 🍕Alphabet Inc. provides various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment offers products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, hardware, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in the Google Play store; and Fitbit wearable devices, Google Nest home products, Pixel phones, and other devices, as well as in the provision of YouTube non-advertising services. The Google Cloud segment offers infrastructure, platform, and other services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Gmail, Docs, Drive, Calendar, and Meet; and other services for enterprise customers. The Other Bets segment sells health technology and internet services. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Google Ready to Bounce?Alphabet
Short Term - We look to Buy at 2524.87 (stop at 2472.74)
We look to buy dips. Previous support located at 2500.00. The medium term bias remains bullish. Although this gives the medium term bias a mild bearish edge, we expect intraday trading to continue to be mixed and volatile. Trading close to the psychological 2500.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 2677.46 and 2826.06
Resistance: 2700.00 / 2850.00 / 3000.00
Support: 2500.00 / 2400.00 / 2220.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
GOOG Potential for Bullish Bounce | 1st April 2022Price is near buy entry level of 2763.02 in line with 38.2% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection. It can potentially bounce to the take profit level of 2877.41 in line with 161.8% fibonacci extension. Our bullish bias is supported by price trading above ichimoku cloud indicator.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Alphabet Trend Briefing - 24th March. 2022When looking at a combination of indicators on the 15-minutes chart that best represents Alphabet's recent volatility, Mutiple kind of resistance line was found. When examining the minimum threshold for MACD and RSI, it shows strong support at the $2518 level. Using the red line as a stepping stone, stock prices are currently active around the yellow line at the $2674. Additionally, It is speculated that the first downside is not the real downside on the indicator.
Apple struggling to maintain the uptrendLike many tech stocks, NASDAQ:AAPL is flirting with the idea of breaking down. The stock hasn't made a move up in a while, although it traded above the 40EMA for a while compared to its peers like NASDAQ:AMZN & NASDAQ:FB . Last Friday is closed at the 40EMA level, this is a key support level that must hold if the stock want to continue to be in an uptrend. The small consolidation, or better, distribution, above this level paints a grim picture.
Few of our long trades failed in the past few weeks, we chose to stay on the side until a clear direction is taken, for long position that would be a close above $183. Given tech weakness, and now Shenzhen challenges, we wouldn't be surprised if the 40EMA fails and the stock trade lower. That would be bad news for TVC:NDQ as NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT & NASDAQ:GOOG were among the few tech stocks that still traded above the 40EMA level. Interesting week ahead, keeping an eye on these names.
Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the US company Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) at daily chart. Alphabet Inc. is an American multinational technology conglomerate holding company. It was created through a restructuring of Google on October 2, 2015, and became the parent company of Google and several former Google subsidiaries. It is one of the Big Five American information technology companies, alongside Amazon, Apple, Meta and Microsoft. The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 10/03/2022, if the price holds above this level you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 8 days towards 2 815.67 USD. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 2 517.22 USD if you decide to enter this position.
Google is in talks to buy cybersecurity consultancy Mandiant, which two years ago discovered the infamous SolarWinds hack, according to a person with knowledge of the discussion. A deal could bolster Google’s cloud computing business, which generates more than $19 billion annually but has been losing billions of dollars a year, and help it compete with bigger rival Microsoft, which also is reportedly interested in buying Mandiant.
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GOOGLE Excellent long-term buy opportunity for a $5000 target. GOOG has been trading around its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past weeks. The Ukraine - Russia war has managed to keep the stock on those low levels, longer than it should but this is a position Google is familiar with.
Ever since the beginning of its trading, the stock has been experiencing phases of growth and then pull-backs to the 1W MA50. Only during the peak of the U.S. - China trade war and the COVID crash, did the price manage to break considerably lower (still the 1W MA200/ orange trend-line supported).
As you see on the chart, every time the 1W RSI prints a Lower Highs sequence, GOOG posts the same Channel Down pattern to the 1W MA50. In all past cases, the price recovered and expanded rapidly to make new Highs on the next Fibonacci extension. The most recent All Time High (ATH) was just below the 4.0 Fib ext. Technically next to fill is the 5.0 Fib which is around the $5000 mark. That is our target for the next expansion cycle that should peak within 2023.
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Alphabet / Google (GOOGL) - DCF Model - Intrinsic ValueThis valuation analysis is based on a base case scenario DCF model.
Google DCF Model Assumptions:
Tax Rate = 16.2%
Discount Rate = 8.4%
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x
Transaction Date = 05/02/2022
Fiscal Year End = 31/12/2022
Current Price = 2,865.86
Shares Outstanding = 662
Debt = 26,206
Cash = 20,945
Capex = 24,640
Base Case Scenario:
In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of 18%, 16%, 14%, 13%, 12%. These revenue growth assumptions are slightly below the analysts' forecasts at the time of analysis.
DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = $196,262
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $2,453,270
Intrinsic Value:
Enterprise Value (m) = $1,986,779
Plus: Cash (m) = $20,945
Less: Debt (m) = $26,206
Equity Value (m) = $1,981,518
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $2,992.69
DCF (5Y) GROWTH EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast FCFf (m) = $119,494
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $1,902,831
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $1,616,256
Plus: Cash (m) = $20,945
Less: Debt (m) = $26,206
Equity Value (m) = 1,610,995
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $2,433.09
DISCLAIMER:
All information and analysis are based on the author's views, opinions, and assumptions at the time of writing. Bull Headed Bear makes no guarantees of the information's reliability and accuracy. The information is to be used for entertainment and informative purposes only. Bull Headed Bear and its authors reserve the right to change their views, opinions and assumptions due to many influencing factors.
Any actions taken based on this information is strictly at your own risk. All investments carry a risk of loss, and you could lose all your money. Consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor. Bull Headed Bear and its authors will not be liable for any losses or damages from the information here or its website.
DISCLOSURE:
I/we have open long positions in GOOGL. We do not intend on altering this position in the coming weeks.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
Predicting further drops on Google. GOOGGoals 2504, 2359, 2279. Invalidation at 2955 .
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Alphabet | Fundamental Analysis |LONG| MUST READ !There is no denying that Alphabet has become a force to be considered with. Indeed, not many companies can boast that their branded product or service has become a verb: "google it." Beyond search, Alphabet is a leader in digital advertising, smartphone operating systems led by Android, and cloud computing with the rapidly growing Google Cloud.
Recently, the tech giant informed about a historic 20-for-1 stock split, reducing the size of its stake for the first time in eight years. Now investors who have been considering buying the stock are encountered with a bothersome question: should they buy the stock now or wait until after the split?
It's been a long time since Alphabet held its last stock split. In fact, the last time it happened was when the company was still called Google. That was in 2014, and Google didn't change its name to Alphabet until late 2015.
What's notable about the previous stock split is that it created non-voting Class C shares of Google, while Class A shares maintained the standard one vote per share. In April 2012, a shareholder lawsuit was filed alleging that co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin orchestrated the stock split to maintain control of the company to the detriment of shareholders. As a result of the split, the company increased the number of shares without a commensurate increase in voting rights. The lawsuit was eventually settled, allowing the split to proceed with shareholder compensation.
In the nearly two years between the announcement and the actual stock split, Google stock was up about 74%.
Typically, a split does not change the overall economic value of the company that is doing the split. One share of Alphabet worth $2,800 is worth as much as 20 shares worth $140 (20 x $140 = $2,800). As with pizza, the number of slices does not change the overall size of the pie. Nevertheless, some argue that the underlying effect is positive for investor psychology.
That's exactly what happened when several well-known companies made headlines over the past couple of years as investors rushed to buy shares after the stock split announcement. Apple stock rose 34% in a month after announcing a 4-for-1 stock split in July 2020. Tesla followed suit less than two weeks later, announcing a 5-for-1 stock split. Between the announcement and the completion of the split, the stock jumped 81%.
A similar situation occurred in May 2021, when The Trade Desk announced a 10-for-1 stock split and Nvidia unveiled plans for a 4-for-1 stock split. The Trade Desk and Nvidia stock rose 27% and 24%, respectively, between the day of the announcement and the day the split was completed.
Aptus Capital Advisor senior analyst and portfolio manager David Wagner opined on the situation, "We all know the split doesn't boost the fundamental value of the company. ... but from what we've seen in the market with Tesla and Nvidia, people like to chase splits."
There are many reasons to think that Alphabet will continue on the same upward trajectory that led to that famous stock split.
Google's dominance in search remains unchallenged, with about 92 percent of the global search engine market. Alphabet is using this advantage to gain a leadership position in digital advertising, which accounts for about 29% of global digital ad spending. Nor should we forget Google Cloud, which has quietly risen to the top three, behind only Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure.
These factors drove Alphabet's strong performance. In the fourth quarter, revenues of $75.3 billion rose 32% year over year, and operating margins improved, boosting earnings per share (EPS) to $30.69, a 38% increase.
For investors who are optimistic about Alphabet, there's no reason to hesitate to buy the stock, unless, of course, your financial situation allows you to shell out almost $3,000 per share. If that's the case, and your broker doesn't offer the option to buy fractional shares, a stock split will make them much more affordable over time.
If you plan to buy Alphabet stock now, keep in mind that it may require additional record keeping. Those who are buying the stock now (at about $2,800) need to remember to adjust their records to reflect the revised cost base by dividing it by 20 to account for newly issued shares ($2,800 / 20 shares = $140). This will become important when you eventually sell your stock and settle with the tax authorities. Fortunately, brokerage firms know how to do this, so it shouldn't be too difficult.
Given Alphabet's market dominance, great execution, and continued outlook, it doesn't matter if you buy the stock now or wait until after the July 18 split-adjusted trading. What matters is that you buy them.
Wait before entering Alphabet GoogleThere will be absolute volatility as Fed's Hawkish stand. Best place to invest will be India more than US.
Regarding Alphabet. If I was you I would wait for it to cool down till 2646-2655 levels Or You can buy after it gives a break out above 3037 levels. Right now it will stay range bound and keep fluctuating with action of FED.
If important support level of 2646 is broken Alphabet can go to 2483 or below. So we should wait for it to form a bottom. Let it bounce from there then make your moves.
Other thing you can do is let it give a Break out above 3037. If it gives a closing above 3037 Alphabet (Google) can go to 3366 levels. That's the target for medium term.
Closing below 2190 should be the Stop loss.