Crypto Prices Rally After US Election ResultsMarket Update - November 18, 2024
Donald Trump secured presidential win: The news is widely seen as a boon to the crypto space because of Trump’s pro-crypto policies. Bitcoin prices hit an all-time high.
Solana reached a record 123 million active addresses in October, up over 42% from September: The network’s user engagement is now reportedly surpassing that of Ethereum by some measures.
Spot bitcoin ETFs in the US reported $541 million in outflows on Monday, marking their largest daily decline since May: But they charged back on Wednesday to make up for the losses, pulling in more than $621 million.
Lawyers for Binance and ex-CEO Changpeng Zhao have filed a motion to dismiss an amended SEC complaint: The motion argues that the SEC has failed to provide standards for defining crypto securities.
Mt. Gox transferred roughly $2.19 billion worth of BTC to unknown wallets on Monday: The move follows a recent repayment delay announcement, with creditors still awaiting funds from the exchange’s 2014 collapse.
Trump Wins Presidency After Securing Every Swing State
Donald Trump was re-elected president of the United States this week, defeating vice president Kamala Harris by securing the 270 votes needed to win the electoral college.
The win is widely seen as a positive for the crypto ecosystem. Over the past few months, Trump has pledged his support for digital assets. In July, he spoke at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, promising to set up a national strategic bitcoin reserve and to fire SEC chair Gary Gensler, who has filed numerous lawsuits against a range of cryptocurrency exchanges. Additionally, Trump recently launched World Liberty Financial, a DeFi company that plans to sell $30 million in tokens.
Meanwhile, Harris never took an official policy stance on regulating crypto. And as vice president, the Biden administration largely had a hawkish stance against crypto companies, with Gensler taking a regulation by litigation approach that largely alienated an asset class that has become increasingly entrenched within traditional finance.
The price of bitcoin hit an all-time high this week, surging to more than $76,500 by Thursday afternoon. The crypto ecosystem received another boost earlier in the day when the Federal Reserve said it would cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the target range to 4.5%-4.75%.
Solana Hits Record 123M Monthly Active Addresses Amid Memecoin Boom
Solana achieved its highest monthly count of active addresses in October, reaching over 123 million, marking a notable increase from September’s figure and showcasing a recent surge in user activity. Analysts have attributed the growth to the popularity of memecoin trading, spurred by platforms like the token creation app Pump.fun.
Some industry reports have also been highlighting Solana’s rising engagement levels, noting there are over 100 million active addresses compared to Ethereum’s 57 million. Additionally, the rise of AI-linked memecoins have reportedly led to this increased activity.
With Solana designed as a lower-cost network in comparison to other smart contract compatible chains, this may be playing a role in increased engagement as well, as innovators have difficulty accepting comparatively expensive Ethereum gas prices.
🎈 Topic of the Week: Helium Network (HNT)
🫱 Read more here
Alltimehigh
Dogecoin - Get In Now Before It Hits $10!Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) is about to repeat another bullish cycle:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Dogecoin just broke out of the previous bear market triangle pattern and is starting its next major bullrun. Looking at market structure, price action and previous cycles, Dogecoin could even hit two digits after is manages to break above the all time high. You know what's possible.
Levels to watch: $0.1, $0.2, $0.5, $10
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Ethereum - This Is The Last Buying Opportunity!Ethereum ( BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ) is still super bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the correction of about -50% which we saw over the past couple of months on Ethereum, market structure and price action is still overall bullish. Ethereum is currently creating a bullish break and retest with a potential move of +60% towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Do u believe in Elliot WaveHi Everyone, do u even believe in Elliot Waves theory? Yes I do. And if u want to ask me wherr Galaxis can go to… I would say 0.012 cents. Dont forget the Galaxy is never ending…
First lets finish wave three to around 0.0094
Enjoy trading.
This is no Financial Advice (FA)
Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
Bitcoin Approaches All-Time HighMarket Update - November 1 2024
Fueled by positive market sentiment, the price of bitcoin exceeded $73,100, just shy of its all-time high: The Fed’s decision on rate cuts could further fuel a price increase, but bitcoin pulled back Thursday toward $70,000 amid a broader tech sell-off.
US spot bitcoin ETFs recorded $870 million in inflows on Tuesday, led by BlackRock’s IBIT with $629 million: It’s believed that bitcoin’s swelling price might be contributing to investment in these funds.
Florida CFO Jimmy Patronis has requested an evaluation of the feasibility of adding bitcoin to the state’s public pension funds: The state of Florida has typically shown keen interest in crypto initiatives, with Governor DeSantis having made proposals to allow businesses to pay tax in bitcoin in 2022.
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd. (HKEX) will launch the “HKEX Virtual Asset Index Series” on November 15, providing reference prices for BTC and ETH during the Asian trading day: The indexes aim to offer transparency and support for virtual asset investment decisions in the region.
Weekly sales of NBA Top Shot NFTs have hit a six-month peak, with 43,600 NFTs sold as of October 27, marking a 94% jump from the previous week: Renewed excitement from the season opener is driving the surge in activity after a slow offseason.
Bitcoin Surges Past $73,000, Pulls Back on Thursday
Bitcoin climbed above $73,000 Tuesday, marking the first time it breached this level in over seven months. The renewed surge comes near the end of a strong year for bitcoin, partly driven by the SEC’s approval of spot bitcoin ETFs and anticipated rate cuts in the US. Tuesday was also reported to be bitcoin’s biggest trading day in months, as volumes skyrocketed. However, the price of bitcoin retreated Thursday, pulling back toward $70,000 as the broader tech market recorded mixed earnings results.
Federal Reserve decisions in particular have been playing a role in bitcoin’s recent rally, with bitcoin rising from around $54,000 in early September as expectations for a rate cut increased. A majority of analysts currently anticipate a 25 bps cut November 7, which could drop rates to the 4.5% to 4.75% range. If this comes to be, it would most likely add to the current bitcoin trading frenzy.
Some analysts are bitcoin to climb even higher before the end of the year as market conditions become more favorable. It could depend on numerous factors, and will most likely be influenced in some form by the results of the upcoming US presidential election.
💱 Topic of the Week: Traditional Lending vs. Crypto Lending
🫱 Read more here
Meta: Buy Opportunity with Strong Short & Medium Term SignalsMeta Platforms NASDAQ:META (META) is on track to hit new record highs at $610, and the short- and medium-term technical indicators suggest a strong buying opportunity. Here’s why:
In the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes, several key indicators are flashing buy signals: The Exponential Moving Averages (10, 20, 30, and 50) across both timeframes are all signaling bullish momentum, indicating upward strength.
In the 4-hour chart, Momentum (10) is positive, and Bull Bear Power is also supporting further gains. While there’s a MACD Sell signal, it’s outweighed by the overall uptrend across multiple moving averages.
In the 2-hour chart, the MACD Level has switched to Buy, and the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) is also bullish, suggesting growing strength in the short term.
In the daily timeframe, Meta shows even more confirmation for a bullish stance: Most of the key Moving Averages (EMA 10, 20, 30, 50) are aligned with continued upside, supporting a sustained uptrend. The MACD and Momentum indicators show some divergence, but overall the market remains tilted in favor of a bullish outcome, with price action well above the 100 and 200-day moving averages.
Risk-Reward Setup: The combination of buy signals in both short and medium-term charts presents a favorable risk-reward setup. Meta’s strong uptrend suggests a continuation toward new highs, while the technicals back a bullish bias with several layers of confirmation. However, caution should be exercised with short-term volatility, but the overall trend still supports the case for a long position.
Considering these factors, entering long positions with a target at $610 offers a compelling opportunity to ride the momentum of one of the tech market leaders.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
Amd - Break, Retest And New All Time Highs!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to start another +100% rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amd just retested and rejected a major previous horizontal structure and is starting the next major bullish wave towards the upside. Looking at previous cycles and the rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that Amd will follow Nvidia and create new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $130, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Retrace before BTC All Time High?I could see the price going back to the EMA 50 or EMA 200 on the 1 hour time frame. Many people could get into high leveraged long positions just before the all time high. This could cause price to reverse and make a mean reversion before the continuation of the uptrend pass the old all-time high.
ATH from Historic Average PerspectiveHISTORIC AVERAGING
The point of historic averaging is to provide a long-term perspective on an asset’s price by calculating an average that considers all available historical data.
The simplest is Arithmetic All-Time Average
PineScript: ta.cum(close) / (bar_index + 1)
To get it we must add up all closing prices and divide by number of bars. (Bar_index + 1 because bar_index starts with 0, which can mess up calculation!)
It provides us with some useful information:
Long-Term Trend Identification
Current Price Contextualization - point of reference to assess how high is the current price than its historical Average
Exposes Long-Term Support levels - the historic average often aligns with significant support (True for Bitcoin particularly)
Since Arithmetic Averaging is more venerable to lagging, it made a significant gap from the lows:
If the weights weren't identical, the gap distance would have been less. So we can use other method of averaging for more precise alignments of the cycle Lows
Weighted Historic Average: This method assigns increasing weights to each bar over time, prioritizing later candles even more significantly. This method is particularly useful when you want to view the trend as influenced by more recent activity but still considering the entire data set. It may help in understanding price dynamics under growing market volume or volatility, as recent bars affect the average more prominently.
With such weighting method applied, the historic average better indicates long-term support levels making them more reliable to draw a relationship between current price and the Historic Average.
This post is not even about the rhyme of Weighted Historical Average with cycle lows.
If we divide closing price by WHA, we would get an idea how many times Bitcoin has been higher than the average during the times establishing All Time High.
Given the current uptrend, which shows potential to develop into a full-scale bull run, we can anticipate the next long-term ATH by monitoring the Close/Historic Average. As this metric rises and breaks above shaded levels, it signals continued momentum. Conversely, if it crosses below the first shaded range, this may indicate that a long-term ATH has been set, suggesting the market could be primed for the next significant correction phase.
Bitcoin - Now Is The Time For A Breakout!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will exit the consolidation now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The only factor which is really driving the price of Bitcoin is technical analysis. And everything is pointing towards a bullish breakout above the preivous all time high and significant follow through. Make sure you somehow participate in the bullrun, either with altcoins or Bitcoin.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nasdaq - This Is Just The Beginning!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting the next parabolic rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Although the Nasdaq is about to create a new all time high, this is just the beginning of the next major higher timeframe bullrun. The Nasdaq just broke above the channel resistance and is now heading for a +30% move. It feels absolutely counterintuitive - welcome to the stock market.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $26.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SWING IDEA - AMBER ENTERPRISESAmber Enterprises , a leading player in the Indian air conditioning and refrigeration industry, is showing technical signals that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
4600 Resistance Breakout : The 4600 level has been a significant resistance zone. The price is now breaking out above this level, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Strong Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily and Weekly Timeframes : The recent formation of bullish marubozu candles on both the daily and weekly charts indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels.
Higher Highs : The stock is consistently making higher highs, indicating a strong upward trend.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest.
Trading at All-Time High : The stock is trading at its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and potential for further gains.
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Xrp - This Is The Bullish Breakout!Xrp ( BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ) is preparing two major breakouts:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Xrp has been consolidating for almost 7 years and if a triangle breakout happens, it will certainly be followed by new all time highs. Price action and market structure are both pretty clear, and it seems almost impossible for Xrp to break the current support. Therefore longs!
Levels to watch: $0.5, $1.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
QQQ: A Rally Towards the ATH!Daily Chart (Left):
Resistance at $503.52: The price is approaching a key resistance zone around $503.52, the ATH, which may serve as a potential reversal area. A breakout above this could signal more bullish momentum.
Support at $493.15: There is immediate support at $493.15, where price action has consolidated briefly. This level might act as a pivot zone, where buyers could step in if there’s a pullback.
Momentum: The price is above the 21-day EMA, which is rising, indicating the trend is currently bullish. Buyers seem to be in control, and the price action has been making higher highs and higher lows.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Ascending Channel: The price has been trending upward within a well-defined ascending channel. The mid-point of this channel, around $493, has acted as resistance in recent weeks.
Next Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel, which is above the resistance at $503.52, could offer significant resistance. This suggests that QQQ could renew its ATH if this bullish momentum persists.
Overall Trend: The weekly trend remains strong, with the 21-week EMA providing dynamic support, reinforcing the overall bullish bias.
Conclusion:
The price is currently bullish but nearing key resistance at $503.52. Traders should be cautious around this level for potential profit-taking or reversal signals. If the price manages to break above $503.52, the next leg up in the bullish trend could begin. Conversely, if the QQQ loses the $493 support, it could materialize a sharper correction to the 21-day EMA, or even to tthe $477 in the mid-term.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
The Power of Bitcoin: How MicroStrategy’s $MSTR Soared 1,620%MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has experienced a massive surge in its stock price, climbing 15.9% on Friday's market trading and an additional 5% during Monday's premarket session. The stock broke out of a rectangular chart pattern, signaling a bullish move that could potentially lead to new all-time highs. This explosive growth is underpinned by the company’s strategic bet on Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), which has not only outpaced the cryptocurrency itself but also the broader market, including tech giants like Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), and the S&P 500. Let's dive into both the technical and fundamental factors driving this remarkable surge.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Bet
MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) adopted a Bitcoin-centered strategy in August 2020 under the leadership of its executive chairman, Michael Saylor. This strategic pivot has yielded extraordinary results, with the stock gaining 1,620% since then. In comparison, Bitcoin itself has gained 426% during the same period, while the S&P 500 and the “Magnificent 7” tech giants, including Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia, have lagged with gains of 73% and 243%, respectively.
As of September 2024, MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) holds 252,220 bitcoins, making it the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. In a recent acquisition, the company purchased 7,420 BTC for $458.2 million at an average price of $61,750 per coin, further solidifying its bullish stance on Bitcoin.
Michael Saylor has made it clear that he believes Bitcoin is the ultimate asset for long-term wealth generation. His famous quote, “The only thing better than bitcoin is more bitcoin,” encapsulates the company’s philosophy. This bold strategy has clearly paid off, as NASDAQ:MSTR has consistently outperformed both the broader market and even some of the most successful tech companies.
Bitcoin Outperformance & the Broader Market
What makes MicroStrategy's performance particularly notable is its stark outperformance compared to Bitcoin and other major stocks. For example, while Bitcoin’s price has increased 426% since 2020, MicroStrategy’s stock price has skyrocketed 1,620%, leveraging the company's heavy exposure to Bitcoin as a strategic asset. This outperformance can also be attributed to the broader market sentiment toward Bitcoin, which has attracted institutional investors and long-term holders like MicroStrategy. As the company continues to acquire more BTC, it positions itself as a de facto Bitcoin ETF in the eyes of traditional market participants.
In addition, NASDAQ:MSTR has far outpaced Nvidia’s impressive 1,107% increase and Arista Networks' 650% rise over the same period. These gains have positioned MicroStrategy as one of the most successful stocks in the past three years.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has just broken out of a rectangular chart pattern, a significant bullish signal. A rectangle formation is characterized by a period of price consolidation between clearly defined horizontal support and resistance levels. In this case, NASDAQ:MSTR had been trading within a range, reflecting indecision among traders.
However, Friday’s surge confirmed a breakout above the ceiling of the rectangular pattern, signaling that the bulls have regained control. This breakout is particularly significant because it often precedes further upward movement, potentially setting the stage for a new high.
The Bullish Rectangle Pattern Explained
A rectangle formation typically occurs after an asset experiences an uptrend, which then consolidates as traders weigh the next move. In the case of NASDAQ:MSTR , the stock has been consolidating within a tight range as investors digested the company’s continued Bitcoin purchases and broader market conditions. With the breakout above the rectangle, it suggests that traders are once again optimistic, and the stock may be heading toward further gains.
As of Monday morning’s premarket session, NASDAQ:MSTR is up 5%, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Another key technical indicator supporting NASDAQ:MSTR ’s bullish outlook is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is currently at 76.76. Typically, an RSI above 70 indicates that an asset is overbought, and caution is advised. However, during periods of strong momentum, stocks can remain overbought for extended periods, particularly during significant bullish trends.
Moreover, the stock is exhibiting a gap-up pattern in the price chart, which is a strong indicator of momentum. Gap-ups occur when the price of an asset opens significantly higher than its previous close, often indicating a shift in sentiment or the release of market-moving news. In NASDAQ:MSTR 's case, the gap-up is driven by its breakout from the rectangle pattern, as well as renewed enthusiasm for Bitcoin.
Whale Accumulation and Bitcoin’s Influence
MicroStrategy’s stock is not just benefiting from technical patterns; the underlying Bitcoin market is also providing fundamental support. Recent data shows that whale activity has intensified around Bitcoin, with large holders accumulating 2.07 billion DOGE in a single week. While this specific data pertains to Dogecoin, it underscores a broader trend of renewed interest in cryptocurrencies by large investors, which often correlates with upward price movements in both the crypto market and crypto-exposed stocks like MicroStrategy.
Conclusion:
MicroStrategy’s breakout from the rectangular pattern, combined with its solid fundamental footing in Bitcoin, suggests that the stock could be setting a course for new highs. The company’s Bitcoin strategy has proven to be a game-changer, with the stock significantly outperforming both Bitcoin and the broader market since 2020.
As Bitcoin continues to grow in institutional acceptance and more companies adopt digital assets as part of their strategies, MicroStrategy’s long-term bullish outlook remains intact. Investors will be keenly watching for the next moves in both Bitcoin and NASDAQ:MSTR , as the stock could continue to serve as a leading indicator of market sentiment around the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
YEP! ALL-TIME HIGHS BABY! You're welcome! :)
Pretty simple... After identifying a candle with buying pressure, last week I announced that we would very likely be hitting new all-time highs simply by following the N# pattern that was unfolding at that very moment with precision.
VALIDATIONS ARE THE KEY TO PREDICTING A MARKET MOVE.
But what do I mean?
Here’s a recap of the moves I got in 1 week:
#1 It gave me a breakout.
#2 It gave me an exact retracement to my order block area that I was looking for.
#3 It gave me the volume I needed to see.
#4 It gave me a volume candle with buying pressure.
#5 It gave me an immediate bullish structure.
#6 The "N3" pattern is being fulfilled precisely.
How many validations do I have so far?
6 Validations!!!! Don’t you think we’re in a bullish scenario where, with all these validations being met exactly, we could see a new extreme, breaking new all-time highs?
OF COURSE WE ARE!
The more validations you have in an analysis, the more likely the scenario you’re looking for will be fulfilled correctly.
Now... Going back to SPY, all-time highs are uncharted territory! We must be very cautious, and as soon as the retracement begins, I’ll start my analysis again.
Best regards, and I hope this mini-lesson helps fine-tune your price analysis process.
Thanks for supporting my analysis.
Best regards.
Bitcoin - It Will Reach $100.000!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will break out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Everything, and I literally mean everything, is bullish on Bitcoin. The previous cycles, timeframes, market structure and price action are all pointing towards the continuation of the bull run which started in 2023. And a breakout above the all time high, is the next trigger.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $115, $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)