Alibaba: Cheap PricesAlibaba continues to position itself as a dominant force in e-commerce, cloud computing, and international growth. With new developments and expanding global influence, the company offers significant upside potential for investors & business owners and consumers. NYSE:BABA
[Financial Performance:
Revenue Growth: Alibaba reported a 5.9% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching ¥950.25 billion for the 12 months ending June 2024. This growth is driven by robust performance across its core e-commerce platforms and rapid cloud computing expansion
Cash Flow: Alibaba has demonstrated a solid cash flow of $11.04 per share, with a price-to-cash-flow ratio of 7.68, reinforcing its ability to maintain liquidity and pursue investments
Cloud Computing and E-commerce:
Cloud Business Expansion: Alibaba Cloud continues to expand rapidly, now accounting for a significant share of revenue. It remains a strong leader in China, with international expansion efforts helping it challenge other global cloud providers
International Growth: The company is gaining traction outside of China, leveraging platforms like Lazada in Southeast Asia, a key driver of international growth
Technical and Market Analysis:
Stock Performance: As of September 12, 2024, BABA trades at $85.39, representing a 10.4% gain year-to-date. Despite recent fluctuations, analysts remain optimistic about its future performance
Price Target: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $107.61, suggesting a strong upside potential of over 20%. BABA's current valuation at a P/E ratio of 18.93 remains attractive, signalling room for growth
Strategic Outlook:
AI Investments: Alibaba's investments in AI are expected to enhance its cloud offerings and improve the efficiency of its e-commerce platforms, making it a leader in innovation
Long-Term Potential: Despite regulatory challenges and geopolitical risks, Alibaba's strong financial position and focus on international markets make it a compelling investment for those seeking long-term value.
ATH? Lol.
$84.70 NYSE:BABA
Alibaba
Alibaba - The Bleeding Is OverNYSE:BABA dropped roughly -75% after it broke the long term trendline towards the downside back in 2021 before it found some strong support at a previous horizontal support level.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻
Bulls are still not giving up on Alibaba and after the strong retest and reversal of the all time low back in 2022, Alibaba managed to consolidate and stop the agressive downtrend. If Alibaba actually manages to break back above the confluence of resistance, this stock is actually back to a bullish market and we could see the beginning of a new uptrend and maybe even new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $81
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Alibaba's antitrust scrutiny concludes with a positive outcomeChina's State Administration of Market Regulation (SAMR) has officially concluded its antitrust investigation into Alibaba, indicating satisfactory compliance by the e-commerce giant with anti-monopoly laws. This investigation, which began in 2021, resulted in a substantial fine of 18.23 billion CNY (approximately 2.6 billion USD) due to practices restricting sellers from exclusively choosing Alibaba's platform over competitors. SAMR noted that Alibaba's remediation efforts have produced "good results," addressing issues related to its previous "pick one" policy, which unfairly bolstered its market dominance.
Technical analysis of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR (NYSE: BABA)
A review of Alibaba's stock performance offers insights into potential trading opportunities based on its current technical landscape:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current Trend : the stock is exhibiting an upward trend, having recently breached the resistance level at 85.80 USD, which now serves as support
Short-term Target : the immediate upside target is at 90.70 USD, contingent upon breaking past the current resistance
Medium-term Target : If the momentum continues past the short-term resistance, the next target is at 96.50 USD
Key Support : established at 79.20 USD
Downside Scenario : a reversal below the key support level could trigger a potential decline to 71.50 USD, signalling a bearish shift
Market outlook
Following the conclusion of the antitrust investigation and subsequent compliance measures, Alibaba's stock is showing signs of resilience and potential growth. Investors and traders might find this development encouraging as it not only alleviates regulatory uncertainties but also highlights Alibaba's adaptability to stringent market regulations. As Alibaba continues to navigate the competitive e-commerce landscape with renewed regulatory compliance, its stock may witness further appreciation, making it a compelling watch for potential upward movements.
—
Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65.68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Technical Analysis on Alibaba (BABA)Alibaba ( BABA ) has been in a long-term downtrend that began in October 2020. In the medium term, however, the price has entered a phase of compression, suggesting a possible pause or reversal of the trend.
Analyzing the volumes using the Volume Profile, we can see that the price is currently caught between two key Points of Control (POC):
POC 1: A significant volume level that considers the entire historical data of the stock, located around the $80 area.
POC 2: A medium-term POC that reflects the current phase of compression.
Bullish Scenario:
To consider a potential bullish scenario, it will be necessary to wait for the price to reach POC 1, located around the $80 area, followed by a breakout and a possible retest of the descending trendline. The first significant resistance and target for this bullish scenario is around the $120 area.
Bearish Scenario:
For a continuation of the downtrend, it is important to monitor the price in relation to the two POCs. If the price drops below both levels and breaks the ascending line, with a possible retest, we could see an extension of the downward movement.
Alibaba Spike 4% After Completing Three-Year Regulatory OverhaulOverview
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) saw its stock jump 4% in premarket trading following the completion of a rigorous three-year regulatory overhaul mandated by China’s State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR). This milestone marks a significant turning point for Alibaba, as it moves past one of its most challenging periods and signals potential new growth opportunities for investors.
Regulatory Milestone:
The completion of Alibaba’s regulatory rectification process comes after the company was hit with an antitrust fine of 18.23 billion yuan ($2.6 billion) in 2021. The fine was a result of practices deemed monopolistic, specifically the “choose one of two” policy, which forced merchants to commit to one e-commerce platform over another. Over the past three years, SAMR has supervised Alibaba’s compliance efforts, culminating in the cessation of these monopolistic behaviors. The regulator’s announcement of “effective results” underscores Alibaba’s adherence to new operational standards and improved market practices.
Fundamental Analysis:
This regulatory approval is more than just a relief for Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA )—it represents a potential catalyst for renewed investor confidence and market performance. The removal of regulatory constraints opens the door for Alibaba to refocus on growth strategies and innovation. Despite facing significant scrutiny and a dramatic 70% decline in stock value since its peak in 2020, Alibaba has shown early signs of recovery. The June quarter results revealed a rebound in cloud computing revenue and robust e-commerce transactions, reflecting a positive trend in the company’s operational performance.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, Alibaba’s stock is positioned for a potential bullish trend. The recent 4% surge in premarket trading is indicative of strong market sentiment and investor optimism. The stock is currently exhibiting a gap-up pattern, as there were no trading activities leading up to this surge. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 52, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI position is favorable for further growth, provided buying momentum continues.
Future Outlook:
The completion of the regulatory overhaul represents a “new beginning” for Alibaba, according to the company’s statement. The focus will now shift towards innovation and enhancing compliance, with a strategic emphasis on technology investment and promoting a healthy platform economy. The endorsement from SAMR could also signal a broader softening stance from Chinese regulators towards the tech sector, which has been under intense scrutiny since late 2020.
However, challenges remain. The broader tech industry continues to grapple with cautious consumer spending and a slower funding environment for startups. Alibaba’s path to sustained growth will depend on its ability to leverage this regulatory victory into tangible business outcomes and maintain momentum in a competitive market.
Conclusion:
Alibaba’s completion of its regulatory overhaul is a pivotal moment for the company, offering both technical and fundamental reasons for optimism. The stock’s recent surge reflects renewed investor confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for further gains. As Alibaba transitions into this new phase, stakeholders will be watching closely to see how the company capitalizes on its regulatory victory to drive future growth and innovation.
Investors should remain vigilant and monitor upcoming earnings reports and market trends to gauge Alibaba’s ability to sustain its recovery and capitalize on its renewed operational freedom.
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on BABA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.38.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Alibaba (NYSE: $BABA) Misses First-Quarter Revenue EstimatesAlibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA), China’s e-commerce giant, faced a challenging second quarter in 2024, as reflected in its earnings report that missed market expectations. The company, which has been navigating a complex economic landscape marked by rising competition and cautious consumer behavior, saw its shares dip nearly 4% in premarket trading following the disappointing results.
Key Financials and Earnings Miss
For the quarter ending June 30, 2024, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) reported revenue of 243.24 billion Chinese yuan ($34.01 billion), falling short of the 249.05 billion yuan expected by analysts. Net income also took a hit, dropping 29% year-over-year to 24.27 billion yuan, compared to the 26.91 billion yuan expected.
The revenue increase of 4% year-on-year was overshadowed by the significant drop in net income, which the company attributed to a decline in income from operations and an increase in impairments from its investments.
Challenges in Core E-commerce Business
Alibaba's core China e-commerce business, which has been the bedrock of the company’s success, continued to face headwinds. Sales from the Taobao and Tmall group, representing Alibaba’s domestic e-commerce segment, fell by 1% year-over-year to 113.37 billion yuan. Despite efforts by CEO Eddie Wu to stabilize and rejuvenate this segment, the company is struggling against a backdrop of increased competition from rivals like JD.com and Temu’s parent company PDD Holdings.
The Chinese consumer market, which has been slow to recover from the economic downturn and high job insecurity, further exacerbates Alibaba’s challenges. Although Alibaba reported “double-digit” growth in gross merchandise value (GMV) within its Taobao and Tmall platforms, this was not enough to offset the overall revenue decline.
Global and Cloud Segments Show Promise
While the domestic market remains challenging, Alibaba's international e-commerce division offered a bright spot. Revenue in this segment grew by 32% year-over-year, driven by strong performances from platforms like Lazada and Aliexpress. This growth reflects Alibaba’s strategic focus on expanding its global footprint and catering to the increasing global demand for affordable Chinese goods.
The company’s cloud computing division also demonstrated resilience, with revenue rising 6% year-over-year to 26.5 billion yuan. This marked the fastest growth rate for the cloud segment since Q2 2022. Alibaba’s cloud unit, which has been a focal point for future growth, benefited from its investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and the introduction of new AI-related products. The cloud division’s adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization (EBITA) soared by 155% year-over-year, highlighting improved operating efficiency and a focus on higher-margin contracts.
Strategic Shifts and Future Outlook
Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) has been undergoing significant structural changes since 2023, including a major corporate overhaul that split the company into six business units. CEO Eddie Wu, who took over leadership in September, has been keen on refocusing the company’s strategy, particularly within its core e-commerce business. This includes reducing reliance on direct sales and enhancing monetization features for third-party merchants on Taobao and Tmall.
Wu has set ambitious goals to return the Taobao and Tmall businesses to growth by late 2025, with new monetization strategies expected to play a crucial role. However, the company remains in a transition phase, and the effectiveness of these strategies will be closely watched by investors and analysts alike.
Technical Outlook
In the premarket trading session on Thursday, Alibaba's (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) stock experienced a decline of 3.57%. The daily price chart reveals the presence of a bearish hanging man candlestick pattern. However, it is noteworthy that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 55.80, implying a neutral position that neither indicates oversold nor overbought conditions. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator value of 0.284 suggests a bullish trend, supporting a favorable outlook.
A notable observation is the convergence of all moving averages (MA) at a singular point. This pattern often signals a potential shift in trend or a phase of consolidation in the market. Such convergence may signify market indecision, with equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Depending on various factors such as the positions of short-term and long-term moving averages, this signal may hint at an impending breakout in the market. Traders are advised to seek confirmation from price action or additional indicators before making substantial decisions.
Conclusion
Alibaba's Q2 2024 earnings report underscores the challenges the company faces in a rapidly evolving and competitive market. While the company's international and cloud segments show promise, the core e-commerce business in China continues to grapple with significant obstacles. CEO Eddie Wu’s efforts to stabilize and revitalize this segment will be critical to Alibaba’s future performance, particularly as the company navigates through its ongoing transformation.
Investors will be keen to see how Alibaba’s strategic shifts play out over the coming quarters, particularly in light of the intense competition and economic uncertainty that continue to cloud the Chinese market.
Alibaba Group (BABA) Stock Reaches Over Two-Month HighAlibaba Group (BABA) Stock Reaches Over Two-Month High
As shown on the BABA stock chart, the price today has risen to around $80.80—its highest level this summer.
The primary driver of bullish sentiment is the anticipation of a positive earnings report from Alibaba Group Holding Ltd for Q2 2024, set to be released on 15th August.
According to Dow Jones Newswires:
→ Lazada, a subsidiary of Alibaba Group, has reached a certain level of profitability, which is a promising sign for the tech giant as it seeks to boost international sales amid slowing growth in China.
→ Alibaba’s market share has stabilised after a decline in 2021. DBS analysts Sachin Mittal and Andy Yeo note that the Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) of goods sold on Taobao and Tmall has returned to double-digit growth, and Alibaba’s international e-commerce platforms could become a key driver, with an estimated compound annual growth rate of 23% from FY2024 to FY2027. DBS maintains its buy recommendation for Alibaba shares.
Technical analysis of the Alibaba (BABA) stock chart shows that:
→ The price is forming an ascending channel (shown in blue) and has already risen to its median line. However, it remains under pressure from a descending trendline that has been in place since 2023.
→ The chart shows patterns of false breakouts (marked with arrows) of previous local highs. It’s possible that a similar pattern (with a return below the psychological level of $80.00) could occur before the report is released.
Be prepared for sharp movements in Alibaba Group (BABA) stock around the time of the report’s publication. It could either meet bullish expectations or deliver a bearish surprise.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#202427 - priceactiontds - weekly update - alibaba #4Good Day and I hope you are well. A quick one on #baba again
Alibaba
Quote from last post:
" The stock found it's bottom and points upwards. Many tails around the 68/70 area below and big bull bars now appearing. The monthly 20ema will most likely be hit soon, where I expect a pull-back to then break above to the 100$ level again. China is printing again and from a technical perspective the stock has seen the worst days IMO. Can see 120 over the next 6-12 months again. Where you put your stop? Probably 80 or you want to hold for longer term and scale in lower. "
comment: The stock did almost exactly what I said it would. Last trade was good for 5$ or 6%. Market also turned 2$ above the monthly 20ema. So what is next? The two legged correction I have drawn is from 2024-05-14 and currently is going a bit deeper than expected but still valid. Market has to stay above 67 to make a higher low. Which would be a great entry for longs, once it turns again. I have drawn the bear channel on the daily chart, because the bear channel needs to be broken before you think about longs on this one. Could happen next week or the week after. Selling below 70/75 is bad any way you put it. Market just made a strong move again and another will likely follow. Bears are in their third push down and could see a two legged correction soon again, if not a major trend reversal for 100.
current market cycle: trading range at the lows
key levels: 63 - 120
bull case: Bulls want to break above 18500 to retest the other bear trend lines above.
Bull Invalidation is below 67.
Bear Invalidation is above 77.
short term: Neutral until bear channel is broken and bullish above 76 for 85 or higher again.
medium-long term: 17000 over the next 3-6 Months and when we get there, I update again. —unchanged
current swing trade: No big move caught. Will look for follow through selling on Monday and would swing a position then.
Chart update: Adjusted bear wave series to match the current sideways movement.
Alibaba - Back to bearish (not)?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba .
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
After Alibaba broke below the major support trendline in 2021 we saw a massive correction of -75% towards the downside. Alibaba was then retesting another major level, this time a previous support area which is at $60. So far Alibaba stock is still respecting the bearish trendline, but it is just a matter of time until we will see a bullish trading opportunity on this stock.
--------
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Long Term Analysis. 1st Target 134, 2nd Target 308This is my Long Term Analysis _ "Alibaba".
Downtrend is Breakout in monthly time frame and retested. So, from now on, the market will move to a Bullish Trend. And 1st Target is 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement (134), 2nd Target is (308).
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 25 - BABA - (8th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing Alibaba (BABA), starting from the 6-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my other videos on TradingView or on YT.
If you are interested in private coaching, feel free to get in touch via one of my socials.
Alibaba - Don't forget chinese stocks!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba.
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2020 Alibaba stock created a textbook breakout of an ascending triangle formation which was followed by more continuation towards the upside. Then Alibaba stock topped out in 2021 and we saw a massive decline of -80% from the previous highs. At the moment Alibaba is still in a very bearish market but there is a chance that we will see a reversal in the near future.
--------
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba - Trading opportunity is finally there!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba .
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
Almost a decade ago Alibaba stock retested a strong support at the psychological $60 level and reversed significantly towards the upside. Just a couple of months ago Alibaba stock once again retested this support and created an anticipated reversal. If Alibaba stock actually manages to break above the current resistance trendline, we could maybe see a similar rally like we saw in 2015 and the following years.
--------
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BABA before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $2.74.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Alibaba Stock Soars 7.56% After Strong JD.com ResultsAlibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) saw a 7.66% gain in afternoon trading on Thursday, thanks to a revenue beat from JD.com. Despite the slight revenue boost, Alibaba's earnings and revenue growth accelerated slightly from the prior quarter, up 13% and 2%, respectively. On an adjusted basis, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) earned $1.40 a share, down 10% year over year, while revenue edged higher by 1% to $30.7 billion. The company announced a two-part dividend, including an annual cash dividend of $1 per American depository share and a "one-time extraordinary cash dividend" of 66 cents per ADS, totaling $4 billion.
In late March, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) abandoned plans to list its logistics arm in Hong Kong, but the news did not lift Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) out of its downtrend. The cancellation of the listing poses more challenges to a restructuring plan announced last year by Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ), which would have split the e-commerce giant into six separate companies.
NYSE:BABA stock rallied sharply on February 6 after the company reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $36.7 billion, up 2% from the year-ago quarter and slightly above the $36.16 billion consensus. However, adjusted profit fell 4% to $2.67 a a share. Investors also liked the fact that Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) added $25 billion to its share buyback program through March 2027.
Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) plunged in mid-November despite reporting an 18% rise in quarterly profit and a 6% increase in revenue. The company surged on Jan. 23 on reports that co-founder Jack Ma and business associate Joe Tsai have been buying shares of NYSE:BABA stock in recent months. In September, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) came under selling pressure after outgoing CEO Daniel Zhang unexpectedly stepped down as head of the company's cloud business.
Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) surged above its 200-day moving average on July 7, following Chinese regulators fined the company's financial arm, Ant Group, just under $1 billion. In April 2021, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) was hit with a $2.8 billion fine in an anti-monopoly probe. However, after three years of regulatory scrutiny, optimism is building that Beijing is close to ending its crackdown on tech firms. In March 2023, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) announced plans to separate into six separate units, each with the ability to raise outside funding and even pursue an IPO. The company is likely to maintain its cloud/artificial intelligence business and giant e-commerce operations.
In April 2020, China regulators fined Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) $2.8 billion after an antimonopoly probe. At the time, it appeared that Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) was ready to break out of a downtrend but got turned away at its 50-day moving average. It tried to rally above the 50-day line again in late April but sellers knocked the stock lower again.
According to recent reports, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is expected to earn $7.98 a share in fiscal year 2025, down 7% compared to fiscal 2024. For fiscal 2026, earnings are expected to rise 14% to $9.07 a share.
South Korea Signs Agreement With AliExpress on Product SafetySouth Korea's government has signed an agreement with Alibaba's, AliExpress, and PDD Holdings' to promote product safety. The agreement comes after heightened regulatory scrutiny of these Chinese e-commerce platforms, which have significantly expanded their user base in South Korea. Safety inspections on products sold on these platforms detected harmful substances, threatening consumer safety. The Korea Fair Trade Commission (KFTC) said that the agreement was necessary due to the increased scrutiny on consumer safety related to overseas online platforms.
Temu co-founder Qin Sun stated that the government will continue to strengthen monitoring to block the distribution of harmful products, such as overseas recall products, in Korea. AliExpress Korea's CEO Ray Zhang stated that the platform had stepped up consumer protection policies since March, including a customer hotline without language barriers and faster returns.
Under the agreement, the government will provide data and check whether harmful products have been blocked from sale by the platforms. The KFTC is also pursuing the passing of a Consumer Safety Act that will assign legally binding responsibility to platforms. This is the first time Temu has signed such a voluntary agreement anywhere in the world, although AliExpress has a history of signing such agreements with the European Union and Australia.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:BABA stock is up 5.5% on Monday's early trading session starting off on a clean slate. The stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 72 which is clearly overbought. Traders ought to be cautious of a trend reversal or correction to feel the upward gap formed
BABA. The buyer shows strengthHello traders and investors!
Let's take a look at what happened since the last post where I suggested considering purchases. You can find the post linked below. Just a reminder, the solid line represents the main scenario, while the dashed line indicates possible price movements to realize the main scenario.
The price has increased by 13%, with the maximum drawdown so far being 5%.
The situation is most clearly visible on the 2-day timeframe. I explained how and why to use different timeframes in a separate article, the link to which is provided below. On the 2-day timeframe, the price has formed a sideways movement where volume accumulation is taking place. Currently, we see 7 points within the sideways movement. The buyer's momentum from point 7 broke through the upper boundary of the sideways movement at 78.34.
If the buyer defends the breakout above the upper boundary of the sideways movement, I expect the first target to be 96.68. This is approximately 18% from the current price. This is the primary scenario.
If the seller absorbs the last buyer's candle and brings the price back into the sideways movement, there is a possibility of retesting the local minimum.
The ultimate target on the weekly timeframe remains the same - 121.3.
Alibaba (BABA): Finally Breaking Resistances!Looking at Alibaba, we have set our entry at $71.66 and found ourselves within a consolidation phase, oscillating between $65 and $77.77 for around three months, the latter marking our short-term resistance. We anticipated a breakout through this resistance upwards and this is what finally got this week!
Fundamentally, Alibaba holds substantial potential, and from a technical standpoint, it appears promising as long as it maintains its current level. This was the third time we were testing the trendline, and we expected to break through it.
There is still a chance to revisit lower ranges of this consolidation phase, if we can't hold the critical price level above $ 77.
While we hope it doesn't occur, it remains a possibility. Looking upwards, we have set a very ambitious target, aiming for a rebound to between $200 and $300—a potential increase of approximately 300%. This long-term scenario hinges on stability in geopolitical and other external conditions.
Alibaba's Jack Ma Makes a Bold ReturnAlibaba's co-founder, Jack Ma, has emerged from the shadows to pen a morale-boosting memo to employees. This rare move comes after years of maintaining a low profile following a tumultuous clash with Chinese regulators. Ma's endorsement of Alibaba's sweeping restructuring efforts marks a significant moment for the tech giant, prompting a surge in shares and signaling a potential return to the spotlight for the billionaire entrepreneur.
Jack Ma's Memo: A Vote of Confidence in Alibaba's Transformation:
In his memo, Ma expresses his support for Alibaba's decision to split into six units, heralding it as a pivotal step towards streamlining the company's operations and fostering agility. Acknowledging the challenges and mistakes of the past, Ma emphasizes the importance of embracing reform and charting a responsible path toward the future. His words of encouragement reflect a renewed sense of purpose within Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ), with a focus on efficiency, market responsiveness, and courageous leadership.
Praise for Company Leadership and Resilient Team Spirit:
Ma's memo also commends the leadership of CEO Eddie Wu and Chairman Joe Tsai, highlighting their admirable courage and wisdom in navigating the company through turbulent times. Despite facing intense regulatory scrutiny and market pressures, Ma lauds the resilience and bravery of the Alibaba team, noting the emergence of a stronger, more united workforce.
Impact on Market Sentiment and Investor Confidence:
The release of Ma's memo has sparked a significant uptick in Alibaba's Hong Kong-listed shares, signaling a renewed sense of optimism among investors. The endorsement from one of the company's most influential figures has instilled confidence in Alibaba's restructuring efforts and leadership direction, positioning it for potential growth and stability in the future.
Jack Ma's Return: A Symbolic Shift in Alibaba's Narrative:
Ma's public endorsement marks a symbolic shift in Alibaba's narrative, signaling a potential return to prominence for the tech giant and its visionary co-founder. After years of speculation and uncertainty surrounding Ma's whereabouts and intentions, his reemergence offers hope for Alibaba's continued success and innovation in the ever-evolving tech landscape.