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Alibaba

ALIBABA:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION|NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔🔔Shares of Chinese tech giant Alibaba Group Holding fell 14.4 percent in August, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Although Alibaba became the first major Chinese tech company to face fines and regulations late last year, the punishment continued in July, when shares fell 13.9%, and in August, when shares fell another 14.4%. The culprits behind Alibaba's continued August decline in shares were an earnings report that fell short of expectations for the top line, and continued, escalating regulatory aggression against the Chinese Internet giant. In early August, Alibaba reported quarterly earnings that beat earnings expectations but fell short of earnings expectations. With such low sentiment, the mixed results were probably enough to worry investors that regulations are starting to affect the company's financial performance. Previously, Alibaba had used its first-mover advantage to squeeze out competitors, often forcing brands into exclusive contracts to gain access to its market-leading e-commerce platform. But in April, the company was fined $2.8 billion for violating antitrust rules and was ordered to stop the practice. Ending forced exclusivity could strengthen upwardly mobile e-commerce challengers, so the fact that Alibaba's revenues came in slightly below expectations is not a good sign. The situation didn't get any easier as the month progressed. In mid-August, the State Market Regulation Administration issued a comprehensive list of rules prohibiting tech giants from illegally collecting and using customer data or using technology to deny access to competitors' products. As one of the largest and most powerful "legacy" technology platforms in China, Alibaba is likely to lose more than its competitors as the rules are designed to level the playing field. The Ministry of Transportation has also begun work on rules to ensure the welfare of delivery drivers, which could affect the cost of food delivery for Alibaba subsidiaries Ele.me and Freshippo. A series of new rules will undoubtedly hit Alibaba's financial performance. But it doesn't look like the company will disappear anytime soon. After all, last quarter the company's revenue was up 34%, though, minus the effect of Alibaba Sun Art's retail consolidation, it was only 22%. After such a brutal collapse, the company's stock looks cheap: it's trading at about 17.9 times this year's projected earnings -- and that's with a significant net cash position and tens of billions in minority investments in other companies. Alibaba stock had already attracted prominent value investors Charlie Munger and Bill Miller earlier this year, and now its value has dropped significantly. Thus, Alibaba could be a good deal for patient investors if they can pay attention to the key factors. And here are three factors supporting Alibaba. 1. Dominating business in China According to Goldman Sachs, Alibaba dominates the e-commerce market with a 69% share by 2020, making it the Chinese Amazon. Alibaba has 912 million active customers in China and 1.17 billion worldwide. In 2020, the company will have a gross market size of $1.2 trillion, representing the value of all transactions flowing through Alibaba's business. Alibaba also owns a 33% stake in Ant Group, a major payment company in China that operates Alipay, which handles more than half of third-party payments in China. In other words, Alibaba is relevant to many aspects of the Chinese consumer and their economic activity. 2. Fantastic financial performance In 2020, Alibaba's revenue grew 41% to $109 billion, aided by consumers using online services during the pandemic. In the first quarter of 2021 (ending in June), the company saw rapid revenue growth of nearly $32 billion, 34% more than in 2020. Alibaba is expected to generate $143 billion in revenue by the end of the year, a 30% increase. The company is also very profitable. It converted $3.2 billion of first-quarter revenue into free cash flow and now has $72 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments on its balance sheet. This gives Alibaba tremendous financial flexibility to create/develop new business segments or acquire emerging competitors. 3. It's a bargain buy Even though the company's stock price is falling, Alibaba's continued growth is driving the stock down. Last fall, the stock was trading at a price-to-sales ratio of nearly 8, and today it is less than 4 when using the expected full-year earnings for 2021. In terms of earnings, we can use the price-to-earnings ratio to take another look at Alibaba's valuation. The company is expected to earn $9.70 per share in 2021, resulting in a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20, which is about a third less than Amazon's current P/E ratio if we use its expected 2021 earnings per share. Alibaba stock seems very inexpensive given its dominant position in China and its ability to grow its huge revenue by 30% - and remain profitable. Alibaba is a unique company that offers investors growth, strong fundamentals, and an attractive valuation, but despite all these positive factors, it is risky. The company may continue to trade at a lower valuation than companies such as Amazon for a long time to come because investors can never be completely sure that political risks will not emerge in the future. Nevertheless, Alibaba stock is like a "coil spring," which could unleash strong gains if investor sentiment becomes more favorable. This upside potential makes Alibaba an interesting idea for savvy investors.
NYSE:BABALong
by FOREXN1
3
Alibaba: A Bad Investment with Brilliant TechnicalsThe recent news about Alibaba's "donation" to the CCP agenda machine has sent the $BABA worshipers into full defensive mode. YouTube videos and Seeking Alpha articles on the equity have exploded in popularity and volume. Long term, investing in Chinese equities is a gamble but, if you're on the right side of the trade, you can certainly make a lot of money. This may or may not be the case with Alibaba. Present retail sentiment may likely force the stock upward but I think this will be taken as an opportunity by smart money to sell into strength. The retail money will be left holding a bag of CCP garbage. I'm (cautiously) short.
NYSE:BABAShort
by forever_green
Second Series of STOCKS Buying Areas!Hi followers and other TradingView users, To discover new and exciting stocks for you, for me, for everyone then please name five stocks that interest you and describe why they interest you. So, I would like to know FIVE of your favorite stocks, criteria to get your mentioned stocks into the list: 1) Name FIVE of your favorite stocks - full name and ticker. For example, Apple ( AAPL ), Tesla ( TSLA )...or just ticker, the ticker is a must-have! 2) Hit the "like" button of this post. 3) Hit the "follow" the get the update as fast as possible. TOP10* most mentioned stocks get analyzed. My technical analysis will point out some possible breakout opportunities to buy the strength and corrections to watch - pointing out some lower levels where your alerts should be set! * if it is not possible to identify logical buying areas from the graph, then I choose the ones (from the list) that have them. Stay healthy, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLA
by VaidoVeek
26
Watch List Alert: Alibaba Group Holdings (NYSE: $BABA)Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Core Commerce, Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The company operates Taobao Marketplace, a social commerce platform; Tmall, a third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers; Alimama, a monetization platform; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, which are online wholesale marketplaces; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz that are e-commerce platforms; and Tmall Global and Kaola, which are import e-commerce platforms. It also operates Lingshoutong that connects FMCG manufacturers and their distributors to small retailers; Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, the company offers pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time online bidding marketing exchange. Further, it provides elastic computing, database, storage, virtualization network, large-scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, machine learning platform, and Internet of Things services. Additionally, the company operates Youku, an online video platform; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency app; and Tmall Genie, an AI-enabled smart speaker. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
NYSE:BABALong
by Bullishcharts
3
ALIBABA, SPECULATION MODE ON!Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group and Alibaba.com, is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, Internet, and technology. Strong divergence on the monthly. The price level at which Alibaba now stands has always been characterized by high volatility in the past. The market has always reacted with a reabsorption over 60% of the time in the past at this level. This opens the scenario to an interesting short-term speculative operation which, in the event of a positive outcome, could turn into a medium-term operation on an asset which, ignoring short-term problems, creates several points of GDP for the Chinese economy. High risk transaction, the investor should consider the volatility of the underlying and the riskiness of the transaction in managing this asset.
NYSE:BABALong
by UnknownUnicorn25541012
A quantitative approach - Is Alibaba and Chinese big tech a buy?One of the big macro focal points of late has been the extreme weakness in Chinese internet and tech stocks, with some even saying this space is uninvestable. Last week’s moves by China’s State Administration for Market Regulation ( www.reuters.com) may be seen by many as fair, but the measures increase the number of forceful and sustained regulatory curbs imposed by Chinese authorities in recent months. As any investor will tell you, when you invest in a company with such monopolistic and strong price maker qualities, especially in a regime where there is a move to a “Common Prosperity”, regulation is always the biggest risk to sentiment. Certainly, any equity trader that has seen the incredible loss of market cap in Tencent, Alibaba (BABA), Baidu, and others will attest to that now. Are we set to see a mean reversion rally? The level of conversation around these names, and whether the drop now represents a buying opportunity for long-term investors and traders has clearly ramped up. I would be fine with owning as a long-term play at current levels, but I have been most keen to explore whether after a 50% decline if there was a statistical trading case that suggested a short-term mean-reversion bounce is coming. I have paid particular focus on Alibaba (ticker: BABA). Initially, I ran a scan of our complete universe of c.900 global equity CFDs for any 40% or more below the broker's consensus price target. I see 12 on the list, with BABA 42% below the consensus target price of $271 – I see the stock trades on 17.7x full-year earnings and 14x 2022 earnings – if I didn’t believe BABA was due a raft of earnings downgrades, I’d argue this is insanely ‘cheap’, in fact, it’s never been lower, but I rarely look at valuation for trading equity CFDs. Perhaps more interestingly, having fallen 50%, BABA is now one of only 9 US-listed stocks trading 30% or more below its 200-day moving average – It was 35% above the 200-day MA in October, now it resides at a record discount to the average. In fact, this is very close to 3 standard deviations from the 200-day moving average. The only time price has breached the 3 standard deviation band occurred once before in October 2018 and subsequently marked a bullish turning point, with the stock rallying 29% over the coming 36 days. We can also see price close to the lower Keltner band – here, I have really stretched out the settings using a 20-day ATR length, 3 times ATR and 10-period average. I’ve then scanned for stocks in our full universe that have had a run of 8 down days (or more) in a row and that have a 3-day RSI of less than 5 – of our 900 odd equity CFDs, I get BABA and Resolute Mining, in fact, the 3-day RSI on BABA is just 0.47. Crunching the numbers, I wanted to see if there was any kind of edge in buying BABA for a day after such a run of losses. Using the logic of buying on the open (after 8 down days) and selling (to close) on the open of the following day – since listing on the NYSE in 2014 the system would have placed 11 trades, which isn’t a huge sample size but there is a 73% winning ratio. The average loss is 1.32x higher than the average gain, so this works against performance, but the max win is 1.36x higher than the max loss. If I scan to see buying after 8 consecutive falls with a 5-day hold period, my strike rate falls to 54%, but the average win is 1.35x that of my average loss. My max win is 1.8x my max loss. I also see volume steadily rising in the sell-offs – where on Friday we saw 75m shares traded – the highest since 24 December…one questions if this is the capitulation move? So the findings clearly show this name is incredibly oversold on many different technical and statistical readings. And that there is a small edge if one was to buy after this run of drawdown. One for the radar, as a bounce looks imminent even if it isn’t sustained.
NYSE:BABALong
by Pepperstone
💥Why is Alibaba undervalued?💥Please look how 𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙖𝙡𝙪𝙚𝙙 $BABA (Alibaba) is: ✅Alibaba in 2019 𝙍𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙣𝙪𝙚: 𝟯𝟯𝟳𝘽 (Yuan) 𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙋𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚: 𝟭𝟵𝟬 USD ✅Alibaba in 2020 𝙍𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙣𝙪𝙚: 𝟱𝟭𝟬𝘽 (Yuan) 𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙋𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚: 𝟯𝟮𝟬 USD ✅Alibaba in 2021 𝙍𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙣𝙪𝙚: 𝟳𝟳𝟳𝘽 (Yuan) 𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙋𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚: 𝟭57 USD 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚 𝙢𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙗𝙚𝙚𝙣 𝙖 𝙗𝙞𝙩 𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙖𝙡𝙪𝙚𝙙 𝙗𝙪𝙩.. The core e-commerce and cloud business of $9988. HK (Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (Hong Kong)) (Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (Hong Kong)) has been growing nicely. 𝙃𝙤𝙬 𝙬𝙚𝙡𝙡 𝙞𝙨 𝘼𝙡𝙞𝙗𝙖𝙗𝙖 𝙙𝙤𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙖𝙘𝙩𝙪𝙖𝙡𝙡𝙮? The company also has paid a huge fine that caused the company to post Q1 21 loss. However, the company is still expected to have more net income this year despite the fine! The company $BABA offered shares buybacks and is heavily invested in overseas companies that are growing rapidly (such as Lazada in Phillippines and Indonesia). The price always found its way to come back to the fundamentals.
NYSE:BABALong
by MiguelFTCurado
7
💥Why is ALIBABA undervalued ?💥 Please look how 𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙖𝙡𝙪𝙚𝙙 $BABA (Alibaba) is: Alibaba in 2019 𝙍𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙣𝙪𝙚: 𝟯𝟯𝟳𝘽 (Yuan) 𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙋𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚: 𝟭𝟵𝟬 USD Alibaba in 2020 𝙍𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙣𝙪𝙚: 𝟱𝟭𝟬𝘽 (Yuan) 𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙋𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚: 𝟯𝟮𝟬 USD Alibaba in 2021 𝙍𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙣𝙪𝙚: 𝟳𝟳𝟳𝘽 (Yuan) 𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙋𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚: 𝟭57 USD 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚 𝙢𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙗𝙚𝙚𝙣 𝙖 𝙗𝙞𝙩 𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙖𝙡𝙪𝙚𝙙 𝙗𝙪𝙩.. The core e-commerce and cloud business of $9988.HK (Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (Hong Kong)) (Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (Hong Kong)) has been growing nicely. 𝙃𝙤𝙬 𝙬𝙚𝙡𝙡 𝙞𝙨 𝘼𝙡𝙞𝙗𝙖𝙗𝙖 𝙙𝙤𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙖𝙘𝙩𝙪𝙖𝙡𝙡𝙮? The company also has paid a huge fine that caused the company to post Q1 21 loss. However, the company is still expected to have more net income this year despite the fine! The company $BABA offered shares buybacks and is heavily invested in overseas companies that are growing rapidly (such as Lazada in Phillippines and Indonesia). The price always found its way to come back to the fundamentals.
NYSE:BABALong
by MiguelFTCurado
1
$BABA$BABA is simply being sold for one reason right now, fear that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) policies will do "something". That "something" ranges from nationalizing large companies in China to banning profits and foreign investment to the more standard communist practices of wealth redistribution and an inefficient government bureaucracy amongst widespread corruption. But if we’re looking at $BABA as a company it’s undervalued. If price is able to find support around my boxed level it would give a good long term hold. Oversold on all major timeframes. - Factor Four
NYSE:BABALong
by TheBlankFund
7
The worst is over for Chinese stocks BABAIf you are a long term investor I hope you used the panic to top up your holdings. If you are a momentum trader you still have the opportunity to ride the bounce or accumulate your position a bit later. Possible scenario for BABA but all names have something similar is as follows. I treat that panic as an exhaustion and behavioural pattern confirms that so I consider the worst is over. Personally, I played that dangerously catching falling knives and loosing hairs so my words bring some sort of hope, but from technical perspective the situation is as follows. Another option is to treat the current leg up as a retest of the previous support but usually when you have seen that sort of panic and all the papers writing the same thing - it is just over. I expect some turbulence at this resistance since bears will try to play down the move but final move is gonna be UP. The first arrow is my initial momentum play. I expect to see some kind see-saw after the first leg and the second arrow reflects my further expectations.
NYSE:BABALong
by crazywlst