Apple (AAPL) Share Price Influenced by Psychological FactorsApple (AAPL) Share Price Influenced by Psychological Factors
The first factor is the news that Warren Buffett is halving his position in AAPL shares. Whether this indicates that the legendary investor foresees the company losing its market leadership or a recession threat, Buffett's authority may create a psychological effect on retail investors and prompt them to sell their shares.
The second factor is the breach of the $200 psychological level. After the strong rise above $200 per share in June, it seemed the price had securely settled above this round number. However, it's not uncommon for breakout tests to occur, stop-loss orders to be triggered, and the supply-demand balance to shift, resulting in price growth. For example, yesterday's price action saw the bulls nearly close a 7% bearish gap.
Today's technical analysis of the AAPL stock chart shows that:
→ Opening at the lows and closing at the highs for the last two wide candles indicates demand activity.
→ Since May, the stock price has been moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue). Yesterday, the price closed near the median line, where it might stabilize.
→ If the bears attempt to resume pressure, pitchfan ray #4 may provide support. As the AAPL chart shows, the stock price found support in the previous three instances, visualized on the chart as days of upward trends with decreasing angle steepness.
Interestingly, CNN Money's Fear & Greed Index showed a further decline in overall market sentiment, moving into the "Extreme Fear" zone on Monday. Would Buffett now follow his famous 1986 advice: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful"?
According to a survey of 32 Wall Street analysts by TipRanks, 24 recommend buying Apple stock. Their average price forecast for AAPL is $248.96 over the next 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AAPL
$SPY Sharp Decline?! $503 Target, $493 possible 8/21, then $520Thats right folks. Your's truly with another quick thought on where I think we're headed, and FAST!! Assuming we repeat the First Half of 2022, I want to say that the next 10 days will produce a dump and a bounce. Do be careful if you're long this market. All signs point to a flash crash to $493 and then a mean bounce to retest $520. Don't forget, cash is a position. I like to keep things simple with my charts for the most part. ATM, I am looking at the 10D chart. I like the 10D chart because it has hidden divergences on RSI that prove extremely useful. As the days go on, it will get easier. Those that doubt will always learn the Hard way. Paytience will always prevail. After $520 bounce, I would assume a slow bleed to $480 into the election for a new low, followed by an Election Rally back to $530 before we come back crashing down. All of this will come with time and I'm writing it down so you can see my thought process. Everything takes time.
Drop to $503-$494
Hard Bounce to $520
Slow Bleed to $480, Previous ATH Winter 22'
Bounce to $530 for a Retest of Previous Support should we break. Good Luck out there
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ALERT! Healthcare Stocks? $UNH 70% decline! Sub $200 possible. I've been watching and keeping this quiet for a while now and I am now extremely confident of this trade. NYSE:UNH headed for the dumps as technicals show signs of a 70% decline ahead in the next year. This is a developing trade and I do not have any news to support this drop however, I am certain. The Weekly is currently in a bear flag the same exaact way. After a huge run, UNH looks to be running out of steam. The RSI matches around 70 on the 10D timeframe and the MACD is also coming from a negative area into bullish territory, yet the bearish divergence is clear imo. I will be glady entering long puts up here. I will continuously update this trade. See you Next year. Use this chart as a reference to current chart.
$SPY $537 Fair Value Gap fill incoming imoFVG sits below at $541.61-$536.89 ..... Current 6 count could prove bearish into the 7th count on 10D chart. Very interesting chart showing what would essentially be a Bearish Harami off this Inside Doji. The 10D candle starts tomorrow 7/23 and ends 8/7 so basicaally accumlate as many puts as possible between then and now. If we move above the Open on the Doji at $554.54, then we can start talking about bullish behavoir. For now though, the gap above at $566.7 was rejected and I will be looking for a downside move from here to $540 as previously noted in a recent session. Chao.
Apple Stock Defies Market Downturn with Strong Q3 PerformanceIn a day marked by a broad-market selloff, Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) stood out as a beacon of resilience and strength. The tech giant’s shares rose on Friday, buoyed by its impressive fiscal third-quarter results that surpassed Wall Street’s expectations. Here’s a closer look at Apple’s recent performance and what it means for investors.
Stellar Earnings Report
Apple reported a 4.9% year-over-year increase in revenue for the quarter ending June 29, reaching $85.8 billion. This growth was primarily driven by a 14.1% surge in services revenue, which hit $24.2 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) also saw a notable increase, rising 11.1% to $1.40, significantly above the anticipated $1.35 per share.
"During the quarter, our record business performance generated EPS growth of 11 percent and nearly $29 billion in operating cash flow, allowing us to return over $32 billion to shareholders," said Luca Maestri, Apple’s Chief Financial Officer. "We are also very pleased that our installed base of active devices reached a new all-time high in all geographic segments, thanks to very high levels of customer satisfaction and loyalty."
Key Performance Metrics
- Mac Sales: Increased by 2.5% to $7 billion.
- iPad Sales: Surged by 23.7% to $7.2 billion.
- iPhone Sales: Slight decline of 0.9% to $39.3 billion.
- Wearables, Home, and Accessories: Decreased by 2.2% to $8.1 billion.
The growth in services and devices sales highlights Apple's diverse revenue streams, which continue to drive overall financial health despite minor setbacks in iPhone sales.
Market Reactions and Future Outlook
Wall Street reacted positively to Apple’s robust financial performance, with the stock gaining ground in a market otherwise dominated by losses. Since early May, following the announcement of a substantial stock buyback program, Apple’s shares have climbed nearly 32%. The consensus among analysts remains bullish, with an average target price of $231.32, indicating a potential upside of about 4% from current levels. Notably, Needham has set a higher price target of $260, suggesting over 16% growth potential.
Needham analyst Laura Martin highlighted Apple’s strategic focus on leveraging its vast installed base of more than 1.25 billion wealthy consumers. "We believe Apple’s goal is to grow long-term volume through increasing the average revenue per user and lowering churn levels by up-selling its users into additional devices and services," Martin noted.
Strategic Initiatives
Apple’s strategy of enhancing its ecosystem through increased services and product integration continues to pay off. The company’s commitment to returning value to shareholders through stock buybacks and dividends further solidifies its position as a stable and attractive investment.
On the conference call, Maestri projected similar revenue growth rates for the fourth quarter, including double-digit growth in services. This positive outlook underscores the company’s ability to navigate economic uncertainties and maintain its growth trajectory.
Conclusion
Despite a turbulent market environment, Apple’s strong fiscal third-quarter results and strategic initiatives have positioned it well for continued success. The tech giant’s ability to deliver impressive earnings, maintain high customer loyalty, and execute effective growth strategies makes it a compelling stock for both current and potential investors.
As Apple continues to innovate and expand its services, it remains a cornerstone of stability and growth in the tech sector. With Wall Street's confidence and a solid roadmap ahead, Apple’s stock is poised to keep delivering value to its shareholders.
APPLE Dont get fooled by the short-term pull-back. $280 on trackExactly 3 months ago (May 02, see chart below), we called for a strong buy signal on Apple (AAPL) and it dully delivered as 2 days ago the stock completed three straight green months with a new All Time High (ATH):
The recent weekly pull-back shouldn't allow you to diverge from the bigger picture and on this analysis we look at it from a 1M time-frame perspective. As you can see, as long as the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, Apple will continue to be on a 15-year uptrend, which shows very distinct Phases.
Right now we are on the Channel Up that followed the 2022 Inflation Crisis, which was a similar correction to 2015 - 2016 (China's slowdown). The Channel Up that followed peaked at +161% before the next correction towards the 1M MA50. Even the 2013 - 2014 rise was still +145%.
As a result, we don't believe the current Channel Up to be over either, expecting a peak closer to 300. Our Target is marginally below it at $280.00.
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AAPL Apple Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 220usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-2,
for a premium of approximately $3.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
APPLE What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for APPLE is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 230.56
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 220.14
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
The Apple DominionThe weakest minion can terminate the Apple dominion.
Apples, like all fruit, are born to serve two purposes.
To spread the apple species and to feed birds, worms and humans.
The life of the apple is interesting to watch. It began as a tiny seed in the fields of NASDAQ in 1980, weighing at $0.39 (or grams).
Now the apple has grown to be almost 800 grams. That is record heavy for an apple.
(There have been several stock splits that lowered the price of each apple)
The miracle of nature is, that a tiny cell can multiply thousands upon thousands of times. In this case, our apple fruit has grown almost 2000x since its birth.
We have fed off of apples for a long long time.
The consumption of apples (measured in pieces) reached its peak in 2010.
Most who needed to eat a single apple, have eaten it. Volume is significantly decreasing.
This apple fruit is now massive in size. No sane person would eat 800 grams of apple in an evening. Of course volume has significantly weakened. Now with a single apple you can feed an entire family.
To make some sense of the real need for apples, we have to consider the daily consumption of apples in grams, not in a piece-by-piece basis.
This indicators makes a very simple calculation. It multiplies volume with the logarithm of price.
If we wish to compare price to volume, we must convert them both in the same scale.
Volume is linear, while price is logarithmic. To compare apples to apples, price must be turned into a linear number.
An interesting phenomenon takes shape right in front of our eyes.
Apple consumption reached its peak in 2008. From then, the market is getting progressively more saturated in apples.
Think about it. Everyone who needed an apple, has eaten one.
There is almost nobody left who has never eaten an apple.
Up until 2008, most the majority of apples went into our mouths.
Now, the majority of apples will have to evacuate through the back door.
Consumers have eaten too much of everything, not just apples.
Similar saturation problems occur in the wider feed (equity) market.
Stepping aside from the wider eating problem, we can perform some more analysis on recent price action of apples. To further support the following analysis, I will consult some professionals. Robert D. Edwards, John Magee and W.H.C. Bassetti. In their book called "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (Eleventh Edition)", in page 62 there is an incredible chart.
As it turns out, Head-and-Shoulders patterns can be non-normal. With many bumps for heads and shoulders. This chart will be used as a guideline for recent apple prices.
These charts are too similar to ignore. Truth is usually hidden right under our noses. We may choose to ignore it, but it still exists.
While the NL (Neck Line) trend is intact, a wider trend is at risk.
Even if price tries to cloud your judgement using fakeouts, you must stay strong in your view.
And if you are afraid of being wrong, you must find more ways to prove that you are not an elephant.
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
The Dot-AI BubbleSpeculative bubbles excite traders and investors alike.
NVDA is the absolute winner of the AI craze.
Craze is the sentiment of the market cycle peak.
After craze and euphoria, fear and denial will inevitably flood our minds.
It is nothing more than the never-ending cycle of the economy.
A simple line drawn on a chart spells the ultimate demise for speculation.
NVDA is making all-time-highs. Its performance/momentum however is showing alarming signs of weakness.
Beware. Not all is as it seems.
The very nature of a Bubble is that it defies all measurable mathematics.
NVDA wants more. It wants everything. Just like any other corporation would.
For capitalism, more equals more.
NVDA aims to swallow the entire money supply. Improbable as it may seem, physics theoretically allows that.
Divergence is one of the most misunderstood concepts in analysis. Divergence is not describing a future weakness. It describes the current weakness.
NVDA is moving so fast, that its bear market is itself growing exponentially.
If NVDA is now moving slower now than it was in 2015-2018, how fast is it trying to go?
NVDA remembers the explosiveness of that period, and is trying everything to repeat it.
Prices and investors have memory. Both however forget the well-known saying.
Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
This is the Achilles' heel of prices. They promise what they cannot deliver.
Price will reach as high as possible, for as long as there is a willing buyer to take the bait.
For capitalism, more is better, at all costs. The ultimate cost will certainly be paid.
The last buyer will be the last NVDA bear who will give-in the mania. And that will mark the end.
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
Topping Pattern Ahead of Earnings: AAPLNASDAQ:AAPL needs to have a great earnings report on August 1st but it has a topping formation at the moment, after huge speculation from promoting something that is not yet proven to increase sales. You can't take hope to the bank. Speculation occurred as investors assumed that AI would sell more new iPhones in droves. This earnings report will reveal reality one way or another.
There is a negative divergence between the price trend and accumulation/distribution suggesting there may have been quiet rotation against the retail speculation.
AAPL Support and Resistance Levels and Options225 is a major level for AAPL it is shown that a previous support on 225 back in July became a resistance. There is also a spread in the options chain where if the price stays below 225 then 220, 215, and 200 will get sold as well. so far we are still under 225 so we remain bearish. however there is a lot of spread pinned in 220. if we go above 220 we can see 232.5 and 240 but below that we are still targeting 215, 210 and 200.
$AAPL short term range $242-214Think NASDAQ:AAPL is likely to continue the trend higher here and squeeze up to the $242 level.
Once we hit that, I do think we'll see a sharp selloff back down to the $214 level.
My plan is to enter puts once we hit the top level because I think we should see a swift pullback and there should be large gains to come from that.
I'll update as price action continues to play out.