Apple starting to look toppish....time for a pull back?Just got a "Sell Alert" from my customer SSG Indicator on Apple. Last 2 times this happened we saw the price quickly pull back into the direction of the 100 days EMA.
Looking actually to trade this by short-selling Calls with with a strike of 200 that expire in 1 month. However, due to Thanksgiving I expect that the volatility is not going to be very high on a friday, thus I will see later if I can get a decent premium for the risk.
AAPL
BTC | Let NDQ Go Bust!Bitcooooooins... UP!
In the recent history, we have had two perma-bull trade-ables, NDQ and Bitcoin. No-one in their real mind would dare to short these 2 years ago... So what if, we could compare these two bulls? Who will survive in the years to come? Who is the record keeper? The answer is NOT as simple as it might seem. Read until the end to find out...
2022 will be marked as the worst year "ever" for equities (except The Great Depression of course). Money got much more precious last year compared to equities. Just by having money, you got "richer" last year. So compared to money, equities did get worse.
Items like Bitcoin suffered even worse. A 73% drop compared to SPX is a monumental way to break the crypto mania.
Bitcoin has been an over-leveraged, perma-bull trade-able item.
I don't know if it is a currency, a commodity or something else, so I call it a simple item.
The majority of Bitcoin's gains were thanks to derivatives (trading).
The same happens in Equities, but not to such an extent. NDQ is another perma-bull market full of stocks like AAPL and TSLA (everyones' favorites for some reason)
Bitcoin is on a whole new level of rapidness...
However, there is an exponential cousin to NDQ. That is SQQQ.
So how does it compare to NDQ? Since SQQQ is basically 1/QQQ, we will plot the QQQ*SQQQ chart to see the outcome.
This reminds me of the diminishing nature BTC_ADDRESSES showed.
We can raise SQQQ to the 0.2 exponent to bring it down to reality.
SQQQ is moving at the 5th exponent of QQQ. Incredible speeds really...
So how do these two lightnings (1/SQQQ and Bitcoin) compare??
I told you that the answer is not straight-forward.
And some short technical analysis:
This chart above describes the popular over-leveraged period when everyone traded Bitcoin.
There is a longer-term ticker showing the entire history of Bitoin ( INDEX:BTCUSD )
It shows us yet another perspective:
If these charts are true and breakout as intended, what could this mean for equities? Just how big of a bubble are equities in?
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
PS. The popular knowledge is not the truth, it is just a famous lie.
AAPL Apple Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold the Double Top on AAPL:
or reentered here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 172.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
S&P Pull BackNew update.
It seems like markets have found themselves face to face with reality. The bear market rally seems to have run out of steam due to the amounting economic and inflationary data. Simply put, I do not think markets can rally from here, based on:
RSI overbought on 1W
MACD Crossed on 1W
Food prices are at 18 moth highs according to UN.
Fuel prices are back near record highs
Rent prices are back at record highs according to Redfin and Zillow
Home Prices are heading higher according to Case Shiller Index
Vehicle prices remain high, making a slight gain last month according to FRED and MUI
Housing affordability is at a multi-decade low (1980s)
With this data in mind, I can't imagine how the Fed will be able to hide this new inflation in future CPI/PPI reports. It's impossible. Just because their official report says inflation is falling, it doesn't make it a reality. The debt to savings ratio in America is about the worst on record, which means people are paying more for the same items they used to buy because prices are rising and there is nothing they can do to stop it. Some people believe unicorns are real, but that doesn't mean they're real.
Markets have risen for the last 4 consecutive months without pause, and continually since Oct 2022 lows based on the idea that inflation is "easing" and that the Fed will reverse course. Higher interest rates are good, because it promotes savings with higher yields. It also promotes paying off debt and less leveraging by Americans. The problem with 0% interest is that it creates artificial spending growth, which in fact is nothing more than a bubble. We saw the mad rush to buy cars and homes in 2021 with people overpaying on over priced homes and cars. Now? They're starting to sweat, especially those who bought vehicles, because 2 years later, they still owe more than MSRP and dealers won't buy them for near MSRP. Home buying sentiment is the worst in 23 years according to CNBC (keep in mind, that's worse than 2008-09).
Keep watching.. let's see how this farce of a market plays out. Who knows, they may continue to fudge numbers and markets may reverse and rally again, but everyone knows that prices everywhere are higher, so it matters not if the "official" numbers are low. You feel it at the pump, grocery store, and everywhere else. There was no easing.
#SPX CBOE:SPX
TSLA NVDA MSFT AMZN AAPL GOOGL META Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast
09:15 Sp500 ETF analysis
10:50 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
12:44 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
14:10 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
15:49 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
17:00 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
17:44 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
19:02 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
AAPL forming bullish falling wedge, break will lead price higherAPPLE
price is forming a bullish falling wedge pattern, if price make a bullish break of the wedge and continues to hold above the structure, I expect the price to move higher towards the next resistance..
Trade Wisely
*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
APPLE BUYBACKSThe previous moves on AAPL is there buybacks only. but We might see 182.34$ to break or test this buyside liquidity, Im expecting downside movement after this move atleast 165.67$ previous low to 157$ for demand grab, only if they still want to buy that zone.
This is not a financial advice, Follow for more.
you may Own it or Trade it.
Trade at your own risk, Invest at your own risk.
AAPL's Overbought Indicators Hint at Possible CorrectionCurrently, Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares are presenting intriguing signals for discerning investors. Two key technical indicators, Stochastic RSI and MACD, provide indications that AAPL may have reached a point of overbought conditions.
Stochastic RSI, serving as a measure of market saturation, highlights AAPL's overbought condition, suggesting that the price has likely reached a level prone to correction or decline. Furthermore, MACD shows negative divergence, indicating the potential weakening of the upward momentum in prices.
It is essential to direct attention to the Support and Resistance level (SNR) around 182.34. This level not only boasts a strong history as a previous resistance level but may also play a significant role as a support level.
However, it is crucial to bear in mind that trading always involves risk, and trading decisions should be based on comprehensive analysis and well-calculated risk assessments.
$AAPL Double Top Pierce Double Top Pierce: The term "Double Top" refers to a technical analysis chart pattern characterized by two consecutive peaks at approximately the same price level, indicating a potential bearish reversal. The term "Pierce" in this context could imply that the price has briefly moved above the second top but failed to sustain that level, reinforcing the bearish outlook of the Double Top pattern.
Taking Profits: Your decision to take some profits following this pattern suggests a strategic move to capitalize on the recent price increase. This is a common practice among traders and investors who aim to lock in gains when they suspect that the stock price might soon decline or enter a consolidation phase after a significant upswing.
The Double Top pattern, especially if it's a "Pierce," suggests that this upward trend might be reaching a potential turning point or at least entering a period of price consolidation.
This analysis points to a cautious approach, where recognizing the Double Top pattern serves as a signal to secure profits from the stock's recent gains. It’s crucial in such scenarios to closely monitor further price action and volume, as these can provide additional clues about the stock’s future direction. Additionally, staying informed about any fundamental changes in the company or broader market conditions is also important, as these can influence stock prices beyond what is indicated by technical patterns.
TSLA NVDA MSFT AMZN AAPL GOOGL META Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast
07:30 Sp500 ETF analysis
08:34 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
10:47 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
12:05 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
13:15 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
16:19 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
17:55 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
18:55 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
The Emperor's New ClothesYou don't need to believe in fairytales to realize that there are kings, queens and peasants.
As if not a single day has passed since the Medieval times. Poor get poorer, and rich get richer.
As the folklore said, the emperor decided that he needs new clothes.
And so he demanded from the entire kingdom that he finds the finest.
Two swindlers arrive at the capital city of an emperor who spends lavishly on clothing at the expense of state matters. Posing as weavers, they offer to supply him with magnificent clothes that are invisible to those who are stupid or incompetent.
Source: Wikipedia
And here we are. Looking at the magnificent clothes of the naked emperor.
The emperor however is still an emperor, no matter what he wears.
And he gets to enjoy the fruit of his peasants' labor.
Post 2020 profits for the naked few.
Until today, we are too smart not to see the clothes of the emperor.
No sane person can possibly call themselves incompetent.
The ghost of the emperor lives on...
...until one child realizes, that there are no clothes in the first place.
We have reached the very last days of the emperor's dignity.
Trend change begins when only one changes direction. Others soon follow.
Volatility increases after a tiny "butterfly-event" causes one member to destabilize.
SPX Stability:
Then volatility swallows everyone.
Parasites have riddled the economy.
There is only a limited amount of time for parasites to feast.
The time will come, when there will be no food left.
It is at that time when the real "fun" begins...
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
$AAPL Double Top Pierce The current technical analysis of Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) suggests the stock has undergone a 'Double Top Pierce.' This pattern is significant in technical trading as it could indicate a potential bullish reversal if confirmed. Now, for this pattern to be validated, NASDAQ:AAPL needs to establish itself above the double top line, which in turn becomes a crucial support level.
### Understanding the Double Top Pierce in NASDAQ:AAPL
- **Double Top Formation**: Originally, a double top pattern signifies a bearish reversal, marked by two high points at a similar price level. However, a pierce through this level changes the narrative.
- **Piercing the Top**: NASDAQ:AAPL breaking above the double top line suggests a potential shift in market sentiment or strength in the stock, countering the bearish implications of the original double top.
### Confirmation Above the Double Top Line
- **Becoming Support**: The line which previously acted as resistance in the double top formation is now expected to serve as a support level. This is a common phenomenon in technical analysis, where breached resistance levels transform into support.
- **Confirmation Requirements**: For this transition to be confirmed, NASDAQ:AAPL needs to maintain its position above this line. Traders often look for a clear, sustained close above this level, preferably with accompanying high trading volume for added confirmation.
- **Watch for Retests**: It’s not uncommon for the stock to retest the new support level after breaking above it. A successful retest (where the price bounces back from the support line) would further confirm the strength of the new support.
### Implications for Investors and Traders
- **Bullish Indicator**: If confirmed, this shift could be a bullish indicator for NASDAQ:AAPL , suggesting that the stock may continue its upward trajectory.
- **Entry Points**: For those looking to enter or add to a position, a confirmed support level provides a potential entry point with a clear area for placing stop-loss orders.
- **Continued Monitoring**: As with any technical pattern, it’s crucial to continue monitoring NASDAQ:AAPL ’s price action, especially in relation to this key support level, to gauge the ongoing validity of the pattern.
In conclusion, the observation of a Double Top Pierce in NASDAQ:AAPL introduces a potential bullish scenario. However, the key lies in whether the stock can sustain its position above the double top line, thereby confirming it as a new support level. This development warrants close observation for those trading or investing in Apple Inc. stocks.
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast CPI
11:11 Sp500 ETF analysis
12:20 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:59 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
15:07 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
16:11 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
17:03 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
17:42 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
18:40 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
APPLE This rally isn't done yetApple (AAPL) is on an enormous +12.5% rally since the October 26 bottom on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). Last week, the price even broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge pattern and then the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Despite the successive break-outs, this rally may not be technically over as the very same Falling Wedge break-out fractal in March 2022 extended as high as the 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we can see an extension to $195.00 before any short/ medium-term pull-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again.
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AAPL ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:AAPL chart mapping/analysis.
Clear breakout of descending parallel channel (white).
Bull target(s)
Overhead gap fills
Previous ATH (~197.70)
Ascending trend-line resistance (green dotted)
Upper range of ascending parallel channel (light blue)
Bear target(s)
Descending parallel channel (white) aka "return to scene of crime"
23.6% Fib
Ascending trend-line (green dotted) + 38.2% Fib confluence support zone
Descending trend-line (white dotted)
Psychographic Analysis - Life Cycle of InvestorImagine an investment as a journey with twists and turns. Knowing its different stages is like having a map for investors. It helps them decide if they want a thrilling ride with big potential rewards or a smoother path with steady stability, based on their comfort with risk. For investors, understanding the life cycle is crucial because it directly impacts the investor's risk appetite.
✨Personality characteristics of investors
✨Risk/Return Trade-Offs for Investors:
🔸 Risk/reward trade-offs are related to the relationship that exists between the degree of risk an investor takes and the potential reward for the investment. larger-risk investments have the potential for greater returns, but they also have the potential for greater losses as well. Lower-risk investments, on the other hand, have the potential for lower profits, but also for fewer losses.
🔸 The risk tolerance and investment objectives of investors will change over time. Younger investors who are just starting out are more likely to be on the risk/reward spectrum, willing to take on more risk in exchange for the chance of larger profits. This is because they have a longer time horizon with which to invest and recoup from losses. Investors may grow more risk-averse and migrate to the left side of the spectrum as they near retirement. They may need to start withdrawing from their assets to fund their retirement, so they want to protect their money and avoid large losses.
✨Phases of the Investment Life Cycle:
↪️ Here is a breakdown of the investment life cycle and how risk/reward trade-offs may change at each stage:
1️⃣ Accumulation Phase
In the initial stage, known as the accumulation phase, individuals find themselves with a modest net worth relative to their liabilities. Their investment portfolio tends to be limited and less diversified. Goals often include funding education, purchasing a home, and laying the groundwork for future financial independence. With a long time horizon and potential income growth, investors in this phase can afford to explore high-return, high-risk capital gain-oriented investments.
2️⃣ Consolidation Phase
As individuals progress through their mid-to-late careers, they enter the consolidation phase. Characterized by income surpassing expenses, this period, although still distant from retirement, prompts a shift towards capital preservation. Investors start balancing high capital gain investments with lower-risk assets, creating a more stable and resilient portfolio.
3️⃣ Spending Phase
The spending phase marks a transition when living expenses are no longer sustained by earned income but by accumulated assets, such as investments and retirement funds. With a decreased likelihood of returning to work, stability becomes paramount in the investment portfolio. Preferences shift towards investments generating steady income through dividends, interest, and rentals. Despite the reduced time horizon, some growth-focused investments are retained to hedge against inflation.
4️⃣ Gifting Phase
In the final phase, the gifting phase, investors realize an abundance of assets beyond personal needs. At this juncture, the purpose of investments may evolve, focusing on leaving a lasting legacy or supporting charitable causes.
📊 Importance:
It's like having a guide for your financial journey when you understand the investor life cycle. It assists you in choosing, depending on your comfort level with danger, between an exhilarating, high-risk ride and a more steady, smooth road. Understanding the various investment phases is essential as it influences your willingness to accept risk. It's similar to changing your game plan as you move through different stages of life, such as the exuberant early years and the more measured approach as you near retirement. Put simply, understanding the investor life cycle assists you at every stage in reaching your financial objectives and making wise decisions.
By @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
$QQQ tech losing steam 👁🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$AMC straddle strategy 👁🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
Whether the market likes NYSE:AMC earnings after the bell today my team expects big price movements. According to the charts we can see that bulls need a lot more than the bears to set this thing off to $14.50.
My team is using a The Straddle options strategy leaning towards puts since bears have it easy this round. We're 25% into calls and 75% into puts. Good luck to you all!
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$AAPL timber*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
𝗔𝗺𝗮𝘇𝗼𝗻 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $AMZN Weekly. Huge bull setupOver 145 and should see a nice run to 170 resistance. Large accumulation pattern (inverse H&S) with an implied target ~$200 🤯
NASDAQ:QQQ $NQ_F TVC:NDQ NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX CBOE:VIX #Stocks
𝗡𝗮𝘀𝗱𝗮𝗾 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $QQQ Daily. Bulls have the ball ... 4th test of the top TL. At some point will breakout and they just trapped a ton of bears and stopped out longs on false breakdown below 352. 200dma held nicely and nearly hit major support area at 338-40 📈
$NQ_F TVC:NDQ NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX CBOE:VIX #Stocks