AAPL in Risk of Bear MarketApple is having a tough period with weakening China demand, lack of growth and innovation, AI lag, regulatory challenges that threaten its lucrative walled garden business model and other headwinds. These challenges weigh on the stock, which shed more than 10% in the first quarter. Along with Tesla, they were the only stocks to fall, among the Magnificent Seven.
The situation deteriorated further in April, as AAPL hit the lowest levels in a year and is now in risk of a bear market . Moves below $160 would mean losses of 20% and more from the December record high, which is generally viewed as the threshold for a bear market.
On the other hand Apple is still one of the most valuable companies in the world and investors are unlikely to give up on it and there are reasons for optimism. iPhone sales have shown resilience and the smartphone market is poised for a rebound. Its CEO appears determined to not let China fall, but also looks to India, which has significant untapped potential. Apple also launched the Vision Pro AR headset this year, looking for an early entry to a nascent market, while AI progress could be showcased soon.
AAPL is having a good week and although we could see further rebound, the upside contains multiple roadblocks. Closes above the EMA200 would be required for the downside momentum to halt.
The stocks trajectory will be influenced by the upcoming earnings report, which is due on May 2. Top and bottom lines, China & India performance, guidance and AI progress, will be some of the focal points.
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AAPL
APPLE Bouncing off extremely strong Support Cluster.Apple (AAPL) completed yesterday 3 straight green 1D candles, the longest such bullish streak in 3 months (since January 25). The rebound has been initiated inside the Lower Highs Zone that started after Apple's former All Time High (ATH) on January 04 2022.
The are a lot of recurring patterns involved as well, with one being that the current Channel Down that started on the December 14 2023 High, was rejected on the Resistance Zone that the previous Channel Down also did on the July 19 2023 High. That one made a Double Bottom on the Former ATH Lower Highs Zone after a rejection marginally above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before rebounding.
With the 1D RSI within a Channel Down as well since that High and having rebounded from its lowest level since February 2018, we have a very strong case for buying Apple, at least on the medium-term, targeting again the Resistance Zone's bottom at $198.00.
If it follows the pattern of the 2023 rally, we can even see it hitting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at $211.00 or even higher by the end of the year since the pattern that on the January 03 2023 market bottom, is a Channel Up.
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AAPL Apple and the DOJ Antitrust LawsuitAfter the previous price target was reached:
Warren Buffett has been a prominent supporter of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) in recent years. However, there is speculation that his enthusiasm for the stock may have diminished. In the fourth quarter of 2023, Berkshire Hathaway reduced its holdings in the tech giant.
This move occurred before the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced that it, along with 16 state and district attorneys general, was suing Apple for alleged violations of antitrust laws. The question now arises: Will Buffett continue to sell off Apple stock in response to the DOJ antitrust lawsuit — and should others consider following suit?
The complaint filed by the department in the U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey outlined various allegations against Apple, including that the company:
- Prevented the availability of iPhone apps designed to facilitate easier transitions to alternative smartphone platforms for consumers.
- Hindered the advancement of mobile cloud streaming services enabling consumers to play video games without necessitating expensive smartphone hardware purchases.
- Excluded messaging apps on iPhones that seamlessly operate across different smartphone platforms.
- Restricted the capabilities of competitors' products in comparison to the Apple Watch.
- Constrained competing digital wallets by prohibiting apps from enabling users to utilize tap-to-pay functionality.
My price Target for AAPL is now $165.
AAPL → a double top?!hello guys...
apple broke the descending trendline and after that made double top!
however, the neckline has not broken yet!
if the yellow area breaks down we can expect a downward movement toward the blue area!
so the target will be 144$
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Apple Struggles in China as Huawei Stages Smartphone ComebackThe Chinese smartphone market, a crucial battleground for tech giants, is witnessing a significant shift. According to research firm Counterpoint, Apple has experienced a concerning 19.1% decline in iPhone sales during the first quarter of 2024. This slump comes in stark contrast to the impressive 69.7% surge in smartphone sales enjoyed by China's own Huawei over the same period.
This news paints a worrying picture for Apple's dominance in the world's largest smartphone market. The reasons behind the decline are multifaceted. Some analysts point towards a slowdown in overall smartphone sales in China. However, Huawei's impressive growth suggests a deeper issue specific to Apple.
One potential factor is the recent launch of Huawei's Mate 60 smartphone. This flagship device boasts a powerful, next-generation 5G chip, potentially enticing consumers looking for cutting-edge technology. Apple's latest iPhone offerings might not have possessed the same level of innovation in the eyes of Chinese consumers.
Another possibility lies in the ongoing geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. Nationalistic sentiment could be driving Chinese consumers towards domestic brands like Huawei, especially considering the ongoing US sanctions against the company. This could be further amplified by any negative media coverage surrounding Apple.
Furthermore, Apple's premium pricing strategy might be hindering sales in a market increasingly focused on affordability. While the iPhone is known for its quality and brand recognition, competitors like Huawei are offering compelling features at a more competitive price point. This could be particularly appealing to budget-conscious consumers.
The decline also raises questions about the effectiveness of Apple's marketing strategy in China. Perhaps the company hasn't effectively communicated the value proposition of its latest iPhones to the Chinese market. Cultural nuances and a deeper understanding of consumer preferences might be crucial in reigniting sales.
Looking ahead, Apple will need to take decisive action to address this challenge. Here are some potential strategies the company could consider:
• Product Innovation: Introducing features that resonate with Chinese consumers, potentially focusing on advancements in areas like camera technology or integration with popular Chinese social media platforms.
• Localization: Tailoring marketing campaigns and product offerings to cater to the specific tastes and preferences of the Chinese market. This could involve collaborating with local influencers or offering unique features specific to China.
• Competitive Pricing: Re-evaluating its pricing strategy in China. While maintaining its brand image, exploring options to make iPhones more accessible to a wider range of consumers.
• Partnerships: Potentially forging strategic partnerships with Chinese firms to improve brand image and distribution channels.
The Chinese smartphone market is fiercely competitive, and Apple's recent decline serves as a wake-up call. While the company still boasts a loyal customer base globally, it needs to adapt and innovate to maintain its position in China. Addressing the issues discussed above could help Apple regain its footing and ensure its long-term success in this crucial market.
This situation also highlights the rise of Chinese tech giants like Huawei. With a strong focus on innovation and a deep understanding of their domestic market, these companies are increasingly challenging established players like Apple. The global smartphone landscape is likely to see a fascinating battle unfold in the coming years, with Chinese firms potentially shaping the future of the industry.
AAPLWe previously analyzed AAPL on 9/30/2023, today I'm here to update. Weekly chart Currently the price is in the correction period. If the price cannot break through the important resistance level at 198.4, there is a chance that the price will go down. Consider selling if the price cannot break through the resistance level.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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APPLE $AAPL | APPLE BEARISH PRICE CHANNEL - Apr. 9th, 2024APPLE NASDAQ:AAPL | APPLE BEARISH PRICE CHANNEL - Apr. 9th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $173.50 - $181.50
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $168.15 - $173.50
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $161.50 - $168.15
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
NASDAQ:AAPL price has been slowly moving through my previous DNT zone but was taking some time. I decided to make a new analysis with current structure and levels that I view as important. I made new targets for the bulls and the bears, but have kept the most recent targets still shown on the charts.
Looking at the 4H timeframe NASDAQ:AAPL price has displayed strong bearish momentum, a correction, and then downwards continuation before it began to range through the descending channel. There has been bearish structure shown on the Weekly, Daily, 4H, and lower timeframes so I am leaning towards looking for shorts to follow the trend.
Previous targets are still shown and will be linked below.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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APPLE My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 176.55 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 179.03
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 171.21
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE: Is this 1D MA50 rejection something to worry about?AAPL is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.445, MACD = -1.220, ADX = 19.718) as it is getting sold emphatically today following Friday's rejection on the 1D MA50. That was the first time to hit the 1D MA50 in 2 months, so this rejection may be just short term profit taking. We can basically see two Channel Down patterns, very similar with each other. On November 2nd 2023, when the 1D MA50 also broke following a price rebound inside the S1 Zone, it also gave a pullback on the following session. If tomorrow we see a recovery, then we might be on a similar recovery path towards the R1 level. Our target is just under it (TP = 199.00).
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Stock Market Analysis - Bullish & Bearish Sectors Heavy selling observed across the S&P500: Financials & Real Estate hit hard.
S&P500 hitting the 50 day MA...technical daily support.
Some breakout sectors are seeing there first pullback in a bullish trend.
The sectors that have had breakouts will likely see dip buyers.
Health Care & Utilities are into some interesting support levels. This is where bulls step in.
Megacap Tech still saw some flight to safety money! Lets see if this holds.
🍏💼 AAPL: Will the Price Stand Firm at $165.67?Traders, brace yourselves for a rollercoaster ride with Apple! 🍏💼
🔍 Critical Crossroads:
As Apple navigates the treacherous waters of the market, all eyes are on the crucial level at $165.67. With the downtrend in full swing, will this support hold firm? The stage is set for a showdown!
💡 Bargains Ahead:
While the trend may be pointing downwards, don't rush into buying those discounted Apple shares just yet. With the potential for even more iPhones flooding the market, patience may be the key to unlocking greater rewards!
📉 Navigating the Downtrend:
In a market filled with uncertainty, how will you chart your course with Apple? Share your strategies for weathering the storm and seizing opportunities amidst the turbulence!
🚀 Riding the Waves:
Whether you're a seasoned trader or a newcomer to the game, join the discussion and share your insights on Apple's journey through the market's ups and downs!
🎁 Unlock the Rewards:
Remember, the most insightful comment could lead to lucrative rewards! So dive into the discussion, share your thoughts, and position yourself for success in the world of Apple trading! 🏆🍎
Apple's Share Price and AI Potential Attract Hedge Funds
Hedge funds are circling Apple like sharks in feeding frenzy, according to a recent report by Bloomberg. This newfound interest stems from a confluence of factors: a recent slump in Apple's share price and the company's anticipated foray into artificial intelligence (AI) for its flagship iPhones.
A Discount Apple: Value in Slumping Shares
Apple's stock price has dipped by roughly 13% so far in 2024, lagging behind the broader market. This decline has made the company's valuation more attractive to hedge funds, who are constantly seeking strategic buying opportunities.
JPMorgan Chase analysts point out that Apple's current valuation, hovering around 24 times its forward earnings, is lower compared to its tech megacap peers like Microsoft. It's even slightly below the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 benchmark. This relative discount has piqued the interest of value-oriented hedge funds searching for undervalued stocks with strong growth potential.
AI: The Next Frontier for iPhones?
Hedge funds are not just enticed by the discounted share price; they're also excited about the potential for AI integration within Apple's iPhones. The anticipation of significant AI upgrades to future iPhones is seen as a major growth driver.
While details remain under wraps, analysts speculate that Apple might be planning to incorporate advanced AI features into its iPhones, potentially revolutionizing user experience and functionality. This strategic shift aligns with the broader trend of tech giants embracing AI to enhance their products and services.
Navigating Headwinds: Challenges Remain
Despite the recent surge in hedge fund interest, Apple isn't without its challenges. The ongoing global chip shortage continues to disrupt supply chains, potentially impacting production and shipment timelines for new iPhones. Additionally, the economic slowdown in China, a crucial market for Apple, could dampen overall demand for its products.
A Strategic Entry Point: Betting on Apple's Future
JPMorgan analysts see the current headwinds as a strategic entry point for hedge funds. They believe these challenges are temporary and that Apple is well-positioned for long-term growth, especially with its anticipated AI advancements.
Hedge funds are likely betting on Apple's ability to innovate and maintain its market dominance within the premium smartphone segment. The success of AI integration within iPhones could be a game-changer, propelling Apple's share price significantly higher.
The Bottom Line: A Calculated Gamble
The influx of hedge fund interest underscores Apple's enduring appeal as a potentially undervalued tech giant. While the short-term outlook might be clouded by economic uncertainties and supply chain disruptions, the long-term prospects appear promising, fueled by the company's commitment to AI development. However, investors, including hedge funds, should carefully consider the inherent risks before dipping their toes into the Apple stock pool. The success of Apple's AI endeavors will ultimately determine whether this surge in hedge fund interest translates into a sustained rise in the company's share price.
AAPL Apple WAIT to BUYAAPL Apple WAIT to BUY
If you look at Weekly TF:
there is still room for downside
There is a good support at 170$, however, one should not give any money to market by jumping the gun. Any trade should be initiated only at support OR when price breaks the TL in the direction of our trade.
Better way to initiate a BUY entry would be, when price breaks above the Red Sloping TL and closes above it, Then a BUY entry can be initiated.
If a BUY entry is initiated, then
1st Target would be 180,
2nd Target would be 195
For stop loss (Partial exit ) when price breaks below the Red Sloping TL and complete exit when Green HOrizontal Support TL at 170 gets breached.
Apple Revolutionizes Mac Line with AI-Focused M4 Chips: 🍏💻In a bid to revolutionize its computer lineup and bolster artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities, Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is set to unveil a new family of in-house processors, the M4 chips. The move comes as a response to sluggish computer sales and a growing need to integrate advanced technologies into its products.
The M4 chips, slated to succeed the M3 processors released just five months ago, represent a significant leap forward in Apple's AI strategy. With plans to integrate AI capabilities into every Mac model, Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is poised to redefine the boundaries of innovation in the tech industry.
The new chips, which will come in at least three main varieties, are designed to enhance efficiency, safety, and delivery speed for consumers. With names like Donan, Brava, and Hidra, these chips promise to deliver unparalleled performance and seamless integration with Apple's ecosystem.
The timing of the rollout couldn't be more critical, as Mac sales witnessed a decline of 27% in the last fiscal year. By infusing its Mac lineup with cutting-edge AI technology, Apple aims to breathe new life into its computer business and regain its competitive edge in the market.
But the implications of Apple's AI-focused M4 chips extend far beyond the realm of computer sales. With the potential to transform industries and reshape the future of work, these chips herald a new era of innovation and possibility.
As Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) gears up to release the updated computers beginning late this year and extending into early next year, the tech world eagerly anticipates the unveiling of these groundbreaking devices. With promises of sustainable earnings growth and enhanced user experiences, Apple's M4-powered Macs are poised to set new standards of excellence in the industry.
In a landscape where AI is increasingly becoming ubiquitous, Apple's bold move to overhaul its entire Mac line with AI-focused M4 chips is a testament to its commitment to pushing the boundaries of innovation and shaping the future of technology.
As the tech giant continues its journey towards greater integration of AI into its products, the possibilities are limitless. With the M4 chips at the helm, Apple is paving the way for a future where AI-powered devices revolutionize the way we work, play, and connect.
Technical Outlook
Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) stock is up by 4.33% trading within the moderate buy zone with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 54.72 indicating further room for growth.
The 4-month price chart candlestick shows a bullish Harami candle stick pattern which further validates the bullish analysis of the thesis.
APPLE $AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024APPLE NASDAQ:AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $174.25 - $187.15
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $168.15 - $174.25
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $155.65 - $168.15 (or extended from previous post, $175.40 - $181.50)
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
NASDAQ:AAPL price completely smashed through the bearish zone. Here are the updated zones I would be looking at when entering trades. Extended hours are displayed on the 4h to show how price moved towards the bottom and throughout the bearish zone, price went strongly through the bottom level and with no reversal insight shorts should have continued, at least partially. As a trend trader I am open to going in either direction, however; I would not consider going long until at the very least there is a close above the $174.25 level, but even then the weekly timeframe will not have enough time to label it as bullish. I labeled the start of the bearish trend and some quick thoughts as I glanced at the charts, previous post will be linked with this one.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
Apple: Two ways to the same goal 🛣️We primarily assume that Apple shares will swing higher again in the short term with a countermovement and then extend the high of wave X in turquoise. It should then later enter our green Target Zone ($161.90 – $140.32) with the subsequent wave Z. If, however, the price chooses our alternative scenario (35%) our Zone will be targeted directly.