Will NVDIA rise at the expense of APPLE?We have seen in the past few days the NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) to be holding its ground better than other tech giants that got more inflated during the recent run like Tesla.
What we've discovered by running some regression tests among top 30 cap stocks, is a very interesting relationship between NVDIA and Apple Inc (AAPL). Though most people might think that the two have completely parallel paths on their growth, we found out that at times, their correlation has been negative.
Our sample data starts 2 years ago from the October - November 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. As you can see, this is where the first divergence between the two stocks started, with NVDIA rising to spearhead the recovery to a new Bull Cycle, while Apple was lagging behind and falling.
What followed was a period where naturally both stocks rose, which led to the first 'Bear' stage, what we call Phase 2 where both stocks showed a synchronized weakness (with Apple correcting more however).
Then after a recovery for both to their highs, NVDIA formed a Bull Flag, which led to Phase 3 (similar to the late 2022 price action): Apple topped and started falling aggressively, while NVDIA started an impressive rally.
Again a period of price increase for both stocks followed, which has led to a new Phase 2 (July -October 2024). In line with their 2-year pattern, Apple has been rising since the November U.S. elections, while NVDIA has formed a new Bull Flag.
If the price action continues to replicate this model, then we may see a new Phase 3, where Apple starts to correct while NVDIA's Bull Flag leads to a strong rally.
So do you think potential Apple capital outflows will turn into inflows for NVDIA?
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AAPL
SPX 2025 Strategic Outlook 7150 points Wave Five Bull Market🔸Time to update the SPX outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are
currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in SPX
going forward next few weeks correction / pullback.
🔸SPX price structure since 2023 is defined by a five wave impulse wave 3 completed already and currently we are in wave 4 pullback/correction until 5415 points. expecting wave four pullback to complete in January 2025.
🔸Wave 1 is 3600 to 4625, wave two 4625 to 4125, wave three 4125 to 6100,wave 4 pullback/correction now is 6100 to 5416, final bullish wave five is expected to start from 5415 to 7150 points (30% bull run). Wave 5 expected to start in January 2025 and complete sometime in Q4 2025. A/B/C 40% correction will follow as the market will enter extremely overbought zone.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: wait for the wave 4 correction to complete at/near 5415 points in January 2025 and then BUY/HOLD into wave 5 final target is 7150 points in Q4 2025. Obviously, this is a longer BUY/HOLD trade setup and patience is required with this trade. good luck!
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APPLE: Warning. Potential strong correction ahead.Apple is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.500, MACD = 4.850, ADX = 85.805) as it has been rising nonstop since November 4th and the U.S. elections. Yesterday's high though, hit the top of the 2 year Channel Up and the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from October's High-Low, with the 1D RSI reaching overbought levels. The last time we saw this exact combination of events was 1 year ago on the December 14th 2023 High. The result was a price correction to the October 2023 Low (S1). As long as the price doesn't make a new High, we are bearish on Apple, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 220.00).
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Apple Stretched Too FarNow that's a heck of a stretch.
Price has reached the U-MLH of the white Pitchfork and is nearing the yellow Center-Line.
What's it mean?
White U-MLH = Upper Extreme
Yellow CL = Price got back to balance, in the context of the yellow path/traction.
All this means, that the Air get's very, very thin!
Waiting for a short Signal with a target back to the white CL (Center-Line).
AAPL Daily: Are We Heading to $272 or Taking a Detour?Hey Mindbloome Family, let’s talk about Apple (AAPL). Here’s what I’m seeing—it’s easy to follow, I promise:
1️⃣ Straight to $272:
If Apple breaks above $258–$260, we could see it head straight to $272.
2️⃣ Pullback, Then Up:
Apple might touch $258–$260, pull back to $253 or $236, and then move up toward $272.
3️⃣ Deeper Drop, Then Recovery:
If we fall to $236–$230, I still think there’s a good chance of bouncing back to $272.
4️⃣ Breakdown Scenario:
If $230 doesn’t hold, we’ll pause, reassess, and come back with a new game plan.
Wellness Tip: Don’t forget to move around! Sitting for too long can drain your energy. A quick walk or stretch can work wonders for your focus.
What do you think—is Apple heading to $272, or will we see a dip first? Let me know! If you want to chat more about this, hit me up in the DMs or check out my profile.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades.
QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week
DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low
IWM - Green today but similar to DIA
Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move.
WATCHLIST:
Bullish :
NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2
Bearish :
NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q
NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other"
NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left
Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15):
ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades.
QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week
DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low
IWM - Green today but similar to DIA
Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move.
WATCHLIST:
Bullish :
NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2
Bearish :
NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q
NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other"
NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left
Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15):
ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
Watchlist (12/16-12/20) Using TheStratSPY Analysis: Month is 2U but back under previous M high and close to flipping red. Last week was 2D but failed to get to magnitude and closed red, but above the reversal trigger at previous week lows. Daily was 2D on Friday, so the daily actionable signal would be a 2D-2U reversal if buyers were strong enough to make a higher high on the daily come Monday. To get us lower, we have a 3-1 4HR setup as well as a shooter 2U Hourly candle. Trigger and target levels can be seen on the chart. Overall, we have some confliction as the D and W are red while the M is still green. This shows an attempt to flip the month red and we must view it this way until we see a daily higher high. If that were to happen, then we look to see the week flip red and then possibly make a higher high on the week for the weekly reversal back to the upside, which would re confirm the month being 2U and green. Traditional TA traders will see a wedge or bull flag on the daily/4HR, but as Strat traders, we know this is just a lack of strength from either side as we continue seeing failed attempts to make HHs and LLs. Although unconventional, if you check the 3 Day TF through the 8 Day TF, you will see they are all currently inside bars in formation still. We also know that inside bars restart the process of making broadening formations, so now its just a waiting game. We see the current attempt is to make lower lows on the daily since we failed to take highs out after the daily reversal, so we now either take out lows, or fail and move back through previous range to the upside. With conflicting situations like this, you just have to rely on timeframe continuity. Until the M, W, D, and 60 are all the same color, simply fall back on top down analysis and timeframe continuity to see what's really going on regardless of how the charts may look
Weekly Watchlist:
Bullish:
ETSY - 2-1 Week, Failed 2D Day. FTFC Green, so looking for BF expansion on the weekly
CRWD - 2-1 Hammer Week. 4HR inside bar. Monthly 3-2-2 still slowly compounding 2Us to Mag
RBLX - MoMO Hammer 2U week. 2-1 Daily to trigger week
RKLB - 3-2D Hammer Week. Relatively large ATR and high rVol
Bearish:
MCD - 3-1 Week, Shooter 2U Day
PINS - 3-2U failed Week, No Daily AS. Weekly Motherbar issues so caution here
PDD 1-2U failed week (Revstrat). No Daily AS. Going for large weekly BF magnitude
ROKU - Failed 2U Week. At Monthly exhaustion risk. Daily PMG and gap fill potential
OXY - 2-1 Shooter Week. Not much range, but clean weekly AS and all big oil names deep red
DDOG - 2-1 Week (Huge red week), Daily 1-3. 2 Daily gap fills, and some weekly lows to target
LVS - 2-3 Week. At Q exhaustion. Will be FTFC Red before W triggers the 3-2D
Neutral:
WMT - 2-1 Week, Daily 3-2D failed. Daily AS could send it back into ATH. Alternatively there is an 11 pivot PMG to the downside + a small gap to fill
APPLE Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for APPLE is below:
The market is trading on 248.12 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 240.15
Recommended Stop Loss - 252.41
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Elliott Wave View: APPLE (AAPL) Continue Rally In Bullish SequenShort Term Elliott Wave view in APPLE (AAPL) suggests that rally from 8.05.2024 low is incomplete & should continue upside as the part of daily bullish sequence. It is showing 3 swing higher since August-2024 low & expect more upside against 11.04.2024 low. It ended (1) at $237.49 high as diagonal & (2) correction at $219.71 low. Within (1), it placed 1 at $232.92 high, 2 at $213.92 low, 3 at $233.09 high, 4 at $221.14 low & finally 5 ended at $237.49 high as (1). Within (2) correction, it placed A at $227.30 low, B at $234.73 high & C at $219.71 low near 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of (1). Above (2) low, it favors upside in (3) of ((1)) & can extend towards $261.29 or higher levels before major pullback may seen.
Above $219.71 low, it placed 1 of (3) at $230.16 high, 2 at $225.71 low & favors upside in 3 of (3). Within 3, it placed ((i)) at $235.65 high, ((ii)) at 233.26 low & ((iii)) at $250.80 high as extended wave. Short term, it favors upside in ((v)), if ended ((iv)) at $246.02 low, which already reached between 0.236 – 0.382 Fibonacci retracement area of ((iii)). It needs price separation to confirm the view of further upside. Alternatively, if it extends lower from current level, it can either extend ((iv)) or 4 pullback in (3) as discussed in video. But in either the case, it should extend higher to finish sequence started from 11.04.2024 low as (3). We like to buy the pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings at extreme areas, when reached. It expects more upside towards $261.29 or higher levels, while dips remain above 11.04.2024 low.
APPLE targeting $265 at the top of the Channel UpApple (AAPL) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the January 03 2023 bottom. At the moment the price is on the pattern's second long-term Bullish Leg, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As long as this line holds, we expect the Bullish Leg to complete a +20.82% rise (similar to December 14 2023) from the U.S. elections low and target $265.00. The fractals are quite similar as the 1W MACD is forming now a Bullish Cross, in indentical fashion as November 20 2023.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
APPLE Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 242.82
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 236.87
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$NFLX Farewell , I bid the adeiu It was a nice ride I'm sure. But it's time to go back down now. RSI hitting resistance on the monthly. Daily exhausted with 7 green days in a row , with a doji to top it off. I would love a gap up and touch of the highs, then flush!! 3 days of red incoming. Monthlies can pay well 💬
ETH x Apple. TheoryETH x Apple (2013-15). Theory!
Pay attention to the levels and potential “price discovery” of BINANCE:ETHUSDT based on the market capitalization it could potentially achieve.
I emphasize this approach because we need to assess an asset’s potential movement not based on lines and indicators, but by understanding its fundamental limitations and possibilities.
An incredibly similar chart! Note that Apple’s market cap in 2015 was $750B… Now it’s $3.5T, thanks to inflation!
* MC = market cap
Apple (AAPL) Stock Hits Record HighApple (AAPL) Stock Hits Record High
The Apple (AAPL) stock chart reveals:
→ Yesterday’s closing price exceeded $242 for the first time in history.
→ The stock has risen nearly 30% since the start of 2024.
→ Over the past 30 days, it has gained approximately 9%.
Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush, commented that: "Wall Street is beginning to grasp that the iPhone 16 marks the start of a supercycle." According to his insights shared via Barron’s:
→ Sales in China remain robust.
→ New AI-powered features in the iPhone 16 could drive over 90 million users to upgrade.
→ This could lead to a record-breaking year for iPhone sales and push Apple’s market capitalization to $4 trillion by 2025.
Ives has set a price target for AAPL at $300—roughly 23% above current levels. But is now the right time to invest in AAPL stock?
Technical Analysis of AAPL’s 4-Hour Chart:
→ The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone.
→ The price is near the upper boundary of an ascending channel (marked in blue), which formed after the company introduced Apple Intelligence in June.
This positioning suggests the stock may be vulnerable to a correction. If that occurs, the price could test the $236 level, which previously acted as resistance (as shown by arrows).
According to TipRanks:
→ 23 out of 33 analysts recommend buying AAPL stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for AAPL is $243.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Looking for a break and retest on Apple! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
#TheStrat Weekly/Monthly Setups For DecemberSPY - Closed previous D/W/M close to HOD after making new ATH, so the D/W/M all finished bright green. No evidence of sellers anywhere since every TF above the 60 is currently green. 60 closed slight green, but this can easily be justified as eod corrective activity since all 60 min candles before the last one of the day were green, and every TF above the 60 is green. Going into the new week and month, we can expect buying to continue until we see a lower low on the D, but the real sign of buyers vanishing / sellers gaining control for me will be a Lower Low on the weekly.
Main Monthly Setups To Watch:
Bullish :
DKNG - 1-2-2 Q revstrat in force, 1-3 M, 2-1 W
PM - Hammer 3-1 M
BA - Counter Hammer Failed 2D M
MRK - Hammer M at Downside Exhaustion Level
Bearish:
MU - Shooter 1-3 M, Failed 2U W
ZIM - Rev Strat M at Upside Exhaustion
Main Weekly Setups To Watch:
Bullish:
RTX - 3-1-1 W
PLTR - MoMo Hammer W, Inside D
GOOG - RevStrat Hammer D, Inside W
Bearish:
GAP - 3-1 at Exhaustion
COIN - 2-1 W, Failed 2U D
PINS - Shooter RevStrat Week, Shooter Inside D
RDDT - Inside W (11 Consecutive Weekly HLs)
SQ - Red Inside D/W at Q Exhaustion