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1-BTCUSD

ETHEREUM Is it copying Bitcoin's 2014/17 Cycle towards $50k???Ethereum (ETHUSD) hasn't yet made a new All Time High (ATH), in contrast to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) but that isn't necessarily a negative development as it can highlight its enormous upside potential. ** ETH 2022/25 vs BTC 2014/17 ** A idea that strengthens this notion is today's analysis where you see ETH's current (2022 - 2025) Cycle against BTC's 2014 - 2017. As you can see so far the two Cycle's have been very similar with Ethereum replicating both the Bear Cycle and so far the majority of Bitcoin's past Bull Cycle. ** The Phases ** For more efficient comparison purposes, we have classified the Cycle in phases with the start being the bottom formation (Green Phase) below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and within the 0.236 - 0.0 Fibonacci Zone. That gives way to the 1st rally (Blue Phase) within the 0.5 - 0.236 Fib with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) established as the Support. What follows is the 2nd Rally (Orange Phase) within the 0.786 - 0.5 Fib Zone and consolidation. ** October Bullish Cross and $50k?? ** The October 1W MACD Bullish Cross (Oct 2016 for BTC, Oct 2024 for ETH) signals the transition to the final stage (Yellow Phase) of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally to new ATH. For Bitcoin that peaked near the 2.382 Fibonacci extension. If that seems unrealistic for Ethereum's price today (the 2.382 Fib is just above $50k!!) in terms of market cap (and rightly so) just consider the impact that the ETFs' capital inflows have on the market. It remains to be seen, but nonetheless, ETH has enormous upside from here onwards and we're sure that even a +100% rally from the current price would be welcomed by the majority of the market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
BTC WHALES - 100K Club - The market is Looking Fishy!!!!! The BTC 100K Club: Cold Wallet Exchange Whales and Their Hidden Influence In the ever-evolving world of Bitcoin, much of the focus remains on price action, retail sentiment, and macroeconomic events. However, one often-overlooked yet critical element of market dynamics is the role of cold wallet exchange whales—specifically, the BTC 100K Club. These are four exchange-owned wallets that hold over 100,000 BTC each and have a proven track record of driving accumulation and distribution cycles. While many retail traders ignore their activity, these wallets serve as the silent architects of Bitcoin's major price movements. The Forced Market Top: Déjà Vu from $70K The current market is eerily reminiscent of the $70,000 peak, where a massive withdrawal of over 100,000 BTC from cold storage signaled a forced market top. That withdrawal period lasted approximately three months, during which the broader market turned highly bearish. Retail investors sold off their holdings amid fear and uncertainty, while these whales were quietly re-accumulating at lower levels. By the time the U.S. election came around, the whales had successfully regained their positions, and the price surged—obliterating retail bears in a bullish breakout. The Present Scenario: A Smaller-Scale Replay? Fast forward to today, and we are seeing a similar but scaled-down version of the $70K playbook. My tracker has identified a -39,914 BTC withdrawal from cold storage wallets, which aligns with the recent market top and signals the start of a correction phase. While retail sentiment continues to lean bullish, history shows that these withdrawals are often precursors to distribution cycles, where whales offload positions at higher prices. Accumulation: The Calm Before the Storm Despite the current bearish undertone, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains undeniably bullish. Just as the 100K BTC accumulation phase marked the bottom after the $70K top, we are waiting for similar accumulation signals before the next leg up. These accumulation events are not only indicators of whale confidence but also serve as the foundation for massive upward price momentum. Retail Bears Beware: Lessons from History One of the biggest mistakes retail traders make during these phases is underestimating the strategic moves of whales. As we saw after the $70K top, while many screamed "sell," whales quietly accumulated Bitcoin, setting the stage for the next bullish rally. The same dynamic could be playing out now. Those ignoring the signals from the BTC 100K Club may find themselves caught on the wrong side of the trade yet again. My Position and Outlook I accurately predicted this market top and exited 3quarters of my BTC positions at $99,000, securing substantial gains. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, but I am closely monitoring the BTC 100K Club for signs of accumulation. Once we see significant deposits back into cold wallets, it will likely signal the end of the correction and the start of a new accumulation phase. In the long term, there is no doubt that Bitcoin will break through the $100K psychological barrier. This is not just speculative optimism—it’s a conclusion drawn from years of observing whale behavior and market cycles. Retail investors would do well to track these cold wallet movements closely, as they provide a clearer picture of the market’s true direction than any sentiment-driven analysis. Conclusion: A Time to Observe and Learn The BTC 100K Club wallets represent some of the most powerful forces in the Bitcoin market. Their activity signals the onset of major market tops and bottoms, often weeks before price action reflects these shifts. As we wait for the next accumulation phase, retail investors should focus on learning from these cycles and preparing for the inevitable breakout that will likely take Bitcoin into new all-time highs. Whether you’re bearish or bullish today, one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey past $100K is only a matter of time. The question is, will you be ready?
by Data_Driven_Trading
BITCOIN TARGETING ALL TIME HIGHS - BTC LONG IDEAI projected and shared the idea that Bitcoin would reach $70,000 and potentially $73,000 within a few days. It happened in just two days! I hope you took the trade and made some profits, as I did. Now, I’m preparing to position myself with the expectation that we’ll reach all-time highs within a week or two. We recently broke a massive bearish trendline that has held since March 2024. Just before that, a daily demand zone formed, which helped break the trendline, making it a key area for me. Additionally, the equilibrium level of the bullish leg aligns perfectly with my point of interest. I expect the price to retrace to the daily demand zone, hit the discount Fibonacci area, test the trendline, and take off from there toward new all-time highs. Of course, I’ll be looking for lower time-frame confirmations before initiating a long position.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
2
$BTC Eyeing $98K Again? Oversold Signals Fading!Good morning, crypto bro's! 🌅 📊 Fear & Greed Index: 78 (Extreme Greed). 📉 Stoch RSI: Still oversold but showing signs of recovery. 💡 Analysis: BTC price action remains consistent with yesterday’s outlook. Short-term probability: Revisit FWB:98K –$99K. Correction likelihood: May occur after BTC tests $98K. 📌 Reminder: Markets are dynamic. Stay sharp and avoid FOMO. I'm Akki, as always, one chart at a time. Have a great day and stay SAFU!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
#Bitcoin and the Trump effect! CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which was $701 on the day Donald Trump won the US elections on November 8, 2016, rose parabolically to $1140 in 57 days, followed by a correction of 33.90%, and went parabolic after Trump took office on January 20. It continued its rise and reached 19.6 thousand dollars in December 2017, reaching its peak. 2024, #btc which started with 67k on November 5, followed a parabolic run after Donald Trump won the US elections and reached almost $100k. If we compare it with 2016, I expect the rise to $110k to continue and a healthy correction to occur before Trump officially takes office on January 20, after which the parabolic run will continue harshly. It should definitely be noted that Bitcoin is in a bull run and such corrections will not be permanent and will serve as fuel for a major rise. I would also like to point out that this comparison is just an opinion and does not contain financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by EtherNasyonaL
Where are we in the Bitcoin Cycle?Let’s break it down: 1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle Count 2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 🧵👇 1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle 📆We’re on Day 20 of the cycle. 💡 Around this time, a small retracement to the mid-cycle low is normal. But here’s the bullish twist: ⚡ In bullish cycles, the mid-cycle low is HIGHER than: The previous cycle low Even the next cycle low ✅ Translation? We’re STILL climbing this cycle! 🚀 Expect upside in the next 1–2 weeks. 2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 📊The 2W, 1W, 3D, and 1D indicators just hit 80—a level that usually triggers a price drop. ⬇️ This marks the top of the 1W cycle and could signal some short-term cooling off. Summary 🧠 🌱 Day 20 of a bullish cycle = Growth ahead. 🔔 Short-term pullbacks = Buying opportunities. 👀 Watch for continued upside over the next 1–2 weeks. Stay on the line. #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #TradingView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTCUSD targeting 108000 on the next leg up.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Up, having just rebounded on the MA100 (4h). In the last 2 months, it accumulates on the same pattern, a Falling Resistance bottoms on an Arc and when it breaks, a rally delivers a new High. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 108000 (dashed trendline). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) gives a very clear buy signal when it breaks 35.00. Currently that shows that we've already bottomed. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingBrokersView
1
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello, BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy. Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue. I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
Fetch.ai $FET/USDT - 200D SMA Bull Regime Detection This indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies. We've just had our bull regime print and are trading just 2 days of bull regime duration. Golden cross incoming: 200D x 50D SMA crossover Key Features: - Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification - Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation - Metrics dashboard Core Signals: - Bullish Regime: Price < 200 SMA - Bearish Regime: Price > 200 SMA - Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
Long
by igreycrypto
2
Swing BTC thesis by Titan_KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis='**Market Sentiment Analysis:** The current market sentiment for Bitcoin is predominantly bullish, driven by recent price highs and positive predictions for future growth. However, the movement of Bitcoin to exchanges by short-term holders suggests potential volatility and price corrections. This mixed sentiment indicates a need for a balanced approach, considering both the bullish long-term outlook and the potential for short-term fluctuations. **Technical Analysis:** The technical indicators present a mixed picture. On the 1-day chart, the RSI is slightly overbought, and the MACD shows bearish momentum, while the ADX indicates a strong upward trend. The price is below the EMA20 and SMA20, suggesting short-term bearishness. The 4-hour chart shows bullish momentum with a positive MACD, but a weak trend as indicated by a low ADX. The 1-hour chart supports short-term bearishness with a negative MACD and low ADX. Key support is around $90,000, with resistance at $98,000. **Fundamental Analysis:** The bullish sentiment is supported by increased long positions among top traders and significant trading volume, indicating strong market interest. However, the potential for increased volatility due to short-term holders moving Bitcoin to exchanges should not be overlooked. Diversification and risk management are crucial in navigating these market conditions. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the mixed technical signals and potential for volatility, a cautious approach is recommended. Set a stop-loss at $90,000 to protect against downside risk, and a take-profit at $98,000 to capitalize on potential upward movements. Monitor market conditions closely and adjust these levels as needed based on new data and sentiment shifts. CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 78% OUTCOME: HOLD_BUY STOP_LOSS: $90,000.00 TAKE_PROFIT: $98,000.00 EXIT_POINT: $96,000.00 CURRENT PRICE: $95,014.49 ENTRY CRITERIA: - **TIMEFRAME**: 1d - **RSI**: above 60 - **MACD**: Bearish crossover - **MA20**: Below price - **ATR**: Moderate volatility - **Bollinger Bands**: Price near upper band - **Stochastic Oscillator**: Neutral - **News Impact**: Positive - **Historical Data**: Resistance at $98,000, Support at $90,000 CURRENT OPEN LONG POSITIONS: 0 CURRENT OPEN SHORT POSITIONS: 0' )
Long
by titankarma
2
Bitcoin's Current Market Dynamics and Strategic Outlook Bitcoin is currently navigating a post-pattern movement—a phase often characterized by unique price behavior. In such movements, the price ascends in an Imbalance-Filled-Candle (IFC) manner, yet remarkably, these imbalances remain unfilled. Along the trajectory of this upward momentum, numerous Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are formed, but intriguingly, none are addressed, showcasing a strong bullish bias and unrelenting momentum. As Bitcoin approaches the psychological resistance level of $100,000, a critical juncture in its journey, traders and investors must prepare for potential volatility. The zone between $100K and $105K could serve as a battleground, where we might witness a corrective phase in the form of an X wave. Such a retracement would provide an opportunity for price consolidation, potentially resetting market dynamics and providing fresh entry points for those positioned strategically. For those currently sidelined, staying out indefinitely may not be feasible. Market conditions demand action and strategy; this is the time to design and implement a setup that aligns with your risk tolerance and investment goals. Waiting too long might result in missed opportunities as Bitcoin continues its relentless march forward. Should a correction occur, the green zone presents an ideal re-entry point for those looking to capitalize on temporary price dips. While the exact boundaries of this zone vary among strategies, this area often coincides with significant support levels or previously untested zones of demand. If Bitcoin consolidates within this corrective range or experiences only a mild pullback, the spotlight could shift to altcoins, which might experience a surge during this interlude. Historically, periods of Bitcoin stabilization have fueled altcoin rallies, as traders and investors diversify their portfolios, seeking higher returns in alternative digital assets. Looking beyond the current psychological levels, the next major milestone for Bitcoin lies in the range of $118,000 to $125,000. This target represents the subsequent logical step in Bitcoin's ongoing bullish trend, contingent upon the market maintaining its structural integrity and broader momentum. Critical Risk Management Guidelines: While optimism surrounds Bitcoin's trajectory, it's vital to maintain disciplined risk management practices: Stop Loss Orders: Protect your capital by placing stop-loss orders below significant invalidation levels. If a daily candle closes below the invalidation threshold, this specific setup will no longer be valid. Be prepared to reassess your strategy in response to changing market conditions. Capital Allocation: Never overextend your position. Allocate funds prudently, ensuring you have reserves for unforeseen market events. Emotional Discipline: Resist impulsive decisions. A sound trading plan, combined with emotional control, can significantly enhance your outcomes. This is a pivotal moment for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or a newcomer, opportunities abound for those who approach the market with foresight, preparation, and discipline. If you have any questions or seek further clarification, feel free to share your thoughts. Let’s navigate this exciting phase together and make informed decisions that align with our financial goals. Thank you, and may your trades be successful!
Long
by lonelyPlayer0
Bitcoin's Elliott Wave and Cylce AnalysisBitcoin's price has surged close to the $100,000 level, fueled by increasing optimism and hype, particularly following Trump’s victory in the US elections. While this milestone has sparked renewed bullish sentiment, it's critical to remember that Bitcoin is now in uptrend for only last four week, but it has been in an moving up since December 2022, marking nearly two years of consistent gains. So actually, we may now be in the late stages of this bull run. Keep in mind that when optimism and positive news dominate, like the prospect of Bitcoin being added to US reserves under Trump, it often aligns with the peak of a trend. While this kind of news could potentially drive one last strong upward move (FOMO / Blow-off), it might also signal the end of this cycle. Historically, extreme optimism is a warning sign, and the Elliott wave analysis supports this view. Bitcoin is currently in its fifth wave, with potential for slightly more upside, possibly extending late into January time projection. Its going to be the 20 or 26 weeks of a recovery from August low. Smart investors will consider taking some parts of profits now rather than risking missing an exit, especially now when we approach the year end. The market's shift from "optimism to pessimism", can be swift and surprising. Greed often leads to losses, so prudence is key at this stage. On another note, we have a Black Friday offer on our Elliott Wave service. It’s a great opportunity to stay aligned with market rhythm and sentiment during this critical period. If you are celebrating, I wish you a happy Thanksgiving! Grega
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ew-forecast
Bitcoin Analysis Base On Eliott Wave Theor and Macro EconomicsBitcoin Projection Base On Technical Analysis Eliott Wave Theory & Macro Economics Target Price (Bullish Scenario) : 🔹$108.000 = Fibo Extend 1.272 🔹$134.000 = Fibo Extend 1.414 🔹$182.000 = Fibonacci Extend 1.618 INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT Be Careful : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹BTC is now in the final Impulse Wave (Wave 5). When Wave 5 finishes, a deeper correction might happen DISCLAIMER : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹 Fibo Extend 1.618 is hard to visit, it'll take a while & need some corrections. 🔹Consider trailing TakeProfit in $108K-$134K (In case BTC successfully breakout from $100K) 🔹Be careful of unexpected bad news. 🔹Watch US inflation rates during The FED's rate cuts, as higher liquidity will boost purchasing power and impact inflation. 🔹ETF's Inflow have entered too much, one day hedge funds will taking profit, be careful !. 🔹Donald Trump's company tax cut policy will impact to inflation. If it happens, The FED might have to stop rate cuts, or even raise interest rates.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by kelvin_gautama9
BTC/USDT 4H Chart AnalysisBitcoin remains within an ascending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. The price is currently hovering near the channel's midline, indicating indecision. Support: $94,500 (ascending trendline and psychological level). Resistance: $96,800 (recent local high). The 21 MA (yellow line) provides dynamic support, but the price action shows some weakness in holding above it. Declining volumes indicate low conviction in recent price activity. Momentum appears to be neutral, awaiting a catalyst for direction. A breakout above $96,800 could push BTC towards $100,000. A breakdown below $94,500 could lead to a retest of $92,000 (lower trendline). Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed. You can DM us for information on any other coin. @Peter_CSAdmin
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
November 28 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Today and tomorrow, Nasdaq is closed for Thanksgiving. It is a day when Bitcoin gains freedom, and since there is no Nasdaq analysis, I can leave work early. There is a section where I can bet on the candlestick, so I cut my loss and proceeded boldly. The purple finger on the left, $95,021.5, is the re-entry point of the long position I took in the morning, and I made a strategy with the same strategy as today, cutting my loss and with the will to die together. *When the blue finger moves, Two-way neutral Long->Short->Long switching strategy 1. Pursuit purchase at $95,502 / Stop loss when the purple support line breaks and the 3rd section is touched 2. Long position 1st target at $98,379.5 -> Gdap 99,415 2nd target If the trend dies at $98,379.5, It would be good to use the long position re-entry point in the middle. (Blue finger at $97,396.5) If it reaches the gap section right away, Short position switching and long position waiting. (Those who have been reading the analysis diligently can see the switching point roughly, right?) Because it proceeded with a pursuit purchase, It can be pushed from the current position to the 2nd section, but the short-term pattern can be broken from the 2nd touch, so it is better to raise it right from the current position. Also, because the candle shape can shoot strongly up or down or deviate, You should proceed with the loss cut boldly, and the movement within the 1st section at the top and the 3rd section at the bottom is a sideways movement. Until the bottom, it is a downward sideways movement. The 4th section is a single touch of the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart. The lowest 89,985.5 dollars is a 12+ daily section. Up to this point, I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis, and I hope that you focus on the current position, with the principle trading and the loss cut price essential. If the strategy is successful today, from now or the 2nd section touch, and as long as it does not deviate from the 3rd section, it will be the best altcoin entry timing, right? I raised the quality to the maximum because the participation rate was good today, and burned my soul. Thank you for reading.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide