GOLD TOW SENARIO1. Spot Price Around $2630:
Gold is fluctuating near the $2630 support zone. This level is critical as it could determine the direction of the next move.
2. Scenario if $2630 Breaks:
If the price breaks decisively below $2630 with strong volume, it could extend the bearish trend towards $2600 or even lower.
The next support levels to watch are $2600 and $2580.
3. Scenario if $2630 Holds:
If gold fails to break below $2630 and rebounds, it could move upward towards its immediate resistances at $2650, $2663, and potentially $2670.
A break above $2670 could trigger a bullish rally targeting $2700. OANDA:XAUUSD
1-BTCUSD
BTC 30m ANALYSIS 04/12Analysis:
Inside of the M30 Swing highs and lows we have noticed an internal change of character. Price was creating LH + LL. Now we can see its broken out of this pattern and is creating HH + HL, keep in mind this is still LH in relation to the M30 swing High. This could just be a correction. Overall I think this would be a great opportunity to Buy because as we are approaching $100K fomo will set in and crypto speculation and regulation nearing will set this off the charts. I think long term we can expect to see BTC $250k+ before 2030.
I've used the potential area of resistance as TP1 and secured partial profits however now I'm closely watching to see if we will break out of this uptrend and potentially see a LL.
To consider:
Almost $100K
FOMO
Crypto Regulation Near
Pullback or Bearish trend?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-04: Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will run into resistance in early trading and roll downward at some point after reaching resistance.
I see the markets opening much higher this morning as the SPY/QQQ are both broadly rallying overnight.
This type of GAP UP opening often leads to the identification of price resistance and a rollover topping formation where price attempts to trail downward to fill the GAP.
The concept that my SPY Cycle Patterns new this was likely many months before today's price action happens is rather unique. And this is why I love my SPY Cycle Patterns.
The is no other place where you can attempt to clearly see into the future like using my SPY Cycle Patterns.
Gold and Silver are still struggling today - but should attempt to make a rally move higher over the next 5+ trading days. Until we break above the Flag High level, Gold and Silver are trapped in a sideways price range.
Bitcoin is also trapped in a sideways price range after reaching recent highs.
As I warn in this video - be prepared for very unusual price action and events over the next 30+ days. I believe we are about to see some very unusual political and economic events play out.
Keep a healthy CASH reserve and trade small quantities right now. Better to protect cash than to risk it on unknowns right now.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Triangle forming in wave 4 consuming time before 5th up begins I initially though INDEX:BTCUSD is doing WXY (red counts) correction in wave 4 since W and X were 3-3. But the supposedly Y is shorter than W and X, and the whole pattern is emerging as contracting triangle which makes me think that we are actually doing a ABCDE (green counts) triangle in 4th. So it may not be deep but time consuming. ABC seem to be done and we are in D now so just a matter of time ...
December 3 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
The Nasdaq index will be released at 12 o'clock in a little while.
The current position is a place where anyone can see that there will be an adjustment at the bottom.
I really thought a lot about the sideways position.
I just need to quietly collect altcoins,
but I don't know what I'm doing.
If I don't do perfect tomorrow, I'll go into hiding, so please understand...
*When the blue finger moves,
it is a two-way neutral
short->long ->short ->long switching strategy.
1. 96,314 dollars short position entry section / Stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken or Stop loss price when Top section is touched
2. 94,690.5 dollars long position switching / Stop loss price when green support line is broken or Bottom section is touched
3. 97,171 dollars long position target price / 96,314 dollars long position returning to the bottom
Re-entry and Stop loss price autonomous section -> Good section final long position target price
What is the success rate up to this point, everyone?
The 1st section of the pink resistance line indicated above is a vertical downward section before and after the touch,
and if the breakout fails, it can be connected directly from Bottom at the bottom.
The Bottom position at the bottom is a place where the mid-term pattern can be broken by touching the center line of the daily chart alone. You will see a gray support line nearby, but even if you touch the bottom,
If you maintain the blue support line,
Bitcoin and altcoin will continue to be safe.
If the rebound fails at the bottom, the blue support line at the bottom
92,622 dollars will be the last support line.
Currently, Ripple and altcoins are in a state of fire regardless of Bitcoin.
If the blue support line is maintained without breaking away today,
You can operate altcoins comfortably,
And you can also use the long position entry timing at the same time.
I did not operate the long position entry position at the current position,
But if the 5-minute trend change is successful,
After the alt pumping,
I guess a re-entry position will come out?
If the altcoin bullish train maintains the blue support line at the bottom,
Circular pumping will continue.
Up to this point, my analysis is so poor
and the winning rate is low
so please just use it as a reference and for reference only
I hope you operate safely with the principle of trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
BITCOIN repeating the November 2023 Channel and targets $140kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up in the past three weeks, basically for the majority of the month of November, following the U.S. elections. It may been struggling currently to break above the $100000 psychological barrier but historical patterns are in favor of a break-out as the very same Channel Up was formed exactly 1 year ago and paved the way for the March 14 2024 High.
** August 2023 vs August 2024 **
As you can see basically, BTC's whole sequence since the August 05 2024 Low is very similar to the one that started again a year before that in August 2023. The similarities are uncanny. Both fractals started with an August decline below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), bottoming inside a Cup pattern that initiated an Accumulation Process. At the same time, the 1D RSI was waving a Bullish Divergence as it has been rising on Higher Lows.
** Golden Cross to November Channel Up **
A 1D Golden Cross was formed right when the November Channel Up patterns emerged. By that time, the price was already on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of the August decline. At the moment we are on the stage past a 1D MACD Death Cross, which led to a December bullish break-out to a new High.
** Next step = $140k **
A mere test of the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, would translate to a $140k price tag on Bitcoin. Based on the striking similarities and extremely high degree of symmetry with the pattern a year ago, it may become a reality as early as February 2025.
But what do you think? Is symmetry with last year about to kick in and force a bullish break-out to 140k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin is taking a breathWhile the whales are pumping alts to subsequently flush out the naive fools, bitcoin is taking a breath to break $0.1M.
I believe we are nearing the bottom of bitcoin dominance among cryptocurrencies after the Wall st. takeover. All the cryptocurrencies that have managed to pump a little bit against BTC in the meantime will soon crash back down again and look for new lows in the BTC pair.
Don't worry about fiat charts, compare to BTC!
aLt SeASoN 💩? No, really don't!
There is only bitcoin season, always has been. There is no cryptocurrency over five years old that comes close to ATH against Bitcoin.
Stay humble, stack sats.
$BTC - Steeper correction if below $93500Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Lacking momentum and liquidity and it's time for correction
🔔 I believe it's too early for $100K and time to get rest before the next run.
🔔 CRYPTOCAP:BTC couldn't get the $100K and with each try the daily close is lower than the previous one, which states that market might not be ready yet for a strong impulse.
🔔 The best scenario for #bitcoin would be to close below $93500 and go for a correction down to $80K, regain momentum and take over the $100K barrier.
🔔 Triangles could be tricky, so watch for a breakout before making any decisions.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
BTC Rising Wedge with Possible Bullish BreakoutIm posting this idea because the formation the price action is making is a rising wedge. This shape has a bias toward breaking down and forming new lows. In this case, the 50 simple moving average has managed to stay above the 100 simple moving average and the price has managed to hold above the 50 simple moving average. RSI is only 48 at time of publishing on the H4 Chart.
I think BTC will break to the upside here and manage to print a price above 100k. Minimum target is 101,900 the 1.236 extension from previous High swing Low.
Not financial Advice, do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
BTCUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is approaching our sell entry at 96,855.40, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 91,631.72, a swing low support level.
The stop loss will be at 100,186.81, above a swing high resistance level.
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BTC Battling Key Range with Support at $95.5KBitcoin is currently trading at $95.8k, caught between two significant price levels: $94.5K and $98.8K. The price has bounced off support at $94.5K and is now navigating around the Fibonacci 0.618 golden ratio level at $95.5K, which is acting as support.
The Advanced VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) indicator is highlighting the critical range between $94.5K and $98.8K, showing where market participants are most active and where price may likely face resistance or support.
Bitcoin's hourly chart also recently showed a "death cross" about 31 hours ago, which could signal bearish pressure, but the bounce at $94.5K is providing some support.
Risk Considerations:
Potential Risks: A failure to hold the $94.5K support could signal a deeper correction, potentially down to lower levels. If the price breaks below the $94.5K support the next level could be $91.5k
Volatility: With low volume and the recent death cross, Bitcoin could be subject to sudden price swings. Keep an eye on volume and momentum to gauge strength for either a bullish or bearish continuation.
Bitcoin Reclaims $96K – Is $100K Within Reach This Month?Good morning, crypto bro's! Starting from today's market update, I will likely focus more on the H4 timeframe rather than D1. Larger timeframes will only be reviewed every 3 to 7 days, while daily updates will now rely on the H4 timeframe.
This morning, the Fear and Greed Index remains in the Extreme Greed zone, currently at 78, while the Stochastic RSI is in the middle range, around 40.
As I mentioned in yesterday's market update, Bitcoin had the potential to revisit the $93K range, and it finally did. Now, it has climbed back to $96K.
The $96,900 - $97,500 range and the $99,700 - $100,200 range remain challenging areas to break. Challenging doesn’t mean impossible—based on current price action, there is a high probability for Bitcoin to hit $100K within this month.
As always, stay safe, don’t FOMO, always manage your risks, and that’s all for today’s update. This is Akki, signing off with one chart. Have a great day and stay SAFU!
It seems that the altcoin bull market will start soon
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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- Funds are still flowing into the coin market,
- BTC dominance has already touched the 55.01 point.
Accordingly, if BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or shows a downward trend, the altcoin bull market is expected to start.
This altcoin bull market is likely to continue until the USDT dominance reaches around 2.84.
However, if the USDT dominance touches the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.382 and rises above 4.97, the coin market is expected to plummet.
The altcoin bull market is ultimately a market where you can make a profit no matter what altcoin you buy.
Since the altcoin bull market is likely to take the form of a cyclical pumping, even if the altcoin you bought does not rise, it will rise if you wait.
If you cannot wait for that period and switch to another altcoin, you may see little profit or even a loss, so please be careful when trading.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Even so, this is only possible if the price of BTC is maintained above a certain point.
Therefore, BTC must maintain its price in the 91792.14-98871.80 range or higher.
If it fails to do so and falls, the coin market will show a decline of -10% or more.
-
Therefore, it can be said that it is time to trade altcoins rather than BTC.
When trading altcoins, it is better to buy and wait when the candle on the 1D chart is a downward candle if possible.
However, as I mentioned earlier, if BTC falls below a certain point, it can experience a decline of -10% or more, so it is better to set a stop loss point and respond.
Otherwise, you may not be able to sell due to a sudden downward trend and may record a loss.
-
(1h chart)
- Check whether the wave of the StochRSI indicator on the 1h chart and
- Check whether it is supported near the section composed of the BW(0), HA-Low indicator,
- Check whether it breaks through the section composed of the BW(100), HA-High indicator,
I think it is good to determine the timing of altcoin trading while checking the relationship above.
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This volatility period is expected to last until December 4th.
The next volatility period is expected to be around December 27th.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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