1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD: Target range updated to 200,000 - 300,000.Bitcoin is overbought on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 77.125, MACD = 9127.400, ADX = 41.734) but during Bull Cycles, this is by no means a factor to consider turning bearish. Quite the contrary when the 1W RSI in particular crosses above the 70.000 level, Bitcoin turns parabolic. The Top is priced only long after the 1W RSI starts to pull back inside a Channel Down. Bitcoin is now inside a 7 year Channel Up and the current 3-week consolidation phase is the same pattern we saw in Nov-Dec 2020, which broke into a more aggressive rally to the Channel's top. A valid TP range now is 200,000 - 300,000.
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BTC a comprehensive analysishello guys...
let's investigate about BTC through Elliot!
Wave 1 to Wave 4:
Wave 1 initiates the bullish trend.
Wave 2 consolidates into a flat or corrective pattern.
Wave 3 is extended, showing a strong upward trend (impulse).
Wave 4 forms a triangle or corrective structure, preparing for Wave 5.
as you know there are 3 common alternative waves 5 right now!
the first scenario is wave 5 be the %61 of wave 3! It means the current situation!
Conservative Target (96,598.96 - 0.618 Fibonacci Extension):
Analysis: Wave 5 terminates slightly above the end of Wave 3. This scenario suggests that Wave 5 could face resistance near the 0.618 Fibonacci extension and align with market exhaustion after an extended rally.
Outcome: A shorter rally indicates that market momentum may slow down significantly.
Likelihood: Low to Moderate
Why?
Wave 3 extension is significant in your chart, often a sign of a strong uptrend. Wave 5 typically equals or exceeds Wave 3, so a short Wave 5 is less common unless momentum is weak.
When is it likely?
If resistance is around $96,600, it is due to overbought conditions or lack of demand.
If Wave 5 follows a truncated structure (which happens in rare cases).
The second scenario is that wave 5 be as high as wave 3
Moderate Target (146,754.93 - Fibonacci 1.0 Extension):
Analysis: This scenario assumes Wave 5 reaches parity with Wave 1 and Wave 3 in terms of magnitude. It aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension, a key projection level in Elliott Wave analysis.
Outcome: Suggests sustained bullish momentum, supported by volume and macroeconomic conditions.
Likelihood: High
Why?
Wave 5 extension parity with Wave 1 or Wave 3 is typical in Elliott Wave theory.
A target at the 1.0 Fibonacci level reflects a balance between bullish momentum and market saturation.
Cryptocurrency markets often respect Fibonacci levels, especially during trends.
External factors like increasing institutional adoption (e.g., Bitcoin ETFs) and positive sentiment around Bitcoin could support this scenario.
When is it likely?
If the broader macro trend supports continued momentum (e.g., dollar weakness, institutional inflows).
If the market exhibits sustained volume without becoming overheated.
and the final scenario
Aggressive Target (288,680.96 - 1.618 Fibonacci Extension):
Analysis: Wave 5 enters a parabolic phase, often seen in cryptocurrency markets during speculative mania. The target aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, indicating a highly extended rally fueled by exponential growth or hype.
Outcome: This could lead to market overvaluation, followed by a sharp corrective phase.
Likelihood: Moderate
Why?
While Bitcoin is known for its parabolic rallies, such an aggressive extension would require exceptional circumstances.
Potential drivers could include:
Rapid institutional adoption.
Major geopolitical instability driving demand for hard assets.
Speculative mania (e.g., retail FOMO, media hype).
However, achieving this target would likely trigger a significant correction afterward.
When is it likely?
If Bitcoin enters a speculative "blow-off top" phase like in late 2017 or 2021.
If external catalysts (e.g., Bitcoin halving effects, spot ETF approvals, mass adoption) align simultaneously.
Prepare for the moderate scenario ($146,754) but remain flexible. If the market displays speculative characteristics, the aggressive scenario ($288,680) becomes more probable. Conversely, signs of exhaustion at lower levels could limit the rally to $96,600.
The Anomaly Price Event May Hit Before December 31Just before the US Presidential Elections, I published a detailed research report suggesting the markets may move into a low-liquidity event that could be very dangerous for traders.
My Adaptive Dynamic Learning (AI) predictive modeling system highlighted a range of price volatility just after the election showing a very real downward price event. If this event takes place, we may see the SPY/QQQ fall more than 5.5% while other sectors may fall more than 10.5%.
What is interesting is the post-election rally pushed some SPDR sectors above the upper ADL predicted price range. This means price is now very overbought in terms of expected levels.
Any reversion could prompt a very solid downward price move and catch many traders by surprise.
I'm watching my Crash Index and the XLF & XLRE sectors for any signs of a breakdown.
I suggest all of you move to protect capital as we move into the end of 2024 and prepare for what may become a very violent and volatile Anomaly Price Event.
Get some.
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Bullflag on bitcoin’s monthly log chart putting up big numbers 200k by May?! The measured move target is over 200k and the trajectory of the ensured move line suggests that it could even potentially reach this target in the first half of 2025. A very exciting notion let’s hope it can and will. I do expect one steep corrections on the way to this target. *not financial advice*
Where is my bitcoin shorters at? Haha , best TA back at youLet me explain, do you want to make money? do you want to become rich? think like the rich and act like the rich. patience is the key to success
all the people who get sad and mad and liquidated because they want easy fast wealth. for u shorters out there keep shorting bcs we need u all in order to moon harder. microstrategy , blackrock is buying and you think 'let me short' some people make me laugh.
retail interest is JUST getting started and we are set for a liftoff with both ETHEREUM , followed by mid and small caps.
MY PERSONAL OPINION ON THE MARKET : BITCOIN MAY NEVER GO UNDER 100K ANYMORE , this level is a psychological number that will be the strongest support that bitcoin has ever seen. Michael saylor and blackrock and papa Trump and our boy Elon will soon make us lift off the ground even more.
EY what do you wait for? give a like and lets make these shorters a bit mad XD
Analyzing Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Is $110,000 Achievable? Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: A Path to $110,000?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently shown signs of renewed strength, with 30-day trader profits returning to a "healthy" range. This resurgence of bullish sentiment has reignited speculation about Bitcoin's potential to reach the coveted $110,000 milestone.
The Return of Profitable Trading
After a period of market volatility and declining profitability, Bitcoin traders have once again begun to experience positive returns over a 30-day period. This shift in market dynamics indicates a growing number of traders are capitalizing on the cryptocurrency's upward momentum.
Key Factors Driving Bitcoin's Bullish Run
Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's bullish trajectory:
1. Institutional Adoption:
o Increased Institutional Interest: A growing number of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and corporations, are allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. This institutional interest provides significant support to the cryptocurrency's price.
o Regulatory Clarity: As regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies continue to evolve, institutional investors are gaining more confidence in the asset class.
2. Network Upgrades and Scaling Solutions:
o Layer-2 Solutions: The development and implementation of layer-2 scaling solutions, such as the Lightning Network, have the potential to significantly enhance Bitcoin's scalability and transaction throughput.
o Network Upgrades: Regular network upgrades and protocol improvements aim to optimize Bitcoin's performance and security.
3. Global Economic Uncertainty:
o Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates and economic uncertainty have led investors to seek alternative assets, including Bitcoin, as a hedge against inflation.
o Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions and global conflicts can also drive demand for Bitcoin as a decentralized and borderless asset.
4. Positive Market Sentiment:
o Bullish Sentiment: A prevailing bullish sentiment among traders and investors has contributed to Bitcoin's price surge.
o FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): As Bitcoin's price continues to rise, FOMO can drive further buying pressure and accelerate the upward trend.
The Path to $110,000
While $110,000 may seem like a lofty target, several factors could propel Bitcoin to this milestone:
• Sustained Institutional Adoption: Continued institutional investment and increased mainstream acceptance can drive significant price appreciation.
• Successful Network Upgrades: Successful implementation of network upgrades and scaling solutions can enhance Bitcoin's utility and attract more users.
• Favorable Regulatory Environment: A supportive regulatory environment can foster innovation and encourage further investment in the cryptocurrency industry.
• Strong Fundamental Factors: A robust economy, low interest rates, and geopolitical tensions can all contribute to Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent price surge and the return of profitable trading activity have reignited optimism among investors. While the $110,000 milestone is not guaranteed, the confluence of favorable factors suggests that Bitcoin has the potential to reach new heights. However, it is crucial to approach cryptocurrency investments with caution, conduct thorough research, and diversify one's portfolio.
BTCUSD - 15 Min Chart (105k)
🚀 BTCUSD - 15 Minute Chart Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building! 🚀
We are seeing some exciting price action on the BTCUSD 15-minute chart, and the market looks poised for potential gains. With the current uptrend showing strength and key support levels holding, Bitcoin could be gearing up for a target of around 100K.
🔍 Key Highlights:
Bullish Sentiment: Bitcoin is maintaining an upward momentum, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This signals strong bullish interest in the market.
Support Levels: The recent price action suggests that BTC is comfortably holding above crucial support zones, setting up an ideal environment for potential long trades.
Potential Target: A breakout above the 100K resistance could open the door for further upside. This area is a critical level to watch for any signs of continuation or reversal.
💡 Trade Strategy:
Long Entry: Consider entering long positions if we see a retracement to near support levels or a confirmed breakout above 100K.
Risk Management: Set your stop loss below recent swing lows to protect against any unexpected pullbacks.
Target: Aiming for 100K as the initial target. If BTC breaks above this, the next potential resistance could take us higher!
⚡ Indicators to Watch: Keep an eye on the RSI and MACD for confirmation of momentum. A strong RSI reading above 50 and a bullish MACD crossover would further solidify the bullish outlook.
📈 The key question now is, Will BTC push through the 100K mark and beyond? Stay tuned and ready to act as the market develops!
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. Please trade at your own risk and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
#BTC - Bitcoin to $100K - What's Next? Major milestone for #BTC hitting $100K
After a short correction we saw a break to the long awaited $100K
Why I believe a sweep below is in the forming for the nex 5-10 days:
The highest liquidity was above 100K, it got swept
Price retraced to 60%, then extended to the current zone with forming a HTF FVG
Given the liquidity now is way low, it needs to extend a bit more to the 1.382 - 1.618, which is a deviation, form some liquidity then trick everyone that we'll continue to 110-115k
Plenty of retail will now go long on it given it passed the psychological barrier - will attract even more late longs
the #TOTAL market cap is already extended and the funding rates are heating up quite fast
Be on the lookout, take some profits if possible and prepare for the next leg up in around a week!
BTC | BITCOIN ATH | ALTSEASON A comprehensive analysis today on my take regarding Bitcoin , BTC All time High, and for how long we can still expect to see altseason.
When I say altseason, what I am referring to is hard pumps and large increases, scattered across the altcoin market.
In the previous BTC update, I considered an ATH between 99k and 105k. More on that here :
Today's main "concern" is really whether or not the alt-rallies are finished - and I say, not yet .
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
The Moment of Truth – New ATH Incoming?The time has come for Bitcoin to challenge and potentially break through its key resistance level. Market sentiment, combined with technical strength, suggests that a new all-time high (ATH) might be closer than we think.
Why BTC Could Break Resistance:
Global Momentum: Increasing institutional interest and macroeconomic factors are supporting a bullish outlook.
Volume and Buyer Strength: Recent trading activity shows strong buyer interest near critical levels, hinting at sustained demand.
ETH’s Time to Shine:
Meanwhile, ETH is poised for a resurgence. After a period of underperformance, ETH is no longer being "crushed" by market pressures. With significant developments in its ecosystem and renewed interest, it’s time for Ethereum to perform better and reclaim its standing in the market.
What to Watch For:
BTC breaking resistance with conviction could signal the start of a broader market rally.
ETH following suit could lead to an impressive recovery and potentially outperform BTC in the near term.
The markets are at a tipping point—let’s see how this plays out!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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BTCUSD LongBTCUSD (1 hour)
Bitcoin may form a "flag" pattern, we will consider Long when breaking through the figure channel and fixing above it, target 109k! Cancel and break below 101k
The author's opinion may not coincide with yours! Remember this and take this into account in your trading transactions before making a trading decision.
Your reactions are your support for my work
Be Ready For A 20%+ Pullback On BitcoinTraders,
With the 100k psychological resistance almost hit today and just above that our 1.618 Fib Retracement from previous high in 2021 to its low during the bear market, I think it is time we consider some pullback from Bitcoin. I sometimes like to take a look a MSTR to see what it's doing as it often drops clues as to what Bitcoin will do next. Today MSTR dropped nearly 22%. That's interesting because the level of pullback that I have been discussing for Bitcoin is to that 76k price level, around 22%.
I may actually even pull the trigger and short BTC at 100k and then DCA in another load at 102k but I am not sure we'll even get there before we start to pull back.
✌️ Stew
Another amzing signal, captured 7000+ points in totalYesterday was an amazing day and trend captured from the bottom and sentiment remained throughout the night and had amazing and awesome captures of points..
it was either bullish or sidways.. and in chart you can see both.. green was bullish sentiment for buy and no color / charting color was sideways market. till now market is sideways and no signal has been generated so far on 15 min time frame.. this is the real power of my sentiment cycle indicator (PAID)
GOLD BUY ZONE AROUND 2650 TARGET 26701. Support Zone Confirmation: $2,650 is a critical level near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, which has acted as support in recent sessions10 12. A bounce from this area would validate the entry point.
2. Resistance at $2,670: This level coincides with minor resistance on intraday charts and is a modest profit target within the current consolidation zone. It also lies below the next significant resistance near $2,690, reducing the risk of a reversal before profit-taking.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio: To maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio, ensure a proper stop-loss, ideally below $2,640.
Breakout Potential: If gold breaks above $2,670 with strong volume, consider trailing your stop-loss to capture additional upside. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT US
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-05 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat-Down pattern may continue the rolling top pattern in my Crash Index - suggesting the markets are consolidating after the post-Election rally phase.
I continue to warn traders this low liquidity market phase will likely prompt some very big volatility in price action between the election and, roughly, January 5-10. Stay cautious.
I believe the markets are starting to revert a bit downward and I believe this is a very healthy move for the markets - especially after the post-election rally phase.
We need the markets to resolve back into a moderation phase before attempting to make another bigger move to the upside. So, watching the markets potential roll over and fall about 3~5% would not surprise me.
Gold and Silver are moving into a fairly strong rally phase. This could be coupled with a moderate US Dollar decline.
Bitcoin rallied above $103k over the past 24 hour - WOW. Buckle up - the Bitcoin crew will be out in force with their memes and other comments.
Remember, play these market moves safely. If you can afford to take the lumps, don't trade too much capital with each trade.
Going to be a very interesting holiday as I believe liquidity will continue to erode and present even more volatility.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
ROAD TO 125K !!!ROAD TO 125K !!!
Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance.
Do you believe that ?
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Pi Cycle Indicates The Bottom of BTCThe Pi Cycle just triggered the Bitcoin bottom.
This is the 3rd time in the history of the bitcoin Pi cycle has shown the bottom signal, this indicator accurately predicted the Bitcoin bottom in 2015 and 2018.
if this indicator works for the third time then we are at the bottom of the bitcoin bear cycle.
Thanks
Hexa
Post-Halving Bitcoin Market AnalysisBitcoin Price prediction after halving:
After the halving, Bitcoin's price typically moved sideways or exhibited a slight bearish trend for 1-3 months in the past three cycles. We can anticipate a similar sideways movement for the next 1-2 months before a significant upward surge. Once the sideways movement concludes, we can expect a robust bull run.
In the past three Bitcoin cycles, the price of Bitcoin has exhibited a bullish trend following halving events. We can anticipate a similar trajectory in this cycle, potentially propelling the price to $200k
Regards
Hexa
December 4 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisDecember 4 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Today, there are three indicators announced at 10:45, 12:00, and 3:30 on Nasdaq.
In the final comment on December 3, I thought a lot about how to make today's strategy successful.
I tend to take responsibility without changing my perspective when I conduct my analysis.
After entering a short position at $96,317 with the purple finger on the left,
I linked today's analysis.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves.
1. 96,317 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when green support line is broken
2. Top section 98,148 dollars 1st target -> Gap8 2nd target
When 1st target price is reached, 1st section long position autonomous section
The orange resistance line and green support line convergence section that I have indicated
The movement within 1 and 2 is sideways.
Today's entry point is exactly the winning section, right?
If the green support line is broken,
It can be connected to the bottom right away.
The drawing was also done boldly.
The lowest 92,622 dollars
I think it will be a 12+ day section.
If it goes down today,
It seems that there is a higher possibility of additional decline rather than increase in terms of time.
If the final strategy is successful up to this point,
The movement will likely change from altcoin -> Bitcoin again.
Please use my analysis for reference only and to the extent that you can.
I hope you operate safely with the principle of trading and stop loss.
Thank you.