SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-18 : Gap Up LowerPay attention to the SPDR Sectors and how they appear to be moving downward (potentially rolling into a topping pattern).
I believe the US markets may roll into a topping pattern before the January inauguration. President Biden could throw a bunch of curveballs at the US before he ends his term.
I urge traders to stay agile and protect assets. We'll have lots of time to deploy our capital after the Inauguration event.
With only a week before Christmas, I urge everyone to start trading much smaller positions and prepare for a very light trading week through Christmas.
Remember, the markets typically begin to move more aggressively after January 7-10.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
1-BTCUSD
META 529 AFTER EARNINGS ? REASONS WHY !!
AI Integration and Advancements: Meta has been prioritizing the integration of artificial intelligence across its applications, which has played a crucial role in the company’s rally2. The market has responded positively to Meta’s efforts in developing and monetizing AI applications, leading to a boost in the stock price.
2. Digital Advertising Market Recovery: The digital advertising market has seen a rebound, which has directly benefited Meta’s core revenue stream. As one of the leaders in digital advertising, Meta’s financial performance has improved with the market’s recovery.
3. Operational Cost Reduction: Meta has implemented several rounds of layoffs, reducing its operating costs significantly. This move has improved the company’s profitability and margins, making it more attractive to investors.
4. Strategic Shifts: Meta has made strategic shifts, such as scaling back its investments in the metaverse, which were initially met with skepticism. This change in strategy has improved investor confidence and contributed to the stock’s growth.
5. Market Conditions: The overall market conditions, including interest rates and economic policies, have also played a role in Meta’s stock performance. A favorable environment for tech stocks has helped propel Meta’s stock to new heights.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Move From Support Confirmed
Looks like Bitcoin is going to pullback from a key intraday/daily horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a tine cup & handle pattern on an hourly.
The price will go up and reach at least 105291 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITCOIN Next top is going to surprise you but it SHOULDN'T !!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yet another benchmark, the psychological level of $100k. The market cap is growing and many claim that it can't keep rising as the capitalization would be at unrealistic levels. For one capital inflows seem to be very comfortable right now with BTC investments and there are still billions waiting at the side for the right investment in 2025.
Fundamentals aside, Bitcoin's historic patterns and price action gives us even more reasons to expect (much) higher prices and a Cycle Top that could surprise many.
** Fibonacci Channel Up **
First of all, we've plotted a Channel Up starting from BTC's first Bear Cycle and displayed the Fibonacci retracement levels on it. As you can see, those fit perfectly and catch each Cycle's tops and bottoms very accurately:
1) June 2011 Top on the 0.618 Fib. November 2011 Bottom on the 0.0 Fib.
2) December 2013 Top on the 1.0 Fib. August 17 2015 Bottom on the 0.382 Fib.
3) December 2017 Top on the 1.0 Fib. December 2018 bottom on the 0.5 Fib.
4) April 2021 Top on the 0.786 Fib. November 2022 bottom on the 0.236 Fib.
** Pi Cycle and MM Bands **
Then we have applied the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which are key trend Resistance and Support levels respectively, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which are also historically almost the absolute Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Bitcoin's main upward force.
** Covering at least 4 Fib ranges **
As you can see, all Cycles broke above at least the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) before making a Top. The first two Cycles even hit the MMB SD3 above (red). Also each Cycle has a proportional Fibonacci Channel level range, covering at least 4 Fib bands (as described above). Cycle 1 covered Fibs 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236 and 0.0. Cycle 2 covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 3 also covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 4 covered Fibs 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236.
** Surprise Top **
The MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) is now below Fib 0.618 and it is less likely for BTC to hit it since Cycle 3 didn't. As a result, it is possible that the next Top will be on Fib 0.5 at best (maximum). If that is succeeded towards the end of 2025, and assuming that the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) breaks by then as it always has on every previous Cycle, that gives us a target range for the next Cycle Top within $250k - $350k!
Do you still think that's unrealistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin's status on hourly timeframes (4H)Bitcoin is in an ascending channel on the hourly timeframes. It had reached the top of the channel, reacted, and has now dropped.
There is a support zone that could push the price back up to the previous high.
Closing a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this move and lead to further drops.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Did you Know ?!!!Did you really think that profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they will let you buy, hold, and sell at low levels without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win. They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will panic you and sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there is fear, not sell; because your panic gives them cheap assets. This is how the game goes: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sale. They make it look like the end of the world so that you abandon everything, and when the market starts up again, you'll sit there saying, "What the heck just happened?" This is not an accident. It's a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear to make you give up. Because when you panic, they profit. They don't play the market. They play you. That's why most people never succeed. Because they fall into the same traps over and over again. People don't realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They digest the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever. We've seen this hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them to you at the top, leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened. Don't play their game. Play your own.
December 17 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
The Nasdaq indicator will be announced at 10:30 in a little while.
Today, I made a strategy through a very fair vote.
If the strategy fails, there is a possibility of sideways movement and additional adjustments after tomorrow, so
please note.
Today, I will start the strategy for a 5% probability vertical rise.
*When the red finger moves
Long position strategy
1. 106,891 dollars long position entry section / When the purple support line is broken
or when section 1 is touched, stop loss price
2. 108,784.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd
107,843.5 dollars in the middle
is a textbook-like autonomous long position section
If the purple parallel line support line is maintained until the daily candle is created
Is it valid?
Also, rather than proceeding aggressively today,
all patterns were restored after the report was updated,
and since the 15-minute Bollinger Band support line has not been touched even once,
we tried to enter the rising pattern and decided the game.
On the other hand, there is a possibility of a vertical decline in Tether Dominance.
From the touch of the 1st section at the bottom,
the short-term pattern is broken, and there is a possibility of additional adjustment after tomorrow,
so if the strategy succeeds within the purple parallel line support line today,
it is definitely good.
The 2nd section at the very bottom
is the 1+4 section,
so if the strategy fails today,
keep it open until 2.
As explained in the video,
when Bitcoin is in an upward trend, it will go together with the major altcoins,
and after the adjustment, there is a high possibility of a cyclical pumping from the minor altcoins in the rebound.
Since you have been spreading it hard, it is time to reap it now, right?
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you will operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price.
Thank you for reading.
Bitcoin Tests Key Support: Eyes on $103KBitcoin is technically bullish in the 4-Hour chart. However, it gave up bullish move from the last days and is now testing the key support zone near $103,033.
1. A pullback to retest the $103,032 with a dip below it, followed by a strong rebound above this level will push Bitcoin price towards $108,550 (dashed green projection).
2. A decisive move towards $108,550 and breakout with confidence could pave the way for further upward momentum towards $113,692(solid green projection).
3. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $103,032 and breaks below this level without a swift recovery, it could indicate a loss of bullish strength and Bitcoin chart will turn to neutral. This may trigger increased bearish activity, leading to sideways movement or a potential decline toward the $99,108 support level (red projections).
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation.
Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed!
🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉
Why do I write about the Tulip Crash?
These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past?
Happy profits all.
BTCUSD Needs Correction.Everything that goes up comes down. Be ready guys sooner or later we will see bitcoin going for a strong support region on the daily timeframe. The condition of the alt coins can be bad as they can capitulate to lower levels fast even if bitcoin takes a 10% correction. Alt coins will bleed badly if BTC does his usual thing.
"Breakout Confirmed: MEME/USDT Poised for 250% Gains – Don’t MisHere’s an overview of the MEME/USDT chart, pointing out its potential to increase in value by 250% or more in the next few months.
Important Findings
Breaking above a downward trend line.
A clear downward trendline was crossed in early November 2024, showing a change from a negative to a positive outlook.
After the price increased, it has now become steady, which means people might be gathering more before the next big change.
Important Support Points:
0. 01262 (current breakout level): This is a key level for support right now.
Below this, 0. 01200 acts as strong support, keeping the price above important low points.
Important Levels Where Prices Might Stop Rising (Target Areas):
0. 02122: The first big obstacle. If it goes above this point, it could start a big rise.
002500: The next goal after breaking out, which is the same as the last highest point.
003311: A medium-term goal that matches earlier supply areas.
004732: This is the last key resistance point, which could lead to a profit of about 250% to 300% from the current price.
MACD Analysis: Understanding MACD is about looking at two moving averages to help predict the price trends of a stock. It can tell us when to buy or sell by showing the momentum of price changes.
The CM_Ult_MACD and MACDRe indicators suggest that momentum is slowing down and may start to go up soon.
When the histogram shows positive divergence and the red bars are getting smaller, it might mean that there is a chance for more upward movement in the market.
Amount and Market Setup:
The amount of trading seems stable after the price went up, showing that the market is settling down.
A big increase in trading activity when prices go up can show that investors are interested and that the upward trend will keep going.
Story of Investing for Medium-Term Profits
Technical Breakout Setup: The price has moved up from a long period of decline and is now settling down, which suggests that people are starting to buy more.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: There's a small chance of losing money at the support level of 0. 012, but there's a big chance to make money, reaching between 0. 03311 and 004732
250% Target Reason: The main resistance points match up with past price patterns and show a slow return to a positive trend.
Planning When to Start and Stop:
Start buying at a price around 0. 01239 to 001262
Stop-Loss: Under 0. 01200 (a solid support area).
Profit Goals:
0. 02122 (Goal for the short term: about 75% increase)
0. 03311 (Goal for the middle of the term: about 150% increase)
0. 04732 (Goal: about 280-300% profit)
This chart setup provides:
Low risk with a clear point to stop losses.
Big chances for profit with possible returns over 250%.
A clear confirmation of a breakout and positive MACD signals are boosting confidence in continued price increases.
Entering the volatility period
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16.
If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend.
The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur.
If it starts to decline,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80.9K
There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above.
If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd.
Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th.
If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it.
-
(1D chart)
I will update after a new candle is created.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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FARTCOIN Ready to Go Down?I usually don't cover highly speculative altcoins like CRYPTO:FARTCOINUSD but when I looked at the chart, it looked a clean 5 wave up complete. It looks ready to begin the correction from here. Difficult to say how this correction would unfold, i.e. ABC, WXY, WXYXZ. It should do a minimum of 38.2% retracement of the whole rise, though I would be open to much bigger correction (>50%).
Having said that, exercise caution given the highly speculative nature of this coin. This view gets invalidated if the high of 0.92305 is breached.
dxy drops to $88Gm.
It has taken us a while to get to where we are today, and I’m excited to share an update on the DXY this fine morning as I sip the tastiest coffee in all the lands.
Two years ago, around this time, I called the top on the DXY via:
We have yet to surpass that high, and today I bring you an exciting update. The DXY has officially confirmed the drop that is to come by rejecting a target we've been eyeing for the last quarter of the year.
While there’s always a chance it could go slightly higher, I’ve included one target above the recent rejection.
If my primary theory plays out, the DXY will see a sharp decline below $90 by the end of 2025. This will also coincide with the creation of a "top" in the global liquidity index.
This Season is Different....Seriously, no "crypto guru" i've found mentions how BTC.D started high AND DIVED at the start of a btc-then-alt-season run.... NONE... meanwhile this season BTC.D and BTC only keep up with eachother...
What is different about this cycle?
My thoughts: institutions are heavily involved THIS RUN... they bought in during the bear season. They know how to **** most traders out. Thats what we have here...
They are coming for all these previous success story DEGEN's and their money.
Don't be next.
PS: im invested and DONT hope for what I'm seeing... IDK.
BTCUSD - Am I Underestimating the Bulls? Following this channel the prediction allows a 3M Bitcoin which is a bit crazy but could it happen?
Its still within the long term channel up and is the top point of this channel
Weekly timeframe
Anyone want to add some thoughts? Perhaps a rise of 4800% is too much?
Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has positioned itself uniquely in the financial landscape by heavily investing in Bitcoin, making it not just a tech firm but also a significant player in the cryptocurrency space. Here's why MSTR might reach $350 by April 2025:
Bitcoin's Performance and MicroStrategy's Strategy:
Bitcoin has been on an upward trajectory, with recent spikes fueled by events like political developments (e.g., Trump's crypto-friendly stance). If Bitcoin continues this trend or even surpasses expectations, MSTR's stock, which acts almost as a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, could see substantial gains. Analysts have noted a strong positive correlation between Bitcoin's price and MSTR's stock value, sometimes suggesting a premium on MSTR due to its Bitcoin strategy.
MicroStrategy's Bold Bitcoin Acquisition:
Recent posts on X have highlighted MicroStrategy's commitment to the biggest Bitcoin buy ever at $42B. This aggressive accumulation could signal to investors that MSTR believes in a significant future value increase for Bitcoin, thereby potentially boosting investor confidence in MSTR shares.
Market Sentiment and Institutional Interest:
There's growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, which benefits companies like MicroStrategy. For instance, South Korea’s National Pension Service's investment in MSTR indicates a broader acceptance of crypto through established companies. Such moves could lead to increased demand for MSTR stock, pushing its price higher.
Inclusion in Major Indices:
Discussions around MSTR's potential inclusion in major indices like the S&P 500 could significantly boost its stock price. If MSTR becomes eligible for such an index due to its market cap or liquidity, it would attract more institutional investors, driving the price up.
Earnings and Accounting Changes:
With the adoption of new accounting standards allowing for digital assets to be measured at fair value, MSTR could report more favorable earnings. This could lead to a re-rating of the stock as the market recognizes the true value of its Bitcoin holdings, potentially pushing the stock towards the $350 mark or beyond.
Bullish Predictions and Analyst Upgrades:
Analysts from various platforms have shown optimism, with some forecasts indicating that MSTR could trade between $175.94 and $310.25 by 2025. While these aren't exact to $350, the sentiment is clear: there's an expectation of significant growth.
Supply Shock from Bitcoin Halving:
The Bitcoin halving event, which reduces the reward for mining new blocks, historically impacts Bitcoin's price positively due to the reduced supply growth rate. If this event leads to a substantial Bitcoin price increase, MSTR's stock should follow suit.
Macro-Economic Environment:
If the global economic environment continues to favor alternative investments like cryptocurrencies, MSTR, with its Bitcoin strategy, stands to benefit. Lower interest rates or inflation fears might drive more capital towards assets like Bitcoin, indirectly benefiting MSTR.
BITCOIN is incredibly bullish on Xmas! Insane chart showing 145kBitcoin / BTCUSD historically has an explosive price action during Christmas days of Halving years.
Before every Christmas day, BTC is already on a rally that is supported by the 1day MA50, which forms a pre Christmas accumulation through a Channel Up.
Incredibly enough, the rally tops post Christmas on January 8th on the 5.0 Fibonacci extension from the Channel Up.
If that symmetry holds this year as well, then the crazy projection for Jan 8th 2025 is 145000!
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FEDEX AT MY LEVEL DEC17 2024Last post about FEDEX when it was trading around 284 was to wait for 275s. Here we are at 275 &expect to hit all time high or at least 315 asap.
I don't trade news so I am not worried about earnings.
I am a price action trader.
Trade safely as per you RR & risk tolerance levels.
BTC | ETH | ALTSEASONBitcoin is trading just underneath yet another ATH, and I'm watching the ETH chart in anticipation for a new ETH All Time High - there is just no way that BTC makes such a marvelous high and Eth stays behind.
The beauty of this, furthermore, is that during and especially AFTER a new ETH ATH, we can expect to see more rallies across the alt market, especially on the coins that have been lagging behind. This however, will also signal the beginning of the end of the bullish cycle.
This post specifically delves into more detail on TOTAL3, BTC.D and the Bitcoin chart. You can to watch it for key indications as to when the bullish cycle is turning bearish:
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT