EUR/CAD: Long. Is this a "loonie" trade?
Hello traders
Clarification: CAD is also referred to as the loonie, a former Canadian one dollar coin.
The 50 base point cut by the BoC was expected. The CAD strengthened against the USD and CAD immediately afterwards. Classic knee jerk reaction of buy the rumor, sell the news.
Both EUR/CAD and EUR/USD have found support on the 4H chart.
The EURO has been on the backfoot against the USD but with the ECB rate decision in less than 24 hours, I have taken a long EUR/CAD position.
The ECB is expected to cut by 25 base points which will still give the CAD a slight advantage. However, the Canadian forward guidance points to more rate cuts to stimulate consumer spending, albeit more gradually/25 points at a time.
This leaves the ECB's forward guidance to cement this idea.
IF Ms. Lagarde once again expresses concern about inflation moving forward, the EURO may appreciate across the board.
Fundamentally the Euro Zone needs this rate cut. The economic conditions are not great at the moment.
That leaves the FOMC next week and also the BOJ to provide us with more forward guidance. Once this is out of the way, we'll have a much better idea what to expect in 2025, bar some more geopolitical unrest or other major market moving event.
Best of luck, all.
The EUR/JPY is also some upside promise but keep in mind, the JPY marches to its own drummer.
DXY is also retreating
Clarification: CAD is also referred to as the loonie, a former Canadian one dollar coin.
The 50 base point cut by the BoC was expected. The CAD strengthened against the USD and CAD immediately afterwards. Classic knee jerk reaction of buy the rumor, sell the news.
Both EUR/CAD and EUR/USD have found support on the 4H chart.
The EURO has been on the backfoot against the USD but with the ECB rate decision in less than 24 hours, I have taken a long EUR/CAD position.
The ECB is expected to cut by 25 base points which will still give the CAD a slight advantage. However, the Canadian forward guidance points to more rate cuts to stimulate consumer spending, albeit more gradually/25 points at a time.
This leaves the ECB's forward guidance to cement this idea.
IF Ms. Lagarde once again expresses concern about inflation moving forward, the EURO may appreciate across the board.
Fundamentally the Euro Zone needs this rate cut. The economic conditions are not great at the moment.
That leaves the FOMC next week and also the BOJ to provide us with more forward guidance. Once this is out of the way, we'll have a much better idea what to expect in 2025, bar some more geopolitical unrest or other major market moving event.
Best of luck, all.
The EUR/JPY is also some upside promise but keep in mind, the JPY marches to its own drummer.
DXY is also retreating
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