The 10-year yield has faced mounting pressure over the past month, and we’re now approaching critical support levels—notably, 2.00/2.01, the recent low. 🔍 Key Insights: • The RSI has dipped to 16, suggesting that this zone may hold on the initial test. • However, the broader pattern since 2023 is starting to resemble a potential topping formation. ⚠️ What to Watch For: A weekly close below 2.00 could expose the market to significant downside risks: ➡️ Targets include: • The 2024 low at 1.89 • The December 2022 low at 1.75 • Longer-term potential to slide toward the 200-week moving average, currently around 1.46 As the bond market approaches these pivotal levels, it’s critical for investors to stay vigilant and prepared for potential shifts in the macro landscape.
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