Crude oil is pushing back to its highest levels since September's drone attacks in Saudi Arabia. Energy stocks are following. The sector's the worst performer by far on a year-to-date basis. But in the last two weeks, the SPDR Energy Fund is leading all the other major SPDR tracking funds.
Chevron is the second-biggest company in XLE behind Exxon Mobil. Just as its bigger peer has been holding support at $67, CVX has been grinding out a higher low at $116. (See related XOM idea.)
The chart doesn't yet show a clear trend forming. However, the wider backdrop of oil trying to bottom creates a potentially interesting risk/reward to the upside if traders use $116 for risk-management.
Recapping the energy space, OPEC deepened its oil-production cuts by 500,000 barrels per day last week. Two days ago, the cartel forecast a crude deficit for 2020. Drilling in the U.S. has also dropped to its lowest levels in 2-1/2 years. Furthermore, two major geopolitical risks are fading: China and the U.S. have a trade deal and Boris Johnson's victory in the U.K. provides clarity about the direction of Brexit.
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