!!!Rounded Data not fix price or date but with in close range!!!
The **Bitcoin 4-year cycle** is a widely discussed concept in the cryptocurrency community. It is based on Bitcoin's **halving event**, which occurs approximately every four years. Here’s a breakdown of the cycle:
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### **1. Halving** - **What happens?** The Bitcoin block reward given to miners is halved, reducing the rate at which new BTC is generated. - **Why important?** This decreases Bitcoin's inflation rate and reduces the supply entering the market, often creating supply-demand imbalances. - **Impact:** Historically, it has triggered a **bull market** due to increased scarcity.
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### **2. Bull Market (12-18 months post-halving)** - **What happens?** Significant price increases occur as demand outpaces supply. - **Key trends:** - Media attention grows. - Retail and institutional investors pour in. - All-time highs (ATHs) are often reached.
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### **3. Market Top** - **What happens?** A peak is reached as euphoria sets in, and speculative investing dominates. - **Signs of a top:** - Extreme greed in market sentiment. - Parabolic price increases. - Over-leverage in markets.
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### **4. Bear Market** - **What happens?** A prolonged decline in Bitcoin's price follows as the market corrects. - **Key trends:** - 70-90% drawdowns from the ATH. - Reduced trading volumes. - Capitulation and fear dominate.
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### **5. Accumulation Phase** - **What happens?** Prices stabilize, and "smart money" begins accumulating Bitcoin in preparation for the next cycle. - **Key trends:** - Lower volatility. - Gradual price appreciation as confidence rebuilds.
4. **2024 Halving (Expected)** - Next bull market may occur in 2025 if the pattern holds.
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### Why It Matters This cycle offers a framework for understanding Bitcoin's price movements. However, as markets mature and more institutional players join, the cycle may evolve, reducing its predictability.
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