ATCryptoScan: Bitcoin Projections into 2025
I know that there are many people out there projecting Bitcoin movements, and some are accurate, while others are, well..., less accurate. I think we need to learn and discern what is sound, what is probable and what should we follow.
Here I present a continuation of the usual projections that I have been doing for bitcoin, and more, including market instruments, ETFs, and other charts.
Firstly, this projection has always been a combination between technical indicators (such as candlesticks, moving averages, MACD and volume analysis, DeMark, etc.), geometrical patterns with support resistance levels, Fibonacci, as well as astrological energy patterns.
Historically, earlier in 2024, 17 August was marked as the expected time to load up Bitcoin at 40K. While Bitcoin never reached 40K, the period (on hindsight) was about appropriate as BTCUSD consolidated strongly above 54K. Breakout signals started in September and October, Buy signals in late October.
A couple of posts in simple pattern analysis was also shared previously, even as close as a week before the massive breakout came.
So now, going forward, we need to relook into BTCUSD for when it would top out from this parabolic run, and to what retracement levels for out second bite at the cherry.
Ok, I will walk through the step by step thought process so here goes the model building...
The current spike rally is a little long in the teeth, if I may say so. BTCUSD has had amazing spikes and this is one of them for the history books. Meanwhile, I start with the weekly TD Sequential which is nicely completing a Perfected TD Sequential. What this means is that the Sequential Setup is completed with all the conditions required, and is ready for a retracement/trend change.
With that possibility, a target point needs to be demarcated and this can be done in many ways...
First up is a simple geometric measurement of the previous rallies. Since September, there has been two rallies of similar magnitude (x). The third rally did double the magnitude (2x) as denoted by the third blue (solid arrow). This arrow is left solid as it was part of the projection made previously. Clearly price overshot and went up much higher. Another magnitude (x) is marked by the dashed line blue arrow, and you can see that there was a stall about 94,500.
And then the spike rally started yet again...
This time, I am less expectant of a double magnitude (2x) rally. BTCUSD needs to end the rally on a flat note, and then retrace for the next larger wave. If it blows off the top then the downside would be more devastating.
TD Sequential also has yet a lesser known, but very common and respected, rule that states it is possible to overextend for the range on the highest candle... marked by the blue box (daily) and the yellow box (weekly).
Astrological energies "coincidenttally" pin 17 December as the time for a reversal. Furthermore, and oddly enough, in a retracement setting to rocket further/
Together with the weekly TD Sequential, there is a confluence at about 108K for BTCUSD topping out. This should bring us to the end of the year, maybe early next year.
Now that models the topside. It needs to happen first, then the expected retracement can then be a realistic possibility.
Rough modelling forward, if the topping out happens as expected, we should see a retracement to about 75K. This is a simple look at the respected and responded Fibonacci lines, noting that every 61.8% is a support bounce.
So, for a probable longshot, 75K in Feb 2025 is targeted as the next point/level for accumulation.
Here I present a continuation of the usual projections that I have been doing for bitcoin, and more, including market instruments, ETFs, and other charts.
Firstly, this projection has always been a combination between technical indicators (such as candlesticks, moving averages, MACD and volume analysis, DeMark, etc.), geometrical patterns with support resistance levels, Fibonacci, as well as astrological energy patterns.
Historically, earlier in 2024, 17 August was marked as the expected time to load up Bitcoin at 40K. While Bitcoin never reached 40K, the period (on hindsight) was about appropriate as BTCUSD consolidated strongly above 54K. Breakout signals started in September and October, Buy signals in late October.
A couple of posts in simple pattern analysis was also shared previously, even as close as a week before the massive breakout came.
So now, going forward, we need to relook into BTCUSD for when it would top out from this parabolic run, and to what retracement levels for out second bite at the cherry.
Ok, I will walk through the step by step thought process so here goes the model building...
The current spike rally is a little long in the teeth, if I may say so. BTCUSD has had amazing spikes and this is one of them for the history books. Meanwhile, I start with the weekly TD Sequential which is nicely completing a Perfected TD Sequential. What this means is that the Sequential Setup is completed with all the conditions required, and is ready for a retracement/trend change.
With that possibility, a target point needs to be demarcated and this can be done in many ways...
First up is a simple geometric measurement of the previous rallies. Since September, there has been two rallies of similar magnitude (x). The third rally did double the magnitude (2x) as denoted by the third blue (solid arrow). This arrow is left solid as it was part of the projection made previously. Clearly price overshot and went up much higher. Another magnitude (x) is marked by the dashed line blue arrow, and you can see that there was a stall about 94,500.
And then the spike rally started yet again...
This time, I am less expectant of a double magnitude (2x) rally. BTCUSD needs to end the rally on a flat note, and then retrace for the next larger wave. If it blows off the top then the downside would be more devastating.
TD Sequential also has yet a lesser known, but very common and respected, rule that states it is possible to overextend for the range on the highest candle... marked by the blue box (daily) and the yellow box (weekly).
Astrological energies "coincidenttally" pin 17 December as the time for a reversal. Furthermore, and oddly enough, in a retracement setting to rocket further/
Together with the weekly TD Sequential, there is a confluence at about 108K for BTCUSD topping out. This should bring us to the end of the year, maybe early next year.
Now that models the topside. It needs to happen first, then the expected retracement can then be a realistic possibility.
Rough modelling forward, if the topping out happens as expected, we should see a retracement to about 75K. This is a simple look at the respected and responded Fibonacci lines, noting that every 61.8% is a support bounce.
So, for a probable longshot, 75K in Feb 2025 is targeted as the next point/level for accumulation.
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